Government Intervention and the Market System Session 4 (chs 8, 6, 7, 9) Professor Dermot McAleese OUTLINE Government spending in the economy Case for government intervention Types of government intervention Problem of government failure Government spending (% GDP) 1937 1960 1970 1984 2000 Eur 12 Japan US 29.0 25.4 8.6 32.2 17.1 27.0 37.4 19.4 31.6 50.0 32.9 35.6 44.0 31.8 33.4 France Germany Netherlands Ireland Italy UK 29.0 42.4 19.0 … 24.5 30.0 34.6 32.5 33.7 28.0 30.1 32.2 38.9 38.5 42.4 39.6 34.2 37.3 52.5 47.6 59.6 51.3 49.4 45.3 47.7 44.0 42.1 29.5 44.2 36.8 Sources: European Economy, OECD; pre-Second World War figures taken from Vito Tanzi and Ludger Schuknecht, ‘The Growth of Government and the Reform of the State in Industrial Countries’, IMF Working Paper, December 1995 General government net debt (% GDP) 1978 1990 1995 2000 EU(15) 23.9 40.8 75.2 68.5 Japan US 11.3 21.3 9.5 31.5 76.2 74.5 112.8 60.2 Belgium Italy 57.2 62.4 124.9 103.7 129.8 123.1 109.8 112.9 Greece 29.4 89.0 108.7 103.8 Netherlands 40.2 75.6 75.5 56.5 Denmark 21.9 65.8 73.9 50.8 Portugal Germany France 37.6 30.1 31.0 65.3 42.0 39.5 65.9 59.1 59.3 58.8 63.5 63.9 Spain 14.4 48.5 68.4 65.7 UK 58.6 39.1 58.9 49.7 Ireland 65.7 92.6 80.8 42.9 Source: European Monetary Institute, First Annual Report, April 1995; OECD Economic Outlook,, various issues. Elderly dependency ratios 1960 2000 2050 US 9.2 12.4 21.2 Japan 6.1 16.5 30.4 EC15 10.6 16.1 27.6 Source: Eurostat 65+ as % total population Table. 6 Public sector debt and net public pensions liabilities, 1990 (% GDP) Public debt Net pensions liabilities Extended public debt US 56 43 99 Japan 70 200 270 Germany 44 160 204 France 47 216 263 Italy 101 233 334 UK 35 100 135 Source: Van Noord and Herd (1994) ADAM SMITH: THE REASONS FOR GOVERNMENT INTERVENTION Monopoly Defence/national security Police and justice system Public health Modern Case for Government Intervention • Income Distribution • Market Failure INCOME DISTRIBUTION Income equalisation utility maximised by distributing from rich to poor adverse effect on incentive to work and enterprise Efficiency efficiency less ambiguous objective Pareto efficiency than equality (an outcome where nobody can be made better off without making at least one other individual less well off) Equality/efficiency trade-off EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE ON INCOME DISTRIBUTION Governments are concerned about inequality Market forces can produce highly unequal income distribution Government redistribution reduces inequality Declining emphasis on redistribution through taxation More emphasis on targeting expenditure to the poor GINI INDICES FOR SELECTION OF HIGH-INCOME COUNTRIES before redistribution after redistribution Sweden Norway Germany UK Australia Canada Netherland France US Switzerland 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 Soruces: Gini coefficients: A. Atkinson, Income Inequality in OECD countries: evidence from CIS data, paris: OECD, 1995. MARKET FAILURES Monopoly power (dead-weight loss, X-efficiency loss, etc.) Externalities (congestions, pollution, …) Public goods (‘free rider’ problem) Information asymmetries (insurance, banking, taxis, health) Begin with monopoly – one seller only -- the extreme case of absence of competition THE THEORY OF MONOPOLY Static Efficiency effect Income distribution effect Dynamic effects THE SINGLE MONOPOLIST Price R MC Pm AC S F T D MR 0 Qm Quantity Profit maximisation dictates that firms in the market system are motivated to discover, exploit and ruthlessly protect a monopoly niche. MONOPOLY vs. COMPETITION Price D Same costs R Pm S Pc T D 0 Qm Qc Deadweight loss = RST Quantity MONOPOLY vs. COMPETITION Higher costs under monopoly Price R Costs under monopoly S A MC = AC Cost under competition MC = AC B V D 0 Qm Qx Qc Quantity MONOPOLY PRICE DISCRIMINATION Price Price Price P2 P1 C C C MR1 Q1 Quantity E MR2 Q2 Quantity MC CMR Q(1+2) Quantity FOUR REASONS FOR A MONOPOLY Economies of scale Government policies Ownership know-how Ownership of natural resources SUSTAINING MARKET POWER Distinctive capability Architecture Reputation Innovation Strategic entry-deterrent measures Setting price deliberately below profit-maximising level in order to reduce attractiveness of the industry to the outsiders Conceasing profit figures for monopolised parts of business Below cost selling, predatory pricing and dumping Deliberate over-investment in capacity and extension of product range MARKET POWER WITH A FEW FIRMS The case of cartel Price leadership Kinked oligopoly model Non-price competition CONCLUSIONS Large section of modern industrial economies can be described as ‘effectively competitive’ Yet monopolies influence and market power are important realities in the business world Hence need for competition policy MARKET STRUCTURE IS DETERMINED BY Numbers and size-distribution of sellers and buyers Characteristics of the product and degree of market segmentation Barriers to entry into the industry Barriers to exit from the industry MARKET STRUCTURE AND FIRMS PERFORMANCE Contestability – firms may be few in number and yet competition can be intense Innovation – thrives more in competitive conditions than under monopoly COMPETITION – ADVANTAGES OVER MONOPOLY It makes organisations internally more efficient It allows the more efficient organisations to prosper at the expense of the inefficient (selection process) It improves dynamic efficiency by stimulating innovation EXTERNALITIES ORIGIN Production Consumption Primary education 4 Training employees in general skills Aesthetic company EFFECT headquarter buildings 6 Vaccine against contagious disease Neighbour’s well-kept garden Air, water and noise pollution Congestion Ugly factory buildings Radio noise NEGATIVE PRODUCTION EXTERNALITY Chemical Plant Polluting River SMC £ PMC P E Demand Q2 Q1 Q 1- private profit maximum output level Q2 - social optimum level Output of chemical plant DEFINITION OF A PUBLIC GOOD Non-Rivalrous the marginal cost of an additional individual consuming the good is zero, at least up to a certain level Non-Excludable the cost of excluding an individual from consuming it is prohibitively high Note: Public goods are not the same as merit goods PUBLIC GOODS Apples Cars Marginal cost of consumption (rivalry) Fire service Cinemas City Parks Art Galleries Motorways Bridges Clean Air National Parks Innovation –basic research National Defence TV Programme Monetary stability Ease of excludability Private Goods and Public Goods Examples of Information Asymmetries • • • • Medical bills – inflated demand Fake antiques Gasoline Bank deposits Government Action is needed to Prevent or Correct Market Failure COMPETITION POLICY IN ACTION – THE EXAMPLE OF EU Prohibited agreements Abuse of dominant position Control of mergers State aids COMPETITION POLICY IN ACTION Horizontal restraints restraints in markets for close substitutes (e.g. price fixing, market sharing) presumption of illegality Vertical restraints restraints between producers of complementary goods and services presumption of legality unless interest of consumers, existing competitors, potential entrants are shown to be damaged COMPETITION LAW WITH TEETH Breaches of competition law can carry severe penalties. In 1999, two top European companies were fined a record $725 million in the US for their part in a worldwide conspiracy to control the market in vitamins. According to US investigators, the executives met once a year to fix the annual “budget” of a fictitious company Vitamins Inc. In practice this involved setting prices, sharing geographic markets and setting sales volume. The annual summit was followed by meetings, quarterly reviews and frequent correspondence. The cartel controlled the most popular vitamins including vitamins A, C and vitamin premixes. A former executive of Roche agreed to serve a four-month prison sentence; he was the first European national to submit to such a sentence for antitrust offences. The European Commission said it was investigating the same matter. Practices that once would have been tolerated if not condoned in the past are now being subjected to the full rigour of the law. COMPETITION AND GLOBALISATION A more open market is more competitive A need for ‘level playing field’ Monopoly power by giant multinationals COMPETITION POLICY DOES NOT SOLVE ALL PROBLEMS … Natural monopolies – the core activities where economies of scale dominate Can be controlled by 1. Regulation 2. Outcontracting and franchising 3. Privatisation REASONS FOR PRIVATISATION new managerial ‘culture’ source of funds for government disposes of loss making weaken trade unions encourage efficiency (access to capital, avoid policy confusion) develop and expand domestic capital market engender competition METHODS OF PRIVATISATION Share flotation (British Telecom 1984) Direct sale to existing private sector business or institutional buyers (Rover cars to British Aerospace) Management buy-outs (National Freight corporation 1982) Contracting out (competitive tender) EFFECTS OF PRIVATISATION Efficiency Government revenue Income distribution Privatsation not necessarily superior to state ownership (Railways, London underground) DEREGULATION – THE CASE OF NATURAL MONOPOLY Isolate the core natural monopoly element in the industry Deal with the natural monopoly element: Pricing: P = MC; break-even or average return on K; RPI minus X Access Quality REGULATION Costs of direct regulation can be high Incentive regulation can also be problematic - RPI minus X (UK) - ‘Fair’ return on capital (US) Competition the best solution - Break up into separate competing firms - Competitive tendering for provision of services - Encourage new entrants (including foreign) - Separate ‘natural’ monopoly (network) and regulate that only Solutions to Market Failure -Externalities Taxes and subsidies Regulation State provision COASE THEOREM Externalities do not necessarily require government intervention. Market system can correct externalities, provided property rights are defined and transactions costs are low. REGULATION Regulation is costly … High administrative costs Insufficient flexibility in implementation Stultifying effects of standardisation on industrial innovation … but necessary … Natural monopolies Asymmetric information When risks of catastrophic failure exists When the pollution generated by the polluter cannot be measured When major health risks are involved Solutions to Market Failure – Public Goods Asymmetric Information YOUR SOLUTIONS! GOVERNMENT FAILURE Government failure arises when the cost of attempting to ‘correct’ free market distortions turn out to be greater than the cost of the original distortion itself. CAUSES OF GOVERNMENT FAILURE Absence of ‘invisible hand’ Absence of full information Theory of public choice ‘political parties formulate policies in order to win elections, rather than win elections in order to formulate policies’ Prof. Anthony Down Distortions created by taxes and subsidies (rent-seeking society and the ‘grantepreneurs’) RESPONSE TO GOVERNMENT FAILURE Reduce direct public provision (1) privatisation out-contracting Standards regulation Response (2) Use market incentives instead of regulation where possible Reform public sector – learning from the private sector Management by objectives Incentives Example: The Polluter Pays Principle Tax the polluter, get as near to the source of the problem as possible, use market incentive instead of regulation The Polluter Pays Principle • Gives firm incentive to reduce pollution • Cuts down on compliance and monitoring costs • Incentive to innovation with pollution costs integrated into market signals • Pollution may not be costly or impossible to measure accurately • Lessens government control over amount of pollution created FUNCTIONS OF THE STATE Addressing market failure Minimal functions Improving equity Providing pure public goods: Protecting the poor: Defence, property rights, law and order, public health, macroeconomic management Antipoverty progrems, disaster relier Overcoming imperfect information: Providing social insurance: Addressing externalities: Basic education, Intermediate environmental functions protection Regulating monopoly: Insurance, financial Redistributive pensions, Utility regulation, regulation, family allowances, aniitrust policy consumer protection unemployment insurance Co-ordinating private acivity: Activist functions Redistribution: Progressive income taxes, wealth taxes, biasing Fostering markets, cluster initiatives, regional development expenditure towards lower Source: The State in a Changing World, World Development Report 1977, Jun, p. 27.