Modelling C and N dynamics with MAGIC model from annual to seasonal/monthly time step Filip Oulehle, Jack Cosby, Chris Evans, Jakub Hruška, Jiří Kopáček, Filip Moldan, Dick Wright Introduction • Effective immobilization of deposited nitrogen is a common feature of most acid sensitive catchments • Saturation hypothesis suggests that N immobilization should decline • Nitrate leaching may become important acidifying component • Prediction of future N immobilization is probably the biggest uncertainty in acidification/eutrophication modelling Modelling nitrogen with MAGIC MAGIC (Model for Acidification of Groundwater In Catchments) -Developed to predict the long-term effects of acidic deposition on surface water chemistry -Model simulates soil and surface water chemistry in response to changes in drivers such as deposition of S and N, land use practices, climate… - As sulphate concentrations have decreased, in response to the decreased S deposition, nitrate (NO3) has become increasingly important. In acid soils much of the NO3 leached from soil is accompanied by the acid cations H+ and inorganic aluminium (Ali) -In the early versions of MAGIC (version 1-5) retention of N was calculated empirically as a fraction of N deposited from input-output budgets -Later on fraction N retained was described as a function of the N richness of the ecosystem (soil C/N ratio in this case) – version 7 Soil C/N and N leaching - empirical evidence Soil C/N seems to be a good predictor of N leaching on a spatial scale Lovett et al., Ecosystems (2002) 5: 712-718 Oulehle et al. Ecosystems (2008) 11: 410–425 Some limitations - Soil C/N is vegetation specific - C/N ratio does not necessarily reflect the N-richness of the actively cycling component of the organic matter - C/N ratio does not appear to be useful in understanding relatively short-term changes in N dynamics - „hard“ to detect changes in soil C/N under field conditions Modelling nitrogen with MAGIC % of N retention 100 80 In version 7 of MAGIC model – C/N soil ratio is the fundamental control on N leaching 60 40 Two shortcomings: 20 1) Over the short-term large changes in N leaching cannot be accounted for 0 0 10 in the 20 C/N 30 ratio 40 since 50 the C/N ration of soil organic matter changes only by changes soil C/N slowly. Limitation2)ofThe thisC/N approach example from Čertovo ratio of– bulk organic matter is inLake reality a consequence rather than the driver of the long-term retention and loss of N from the soil pool. MAGIC v5: Čertovo Čertovo Čertovo LakeLake -Lake Bohemian - -Bohemian Bohemian Forest Forest Forest (Czech (Czech (Czech Republic) Republic) Republic) N retention modelled as a first140 140 observed data observed data 120 120 order function of N deposition. NO NO33- (µeq/l) (µeq/l) 100 100 80 80 MAGIC v5 MAGIC v7 MAGIC v7: N retention modelled as a function of N richness of the ecosystem 60 60 40 40 20 20 00 1940 1940 1960 1960 1980 1980 2000 2000 2020 2020 Oulehle et al. Environmental Pollution (2012) 165: 158–166 Modelling nitrogen with MAGIC Alternative formulation of N retention in new version of MAGIC (MAGIC v7ext) is based directly on the microbial processes which determine the balance of N mineralization and immobilization. Conceptually developed by Jack Cosby - Inorganic N enters the model as deposition (wet and dry) - Time series of plant litter and N fixation (litter C and N) are external inputs to SOM. At each time step, decomposers process some of the C and N content of SOM (FC1 and FN1). A portion of this C and N turnover returns to the SOM as decomposer biomass (FC2 and FN2), while the remainder is lost from SOM as CO2 and NH4 (FC3 and FN3) or as DOC and DON (FC4 and FN4). Modelling nitrogen with MAGIC Čertovo Lake - Bohemian Forest (Czech Republic) 120 observed data 100 MAGIC v7ext 80 60 40 20 1960 1980 2000 30 100 25 80 20 60 15 40 10 5 20 0 0 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 The simulation can be further improved by including the negative effect of acidification on turnover of SOM during the period of peak S deposition – rationale well explained in Kopáček et al. (2013) Biogeochemistry 115: 33-51 2020 35 140 C/N pool- (mol/mol) NO3 (µeq/l) Carbon fraction processed (%) 0 1940 Constant carbon turnover (FC1) Ali conc. (umol+/L) NO3- (µeq/l) 140 120 30 100 25 80 Čertovo Lake - Bohemian Forest (Czech Republic) observed data MAGIC v7ext - C turnover adjusted 60 20 40 20 15 0 1850 1940 1900 1960 1950 1980 2000 2000 2050 2020 Oulehle et al. Environmental Pollution (2012) 165: 158–166 Modelling nitrogen with MAGIC Summary: • The new formulation of C and N processes in the soil gives a more satisfactorily simulation of the observed trends in NO3 in water compared to previous versions of the MAGIC model. • The new formulation simulates both rapid (and amplified) ecosystem responses to changes in deposition of N, as well as the long-term changes in soil C/N resulting from chronic N deposition and accumulation in SOM. Limitations: • Balanced C cycle, i.e. a constant soil C pool • DOC and DON adjusted to fit the measured data Modelling nitrogen with MAGIC • Preliminary testing of MAGIC performance in monthly time step • Soil organic matter decomposition and N uptake driven by changes in soil temperature – Q10 fce (calculated externaly) • potential application in climate change scenario assessment Čertovo lake Soil temp Air temp 6000 20 C mmol m-2 month-1 15 °C 10 5 0 -5 5000 140 C decomp (Q10=3) 120 N uptake (Q10=4) 100 4000 80 3000 60 2000 40 1000 20 -10 -15 2003 0 1997 2004 2005 2006 0 2000 2003 2006 2008 2011 N mmol m-2 month-1 25 Modelling nitrogen with MAGIC Seasonal MAGIC applied on four sites: Čertovo lake (CZ) – seasonal data available 1998-2010 Gwy (Cymru) – 1980-2010 Storgama (Norway) – 1975-2010 Gårdsjön NITREX (Sweden) – 1990-2010 DIN (meq m-2 year-1) 500 400 300 Čertovo Lake Gwy Storgama Gårdsjön Gårdsjön fertilizer N input 200 100 0 1950 1970 1990 DIN annual deposition 2010 Modelling nitrogen with MAGIC 150 40 Čertovo Lake inlet Čertovo Lake output Gwy Storgama Gårdsjön Soil C/N (mol mol-1) N-NO3 (meq m-2 year-1) 200 100 50 0 1950 30 20 Čertovo Lake inlet Gwy Storgama Gårdsjön 10 1970 1990 2010 The 4 sites are at various stages in N saturation 1950 1970 1990 2010 Modelling nitrogen with MAGIC Čertovo Lake inlet Inputs N depositon* Outputs N-NO3 leaching Gwy Storgama Gårdsjön mmol m-2 % of input mmol m-2 % of input mmol m-2 % of input mmol m-2 % of input 139 122 69 338 96 N-NO3 leaching observed 100 DON leaching Denitrification Soil accumulation 27 8 11 69 37 30 25 19 6 8 24 7 49 9 13 8 20 6 40 17 7 35 * In respect of Gårdsjön = deposition + fertilizer input N saturation Čertovo Lake >> Gwy > Storgama > Gårdsjön 22 6 19 25 10 51 22 7 312 7 2 92 Modelling nitrogen with MAGIC N-NO3 (mmol m-3month-1) 150 100 50 0 1997 150 N-NO3 (mmol m-3month-1) 100 Čertovo Lake inlet 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 50 0 1975 50 350 Storgama 100 1985 1995 2005 Gwy 0 1980 N-NO3 (mmol m-3month-1) N-NO3 (mmol m-3month-1) 200 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 Gårdsjön 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 Modelling nitrogen with MAGIC N-NO3 (mmol m-2 month-1) 30 15 0 1997 15 N-NO3 (mmol m-2 month-1) 30 Čertovo Lake inlet 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 5 0 1975 15 45 Storgama 10 Gwy 0 1980 N-NO3 (mmol m-2 month-1) N-NO3 (mmol m-2 month-1) 45 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 Gårdsjön 30 15 0 1985 1995 2005 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 Modelling nitrogen with MAGIC 20 Gwy 10 y = 1.06x - 0.82 R² = 0.88 0 0 15 N-NO3 MODELLED (mmol m -2) N-NO3 MODELLED (mmol m-2) 20 Čertovo Lake inlet y = 1.10x + 0.74 R² = 0.54 0 20 40 N-NO3 OBSERVED (mmol m-2) 0 15 Storgama N-NO3 MODELLED (mmol m-2) N-NO3 MODELLED (mmol m-2) 40 10 20 N-NO3 OBSERVED (mmol m -2) Gårdsjön 10 10 5 y = 0.91x + 0.15 R² = 0.43 0 0 5 10 15 N-NO3 OBSERVED (mmol m-2) y = 1.05x + 0.24 R² = 0.30 5 0 0 5 10 15 -2 N-NO3 OBSERVED (mmol m ) Modelling nitrogen with MAGIC 120 Čertovo Lake inlet (1998-2009) NO3 (mmol m-3) 80 60 40 MODELLED Gwy (1980-2010) OBSERVED 100 NO3 (mmol m-3) 40 MODELLED OBSERVED 30 20 10 20 0 0 1 3 4 5 6 7 Month 8 9 10 11 1 12 100 MODELLED Storgama (1975-2010) 2 3 4 5 6 7 Month 8 9 10 20 10 11 12 MODELLED Gårdsjön (1990-2009) OBSERVED OBSERVED NO3 (mmol m-3) NO3 (mmol m-3) 30 2 80 60 40 20 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Month 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Month 8 9 10 11 12 Summary • Despite reasonable model fit of cumulative N leaching across sites, only Čertovo calibration has shown satisfactory fit between modelled and observed NO3 dynamic. • • • This might be a result of uniform Q10 fce used across sites – need to try site specific Q10 for decomposition and N uptake Generally overestimation of N leaching during the winter months in Gwy - lack of proper winter? Decomposition and N uptake more tightly coupled at this heathland site? Presented examples pointed out that in Čertovo and Storgama catchments N dynamics behave quite similar, despite different level of N saturation (in other words Strogama might be fairly sensitive to N deposition). • In respect of Gårdsjön, lack of seasonality in NO3 leaching might be a consequence of artificial fertilizing. • Are N addition experiments able to mimic altered N soil transformations caused by gradual enrichment through N deposition? • Current MAGIC version is able to reproduce N seasonality as a result of coupled C and N dynamic • Further development should focus on: soil C dynamic (C sequestration – more C soil pools?) feedback between soil acidity and C decomposition Linkages between DOC availability and soil heterotrophic respiration Three mechanisms could lead to lower amount of bioavailable dissolved organic C (DOC) for the microbial community (Kopáček et al., 2013) (1) Increased abundance of N for plant uptake, causing lower C allocation to plant roots (2) Chemical suppression of DOC solubility by soil acidification (3) Enhanced mineralisation of DOC due to increased abundance of electron acceptors in the form of sulphate and nitrate - in anoxic soil micro-sites. CO2 measurements Treatment addition Week 1 Treatment addition Treatment addition Week 2 Week 3 Leachate analysis Leachate analysis Week 4 Leachate analysis Soil analysis Soil analysis 800 ueq L-1 Control H2SO4 HCl NaOH NaCl Linkages between DOC availability and soil heterotrophic respiration Linkages between DOC availability and soil heterotrophic respiration 200 soilwater DOC 180 160 1st treat 2nd treat 3rd treat 140 mg/L 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Ctrl H2SO4 HCl NaOH NaCl Solution applications had immediate effect on DOC concentration in soil water. Linkages between DOC availability and soil heterotrophic respiration Standardized soil respiration (CO2 flux) 1.3 1.2 NaOH 1.1 1.0 NaCl 0.9 H2SO4 0.8 1st treatment 0.7 1 49 97 145 2nd treatment 193 Hour 241 3rd treatment 289 337 Solution applications had immediate effect on DOC concentration in soil water and on soil respiration. In the end of the experiment, alkaline solution enhanced soil respiration by 20% compared to control, whereas acid treatment suppressed soil respiration by 15% compared to control. Neutral treatment has only short-term effect (suppression) on soil respiration.