Todd-Veredus Asset Community Luncheon Series Dr. James R. Ramsey President August 19, 2009 Thank you for this opportunity Economists like pictures and graphs Some dots and a triangle… “It was the best of times, It was the worst of times.” - Charles Dickens (Let’s not even think about wind, ice, flood, neurosurgery, coaches, etc.) We know that nationally times have been unprecedented… GDP Declines During Postwar Recessions (peak-to-trough percent change; date is year of peak quarter) 0 -1 -2 -3 -4 -5 -6 1948 1953 1957 1960 1970 1973 1980 1981 1990 2001 2008 1st Qtr 2009 2nd Qtr 2009 -1.8 -2.7 -3.7 -1.5 -1.1 -3.1 -2.2 -3.8 -1.4 -0.2 -4.8 -5.7 -1 and Kentucky has not been immune to those impacts Nonfarm employment in thousands Dec. 2007 1,871.9 Oct. 2000 1,833.6 Jun. 2003 1,777.6 Employment 2009 = employment 1999 Jun. 2009 1,774.2 (p) p: preliminary Kentucky Economy: Mining 1% of our jobs Mining and Logging employment (in thousands) Jun 2009 25.7 (p) p: preliminary Kentucky Economy: Manufacturing – Our Bread and Butter Manufacturing employment (in thousands) Jun 2009 207.0 (p) p: preliminary Kentucky Economy: Construction Jobs – Generally Cyclical Construction employment (in thousands) Jun 2009 68.8 (p) p: preliminary Kentucky Economy: Education/Health Services vs. Manufacturing – Then/Now Education and Health Services employment (in thousands) Jun 2009 248.1 (p) p: preliminary Kentucky Economy: Growth, but… Leisure and Hospitality employment (in thousands) Jun 2009 173.4 (p) p: preliminary We (Kentucky) face challenges • Structural challenges • Big challenges • We will struggle for a while (How is that for a forecast?) What does this have to do with UofL? Postsecondary Education Improvement Act (1997) o Public agenda Premier nationally recognized metropolitan university o More educated workforce o More research o Economic activity o Commercialization Boyle Report (1996) and follow up community mandates o New clusters U of L to be Premier Nationally Recognized Metropolitan Research University Our Mandates 1996 Boyle Report 1997 Post Secondary Education Improvement Act 1998 – 2008 “Challenge for Excellence” “We met Challenge” 2020 Plan The weak economy has an impact on us too… Kentucky Employment Losses State Individual Income Tax/Sales Tax Cuts/Cuts/Cuts 9 for 9 Despite cuts and other distractions, we are making progress… Our Students • Freshman class average ACT • 2008 – 24.4 • 1998 – 21.8 • State avg. – 20.8 • National avg. – 21.2 • More students from outside Jefferson County than inside Despite cuts and other distractions, we are making progress… Our Graduates • 1998 – 1,734 degrees awarded • 2009 – 2,428 degrees awarded – Up 40% (694 students) since beginning of reform • Graduation rate increased over 50% • 7 Fulbright Scholars in 2009 Despite cuts and other distractions, we are making progress… Focus on Translational Research Research Funding and NIH Funding Total grants for 1997 – 2009 - $140 M 1998 - $39 M Despite cuts and other distractions, we are making progress… “from mind to marketplace” Despite cuts and other distractions, we are making progress… Helping our community and state • The Conn Center for Renewable Energy Research and Environmental Stewardship • Argonne National Laboratory Despite cuts and other distractions, we are making progress… Helping our community and state New arena and other construction projects Louisville Arena ShelbyHurst Haymarket Despite cuts and other distractions, we are making progress… but… We have far, far more to do despite the challenges! Our 7 Strategies to Achieve Mandates Given Fiscal Environment 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Reengineer operations Convert underperforming assets to fully performing assets Increase fundraising Enhance clinical income (460 physicians) • PPP • University of Louisville Hospital Develop partnerships Improve contract research/commercializing Being creative (e.g. TIF) And so… • $105 million in cuts, savings and efforts to find money to move forward • Big things • Refinanced debt • Self-funded health insurance • Little things • Washing windows • Power-down vending machines Dataseam – avoiding new costs Note: Five cancer drugs are on the way to clinical trails. Underperforming Assets Examples – • Reynolds Metals • Stoddard Johnson • Shelby Campus $51,367,489 $61,511,069 $95,000,000 $86,571,870 $64,476,596 $42,382,805 $36,382,594 $42, 434,018 Ramping up Giving Building Clinical Income Outpatient Center “For every action, there is a reaction” • Our theory – pie bigger • Others disagree – zero sum Our Partnerships Enhanced food service Student Housing – The Province Siemens Energy Audit Being Creative – Our Tax Increment Financing District (TIF) Health Science Campus and Life Sciences Center Over the next 30 years this economic development will yield: • 8,700+ jobs • $668M in payroll taxes So let’s wrap up… We have been and will be challenged, but we (all of us) must stay intensely focused! 4 keys to Kentucky’s future • Education • Education • Education • Education Why? Education Pays Per Capita Income in All 50 States v. Adults with Bachelors Degrees or Higher - Data for 2007 $55,000 $50,000 2007 $45,000 $40,000 $35,000 $30,000 $25,000 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% Changing Priorities Students or Inmates? Questions? Comments Education Pays