EVAL 6970: Cost Analysis for Evaluation Dr. Chris L. S. Coryn Nick Saxton Fall 2014 Agenda • Establishing an analytic framework – Identifying the evaluation problem – Establishing the alternatives – Determining the audience for the evaluation – Selecting the appropriate type of cost analysis – Deciding whether a cost analysis is worth doing • Activity Note… • Beginning next week, we will begin studying some of the more technical aspects of cost-analysis Identifying the evaluation problem • A ‘statement of the problem’ or ‘problem identification’ is perhaps the most critical part of any form of inquiry • It helps in defining the specific questions to be investigated and often in formulating hypotheses to be tested (if relevant) • It also helps in defining appropriate methods to be used in addressing the problem, answering the research questions, or testing formulated hypotheses • The ‘statement of the problem’ should include, at a minimum – Background of the problem (e.g., history, relevance, importance) – Statement of the problem situation (e.g., basic difficulty, need) – Purpose (goal-oriented) with an emphasis on practical outcomes or products – Questions to be answered or objectives to be investigated – Delineation of the research problem (explication of relationships among variables or comparisons to be considered) – Statement of hypotheses (if relevant) – Scope and delimitations (narrowing of focus) Establishing the alternatives • Determine all relevant, realistic, and warranted alternatives (i.e., solutions to the problem) that could be reasonably and realistically considered • The selection of comparisons should be ‘exhaustive’ to the extent possible – Potential alternatives should not be excluded unless absolutely necessary Determining the audience for the evaluation • Identify and enumerate all ‘primary’ and ‘secondary’ audiences – In evaluation, these are sometimes referred to as ‘upstream stakeholders’ (i.e., those making decisions) and ‘downstream stakeholders’ (i.e., those impacted by decisions) • Primary audiences generally should receive priority as they will likely be responsible for decision making • Even so, sensitivity to secondary audiences is crucial (failure to consider this audience can result in negative, undesirable consequences) Selecting the appropriate type of cost analysis • Basic options include, but are not limited to – Cost-effectiveness – Cost-benefit – Cost-utility – Cost-feasibility Nature of the analytic task • Determine which method(s) of costanalysis is(are) appropriate or inappropriate given the problem to be investigated • Consider the types of questions addressed, requirements, strengths, and weaknesses of each costanalysis method discussed last week Type of analysis Analytical questions Cost• effectiveness Measure of costs Which Monetary alternativ value of e yields a resources given level of effectiven ess for the lowest cost? Measure of outcomes Units of effectivene ss Strengths • • Weaknesses Easy to • incorpor ate standard evaluati ons of effective ness Useful for alternati • ves with a single or small number of objectiv es Difficult to interpret results when there are multiple measures of effectivene ss Cannot judge overall worth of a single alternative; useful only for comparing two or more alternatives Type of analysis Analytical questions Cost-benefit • • Measure of costs Which Monetary alternativ value of e yields a resources given level of benefits for the lowest cost? Are the benefits of a single alternativ e larger than its costs? Measure of outcomes Monetary value of benefits Strengths • • Can be used to judge absolute worth Can compare results across a wide variety of alternati ves Weaknesses • Often difficult to place monetary value on all relevant benefits Type of analysis Analytical questions Costutility • Measure of costs Which Monetary alternati value of ve yields resources a given level of utility at the lowest cost? Measure of outcomes Units of utility Strengths • • • Incorporate s individual preferences for units of effectivenes s Can incorporate multiple measures of effectivenes s into single units of utility Promotes stakeholder participation in decision making Weaknesses • • Sometimes difficult to arrive at consistent and accurate measures of individual preferences Cannot judge overall worth of a single alternative; only useful for comparing two or more alternatives Type of analysis Analytical questions Costfeasibility • Can a single alternativ e be carried out within an existing budget? Measure of costs Measure of outcomes Strengths Monetary value of resources None • Permits alternati ves that are not feasible to be immedia tely ruled out, before evaluati ng outcome s Weaknesses • Cannot judge overall worth because it does not incorporate outcome measures Receptivity of the audience • Not all audiences will willingly accept certain types of cost-analysis (e.g., expressing benefits in monetary units in a cost-benefit analysis) • Even so, always select the method(s) most appropriate for addressing the problem and questions – This is more a matter of professional integrity than ‘doing what the client wants’ Time constraints • Most, but not all, cost-analyses require several years from inception to completion • Certain methods (e.g., cost-utility), however, can often be completed in much shorter spans of time Available expertise • Each method of cost-analysis (i.e., cost-effectiveness, cost-benefit, costutility, cost-feasibility) often requires specialized technical skills • Not all ‘evaluators’ possess these skills and, therefore, it may be necessary to engage ‘experts’ in any given cost-analysis (e.g., an economist) Deciding whether a cost analysis is worth doing • Under certain conditions, costanalysis may not be the ‘best’ method of evaluation • Consider Scriven’s (1974) ‘cost-free’ evaluation argument – If alternatives would result in only insignificant, trivial improvements then other types of evaluation may be more relevant and beneficial Activities • With your group, discuss your semester project in terms of the content covered in today’s lecture • In doing so, address each of the following to the extent possible and in as much detail as possible – – – – – – The evaluation problem Establishment of the alternatives The audience for the evaluation The appropriate type of cost analysis The need for expertise and other resources Whether a cost analysis is worth doing • Discuss your responses to the above with the class