Regional Connectivity: Connecting Gwadar Port to Central Asia Embassy of Pakistan, Kabul September 4, 2015 Sequence of Presentation • The Idea: Regional Connectivity • Pakistan’s Vision for Regional Connectivity • New Global Imperatives • Way Forward • Challenges • Conclusion The Idea • Pakistan and Afghanistan are located at the confluence of three vital regions of South, Central and West Asia. • Pakistan provides the shortest access to the sea for all landlocked countries of Central Asia besides Western China. • We can transform the region into an economic hub giving boost to both intra and inter-regional economic activity • Potential to become a bridge and a roundabout for Central and South Asia. Pakistan’s Vision for Regional Connectivity • “Peace for Development” • Building a “peaceful neighborhood” • Heart of Asia • Regional Economic Integration with emphasis on energy and infrastructure projects • Economic center of gravity shifting to Asia Pakistan’s Vision for Regional Connectivity • Constructive engagement with Afghanistan • Strategic Partnership with China • Qualitative improvement in relations with Iran • Renewed outreach to Central Asia • Traditional ties with Gulf countries reinvigorated • Peaceful Neighborhood with India New Global Imperatives • Pakistan’s adjoining regions (SAARC & ECO) least integrated • Vast economic potential, possible through regional cooperation, remains unrealized • Intra Regional trade – ECO: 9.8% – SAARC: 5% – As compared to ASEAN: 24.4% and EU: 55% Current Endeavours • The visits of Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif to Central Asian Republics and Afghanistan show the recalibrated vision of the government to build regional linkages for shared economic prosperity. • Pakistan will be hosting next Heart of Asia Ministerial Conference in 2015 and SAARC and ECO Summits in 2016. • Opportune time to foster better Pakistan-Afghanistan ties • Possibilities to change the narrative and inspire stronger commitment from CARs Regional Connectivity • The recent decision by the Prime Minister to accede to the TIR Convention represents a major breakthrough in spurring connectivity and enhanced trade in the region • Engage China for linking CPEC with Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan as well as Corridor 5&6 of CAREC (Central Asia Regional Economic Cooperation) connecting Pakistan at Torkham – It will establish connectivity between Pakistan, Central Asia and beyond – Kashgar-Bishkek 700 km highway exists – Kashgar-Osh (Kyrgyzstan) 400 km highway exists – Murghab (Tajikistan)- Karasu dry port (China), 94 km CPEC - Kyrgyzstan CPEC 9 CPEC - Tajikistan CPEC 10 11 12 Way Forward Success of Heart of Asia Process Regional transit trade agreements • Cross Border Agreements: • We are working on modalities to accede to Agreement on Cross-Border Transport of Persons, Vehicles and Goods within the framework of Central Asian Regional Economic Cooperation (CAREC), which is under the auspices of ADB which will facilitate transit trade in the region. Way Forward Regional energy and infrastructure projects • CASA – 1000 and TAPI • Purchase of electricity from Turkmenistan • Import of electricity from Iran to Quetta and Gwadar Regional connectivity through road and rail networks • • • • Peshawar-Kabul Motorway Peshawar-Jalalabad Chaman-Spinboldak railway links Chitral - Ishkashim Road Link Way Forward Air Connectivity • Most of the Regional Countries do not have direct air links • Air links will promote people-to-people contacts, economic relations and tourism • Pakistan’s new Aviation Policy announced recently is progressive and forward-looking • Options may be explored to allow foreign and Pakistani private carriers if they express interest in flying to and from Pakistan Way Forward Energy • Pakistan’s special emphasis on TurkmenistanAfghanistan-Pakistan-India (TAPI) gas pipeline. • Gas sale and Purchase Agreement has been signed • Due to delays the project cost is now estimated at US $ 10 billion Way Forward • Strong emphasis on early completion of CASA-1000 project. We need to stay engaged to ensure its completion by May 2018 CASA-1000 » Master Agreement and Power Purchase Agreement has been signed » Power Purchase Agreement with Afghanistan is being negotiated » Construction will start in the last quarter of 2015 » Expected completion in May 2018 Way Forward • We may vigorously pursue import of 1000 MW electricity from Turkmenistan – Turkmenistan has offered 1000 MW electricity to Pakistan – A joint working group on Power will formulate plan of action for import of electricity from Turkmenistan – Quantity of electricity may be enhanced in future Way Forward • Pursue early implementation of 1000 MW electricity from Iran to Quetta – Presently Iran provides 74 MW (For Makran area) – 30 MW be will added by the end of the year – Iran will provide additional 100 MW to Gawadar once transmission lines are laid (Bolan-Gawadar) – 1000 MW from Iran to Quetta has been approved – Iranian concerns with regard to payment has been addressed. US $ 30 million equivalent has been paid in Pak Rupees as a first tranche Challenges • Afghanistan’s crucial role as the land-bridge connecting South Asia, Central Asia, Eurasia/Europe and the Middle East • Security Situation particularly in Afghanistan • Lack of economic progress in Central and South Asia • Barriers to trade and investment pertaining to trade policy, connectivity, banking infrastructure etc. Challenges • Trade barriers including complex tariff schedules, relatively high tariffs, and in some cases, restrictions on access to foreign exchange, • Problem with uniform customs procedures • Limited air connectivity • Linkages in several areas of trade finance and credit guarantee and insurance facilities • Unpredictable investment climate • Incomplete Policy reforms focusing on privatization and restructuring of the larger economic entities Conclusions • Connectivity is the defining theme of today’s world, particularly in Asia, and is a dire need of our region • Full realization of Pakistan’s socio-economic potential is contingent upon embracing connectivity and promoting regional economic integration • The upcoming SAARC and ECO Summits in Pakistan offer a valuable opportunity to advance these important goals, consistent with our national interest and with appropriate safeguards. A concerted government approach would be essential • We will continue to promote the agenda of connectivity and regional economic integration Thank You!