How Psion Got Its Groove Back: Technology Strategy in Emerging IT Industries Jonathan P. Allen Krannert School of Management Purdue University Thinking About the Future "The secret of our success…this is incredibly difficult to achieve…is to identify deliverable products against future, or visionary, customer needs…you’ve got to think futures.” Presentation Overview • Background: The Handheld Computer Industry • Theory: Product Concept Definitions (Technological Frames) • Case Study: Psion’s Technology Decisions • Conclusion: The Commercial Shaping of IT The Handheld Computer Industry Psion Organiser (1984) PalmPilot 1000/5000 (1996) Definition Palmtop Computers Pen-Based Computers Communicators Handheld Companions Problem Key Performance Criteria Very small • Size computers • Computing power • Computer applications Information for • Pen input mobile workers (handwriting and recognition) technophobes • Intelligent assistance (mass consumer) Portable wireless • Wireless link connectivity • Telephony applications • Pen input Small devices • Synchronization that complement • Organizer personal applications computers • Computer applications Examples Atari Portfolio (1989) HP 95LX (1991) Poqet PC (1989) Psion Series 3 (1991) Apple Newton MessagePad (1993) Casio/Tandy Zoomer (1993) GRiD Convertible (1992) Sharp ExpertPad (1993) EO Personal Communicator (1993) Motorola Envoy (1995) Motorola Marco (1995) Sony MagicLink (1994) Franklin REX (1997) HP 320LX (1997) PalmPilot (1996) Sharp SE-500 (1997) Handheld Computer Companies Thrivers Survivors Drop-Outs Palm Psion Sharp Casio Compaq HP IBM Microsoft NEC Nokia Philips TI Amstrad Apple AT&T/EO Fujitsu/Poqet Gateway Geofox LG Mitac Olivetti Prolinear Smith Corona Sony Tandy Zeos 1987-1997 Product Concept Definitions • Product concept definition = definition of the problem to be solved by a technology, the proposed solution to the problem, and the key performance criteria for success. – Derived from the Technological Frame concept (Bijker, 1995). • Technological community = Producers, investors, and consumers sustaining a product concept definition through interaction and resource exchange. • Configuration = Number of dominant product concept definitions guiding interactions in a community. – Different innovation types and stabilisation mechanisms, depending on the configuration. Emerging IT: Industry Features Ill-Defined = Lack of agreement about product concept definition between producers, investors, and consumers. Industry Conditions Industry Features Changing Product Concept Definitions Poor Product Concept Predictions Uneven Technology Development Analogies from the Past Building Enthusiasm for Emerging IT Psion’s Early Technology Decisions Psion Industry Organiser (1984) Organiser II (1987) No industry MC Laptop (1989) Palmtops HC Industrial (1989) Mass market consumers Series 3 (1991) Series 3a (1993) Series 3c (1996) Pen-based computers Communicators Handheld companions Emerging IT: Commercial Strategies Coping Strategies Providing the ‘Total System’: Hardware and Software Interpreting ‘Failure’ through their own Experience Results Committed to Emerging Technology Flexible about New Applications Conclusion: Commerce and Social Shaping • Thinking Futures: The Product Concept Definition • Technology Decisions in Emerging/Ill-Defined Industries • Psion’s Coping Strategies • Commercial Shaping of Technology? New Configurations and Stabilisation Mechanisms in Commercially Competitive Settings