Capital Structure FIN 461: Financial Cases & Modeling George W. Gallinger Associate Professor of Finance W. P. Carey School of Business Arizona State University Management’s Objective Maximize firm's value Firm value = Market value of debt + market value of equity Firm's investments affect its value Accept value enhancing projects. W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 2 Value Eroded; Value Created W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 3 Long-Term Value Index W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 4 Valuation of No-Growth Unlevered Firm W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 5 Tax Benefit of Debt Financing W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 6 Valuation of a No-Growth Levered Firm × W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 7 Competitive Environments W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 8 PV of Growth Opportunities Can incorporate growth in the denominator of the 1st term W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 9 Contribution of PVGOs W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 10 Calculating the Cost of Debt Alternatively, you could use the CAPM to estimate the cost of debt. The problem is knowing the debt beta. W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 11 Cost of Preferred Stock W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 12 Cost of Equity Using the Dividend Growth Model W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 13 Cost of Equity Using the SML W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 14 Cost of Equity from a Beta Perspective W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 15 Beta & Leverage Assumes the debt beta is 0. In a world with corporate taxes and riskless debt, it can be shown that the relationship between the beta of the unlevered firm and the beta of levered equity is: Debt β Equity 1 (1 TC ) β Unlevered firm Equity Debt Since 1 Equity (1 TC ) must be more than 1 for a levered firm, it follows: W. P. Carey School of Business β Equity β Unleveredfirm Slide 16 Beta & Leverage … If the beta of the debt is non-zero (i.e., risky), then: β Equity β Unlevered firm (1 TC )(β Unlevered firm W. P. Carey School of Business B β Debt ) SL Slide 17 Beta & Leverage: No Corporate Taxes In a world without corporate taxes, and with riskless corporate debt, it can be shown that the relationship between the beta of the unlevered firm and the beta of levered equity is: β Unlevered Equity β Equity Asset In a world without corporate taxes, and with risky corporate debt, it can be shown that the relationship between the beta of the unlevered firm and the beta of levered equity is: β Unlevered Debt Equity β Debt β Equity Asset Asset W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 18 Effect of Debt on Cost of Equity W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 19 Cost of Equity W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 20 Calculation of Weights & WACC W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 21 Pertinent Info About Ethridge Company W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 22 Firm Value & WACC B A C W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 23 Firm Value & WACC … A B C W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 24 Agency Costs & Capital Structure A trade-off of debt and equity agency costs suggests that some appropriate mix of debt and equity financing exists for minimizing total agency costs. W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 25 Costs of Financial Distress Direct costs of bankruptcy (out-of-pocket cash expenses) Indirect costs: Usually much more important Impaired ability to conduct business (e.g., lost sales) Managerial distraction, loss of best (most mobile) personnel Financial distress also gives managers adverse incentives Legal, auditing and administrative costs (include court costs) Large in absolute amount, but only 1-2% of large firm value Asset substitution problem: Incentive to take large risks Under-investment problem: S/Hs refuse to contribute funds Trade-off Model of Corporate Capital Structure Trade off tax benefits of debt vs costs of Financial distress: V L = V U + PV Tax Shields - PV Bankruptcy Costs W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 26 Agency Costs Of Outside Debt Issuing debt externally helps minimize agency costs of equity Gives rise to Agency Costs of Outside Debt High debt loads give managers, acting for shareholders, incentives to play two perverse “games”: Expropriate bondholder wealth by paying excessive dividends Bait And Switch: Promise to use borrowed money for safe investment, then use to buy high/risk, high/return asset Bondholders understand incentives, protect themselves with positive and negative covenants in lending contracts Costs increase with amount of debt issued Positive covenants mandate what borrower must do Negative covenants mandate what borrower must not do Agency costs of debt are burdensome, but so are solutions. W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 27 Game #1: The Asset Substitution Problem When a firm falls into financial distress, management has incentive to substitute assets Assume Firm Substitute has debt with a face value of $12,000,000 million outstanding, matures 1 month $10,000,000 of cash on hand Firm still controls investment policy until default actually occurs If firm defaults, bondholders take over all remaining assets (including cash on hand) Substitute’s managers offered two projects, both requiring $10,000,000 cash investment & both paying off in 30 days: Safe promises a certain $10,200,000 payoff (2% monthly Lottery offers a 25% chance of $13,000,000 payoff, and a 75% return) chance of $7,500,000: expected value = $8,875,000. W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 28 Game #1: Asset Substitution Problem … Safe has positive NPV and is preferred by bondholders But stockholders and managers rationally choose Lottery If gamble is successful Payoff = $13,000,000 million If gamble unsuccessful Stockholders are no worse off Pay maturing debt, keep remaining $1,000,000 Bondholders will take firm’s remaining assets in 30 days Game is important because shareholders (through managers) have incentive to gamble with bondholders’ money Would not accept Lottery if all-equity financed firm Would not accept Lottery if company was a partnership Limited liability means bondholders have no recourse to shareholders. W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 29 Game # 2: The UnderInvestment Problem Shareholders refuse to contribute funds for positive NPV projects Assume firm has $10,000,000 cash on hand and a bond worth $12,000,000 million maturing in 30 days Occurs if shareholders must contribute cash, but all project’s benefits accrue to bondholders. Firm is offered chance to purchase a competitor at a discount price of $11,000,000 offer open only 30 days Merger would maximize firm value, and bondholders would accept Shareholders control firm’s investment policy until default occurs Firm’s managers, acting for the shareholders, would reject merger Even though value-maximizing, shareholders have to contribute additional $1,000,000 cash yet firm will still default in 30 days If firm all-equity financed, shareholders would invest additional cash. W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 30 Theoretical Optimal Capital Structure Optimal capital structure Point where the value of the firm is maximized WACC is minimized Management trades off benefits realized from the interest tax shield against financial distress and agency costs. W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 31 Maximize Value of the Firm W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 32 W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 33 Coverage Ratios W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 34 Median Value by Rating Category W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 35 Industry Debt-to-Asset Ratios W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 36 Market Value Debt Ratios, July 2002 Company Microsoft Intel ExxonMobil Procter & Gamble Boeing Walt Disney AEP Georgia Pacific Delta Air Lines General Motors W. P. Carey School of Business Debt to total assets L-T debt to total capital Market to book ratio 0 0 0.04 0.12 0.27 0.27 0.54 0.69 0.77 0.84 0 0 0.03 0.07 0.24 0.25 0.36 0.55 0.75 0.83 5.54 4.03 3.72 10.13 3.65 1.92 1.62 1.19 0.82 4.12 Slide 37 Financial Relationships Earnings before interest and taxes represent the operating income (before taxes) generated by the firm's assets Interest expense is the (accounting) cost of debt financing If you define ROA as net income/assets, you are mixing the earning power of the assets with a financing cost. W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 38 Trading on the Equity W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 39 EBIT-Profitability Analysis W. P. Carey School of Business When EBIT is below the level of $80, the firm will be more profitable if management finances with an all-equity capital structure Above the indifference point, a combination of debt and equity financing improves profitability. Slide 40 EBIT Indifference Levels for Different Capital Structures W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 41 Indifference Levels … W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 42 Choice Among Different Capital Structures The capital structure choice is to use no debt if EBIT is below $90, use $300 of debt and $700 of equity financing if EBIT is in the range between $90 to $104, and use $600 of debt and $400 of equity financing if EBIT is above $104. W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 43 Calculating Financial Leverage W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 44 Breakeven Sales Level W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 45 Managing Total Risk W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 46 The End W. P. Carey School of Business Slide 47