Managing forests for carbon storage Bill Keeton Rubenstein School of Environment and Natural Resources University of Vermont What is the best way to increase carbon storage in forest ecosystems? • Intensified forest harvests, favoring fast rates of uptake and storage in wood products? • Reduced harvesting intensity/frequency and/or passive management (reserves) favoring carbon storage in extant forests? Aboveground Tree Biomass (Mg/ha) Carbon storage in old and structurally complex forests 400 350 R2 = 0.65 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 0 100 200 300 Dominant Tree Age (yrs) Keeton et al. 2007. Ecological Applications 400 500 Biomass in Mature vs. Old-growth Forests: Old Forests Store Large Amounts of Carbon! Live Tree Biomass (Mg/hectare) 700 Mature Old-growth 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Northeastern USA Pacific Northwest USA Uholka, Carpathians, Ukraine Data Sources: Ukraine: M. Tchernyavskyy and W. Keeton U.S. Pacific Northwest: J. Franklin U.S. Northeast: W. Keeton Modified from: Schelhaas, M.J. et al. 2004. CO2FIX V 3.1 – A modelling framework for quantifying carbon sequestration in forest ecosystems. Figure from Ingerson. 2007. Carbon residence time in wood products Northern hardwood forests in the U.S. Northeast 1 Total products Hardwood sawlogs Fraction of carbon relative to time zero 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Years after clearcut Data from Smith et al. (2006). USDA Forest Service GTR NE-343 Figure from Ingerson. 2007. Modified from: Schelhaas, M.J. et al. 2004. CO2FIX V 3.1 – A modelling framework for quantifying carbon sequestration in forest ecosystems. Forest Biomass Fuel Key: how will this be generated? • Added harvest margin during regeneration harvest. e.g. whole-tree harvesting or increased removal of cull • Stand improvement or thinning to harvest cull. • Issues and concerns Coarse Woody Debris in Northern Hardwood Forests • Habitat • Nitrogen Fixation • Soil organic matter • Mycorrhizal fungi • Nurse logs • Erosion reduction • Riparian functions Even-aged Single-tree Selection Old-Growth Figure from McGee et al. (1999) Modified from: Schelhaas, M.J. et al. 2004. CO2FIX V 3.1 – A modelling framework for quantifying carbon sequestration in forest ecosystems. Key Points • Forest carbon sequestration is not a silver bullet solution • Sustainable forest management is one of many strategies: – 10% of U.S. CO2 emissions are offset annually by sequestration in forests – Deforestation accounts for 20 to 30% of global greenhouse gas emissions • Sustainable forest carbon management can provide co-varying ecological values • There are management issues that must be resolved Carbon Credits Through Forest Management Kyoto Agreement: • Reforestation or afforestation (plantations established prior to 1990) in developing countries • In developed countries, 5% of emissions can be offset through forest management. Developing “Cap and Trade” Markets: • • • Reforestation/afforestation Avoided deforestation NEW! Credits for “improved forest management” – Have to demonstrate “additionality” in carbon storage over baseline management – Permanence and leakage issues Credits for Active Forestry Credits for Active Forestry VMC - Vermont Forest Ecosystem Management Demonstration Project 1. Single-Tree Selection BDq modified to enhance post-harvest structural retention 2. Group Selection BDq modified to enhance post-harvest structural retention Mimic opening sizes (0.05 ha) created by finescale disturbances (Seymour et al. 2002) 3. Structural Complexity Enhancement: Promotes late-successional/old-growth characteristics Mt Mansfield State Forest University of Vermont, Jericho Research Forest N 100 0 100 200 Meters 40 How much have we accelerated growth rates? Normalized cumulative BAI: “treatment BAI” minus “no treatment BAI” at each time step Keeton. 2006. Forest Ecology and Management 35 Cumulative Basal Area Increment (m2 ha-1) Cumulative Projected Total Basal Area 30 25 Structural Complexity Enhancement 20 Conventional Uneven-Aged Control Units 15 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 6 5 4 3 2 1 Structural Complexity Enhancement Conventional Uneven-aged 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Projected Years 40 45 50 Silvicultural Options: • Even-Aged/Multi-aged systems Extended Rotations 300 Cubic ft./acre/year Periodic annual increment Mean annual increment 0 20 120 Stand age (Years) From Curtis (1997) Silvicultural Options: • Disturbance-based/retention forestry Aboveground Biomass (Mg/ha) 250 Normal Rotation 200 150 100 75 Mg/Ha 50 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260 Stand Age (Years) Aboveground Biomass (Mg/ha) 250 Normal Rotation Extended Rotation 200 150 100 90 Mg/Ha 75 Mg/Ha 50 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260 Stand Age (Years) Aboveground Biomass (Mg/ha) 250 Normal Rotation Extended Rotation Normal with Retention 200 150 100 20 Mg/ha 50 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260 Stand Age (Years) Aboveground Biomass (Mg/ha) 250 Normal Rotation Extended Rotation Normal with Retention Extended with Retention 200 150 20 Mg/ha 100 50 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260 Stand Age (Years) Silvicultural Options: • Uneven-Aged Stand Structural Complexity Low Intermediate Diameter 40 cm max. Low Carbon Lower vol. production but large dimension sawtimber # stems Maximized large sawtimber volume and value growth # stems # stems Maximized volume production High Diameter 50 cm max. Medium Carbon Diameter 80-100 cm max. High Carbon 400 NE-FVS projections run in NED-2: Aboveground Tree Biomass (Mg/ha) 350 • “planting” to simulate regeneration 300 • Regeneration based on plot data • Mixed species, proportions as sampled 250 200 178.9 Mg/ha 150 100 Uneven-Aged (Multiple Entries) 50 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Years 35 40 45 50 55 400 Aboveground Tree Biomass (Mg/ha) 350 300 250 200 150 100 Uneven-Aged (With Treatment) Uneven-Aged (Multiple Entries) 50 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Years 35 40 45 50 55 216.6 Mg/ha 37.7 178.9 Mg/ha Mg/ha 400 Aboveground Tree Biomass (Mg/ha) 350 300 292.3 Mg/ha 75.7 Mg/ha 250 216.6 Mg/ha 200 178.9 Mg/ha 150 100 Uneven-Aged Units (No Treatment) Uneven-Aged (With Treatment) Uneven-Aged (Multiple Entries) 50 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Years 35 40 45 50 55 114.4 Mg/ha 400 Aboveground Tree Biomass (Mg/ha) 350 300 250 223.8 Mg/ha 216.6 Mg/ha 200 178.9 Mg/ha 150 100 Uneven-Aged Units (No Treatment) Uneven-Aged (With Treatment) SCE (Multiple Entries) Uneven-Aged (Multiple Entries) 50 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Years 35 40 45 50 55 59.9 Mg/ha 400 Aboveground Tree Biomass (Mg/ha) 350 300 251.6 Mg/ha 250 223.8 Mg/ha 200 150 100 Uneven-Aged Units (No Treatment) SCE (With Treatment) Uneven-Aged (With Treatment) SCE (Multiple Entries) Uneven-Aged (Multiple Entries) 50 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Years 35 40 45 50 55 27.8 Mg/ha 400 Aboveground Tree Biomass (Mg/ha) 350 304.5 Mg/ha 300 292.3 Mg/ha 251.6 Mg/ha 250 223.8 Mg/ha 216.6 Mg/ha 200 178.9 Mg/ha 150 100 55.9 Mg/ha SCE Units (No Treatment) Uneven-Aged Units (No Treatment) SCE (With Treatment) Uneven-Aged (With Treatment) SCE (Multiple Entries) Uneven-Aged (Multiple Entries) 50 80.7 Mg/ha 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Years 35 40 45 50 55 CO2fix Model Simulation: Scenario = harvest for biomass only, northern hardwood stand, UVM Jericho Research Forest 125 Carbon (Mg/ha) 100 Total carbon sequestration + emissions offset 75 Biofuel offset of fossil fuel emissions Soil carbon 50 25 0 100 Carbon in wood fuel 200 300 400 Years Data courtesy of Andy Book, Mike Thomas, and John Shane 500 Carbon in aboveground biomass 600 CO2fix Model Simulation Scenario = low intensity selection harvest for durable wood products and biomass, northern hardwood stand, UVM Jericho Research Forest 125 Total carbon sequestration + emissions offset Carbon (Mg/ha) 100 Carbon in aboveground biomass 75 50 Soil carbon 25 0 100 200 300 Years Carbon in wood products Biofuel offset Data courtesy of Andy Book, Mike Thomas, and John Shane 400 500 Conclusions • Even, multi-aged, and uneven-aged silvicultural options are available for increasing net carbon storage in managed stands. • Options include: – Longer rotations or entry cycles – Post-harvest retention – Modified uneven-aged approaches that promote structural complexity and high biomass conditions – Passive management: reserves that will develop high levels of biomass