TRANSEARCH INSIGHT Integrated Freight Data & Forecasting System Produced by Reebie Associates and Global Insight, Inc. Copyright 2003 Global Insight, Inc. and Reebie Associates TRANSEARCH INSIGHT Integrated Freight Data & Forecasts Outline Freight market analysis Freight movements in geographic focus Description: TRANSEARCH INSIGHT TRANSEARCH INSIGHT advantage REEBIE and Global Insight, Inc. Applications A Joint Effort Methodology Examples Process overviews Credentials Global Insight & economic forecasting Reebie Associates & TRANSEARCH TRANSEARCH INSIGHT: Screens & Demo Contact information 2 Copyright 2004 Global Insight, Inc. and Reebie Associates REEBIE / Global Insight: A Joint Effort TRANSEARCH INSIGHT Integrated Freight Data & Forecasts What Is TRANSEARCH INSIGHT? A comprehensive array of freight flow projections by origin, destination, commodity, and transport mode A business planning tool that facilitates the development of a customized freight flow outlook, tailored to your business 3 Copyright 2004 Global Insight, Inc. and Reebie Associates REEBIE / Global Insight: A Joint Effort TRANSEARCH INSIGHT Integrated Freight Data & Forecasts What We Did Integrated Reebie’s Domestic U.S. Freight Transportation Market Database with Global Insight’s Economic Forecasting Capabilities Produced an integrated transportation database and forecast tool—TRANSEARCH INSIGHT Created a convenient Web interface for our subscribers Blueprinted the expansion to include Global Insight’s international cargo forecasts (2004) 4 Copyright 2004 Global Insight, Inc. and Reebie Associates REEBIE / Global Insight: A Joint Effort TRANSEARCH INSIGHT Integrated Freight Data & Forecasts Why? Integrate the best of both worlds – Reebie Associates’ TRANSEARCH® is the single best source of U.S. freight flow data – Annually updated – Widely used in private enterprise and public sector settings – Global Insight has a 40-year track record of providing the most accurate, comprehensive, and objective economic analysis and forecasts Synchronize Reebie’s reliable data with Global Insight’s quantitative economic forecasts Provide clients with immediate access to high-value data 5 Copyright 2004 Global Insight, Inc. and Reebie Associates TRANSEARCH INSIGHT Integrated Freight Data & Forecasts Better Decision Making Make your assets more productive Improve your competitive positioning Prioritize your investments for the greatest return Withstand economic shifts and market changes Respond quickly to change 6 Copyright 2004 Global Insight, Inc. and Reebie Associates Freight Movements in Geographic Focus TRANSEARCH INSIGHT Integrated Freight Data & Forecasts TRANSEARCH INSIGHT provides freight flow information with geographic precision Covers 172 business economic areas (BEAs) 172 171 7 Copyright 2004 Global Insight, Inc. and Reebie Associates 7/99 TRANSEARCH INSIGHT Integrated Freight Data & Forecasts Description U.S. domestic database of freight movement Annual projected freight volumes to 2030 Detailed freight movement data Tonnages by: – Origin and destination – 38 commodities by 2-digit standard transportation commodity code (STCC) Coverage of seven transportation modes – Truckload (TL), less-than-truck-load (LTL), and private fleet – Rail carload and intermodal – Domestic waterways – Air cargo International flows—to be completed in 2004 8 Copyright 2004 Global Insight, Inc. and Reebie Associates TRANSEARCH INSIGHT Advantage TRANSEARCH INSIGHT Integrated Freight Data & Forecasts Track and anticipate freight flows across the United States at national, state, and BEA levels Size freight markets and annual freight volumes Produce freight forecasts from current database AND current forecast—only system of its kind AVAILABLE NOW – Most timely and accurate commercially available trade data – Latest forecast models and methodology Create highly-detailed forecasts based upon custom-selected criteria – BEA-to-BEA freight volumes (from county-level detail) 9 Copyright 2004 Global Insight, Inc. and Reebie Associates Conduct strategic planning with a resource created by authoritative sources of transportation data (Reebie Associates) and forecasting (Global Insight) – Consistency across economic applications – Passes rigorous system of economic cross-checks TRANSEARCH INSIGHT Integrated Freight Data & Forecasts Applications Business & Industry Public Sector Design service & trade networks Evaluation and prioritization of investments Equipment supply management Assessment of policy impacts Capacity share and consolidation Distribution & supply networks for key local industries Market-share tracking and benchmarking Market analysis and sizing Regional comparisons & interdependencies Bid processing Urban and corridor planning Service impact analysis Analysis and forecast of economic trends such as modal shifts Quantifiable support for funding applications 10 Copyright 2004 Global Insight, Inc. and Reebie Associates TRANSEARCH INSIGHT Integrated Freight Data & Forecasts Examples of Usage Carriers forecasting geographic and modal shifts for capital planning DOTs forecasting congestion and highway improvement needs MPOs planning land use and regional development zones Real estate developers forecasting land values 11 Copyright 2004 Global Insight, Inc. and Reebie Associates TRANSEARCH INSIGHT Integrated Freight Data & Forecasts Examples Tonnage Share by Mode (2001, all commodities) Los Angeles (LA) to Alaska Rail LA to Hawaii Air Water LA to Chicago Truck LA to CA 12 Copyright 2004 Global Insight, Inc. and Reebie Associates 100.0% 90.0% 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% LA to LA TRANSEARCH INSIGHT Integrated Freight Data & Forecasts Examples Forecast Detail by BEA for Cargo from Los Angeles to Chicago (2001-2030 by Mode) 20000 18000 16000 Tons (000s) 14000 12000 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 2001 Air 2005 2010 Rail Carload 2015 2020 Rail Intermodal 13 Copyright 2004 Global Insight, Inc. and Reebie Associates 2025 2030 Truck TRANSEARCH INSIGHT Integrated Freight Data & Forecasts Examples Freight Moving by Truck versus Rail from S. California to Chicago (BEA) 2001 versus 2020 (Million Tons) 14 Copyright 2004 Global Insight, Inc. and Reebie Associates 2001 Truck Tons Rail Tons 1.2 9.9 2020 Truck Tons Rail Tons 1.9 14.6 TRANSEARCH INSIGHT Integrated Freight Data & Forecasts Examples Freight Moving by Truck versus Rail from New York to Chicago (BEA) 2001 versus 2020 (Tons) 2001 Truck Tons Rail Tons 851,414 17,186 2020 Truck Tons 1,513,785 Rail Tons 28,882 15 Copyright 2004 Global Insight, Inc. and Reebie Associates TRANSEARCH INSIGHT Integrated Freight Data & Forecasts Methodology Annual Freight Projections Global Insight’s Sector-specific Economic Freight Forecast TRANSEARCH U.S. Domestic Freight Movement Data 16 Copyright 2004 Global Insight, Inc. and Reebie Associates TRANSEARCH® Process Overview TRANSEARCH INSIGHT Integrated Freight Data & Forecasts Annual Survey of Manufacturers Commodity Value State Mfg Employment by Industry Carrier Data Exchange Foreign Trade Imports by State State Originations by Commodity Water Pipeline Air Specific Industry Data Rail Originations State Truck Originations by Commodity Truck/Rail Shipment Traffic Patterns State-State Carrier Flows by Commodity 17 Copyright 2004 Global Insight, Inc. and Reebie Associates Sub-Mode SHR: For Hire: TL, LTL Private Review & Adjustments Preliminary State Domestic Output by Commodity Global Insight Process Overview TRANSEARCH INSIGHT Integrated Freight Data & Forecasts Domestic Freight Flow Benchmark Data 2001 (TRANSEARCH) BTM BDM Purchases Shipments Constrain Shipments = Purchases Constrain to Domestic National Freight Flow Forecast by STCC Intermediate Domestic Freight Flow Forecast by STCC, Origin & Destination Global Insight’s Business Transactions Matrix (BTM) provides forecasts of businessto-business purchases by county and industry. This information drives the demand side of the model. Global Insight’s Business Demographic Model (BDM) provides forecasts of output by county and industry. This information drives the supply side of the model. Final Adjustment FINAL Domestic Freight Flow Forecast by STCC, Origin & Destination 18 Copyright 2004 Global Insight, Inc. and Reebie Associates Global Insight Credentials TRANSEARCH INSIGHT Integrated Freight Data & Forecasts Global Insight, Inc., formed from the integration of DRI and WEFA, provides quantitative economic research information, financial analysis, and consulting services to business and government agencies Global Insight has over 3,300 clients in industry, finance, and government around the world, 600 employees, and 23 offices covering North and South America, Europe, Africa, the Middle East, and Asia Major freight carriers, port operators, and government agencies rely on Global Insight’s proven transportation models and forecasts for domestic U.S. and international markets Provider of freight analysis framework forecast for US DOT 19 Copyright 2004 Global Insight, Inc. and Reebie Associates Global Insight & Economic Forecasting TRANSEARCH INSIGHT Integrated Freight Data & Forecasts Future demand linked to industry and consumer activity Business Demographics Model: employment, establishments, and output by Standard Industrial Classifications (SIC) / North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) and by county Business Transactions Matrix: business-to-business purchases, by SIC/NAICS Consistent with the Global Insight international macroeconomic and regional forecasts 20 Copyright 2004 Global Insight, Inc. and Reebie Associates Reebie Associates Credentials TRANSEARCH INSIGHT Integrated Freight Data & Forecasts Since 1968, Reebie Associates has provided transportation professionals with expertise in market data, freight management, strategic planning, operations research, and cross-modal analysis Reebie produces TRANSEARCH, the most widely used commercial database of U.S. freight movements Our clients represent all sectors of freight distribution, including carriers, public agencies (MPO’s, State and US DOT’s), shippers, receivers, suppliers, ports, and airports Market Research Freight Planning Market Strategy Cross-Modal Expertise Provider of Freight Analysis Framework data for US DOT 21 Copyright 2004 Global Insight, Inc. and Reebie Associates Transportation Costing Freight Market Data Public Investment Assessment Reebie’s TRANSEARCH Database TRANSEARCH INSIGHT Integrated Freight Data & Forecasts Freight Movement Database Standard source of U.S. and cross-border freight movement data Indicates market volume by commodity and mode of transport Supported and used by the leading transportation firms and agencies in the United States Utilized by federal, state, and municipal transportation planning agencies for impact planning 22 Volume Metrics: Tonnage, value, ton-mile estimates of market flows Modes Supported: Truckload, Less-than-Truckload, Truck/Private Fleet, Rail Intermodal, Rail Carload, Air, Inland Water Database Production Sources: Integrates large scale, multi-year, proprietary truck flow sample; based on many public and private sources of information (transportation, production, consumption) Frequency: Produced and distributed annually since 1980 Copyright 2004 Global Insight, Inc. and Reebie Associates TRANSEARCH INSIGHT Integrated Freight Data & Forecasts Sample Navigator Screen 23 Copyright 2004 Global Insight, Inc. and Reebie Associates TRANSEARCH INSIGHT Integrated Freight Data & Forecasts Contact Information Reebie Associates Contact: Paul Ciannavei Global Insight, Inc. Contact: Paul Bingham 2777 Summer Street, Suite 401 Stamford, CT 06905 1850 M Street, NW, Suite 1100 Washington, DC 20036 Tel. 203-705-0455 Fax 203-705-0456 Tel. 202-482-9300 Fax 202-482-9301 www.reebie.com www.globalinsight.com 24 Copyright 2004 Global Insight, Inc. and Reebie Associates