FANRPAN HIV & AIDS Policy Studies Lindiwe Majele Sibanda linds@ecoweb.co.zw linds@mweb.co.za FANRPAN Mission • To coordinate, influence and facilitate policy research, analysis and dialogue at the national, regional and global levels in order to develop the food, agriculture and natural resources sector. • The Mission is achieved through research, networking, capacity building and information generation for the benefit of the SADC region. Impact of HIV & AIDS on Agriculture & Food Security in the SADC region: A Policy Development Framework • This is part of a five-year EU funded project • 2 year study • Aim: To determine the impact of HIV & AIDS on food security and recommend mitigation and coping strategies for adoption by SADC Ministries of Agriculture Implementing Countries • 7 Study Countries: – Botswana, Lesotho, – Namibia, South Africa, – Swaziland, Zambia & Zimbabwe Expected Impact • Capacity building in the SADC Secretariat and FANR sector for the management and control of HIV & AIDS • Development of programmes and strategies to reduce vulnerability of people in the FANR sector to HIV & AIDS and increased support to people that are living with HIV & AIDS Overall Objective Project Purpose Intervention Logic Indicators Important Assumptions To contribute to the SADC overarching goal of decreasing the incidence of HIV & AIDS particularly in the FANR sector to promote socioeconomic development Project implemented as planned with maximum stakeholder cooperation HIV & AIDS built into the regional and country development policies and strategies Planned Results Impact Variables Database • Developed using Epi Info 2000, using Microsoft Access Database • Developed from national level SPSS databases • Has 167 variables and 1930 records from 7 countries. • Variables have household data on demographics, health, income, expenditure and impact of HIV and AIDS. • Analysis carried out at country and regional levels. • Integrated framework within Epi Info allows for analysis and reporting. Variables Tracked Key Impact Area Key Variables / Indicators 1. Agricultural Productivity Hypothesis: H/A has led to decline in agricultural productivity. Yield (area cultivated); Overall output; Agricultural input (type and quantity); No. of productive HH members infected/ affected; Education level; Demographic variables; Type and quantity of equipment; Gender of infected/affected; Changes in HH structure; Extension and support services; Area cultivated. 2. Marketing / Livestock Asset Hypothesis: Reduces participation in the market. Sales (no. animal, no. bags); Number of strayed animals; Price per herd; Number of strayed animals; Price per head; Number of animals sold to butcheries; Size of herd; Expenditure on inputs; Availability of labour. Variables Tracked Key Impact Area Key Variables / Indicators 3. Mobility Hypothesis: Increase mobility of HH members. Travel expenditure; Household size / composition / structure; Changing HH structure; Number of patients at health care centres. 4. Environmental Hypothesis: Increased degradation of environment. Accumulation of disposable litter; Number of animals with measles; Educational level; Gender. 5. Food Consumption Hypothesis: Decline in household food consumption. Types of food consumed; Expenditure and income patterns; Household income levels; Size of household; Dietary composition. Variables Tracked Key Impact Area Key Variables / Indicators 6. Production Assets Hypothesis: Erosion of household productive asset base. Household resource allocation; Household sources of income; Household expenditure patterns. 7. Extension and Support Services Hypothesis: Erosion of extension and research services. Absenteeism due to illness; Farmer extension ratios; Number of deaths in the community; Health status of extensionists. 8. Demographic Structure Hypothesis: Increased dependency ratios. Number of children under 15 years; Number of adults above 65 years; Sex composition of HH members; Education levels of HH members; Employment status. Example of variables collected: demographics Variable description Variable name Country Country QUESTIONNAIRE NUMBER Questionnaire Number Date Date District or Region Whether Countries collected data NAMIB BOTS ZIMB SWAZI LESOT S.AFRICA ZAMBIA yes yes yes yes yes yes yes no no yes no no yes no District yes yes yes yes yes yes yes Age Of Household Head Age Of Head of HH yes yes yes yes yes yes yes WARD/Enumeration area/village Local Area no yes yes yes no yes yes Sex of Household Head Sex of Head of HH yes yes yes yes yes yes yes Family name Family Name no no yes yes no yes no Position of the respondent in the family Respondent Position no yes yes no yes yes yes Who is/are the head(s) of this family? Family Head yes yes yes yes no yes no How long has the family been in agriculture (Years)? Years Farming no no no yes yes yes no Total household size TotalHouseholdSize yes yes yes yes yes no yes Number of children/Dependents in the Household Dependents yes no yes yes yes yes yes Dependency Ratio Dependency yes no yes yes yes yes yes Example of variables collected: impacts LIVESTOCK IS SOLD TO FINANCE MEDICATION OF THE SICK FarmingTimeLost no yes yes no no yes yes IT TAKES FARMING TIME AS PEOPLE WILL BE LOOKING AFTER SICK PEOPLE FinancialResources Diverted no no yes yes no yes yes FARMING FINANCIAL RESOURCES ARE DIVERTED TO MEDICATION for THE SICK FarmingImplements Sold no no yes no no yes no FARMING IMPLEMENTS ARE SOLD TO FINANCE MEDICAL EXPENSES ChoresTimeLost no no yes no no yes no TIME TO DO HOUSEHOLD CHORES IS SACRIFICED LOOKING AFTER THE SICK SchoolTimeLost no no yes no no yes no IT TAKES CHILDREN'S TIME TO BE AT SCHOOL LOOKING AFTER THE SICK ParentingTimeLost no no yes no no yes no IT TAKES AWAY PARENTS" TIME TO BE WITH THEIR CHILDREN HouseholdProperty Sold no no yes yes no yes yes SICKNESS RESULTS IN THE SELLING OF HOUSEHOLD PROPERTY War no no yes no no yes no Achievements to Date Policy Brief Policy brief with Recomm . Draft X 10 Sept. X Draft X 10 Sept. X X Draft X 10 Sept. X X X Draft X 10 Sept. X X X X Draft X 10 Sept. X X X X X Draft X 10 Sept. Zimbabwe X X X X X Draft X 10 Sept. REGIONAL LEVEL X X X 10/03 X 10/04 X 05/05 X 10/05 Lit. Review &Method. Field Data Collection Data Analysis Electronic Database Trang/ Dissem W/shops Country Moongraph Botswana X X X X X Namibia X X X X Lesotho X X X Swaziland X X South Africa X Zambia Newsletter Magazine Journal Articles Regional Book NATIONAL LEVEL X Draft 4 Oct. Final 15 Dec. Emerging results 1. HIV and AIDS has led to a decline in agricultural productivity: • Mean household size was 6.1 • About 5% of all households where headed by children under 18years (The figures were 6.4% for Botswana, 3.9% for Lesotho, 1% for Namibia, 1% for South Africa, 2.5% for Swaziland, 6% for Zambia and 3.8% for Zimbabwe) • 30 % of households had 3 or more dependents. Of these, Zambian, South African and Namibian households had the largest numbers. • 65% of Households reported field sizes of under 2 ha. There was no correlation between field size and amount of fertilizer used. • 18.2 % of Households reported that HIV and AIDS illnesses and funerals deprived them of farming time. • 75% of households have a dependency ratio greater than 1. ie have more dependents than economically active members. Contributions to Policy Development Immediate • Enhanced Policy Dialogue national and regional • Study identified key variables in agriculture and food security. – Production and Marketing – Availability and Access • Study quantified impact based on field survey and secondary data. • Information database for 7 countries. • Regional Database with baseline information on impact Contributions to Policy Development Medium to Long term • Develop & harmonize policies for FANR sector: (baseline)-Impact-policy development-submit for adoption-monitor implementation • Develop HIV & AIDS vulnerability index for the FANR sector. This will quantify coping, acute and emergency levels at household and national levels. • Help SADC develop social protection policies e.g. agricultural inputs pack, basic needs basket. Challenges / Lessons Learnt 1. – – – Agricultural chain is broad Production Processing Marketing 2. Food Security is multi-variant – Availability – Accessibility – Utililisation Challenges / Lessons Learnt 3. HIV & AIDS / Issue of Time Series – Sensitivity of subject 4. – – – Data Collection No documented records Household mobility Time series 5. Coordination of Multi-Country Research In country -communication/networking Exit Intentions • FANRPAN nodes need to be capacitated so they continue to collect and analyse data for longitudinal surveys Policy development takes time • Develop & harmonize policies for FANR sector: (baseline)-Impact-policy development-submit for adoption-monitor implementation • Formal channel for sharing information at national and regional level created/strengthened CONCLUSIONS • Study has demonstrated need for evidence based policy development • Database is only as good as: – Quality of the data stored – Rigour of the analysis – Utilisation of information THERE IS NEED TO UPDATE AND SHARE INFORMATION REGULARLY THANK YOU • EU for financing the study • SADC for supporting and coordination study implementation