A: The landmark Green Energy Act will boost investment in renewable energy projects and increase conservation, creating green jobs and economic growth to Ontario. This legislation is part of Ontario’s plan to become a leading green economy in North America.1 GEA will: Spark growth in clean and renewable sources of energy such as wind, solar, hydro, biomass and biogas in Ontario. Create the 1potential for savings and better managed household energy expenditures through a series of conservation measures. Create 50,000 jobs for Ontarians in its first three years. B: The Green Energy Act attempt to attract new investment, create new green economy jobs and better protect the environment. Moreover, the GEA will provide the government with tools to propel Ontario into a leadership position in renewable energy, and to create a culture of conservation, assisting homeowners, government, schools and industry in embracing lower energy use. The GEA will offer a wide range of economic opportunities for manufacturing and skilled labor as well as new renewable ventures for aboriginal communities, farmers and community groups in rural Ontario or for urban dwellers, schools or companies looking to invest in rooftop solar to cut their electricity costs. C: As David Barrows defined, “competitiveness is the ability to design, produce and market goods and services, the price and non-price characteristics of which from a more attractive package than those of competitors (Barrows 3).”2 The goals of 1 Ministry of Energy and Infrastructure: Green Energy Act, 8 June. 2010 <http://www.mei.gov.on.ca/en/energy/gea/> 2 Barrows David, Cotsomitis, “Canada’s Global Competitiveness”, in Tom Wesson, Canada and the New World Economic Order, Third Edition, Captus Press, 2007-P3 competitiveness are to increase wealth, gain personal freedoms, increase security, and better the quality of life 1. Poor productivity associated with high wages As the world economy grows dramatically in the past fifty years, international trading has created a strong competitive environment both globally and domestically. By assessing trade performance in traded and non-traded sectors, it is determined that for Canadian competitors to successfully enter the international market, either as exports or as imports competition in domestic market, high productivity is significantly needed in traded goods and services ( Barrows 9).3 This approach of trade performance assesses our traded manufacturing industries in three types of businesses: resource-based, low-wage and high-wage businesses. On the other hand, “Canada has not been considered a high-technology country (Barrows 156).”4 High-technology trade is normally carried out by high-wage businesses, which consists of mature manufacturing, high-growth, and merging businesses. To be good at high-wage industries, a firm must have high productivity, low costs, uniqueness, and a brand name. Those businesses may compete on cost leadership in each department, consumer preference on brand name, uniqueness, low cost, and quality in services and innovation. In addition, Canadian industries continue to rely on abundant basic factors of production, with little emphasis on upgrading and factor specializations. Most economists found that “Canada’s productivity gap is a product innovation gap”(Trefler 2)5. Canadian’s failure to introduce innovative products lies at the heart of its poor productivity performance. To reflect the weakness in innovation sector, research and development indicators had shown that Canada invests a significantly lower portion of domestic expenditures in R&D activities than most of its major competitors, in turn, causing low competitiveness in premium-price products. In addition, an examination of Canada’s export activities in the service sector 3 Barrows David, Cotsomitis, “Canada’s Global Competitiveness”, in Tom Wesson, Canada and the New World Economic Order, Third Edition, Captus Press, 2007-P9 4 Barrows David, Cotsomitis, “Canada’s Global Competitiveness”, in Tom Wesson, Canada and the New World Economic Order, Third Edition, Captus Press, 2007-P156 5 Trefler Daniel Quality VS. Quantity: Canadians are Good at Cutting Cost, But Not So Good At Making Cutting-Edge Products 7June 2010 < http://www.rotman.utoronto.ca/~dtrefler/papers/Quality%20Vs.%20Quantity.PDF> suggests a relatively weak competitive position among major developed countries. (Wesson: 13)6 In contrary to high-wage businesses, low-wage businesses have competitive advantage in implementing low-wage cost. Therefore, Ontario faces a huge challenge through poor productivity and high wages. 2. declining GDP to be 2% for Ontario for 2010 and raising corporate tax to 14% By examining the components in GDP calculation, Brean reported that “Canadian economic growth is led by consumption and investment”. The world financial system crisis can be traced to aggressive mortgage lenders in the U.S. and to the lax lending standards of western European banks on their loans in Eastern Europe. Still, the dramatic decline in U.S. demand for Canada’s exports, together with falling equity values and commodities prices, contributed to a 3.4 per cent contraction in Canada’s real GDP in the fourth quarter of 2008.7 Without doubt, the prediction of GDP will decline by 2% has an extremely negative impact on Canadian economy. On the other hand, researchers have found a substantial negative relationship between corporate tax rates and real wages with one study finding that a 1 percentage point reduction in corporate tax rates leads to a 0.8 percent increase in real manufacturing wages (Hassett and Mathur, 2006).8 In addition, Mr. Mintz and other analysts say Ontario's tax regime, as currently structured, is suffocating the province's ability to attract investment and rebuild the economy.9 All of those findings indicate that, both decrease in GDP and increase in corporate tax for Ontario will harm Ontario economy, and Ontario government needs to prepare to meet all these challenges. 3. deficit spending to the manufacturing sector, especially to the automotive sector and other struggling sectors, such as forestry Ontario suffered from a cumulative two-year deficit of $18-billion in 2009 because of a combination of mismanaged public finances and the ascent of emerging economies 6 Barrows David, Cotsomitis, “Canada’s Global Competitiveness”, in Tom Wesson, Canada and the New World Economic Order, Third Edition, Captus Press, 2007-P13 7 Economy: Income Per Capita, 7 June 2010 <http://www.conferenceboard.ca/hcp/details/economy/income-per-capita.aspx> 8 Latest Release From the Labor Force Survey, 5 June, 2010 < http://www.statcan.gc.ca/subjects-sujets/labour-travail/lfs-epa/lfs-epa-eng.htm> 9 Ontario in Decline 10 June, 2010 < http://www.financialpost.com/news-sectors/story.html?id=1410203> at the expense of high-cost manufacturing. Mr. McGuinty pours tens of millions of dollars to the manufacturing sector, particularly automotive, through targeted tax relief or direct subsidies. The manufacturing sector, and its high-paying jobs, used to be the province's shining point. But as a component of Ontario's GDP, it has dropped from on factors such as a richer Canadian dollar, higher energy costs and offshore competition. Under Mr. McGuinty, program spending climbed more than 10% to $87.6-billion, compared with a 5.4% increase in tax revenue in fiscal year 2007-2008. To help pay for this, Mr. McGuinty raised the corporate tax -- to 14% from 12%.10 10Ontario is going to be deeply challenged, because it is going to be very hard for the government to deal with when the province is so restrained. 4. Weak economic growth, especially the loss of jobs Canada as a whole is a small economy with a population of about 30 million and thus is depending on trade for a major portion of its produce. Canada’s largest trading partner is the United States which accounts for more than 85% of its total exports and this is a major contributor to Canada’s GDP. Thus Canada is highly depends on the U.S. to sell most of its production and was the largest exporter to the Unites States till the year 2005.11 In the era of globalization, it is essential to be competitive in terms of price and quality in order to be successful in the market place. Economic growth and competitiveness are highly correlated. The primary cause of slowing economic activity in Canada will be a deteriorating U.S. economy. Canada's economy is closely linked with the U.S. economy. With a pull-back in U.S. consumption on the horizon, demand for Canadian products will moderate further, 76% of which are destined for the American marketplace, reducing exports and overall economic activity. As a result, the likely source for job losses will come in industries directly related to trade with the U.S. such as manufacturing. The economic downturn leads the unemployment rate growing. Since September 2008, the unemployment rate 10 Ontario in Decline: From Canada’s Economic Engine to Clunker 10 June, 2010 < http://www.financialpost.com/news-sectors/story.html?id=1410203> 11 Barrows David, Cotsomitis, “Canada’s Global Competitiveness”, in Tom Wesson, Canada and the New World Economic Order, Third Edition, Captus Press, 2007-P14 remains high at 8.7%, even higher than 8.1% in United States, which means Ontario will face a serious weak economic problem until U.S. economy restitution.12 In conclusion, the results of measurement by economic indicators on Canada’s global competitiveness are summarized into several general weaknesses: 1) only exposed to single market – United States; 2) only specializes in trading narrow products;3) poor R&D department; those led to a huge challenge to Ontario’s declining competitive position. D: Pros: (1) Green products: In terms of achieving the highest quality of life, as defined by Mike Harris and Preston Manning, improving services like health care and making the physical environment for Canadians safer are some of the key issues to be addressed to achieve this vision.13 Thus the Green Energy Act, initiated by the Ontario Government is a first step in this direction. As mentioned earlier, such an initiative would put the Canadian industries at a disadvantage in the short-run. But once the investments are made and the initiatives are taken, it will reap long-term benefits. This is so because most countries around the world are realizing the need to reducing pollution and preserve the environment for the future generations. Through the Green Energy Act, Canada could become a leader and trend-setter in producing “green products”. As other countries move towards implementing measures to combat the issue of the abuse of energy, they will prefer products which are already green and would prefer to purchase Canadian-made products. (2) Environment: The GEA will continue to make energy conservation a priority in the province by making energy efficiency a key purpose of Ontario’s building code.14 12 Is Canada’s Job Machine Unstoppable? 9 June 2010 < http://www.td.com/economics/special/bc0408_labmkt.jsp> 13 Harris, Mike “A Canada strong and Free” in Tom Wesson, Canada and the New World Economic Order, Third Edition, Captus Press, 2007 p340 14 Ministry of Energy and Infrastructure: Green Energy Act, 8 June. 2010 <http://www.mei.gov.on.ca/en/energy/gea/> Most countries around the world are realizing the need to reducing pollution and preserve the environment for the future generations. The GEA plans to eliminate coal from the power supply. Coal-fired generation is the single largest of air pollution in Ontario and eliminating it from the supply mix will be a huge climate change initiative in Canada. Moreover, the GEA is support the development of new renewable energy projects, and prepare Ontario for new technologies like electric cars. Also, the GEA create the potential for savings and better managed household energy expenditures through a series of conservation measure.15 Therefore, using less energy is the smart strategy for our environment and making the earth a better place to live. (3) Create jobs: Building a stronger, greener economy with lasting, well-paying jobs for Ontarians is a key goal of the GEA. As mentioned earlier, the GEA will create 50,000 jobs for Ontarians in its first three years.16 During this big recession period, people are facing the crisis of unemployment. The GEA creates plenty of great job opportunities for Ontarians. Knowledge workers and the skills they posses are the primary resource for the economy; that is human resources and knowledge capital is an important source of competitive advantages for a nation (Barrows 31).17 In order to fit those positions, more and more educated and skilled employees will flow into Ontario job market which in a way conduces to Ontario economic growth. Cons: (1) Increase in cost: With the Green Energy Act, it is more likely that the cost of production would be higher, since it would require significant investments in up-grading the facilities, and this cost eventually would be passed on the end-consumer. Most capital-intensive industries will be adversely impacted by the adoption of the Green Energy Act. Thus as a result, the Green Energy Act will have 15 Ministry of Energy and Infrastructure: Green Energy Act, 8 June. 2010 <http://www.mei.gov.on.ca/en/energy/gea/> 16 Ministry of Energy and Infrastructure: Green Energy Act, 8 June. 2010 <http://www.mei.gov.on.ca/en/energy/gea/> 17 Barrows David, Cotsomitis, “Canada’s Global Competitiveness”, in Tom Wesson, Canada and the New World Economic Order, Third Edition, Captus Press, 2007-P31 adverse impacts on the Canadian business which would be unable to offer products at the same low cost as the other developing nations. It is important that Canada remain cost competitive in the global market. Using the Trade Indicators, it can be observed that while exports contributed about 42% of Canada’s GDP, it was only about 12% for the United States (Barrows 14).18 As a result of this, the Canadian economy would experience difficulty in generating wealth for the Canadians and should thus move to high-technology trade to be able to maintain its edge in terms of exports. (2)Increase in energy price: Canada ranks very poorly in R&D and internationalization. This is where the Government needs to focus and support the industries to be more competitive by encouraging investment in R&D. In order to achieve competitiveness, it needs to focus on productivity enhancement through innovation and also offer higher-value added products to differentiate it from the low-cost manufacturing destinations (Barrows 15).19 Since 2003, total investment in renewable energy project in Ontario is over $4.6 billion.20 Furthermore, people who work for energy renewable projects get well-paid according to GEA. As the cost increased, the energy price will increase eventually. Since the 2008 economic crisis, Canada’s economy has not fully recovered; thus increase in utility price will no doubt increase the financial burden of Ontario citizens. Especially for low income family, they cannot afford this extra cost. If the government fails to handle well, the renewable energy project will ultimately harm Ontario economy. (3)Regulation is bad for business: instead of penalizing businesses with unattainable goals for emissions, the government should give incentives and encourage businesses to add environmentally friendly practices. The GEA plans to eliminate coal from the power supply. Think about local coal companies. Coal mining companies make up a big percentage of total utility in Ontario. If the legislation force those companies to close, 18 Barrows David, Cotsomitis, “Canada’s Global Competitiveness”, in Tom Wesson, Canada and the New World Economic Order, Third Edition, Captus Press, 2007-P14 19 Barrows David, Cotsomitis, “Canada’s Global Competitiveness”, in Tom Wesson, Canada and the New World Economic Order, Third Edition, Captus Press, 2007-P15 20 Ministry of Energy and Infrastructure: Green Energy Act, 8 June. 2010 <http://www.mei.gov.on.ca/en/energy/gea/> millions of people face the risk of unemployment. Thus Ontario economy will get a heavy blow. Bibliography Barrows, David. Canada's Global Competitiveness. In Tom Wesson. Canada and the New World Economic Order. Concord: Captus Press, 2007 Barrows, David. International Trade and Investments. In Tom Wesson. Canada and the New World Economic Order. Concord: Captus Press, 2007. Economy: Income Per Capita, 7 June 2010 <http://www.conferenceboard.ca/hcp/details/economy/income-per-capita.as px> Harris, Mike “A Canada strong and Free” in Tom Wesson, Canada and the New World Economic Order, Third Edition, Captus Press, 2007 Is Canada’s Job Machine Unstoppable? 9 June 2010 < http://www.td.com/economics/special/bc0408_labmkt.jsp> Latest Release from the Labor Force Survey, 5 June, 2010 < http://www.statcan.gc.ca/subjects-sujets/labour-travail/lfs-epa/lfs-epa-eng.ht m> Ministry of Energy and Infrastructure: Green Energy Act, 8 June. 2010 <http://www.mei.gov.on.ca/en/energy/gea/> Ontario in Decline: From Canada’s Economic Engine to Clunker 10 June, 2010 < http://www.financialpost.com/news-sectors/story.html?id=1410203> Trefler Daniel Quality VS. Quantity: Canadians are Good at Cutting Cost, But Not So Good At Making Cutting-Edge Products 7 June 2010 <http://www.rotman.utoronto.ca/~dtrefler/papers/Quality%20Vs.%20Quanti ty.PDF>