The Global Capital Market Prof. Ian Giddy New York University The International Capital Market International bank financing Eurobonds, foreign bonds and global bonds “A Day in the Life” The secondary market The primary market Structured financing Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy The Global capital Market 2 Short-Term Financing: Evolution DIRECT COMMERCIAL PAPER ENHANCED INTERMEDIATED Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy BANK L/Cs BANK LOANS The Global capital Market 3 Alternative Sources of Short-Term Financing FINANCING DOMESTIC DEBT EQUITY LOANS EUROMARKET LOANS SYNDICATED EUROCREDITS NOTE ISSUANCE FACILITIES EUROCOMMERCIAL PAPER Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy The Global capital Market 8 A Revolver The Bigfoot Group RUF Structure: Arranger Underwriting banks Tender panel Agent £115,000,000 equivalent Committed Revolving Facility Arranged by Credit Suisse First Boston Limited Underwriting Banks ABN-AMRO N.V. Banque Indosuez Crédit Lyonnais Deutsche Bank Fuji International Finance Limited Banque Paribas Samuel Montague & Co. Limited County Bank Kredietbank Banque Bruxelles Lambert S.A. Citibank Crédit Suisse Sumitomo Finance International Westdeutsche Landesbank Girozentrale o Finance International Westdeutsche Landesbank Tender Panel Members ABN-AMRO N.V. Indosuez Crédit Lyonnais CIBC Limited Deutsche Bank Fuji International Finance Limited Banque Paribas LTCB International Limited J.P. Morgan County Bank Kredietbank Banque Bruxelles Lambert S.A. Citibank Crédit Suisse Commerzbank Merrill Lynch Capital Markets Sumitomo Finance International Salomon Brothers International Westdeutsche Landesbank Girozentrale Tender Panel and Facility Agent Credit Suisse First Boston Limited Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy The Global capital Market 9 RUF Stuff Need lots of money fast? Have trouble accessing CP market? Confident of always being able to access the short-term market? YES Arrange syndicated credit YES Arrange Euronote program NO Don’t issue paper YES Borrow from banks Arrange RUF or MOF: Underwritten Euronote program Need funds? Cannot sell paper at L+10bp? Issue Euronotes or other paper Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy The Global capital Market 10 Alternative Sources of Long-Term Financing Bank credits - syndicated lending and facilities Bonds FINANCING DEBT EQUITY Domestic, foreign, Euro Public, private Structured, such as principle-indexed notes Medium-term notes Asset-backed financing and leasing Project financing Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy The Global capital Market 11 Long-Term Financing: Evolution DIRECT ENHANCED INTERMEDIATED Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy PUBLIC BONDS BANK-GUARANTEED BONDS BANK TERM LOANS The Global capital Market 12 The Global Bond Market Domestic bonds Foreign bond (Issued within country of currency, by nonresident issuers) Eurobonds (Issued and sold in a jurisdiction outside the country of the currency of denomination) Global Bonds (Issued in the domestic and the Eurobond markets simultaneously) Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy The Global capital Market 13 The Global Bond Market Domestic bonds Foreign bond (Issued within country of currency, by nonresident issuers) Eurobonds (Issued and sold in a jurisdiction outside the country of the currency of denomination) Global Bonds (Issued in the domestic and the Eurobond markets simultaneously) Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy The Global capital Market 14 International Bond Markets are Linked Issuers and investors compare terms in the domestic and Eurobond markets, which are linked across currencies via currency swaps BOND MARKETS WITHIN COUNTRY OF CURRENCY BOND MARKETS OUTSIDE COUNTRY OF CURRENCY Domestic US Domestic Japanese - Gov't - Corporate - Gov't - Corporate Foreign Bonds "Yankee" Foreign Bonds "Samurai" Currency Swaps Eurodollar Bond Market Euroyen Bond Market Long-dated Forward Exchange Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy The Global capital Market 15 Foreign Bonds A foreign bond is a bond issued in a host country's financial market, in the host country's currency, by a foreign borrower The three largest foreign bond markets are Japan, Switzerland, and the U.S., representing issuance of about $40 billion in bonds annually Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy The Global capital Market 16 Private Placements and Rule 144A The private placement exemption from registration and disclosure is extended to Eurobonds as long as the U.S. investors meet the following requirements: They are large and sophisticated There are only a few investors They have access to information and analysis similar to that which would ordinarily be contained in a registered offering prospectus They are capable of sustaining the risk of losses, and They intend to purchase the bonds for their own investment portfolios, and not for resale. Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy The Global capital Market 17 Characteristics of Eurobonds Issued outside country of currency Not subject to domestic registration or disclosure requirements In most cases take form of private placements Placed through syndicates in many countries who sell principally to nonresidents Bonds are structured so as to be free of withholding tax Bearer form But... Eurobonds usually influenced de facto by government and banks of country of currency Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy The Global capital Market 18 Global Bonds Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy The Global capital Market 19 Key Dates in the Issuance of a Eurobond Issuance need or opportunity identified Issuer discusses deal with lead manager Announcement of Eurobond issue Syndicate formed, bonds "presold" prior to final terms Offering day: Eurobond issued Final terms, bonds sold by selling group to investors Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy Closing day: Eurobonds delivered, Issuer gets money The Global capital Market 20 Key Players in the Issuance of a Eurobond SELLING GROUP Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy UNDERWRITERS MANAGERS The Global capital Market 21 Who Gets What Fees, percent Fees, amount Net price Price paid by investor (in theory) Price paid by member of selling group Price paid by member of underwriting group Price paid by managers (plus "praecipium" paid to lead manager) Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy 60% 0.90 101.50 100.60 60%+20% 0.90+0.30 100.30 60%+20%+20% 0.90+0.30+0.30 100.00 The Global capital Market 22 Pricing Eurobonds in the Secondary Market What "spread to Treasury" should it yield relative to similar bonds--credit risk, duration and liquidity--trading in the secondary market? Use the desired yield to maturity to find its present value at the next coupon date. Find today's present value of that amount, including the coupon to be paid Actual price is quoted as "clean price," meaning not counting accrued interest Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy The Global capital Market 23 The Eurobond Secondary Market Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy The Global capital Market 24 Eurobond Secondary Market Quotations Examine the straight bonds listed What determines the yields? The bid-offer spreads? Does this differ by currency? Can you explain the pricing of the floating rate notes? Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy The Global capital Market 25 A Day in the Life of the Eurobond Market Examine the deals Why were each done in that particular form? What determines the pricing? Can you break the hybrids into their component parts? Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy The Global capital Market 26 A Day in the Life... NEW I NTER NA TIONAL BO ND ISSUES Bo Bo rrrrowe owerr Am Amou ou nt nt m m .. C Cou ou pon pon % % PPrric icee M Maatt ur urity ity FFee eess Boo Boo kk rruu nn nn er er C elwor ks Trust 1990-1¶ (b) US $250 9 1/4 99.80 1998 1 7/8- 1 5/8 C re dit Suisse M ar ui Cor p* US $500 (4 3/ 8) 100 1995 2 1/4- 1 1/2 Nom ur a Holder bank ( a) US $150 9 3/4 101 1994 1 3/8- 1 Battle M ountaingold US $100 7 1/2 100 2006 2 1/2- 1 1/2 M er rill Lynch SN CF F F r750 9 1/4 98.55 1997 1 7/8- 1 1/4 CCF Viennische Sta dtsba nk (a) L100bn 13 101 3/8 1994 1 3/8- 7/8 BN L Eur ofim a (a ) P ta10bn 12 5/8 101 1/8 1996 1 5/8- 1 Ir ish Bldg Soc .(a ) ¥15bn 7.4 101 5/8 1995 1 5/8- 1 1/8 Bank of M ontreal(c ) ¥2.8bn 7 1/4 101 1/8 1993 1 1/8- 5/8 C SF B De utsc he Bank IB J Nippon C re dit ¶ F inal te rm s. *With equity war r ants. P rivate plac em ent. C onvertible. (a) Non-c allable. ( b) C allable at par af ter 5 year s. I f c all not exe rcise d, bond pays 50bp over Libor in last year . (c) Rede mption linked to Nikkei stock index . Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy The Global capital Market 27 Asset-Backed Eurobonds Legal risk: Legal structure: sale of assets to separate subsidiary that issued ABS. Default risk: Overcollateralization dictated by rating agencies Replenishment of collateral Third-party garantees. Prepayment risk: Early Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy redemption caused by “spread trigger”. The Global capital Market 28 Equity-Linked Eurobonds Eurobonds with warrants Marui Convertible Eurobonds Battle Mountaingold Index-linked Eurobonds Bank Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy of Montreal The Global capital Market 29 Equity Financing Choices Warrants Convertibles Equity ADRs Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy Common The Global capital Market 30 Values and Market Premium V a l u e o f C o n v e r t i b l e Conversion Value Market Value Market Premium Straight Bond Value B o n d ($) 0 Price Per Share of Common Stock Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy The Global capital Market 31 Copyright 1994, HarperCollins Publishers Values and Warrant Premium V a l u e o f W a r r a n t Market Value Market Premium Theoretical Value ($) 0 Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy Price Per Share of Common Stock ($) The Global capital Market 32 “Hybrid” Features of A Bond Issue Conversion Feature - compound option Warrants - two instruments Index-linked bonds Call Feature Bond value = straight bond value - call value These are all example of hybrid bonds and should be priced by decomposition Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy The Global capital Market 33 International Equity Markets and Portfolio Diversification No well-accepted international version of the capital asset pricing model. The benefits of diversification globally are empirical issues. The empirical case for international diversification has two components. Establish the riskiness of foreign investment, and the extent to which combining a foreign with a domestic portfolio reduces risk. Even if it reduces risk, does foreign investment also reduce expected return? Then what we have to do is make sure we understand how international diversification is best achieved. Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy The Global capital Market 34 Portfolio Return and Risk Portfolio return: E( R p ) = n w i E( Ri ) i=1 where wi are the weights of each asset in the portfolio. (Expected return is simply the weighted sum of the individual asset returns.) Portfolio variance: 2 P = n n w i w j i j ij i=1 j=1 When i = j, the term wiwjFiFjDij becomes wi2Fi2. Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy The Global capital Market 35 The Minimum-Variance Frontier of Risky Assets E(r) Efficient frontier Individual assets Global minimumvariance portfolio Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy The Global capital Market 36 Optimal Overall Portfolio E(r) Indifference curve CAL P Opportunity set Optimal complete portfolio Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy The Global capital Market 37 The Global Efficient Frontier AVERAGE RETURN % PA 30 STOCKS AND BONDS STOCKS ONLY 25 20 15 EAFE STOCKS EAFE STOCKS & BONDS 10 WORLD STOCKS WORLD STOCKS & BONDS US STOCKS US STOCKS & BONDS US BONDS RISK, % PA 5 5 Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy 10 15 20 25 30 The Global capital Market 38 Evidence Suggests Index Funds are Not for the International Investor For the international investor the capitalizationweighted portfolio may not be the optimal one. The reason is market segmentation. The world stock market is not efficient yet, the evidence suggests, at least not in the "mean-variance efficiency" sense that is required by the CAPM. Because of real exchange risk (deviations from PPP), what is the optimal portfolio for an investor in one country may not be the optimal portfolio for an investor in another, even if there were a single risk-free asset acceptable to both. Studies confirm these propositions Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy The Global capital Market 39 International Portfolio Optimization: Passive vs Active Portfolios (Let the proportions of all possible assets vary until the optimal proportions are found.) RETURN The results of 0.23 letting the 0.22 100% Japan 0.21 computer 0.2 Minimum risk 0.19 find the best portfolio Market capitalization 0.18 weighted portfolio proportions for 0.17 various levels 0.16 0.15 of return: 0.14 Same risk as 100% USA, but higher return 0.13 0.12 100% USA portfolio 0.11 0.1 0.05 Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 RISK (STANDARD DEVIATION) The Global capital Market 40 Obstacles to International Investment Might Include: Information barriers. Political and capital control risks. Foreign exchange risks. Restrictions on foreign investment and control. Taxation. Higher costs. Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy The Global capital Market 41 Conclusion: The international equity market is imperfect Hence there may be advantages to international equity issuance How should companies achieve this? Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy The Global capital Market 42 Financing with Structured Securities Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Principles of Innovation Through Financial Engineering Bundling and unbundling basic instruments Exploiting market imperfections (sometimes temporary) Creating value added for investor and issuer by tailoring securities to their particular needs Key: For the innovation to work, it must provide value added to both issuer and investor. Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy The Global capital Market 44 Anatomy of a Deal Issuer: Looking for large amounts of floating-rate USD and DEM funding for its loan porfolio. Wants low-cost funds: target CP-.10 Is not too concerned about specific timing of issue, amount or maturity Is willing to consider hybrid structures. Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy The Global capital Market 46 Anatomy of a Deal Investor: Has distinctive preference for high grade investments Looking for investments that will improve portfolio returns relative to relevant indexes Invests in both floating rate and fixed rate sterling and dollar securities Can buy options to hedge portfolio but cannot sell options Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy The Global capital Market 47 Anatomy of a Deal Intermediary: Has experience and technical and legal background in structure finance Has active swap and option trading and positioning capabilities Has clients looking for caps and other forms of interest rate protection. Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy The Global capital Market 48 The Deal 1 Initiate medium term note programme for the borrower, allowing for a variety of currencies, maturities and special structures 2 Structuring a MTN in such a way as to meet the investor’s needs and constraints 3 Line up all potential counterparties and negociate numbers acceptable to all sides 4 Upon issuer’s and investor’s approval, place the securities Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy The Global capital Market 49 The Deal / 2 5 For the issuer, swap and strip the issue into the form of funding that he requires 6 Offer a degree of liquidity to the issuer by standing willing to buy back the securities at a later date. Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy The Global capital Market 50 The Issue Issuer: Deutsche Bank AG Amount: US$ 40 Million Coupon: First three years: semi-annual LIBOR + 3/8% p.a., paid semi-annually Last 5 years: 8.35% Price: 100 Maturity: February 10, 2000 Call: Issuer may redeem the notes in full at par on February 10, 1995 Fees: 30 bp Arranger: Credit Swiss First Boston Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy The Global capital Market 51 The Deal in Detail DEUTSCHE Deutsche sells 3-year floating rate note paying LIBOR - 3/8% SCOTTISH LIFE For an additional 3/4% p.a., Deutsche buys threeFor 1% p.a., year put option on 5-year Deutsche sells CSFB a swaption fixed-rate 8.35% note to SL in 3 years (the right to pay fixed 8.35% for 5 years in 3 years) CSFB Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy CSFB sells the swaption to a corporate client seeking to hedge its funding cost against a rate rise CLIENT The Global capital Market 56 What’s Really Going On? Note: Issuer has agreed to pay an above-market rate on both the floating rate note and the fixed rate bond segment of the issue FRN portion: .75 % above normal cost Fixed portion: .50% above normal cost Issuer has in effect purchased the right to pay a fixed rate of 8.35% on a five-year bond to be issued in three years time. Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy The Global capital Market 57 Motivations for Issuing Hybrids Bonds Company has a view There are constraints on what the company can issue The company can arbitrage to save money Always ask: given my goal, is there an alternative way of achieving the same effect (e.g., using derivatives?) Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy The Global capital Market 58 The International Capital Market International bank financing Eurobonds, foreign bonds and global bonds “A Day in the Life” The secondary market The primary market Structured financing Copyright ©1996 Ian H. Giddy The Global capital Market 59