UAV Plans and Trends Facilities Assessment - Airborne Platforms Sub-Committee August 28-29, 2006 Boulder, CO Will Bolton Sandia National Laboratories Livermore, CA Bolton 8/23/06 Suggested Discussion Topics • UAV Background • Review of available UAV platforms • Issues in UAV use Airspace Access to aircraft DoD “Dual use” NOAA NASA Commercial supplier (manufacturer or 3rd party) Cost Operational experience/insurance • Trends • Discussion Bolton 8/23/06 UAV Background Much of the impetus for UAV development has been military applications First use of unmanned photo reconnaissance during US Civil War (1863) Significant number of Firebee missions during Vietnam war Substantial Israeli experience in 1980’s Technology enabled much improved capabilities starting in about 1990 U.S. use increased during Balkans conflict (GA Predators flown from Italy) Dramatic increase following 9/11 in Afghanistan and Iraq Although more limited, examples of “civilian” applications include: AeroSonde - developed for atmospheric research (e.g., hurricane measurements) more recently limited use over the North Slope of Alaska and other locations SeaScan developed for fish spotting (although most applications have been the military SeaEagle version) Law enforcement (e.g., CyberBug) NASA ERAST development of Pathfinder, Helios, Altair… NASA-funded Altus demonstration flights NOAA/NASA Altair demonstration flights DOE ARM-UAV flight campaigns using Gnat 750, Altus I, and Altus II starting in 1993 Eddy’s Surveillance Kite 1898 Bolton 8/23/06 Vietnam era Firebee photo drone InSitu SeaScan Summary of Current UAV Platforms There are many listings of “current” UAVs -- for example: http://www.uavforum.com/vehicles/capabilities.htm http://www.shephard.co.uk/UVonline/UVSpecs.aspx http://www.aiaa.org/images/PDF/WilsonChart.pdf Aviation Week & Space Technology, “Aviation Source Book 2006” Shephard “Unmanned Vehicles, Handbook 2006” Note that not all of the listed aircraft actually exist! Bolton 8/23/06 Summary of Current UAV Platforms A partial listing… Rotary Country France France Germany Greece India Israel Israel Israel Israel Israel So Africa So Korea Turkey UK USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA Primary owner Matra General Atomics TESTEM 3 Sigma ADE IAI Silver Arrow Silver Arrow Silver Arrow Silver Arrow Kentron Daewoo TAI TTL AAI AAI AAI GA-ASI BAE Systems MiTex Mi-Tex Northrop Grumman Ryan PUI Daedalus Orion Sikorsky UAV Designation Dragon Horus-SD Deltron III Nearchos Nishant Searcher Mk II Darter Hermes 450S Hermes 150 Sniper Lark TRPV-1 Doyosae UAV-X1 ASR-4 Spectre Shadow 200 Shadow 400 Shadow 600 Prowler I R4E SkyEye Hellfox Vixen Starbird Pioneer (RQ-2A) STF-9A Seabat Cypher Engine details power Wt(lb) Payload(lb) Endurance(h) Ceiling(ft) 331 66 2 9,600 85 2250 40 25000 150 24 3 13,000 430 132 8 25,000 771 132 4 13,100 940 150 16 18,500 220 22 4 20,000 52 992 220 20 20,000 38 6 15000 375 55 6 15,000 38 265 55 4 15,000 286 50 3 6,000 42 540 66 7 15,000 242 81 3 17,000 275 50 6 15,000 447 5 12000 600 100 12 17,000 200 50 6 21,000 1,250 275 12 16,000 350 50 8 15,000 200 50 4 15,000 380 50 4 17,000 417 75 5 12,000 220 50 5 20,000 200 50 4 10,000 298 41 2 8,200 rotary 912 ul uel 891 rotary uel 741 rotary rotary norton nr-801 ar741 ar741 ar-801 sachs sf-150 piston UEL AR 801 rotary engine Piston Comments type Devel. Stage C Complete Rotor in Wing V C C C C C C C C C C C Tilt Wing Tail-Sitter Ducted Rotor C C C C C C C V V V Underway Underway Complete Complete Underway Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Underway Complete Production Operation Span(ft) Comm Radius(nm) 9.8 Underway Underway Limited Deployed Underway Limited Underway Limited Underway Deployed Limited Limited Complete Limited Complete Deployed 27 Span = 8.8 16.8 21.3 28.1 14 34.4 27 54 54 80 50 108 13.8 6.9 15.8 19.7 10.8 12.8 27 54 27 16 27 108 22.4 18 24 11 9.2 17.3 16.8 Span = 12.7 Span = 10 Dia = 6.2 108 140 100 54 50 108 100 250 108 27 Battery/Electric Country France USA USA USA USA USA Primary owner Alcore AeroVironment CUV NRL NRL NRL UAV Designation Azimut Pointer (FQM-151A) SLURS Flyrt Sender Swallow Biodrone scout 2000 Engine details power Wt(lb) Payload(lb) Endurance(h) Ceiling(ft) Comments 14 1 2.5 1,000 shephards has a ceiling of 100ft and endurance of .75 hrs 8 2 0.3 1,000 10 2 1 500 72 25 0.5 2,000 10 3 2 5,000 62 10 2 30,000 1.6 22 1.5 100 0.8 6.6 0.5 984 type E E E E E E Devel. Stage Complete Complete Underway Complete Complete Underway Production Operation Span(ft) Comm Radius(nm) 11.3 6 Complete Limited 9 4 5 5 Complete Limited 8 4 Complete Limited 4 50 15 60 Turbojet Country Belgium Canada Canada China Italy Italy Russia Russia Russia USA USA USA USA France USA France Primary owner Thomson-CSF Bombardier Bombardier BUAA Meteor Meteor Tupolev Tupolev Tupolev Northrop Grumman Ryan Northrop Grumman Ryan Northrop Grumman Ryan Bostan Alcore Aurora Alcore UAV Designation Engine details Epervier CL-89 CL-289 t117 turbojet Chang Hong 1 Mirach 100 Mirach 150 trs 18-1 turbojet Tu-141 Strizh Tu-143 Tu-243 BQM-74C Sea Ferret Scarab ACRW Chacal 2 replaced 2 stroke piston with jet AU-009 (UCAV demo)2 amt olympus turbojets Futura 1xturbojet power Wt(lb) Payload(lb) Endurance(h) Ceiling(ft) Comments 324 44 0.5 10,000 238 40 0.2 10,000 650 75 0.5 3,900 Teamed with Dornier 3,750 140 3 57,400 617 88 1 29,500 Variant of aerial target 750 110 1 29,500 Follow-on to the Mirach 100 13,700 250 1 19,500 3,060 400 0.2 9,800 3,100 500 0.4 16,400 514 173 1 30,000 150 30 3 20,000 2,370 290 2 43,000 300 15 3 1,000 Rotating Lifting Surface 166.6 4 3,000 142 500 45 lb 155 33 1.1 1000 type Devel. Stage C Complete C Complete C Complete C Complete C Complete C Complete C Complete C Complete C Underway C Complete C Complete C Complete V Underway Production Operation Complete Removed of service Complete Deployed Complete Deployed Deployed Complete Deployed Underway Limited Complete Deployed Underway Deployed Complete Deployed Complete Limited C Underway C Underway Span(ft) Comm Radius(nm) 5.7 50 3.1 32 4.3 108 32 200 5.9 135 8.5 135 12.8 540 7.3 51 7.3 97 5.8 200 6 160 11 500 Wing Dia =5 30 7 6.5 Turbofan Country France USA USA USA USA USA USA Primary owner Aerospatiale Frontier Systems Frontier Systems Lockheed Martin Northrop Grumman Boeing Scaled Composites UAV Designation Sarohale Arrow Shadow DarkStar (RQ-3A) Global Hawk (RQ-4A ) Dragonfly: Canard/Rotor/Wing Proteus (optionally piloted) Engine details allison ae3007 turbofan turbofan fj44-2 turbofan power Wt(lb) Payload(lb) Endurance(h) Ceiling(ft) Comments 11,700 1,100 24 60,000 14,000 500 36 70,000 3,500 200 12 50,000 8,600 800 8 45,000 Teamed with Boeing 25,600 1,900 36 65,000 1,800 200 3 10,000 Stopped Rotor 12500 2200 18 65000 type Devel. Stage Production Operation C Underway C Underway C Complete C Underway C Complete V Underway C Complete Span(ft) Comm Radius(nm) 120 OTH 115.3 120 65 OTH 69 OTH 116.2 OTH Rotor = 12 500 78.6 OTH Turboprop Country USA USA Israel USA Primary owner Aurora GA-ASI IAI Aurora Bolton 8/23/06 UAV Designation Engine details SkyWatch Predator B Allied Signal TPE331 Heron TP Theseus B Allied Signal TPE331 Power Wt(lb) Payload(lb) Endurance(h) Ceiling(ft) Comments type Devel. Stage Production Operation Span(ft) Comm Radius(nm) 7,900 900 32 62,000 C Underway 114 250 2,500 650 24 40,000 C Underway 48.8 OTH 1200 7940 24 45000 C 10600 10 82000 C 75.5 Country Australia Austria Belgium Bulgaria China China China Croatia Croatia Czech France France France France France France France France France France France Germany Germany Germany Germany Germany Iran Iraq Israel Israel Israel Israel Israel Israel Israel Israel Israel Israel Israel Israel Israel Israel Israel Italy Portugal Russia Russia So Africa So Africa Spain Spain Switzerland Taiwan Tunisia Turkey Turkey Turkey UK UK UK UK UK UK UK UK USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA Austria China France France France France Japan Japan Japan Japan Russia Russia South Korea Sweden Sweden UK UK USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA Primary owner UAV Designation Tempest Vindicator C Craft Eyrie Mk 7 IAI B-Hunter Aviotechna Yastreb-25 BSST Observer 1 Xian ASN-206 Xian DP-4 RD RH-ALAN BL-50 RH-ALAN BLS B VTņL STV Sojka III Aerospatiale Hussard 2 Alcore Chacal 2 Altec MART Mk II Altec S-Mart CAC Syst¸mes Fox AT2 CAC Syst¸mes Fox TX CAC Syst¸mes K-100 Eurodrone Brevel SAGEM Crecerelle SAGEM Marula SAGEM Sperwer/Ugglan Dornier DAR EMT Luna X-200 IAT MK-105 Flash IAT MK-106C Hit STN Atlas Taifun HESA Ababil FSPF L-29 BTA Canard BTA Mini Sheddon BTA Sheddon MK3 EAS Crow EAS Vanguard EMIT Blue Horizon IAI E-Hunter IAI Eye View / Firebird IAI Heron IAI Hunter (RQ-5) IAI Scout IAI Searcher Silver Arrow Colibri Silver Arrow Hermes 1500 Silver Arrow Micro-V Meteor Mirach 26 OGMA ARMOR X7 Yakolev Yak-061 Shmel Yakolev Phela / Stroy-P ATE Vulture Kentron RPV-2E Seeker INTA ALO INTA Siva Oerlikon-Contraves ADS-95 Ranger Chung-Shan Inst.Kestrel II TAT Annasnas EES Kirlangic EES Dogan EES Firefly Cranfield Observer Flight Refueling Raven Marconi Phoenix Tasuma CSV-20 Tasuma CSV-30 Tasuma MSV-10 TTL Specte II TTL Phantom AAI Shadow 200T Alliant Tech Outrider Aurora Perseus B BAI Dragon Drone BAI Javelin BAI Porter BAI Tern Daedalus Dakota / Truck GA-ASI Altus DT GA-ASI Altus ST GA-ASI Gnat GA-ASI I-Gnat GA-ASI Predator (RQ-1A ) GA-ASI Prowler II GA-ASI Prowler II AeRA Aerosonde Mi-Tex Backpack Mi-Tex Mini Vanguard Scaled Composites Raptor Demonstrator DRS Unmanned STM-5B Technologies Sentry Thorpe SeeOp P-7180 Thorpe SeeOp TS-2000 Schiebel Camcopter 5.1 NUAA Solar Bird CAC Syst¸mes Hˇliot Survey-Copter Copter 2 Techno Sud Vigilant F2000 Techno Sud Vigilant F 5000 Fuji RPH-2 Kawada RoboCopter 300 Yamaha R-50 Yamaha R-Max Kamov Ka-37 Kamov Ka-137 Daewoo ARCH-50 Scandicraft APID-3 TechMent RPG Midget Mk III Aerobotics Sprite Channon Nitro Hawk Aerocam 23F Aerocam 60F Dragonfly DP4 D-Star D'Humbug Freewing 60-25 Freewing 100-50 (Scorpion) Northrop Grumman Model Ryan 330 SAIC Vigilante Heli 25 Heliot Horus-SD Eagle Mucke Tilt-body 6-25 K100 Engine details 6 cyl 2-cycle, 2.4 liter hs-700 4 cyl, 2-stroke m115j 4-cyl, 2-stroke limbach L 275E piston f&s/shrick sf2-350s piston 2-stroke 2-cyl,2-stroke heavy fuel piston power (hp) Wt(lb) Payload(lb) Endurance(h) Ceiling(ft) Comments 105 1,050 200 20 25,000 496 165 15 15,000 2,100 150 25 20,000 138 10 4 3,000 22 5 1.2 5,000 50 489 110 8 19,600 309 66 2 9,800 117 46 5 5,000 84 32 3 5,000 320 66 2 6,600 66 18 1 6,600 170 40 4 10,000 242 55 4 9,800 318 66 7 9,800 265 55 5 11,500 265 66 5 11,500 62 11 0.5 9,600 330 66 3.5 13,000 298 77 5 13,100 298 77 5 13,100 Follow-on to Crecerelle 70 573 99 8 16,400 265 154 3 9,800 6.7 68 7 3 2,000 198 59 3 10,000 220 50 3 12,000 45.6 330 50 4 12,000 2-stroke 100cc 100cc 2-stroke wae-342 2-stroke dual 4-stroke, 2-cyl 25 4-cycle, 4 cyl turbocharged rotax 914 turbocharged twin piston sachs sf-150 piston 100 samara/trud p-032 piston wae-342 piston 25 4 cyl, 2-stroke gobler-hirth f-31 piston limbach L 275E piston 48 bh88 aettow quadra 200cc piston wae-342 piston 50 cc petrol/oil 2-stroke 6.2 meggit plc 342 cc, 2-cycle,2-cyl twin cyl, 75 cc 20stroke herbrandson dyad 290 27 rotax 914 3-stage turbocharge .061 cu in 2-stroke 150 cc twin cyl, 2-stroke 10 rotax 914 double turbocharged rotax 914 single turbocharged 100 100 rotax 912 4-stroke turbocharged rotax 914 turbocharged diesel rotax 582 2-stroke 24 cc fuel injected mogas super tigre da-150 piston 80 4.5 17 herbrandson dyad 290 25.5 246 cc liquid cooled, 2-stroke 21 hirth 2706 r05 piston 65 2-stroke aerrow 13 2-stroke benzene 2-cycle 1 cyl, 2-stroke 6.7x2 quadra-arrow 200 2-stroke d-star diesel rotax hirth f-30 75cc 2-stroke hirth f30a26ak rotax 914 uk rotax recipricating piston 50 110 55 105 105 120 26.8 12 6 7,200 77 55 90 287 386 286 2,100 340 2,400 1,600 350 820 79 3,300 100 463 440 285 286 220 529 44 507 595 250 275 298 364 110 20 kg 185 386 20 kg 22 kg 4 kg 320 77 280 500 2,500 91 20 200 75 133 2150 2150 1,125 1,350 2,250 650 650 28 25 100 1,764 220 40 1,000 145 620 992 40 93 730 673 1,750 148 194 550 617 661 121 132 80 22 20 40 140 150 75 383 1,100 1,100 992 2250 5500 168 75 60 1,200 12 10 18 55 88 77 150 33 550 150 84 139 22 500 18 77 110 60 50 55 88 13 66 86 60 55 30 40 10 110 50 18 40 60 110 15 3 50 30 50 220 220 140 200 450 50 50 5 4 12 75 45 8 150 20 40 265 10 18 220 175 650 44 66 110 110 110 20 44 13 5 6 20 30 25 20 57 200 160 1 6 3 6 9 16 16 25 6 50 11 7 14 1 36 5 6 12 2 2 3 8 2 7 5 5 14 8 12 5 2 4 5 2 2 0.5 5 3 4 6 24 2 2 4 3 3 24 24 40 40 40 20 20 36 1 3 24 6 2 4 5 4 2.5 2 1 3.5 1 1 0.5 1.5 1 4 0.75 4 3 2 0.5 0.5 0.3 1 4 2 4 5 8 2 2.5 40 20 3.5 2 0.5 25,000 12000 12,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 20,000 20,000 15,000 30,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 6,600 30,000 15,000 11,500 6,600 9,800 8,600 16,400 18,000 4,900 13,120 14,700 8,000 16,000 20,000 20,000 12,000 Teamed with TRW (prime) Teamed with IST Teamed with Dornier Teamed with IAI 92 unleaded + 5% oil Teamed with DERA and Tasuma 14000 Built by Tasuma 8,000 13,000 9,800 15,000 15,000 65,000 10,000 1,000 5,000 2,000 15,000 65,000 45,000 20,000 23,000 26,000 20,000 20,000 13,000 5,000 16,300 65,000 16,000 5,000 5,000 2,000 9,800 6,700 1,600 9,800 6,600 2,000 2,000 300 6000 9,800 16,400 8200 1,000 2,000 10,000 1,200 7,500 7,500 7,000 18,000 5,000 15,000 20,000 12,000 2000 6000 25000 20000 13000 5000 6000 Teamed with Northrop Grumman Ryan Tractor version Teamed with Mi-Tex Variant of the Exdrone One UAV for NASA ERAST One UAV for DoE / CIRPAS Half-Scale Pioneer Trainer Helicopter Helicopter Helicopter Helicopter Helicopter Helicopter Helicopter Helicopter; with Schweizer Helicopter Helicopter Helicopter Helicopter Helicopter Helicopter Autogyro No Tail; Counter-Rotating Rotors Helicopter Helicopter Helicopter Helicopter Rotor-in-Wing Tilt Wing; with Scaled Composites Tilt Wing; with Scaled Composites Helicopter; with Schweizer Helicopter; with American Sportcopter vtol vtol type C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C V V V V V V V V V V V V V V V V V V V V V V V V V V V C Devel. Stage Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Underway Complete Complete Underway Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Underway Complete Complete Underway Complete Complete Underway Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Underway Underway Complete Complete Underway Complete Complete Complete Complete Underway Underway Complete Complete Underway Complete Complete Complete Underway Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Underway Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Underway Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Underway Underway Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Underway Complete Complete Complete Complete Complete Underway Complete Complete Complete Underway Underway Complete Complete Complete Underway Complete Complete Underway Complete Production Operation Underway Deployed Underway Underway Limited Limited Underway Limited Underway Deployed Underway Deployed Underway Complete Deployed Underway Complete Limited Deployed Underway Deployed Limited Underway Underway Limited Limited Deployed Underway Deployed Deployed Deployed Complete Deployed Complete Underway Underway Underway Deployed Limited Deployed Deployed Underway Deployed Limited Underway Limited Underway Deployed Complete Limited Underway Limited Complete Limited Complete Limited Limited Limited Limited Limited Complete Complete Underway Underway Underway Underway Underway Limited Deployed Limited Deployed Deployed Deployed Limited Underway Deployed Limited Limited Limited Limited Limited Limited Complete Underway Deployed Limited Span(ft) Comm Radius(nm) 23.1 110 16.5 32 50 80 11.5 27 8.8 3 19.7 81 14.1 54 13.1 45 13.1 27 13.4 54 11.5 4 8.7 27 11.2 54 11.2 81 11.8 81 11.8 81 8.5 8 11.2 108 10.8 49 7.2 54 13.8 81 6.6 81 13.8 11 13.2 27 10.5 27 11.8 54 33.8 7.9 9.8 13.5 16.8 19.7 16.4 50 15.4 54.5 29.2 16.3 23.7 13.2 32.8 11.8 15.5 19.7 10.7 10.7 16.1 23 9.9 15.8 18.8 16.5 12.5 16.8 19.7 13.8 344 54 5 24 108 108 50 80 27 125 144 54 65 27 108 27 27 216 27 54 32 108 27 81 54 27 54 81 81 27 18.1 32 2.4 m 3.6 m 2.9 m 2.75m 2.8 m Underway Complete Underway Underway Limited Limited Limited Rotor = Rotor = Rotor = Rotor = Rotor = Rotor = Rotor = 10.5 8.2 12.8 13 65 8.2 8 12 10.2 12.7 55.3 55.3 35.3 42 48.8 OTH 24 24 9.5 OTH 3 7 65.8 11 8.5 27 10 19 22 6.0 6.2 15.7 16 Rotor = 10 Rotor = 10 Rotor = 16 Rotor = 17 Rotor = 16 Rotor = 9.8 Rotor = 7.8 Rotor = 5.3 Rotor = 5 Rotor = 5.1 Rotor = 7.7 Rotor =8.5 Span = 6.5 Span = 9.8 Span = 16.1 Rotor = 27 Rotor =23 27 16 27 108 200 48 1 27 9 120 300 250 250 250 135 135 5 31 150 200 5 27 10 81 54 3 16 15 5 1 0.1 0.1 3 27 0.1 14 54 15 5 1 2 1 27 108 108 110 120 Current UAV Ceiling/Endurance Options Data from: http://www.uavforum.com/vehicles/capabilities.htm Bolton 8/23/06 Current UAV Ceiling/Payload Options Data from: http://www.uavforum.com/vehicles/capabilities.htm Bolton 8/23/06 High altitude, long endurance aircraft options 120000 100000 Helios 80000 Maximum Altitude (ft) 60000 Pathfinder + ER-2 WB-57 Citation 40000 Global Hawk Proteus Altus II Egrett DC-8 Twin Otter 20000 Altair Altus I P-3 GNAT 750 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 Endurance (hr) 30 35 40 Piloted aircraft UAV Bolton 8/23/06 45 Other UAV-related resources “Civil UAV Capability Assessment” draft September 2005; NASA POC: Cheryl Yuhas NASA/NOAA/DOE Collaboration on UAVs/UAS in Climate Change and Weather Research Office of the Secretary of Defense, “Unmanned Aerial Vehicles Roadmap” “U.S. Naval Aerial Vehicles Roadmap” “The U.S. Air Force Remotely Piloted Aircraft and Unmanned Aerial Vehicle Strategic Vision” Bolton 8/23/06 Issues in UAV use -- Access Airspace access • UNITE/Access 5 • UVS International “Global Access Initiative” • Recent FAA action • RTCA standards activity (initially “sense and avoid” and command, control, and communication) • Center for General Aviation Research (UAS Detect, Sense, and Avoid; Regulation Study on Commercial UAS Vehicle Design) Access to aircraft • DoD “dual use” (e.g., USAF Predators for disaster response) • NOAA fleet (?); NASA/NOAA/DOE Collaboration • Commercial supplier (manufacturer or 3rd party) Access to RF spectrum • Autonomy and improved spectrum management help Bolton 8/23/06 Issues in UAV use -- Costs Cost elements • Acquisition (airframe, ground station, payload, spares) • Operational (fuel, maintenance, staffing e.g, 3 for Proteus, Egrett, Twin Otter vs 6-7 or so for Gnat/Altus) • Payload integration (ca $100K-$250K) • Fixed/ground assets (moving away from “R/C model airplane” mode and toward more autonomy can reduce ground assets and staffing) • Transportation of aircraft, ground facilities, and personnel Cost experience • Operational experience/insurance (“Altus-class” UAV experience resulted in $5K/flight hour for insurance about 10 years ago • Experience with existing “Predator-class” UAVs suggests operational costs of $10K to $30K/flight hour Occupied aircraft are mature and have well developed infrastructure Bolton 8/23/06 Issues in UAV use -- Reliability UAVs have had a reputation for lower reliability • Military legacy • Non-aerospace components and systems for low cost • “Single thread” designs • Reduced structural margins for improved performance (esp. high altitude, long endurance) Reliability is improving • Larger market enables more developed components • Increased use of redundancy • Improved designs and materials • The market demands improved reliability -- at affordable cost For complex scientific missions, the cost of the payload can equal or exceed the cost of the UAV Bolton 8/23/06 Trends Increased development funding by DoD (total funding approx. $1.6B FY06; $3.0B FY08) Development directions by U.S. DoD • Larger and smaller • Stealth • Longer endurance • Perhaps higher altitude • Perhaps extreme endurance (e.g., airships) • UCAV • Optionally piloted combat aircraft Adoption for DHS and law enforcement missions • Border patrol • Coast Guard (coastal security and environmental monitoring) • Disaster response (FAA process to approve USAF Predator flights) Some of this could be advantageous for civilian applications; however, costs may continue to be an issue Bolton 8/23/06 Trends (continued) Although the majority of development funding is by DoD, there are important developments for other applications. For example: Liquid hydrogen for long endurance • AeroVironment “Global Observer” (demo flights at Yuma, AZ 5/26/06, 6/2/06) LH2 fuel, fuel cell, electric motors/propellers; full-scale Global Observer designed for 250’ wingspan, 65,000’, 1000 lb payload, 7 to 10 day endurance Global Observer Demo prototype 50’ wingspan Mission objectives: • Persistent, global, near-space loitering capability for defense and homeland security • Low cost, rapidly deployable telecommunications infrastructure and GPS augmentation • Hurricane/storm tracking, weather monitoring, and wildfire detection/support • Environmental monitoring, agriculture optimization, and aerial imaging/mapping • Boeing LH2 advanced concept (piston engine/propeller) Advanced solar electric - • Microchip Technology “SoLong” solar electric, 48 hour flight, June 2005 extensive use of on-board processing to sense and control power system (9-phase motor controller, motor pulse shaping, battery monitor and control, solar cell output monitoring) Continuing interest in “swarms” - will real applications emerge? Bolton 8/23/06 SoLong 15.6’ wingspan, 25 lbs Trends (continued) Renewed interest in airships • Lighter than air vehicles have been mentioned frequently - mostly plans at this point • Potential advantages are very long endurance and low cost: Satellite UAV $/payload lb/hr $1,000-$4,000 $300-$1,000 Airship $2-$5 • Two candidates currently being developed: Bolton 8/23/06 Integrated Sensor as Structure (ISIS) High Altitude Airship (HAA) DARPA Solar electric/regenerative fuel cell 1 year endurance 70,000 ft altitude Prototype 2010; operational 2018 U.S. Army Missile Defense Agency 2,000 lb payload Solar electric/battery 6 month endurance 60,000 ft altitude Prototype in 2010 Trends (continued) Special or limited production aircraft Scaled Composites Proteus, White Knight Proteus 1 built 10 hrs at 55,000’ Grob G600 optionally piloted aircraft Based on Grob G180 business jet & experience with Egrett and Strato 2C White Knight 1 built G600 17 hrs endurance 65,000’ 2400 lb payload G850 Strato 2C 1 built 8 hrs at 50,000 - 75,000’ Egrett 6 built 15 hours at 48,000’ Bolton 8/23/06 Trends (continued) Very Light Jets ? Adam A700 Design Manufacturer Diamond D-Jet Seats Engines Eclipse 500 Max. CruiseMax. Range Cost Sold Certification Prototypes built and undergoing flight testing Eclipse 500 Citation Mustang Adam A700 AdamJet Diamond D-Jet Eclipse Aviation Cessna Adam Aircraft Industries Diamond Aircraft Aviation Technology Group Israeli Aircraft Industries ATG Javelin Spectrum Aero Model 33 Spectrum Aeronautical Excel-Jet Sport-Jet Excel-Jet Honda HA-420 HondaJet Honda 6 6 7 5 2 9 5 6-8 2x PW610F 2x PW615F 2x Williams FJ33 1x Williams FJ33-4 375 knots 340 knots 340 knots 315 knots 1,395 nm 1,300 nm 1,200 nm 1,350 nm $1.49 million $2.62 million $2.28 million $1.38 million 2,400 240 282 125 26-Jul-06 2006 2006 early 2008 2x Williams FJ33 530 knots 2x Williams FJ33-4 415 knots 1x Williams FJ33-4 340 knots 2x GE Honda HF118 420 knots 1,200 nm 2,000 nm 1,000 nm 1,100 nm $2.80 million $3.65 million $1.00 million > 100 early 2008 Q1 2008 early 2008 one-off-production announced $2.85 million $2.10 million $3.00 million mid 2008 early 2008 late 2007 Currently under development Embraer Phenom 100 Epic Jet Vantage Jet Bolton 8/23/06 Embraer Epic Aircraft Eviation Jets 6-8 2x PW617F 7 2x Williams FJ33-4 10 2x Williams FJ44-1 380 knots Å1,300 nm 390 knots 1,600 nm 424 knots 1,300 nm Summary of the UAV current situation Substantial investment by U.S. DoD is driving development • High cost, designed for military applications As UAV systems mature, there is the potential for reduced cost There are many UAV systems now available from US and other countries for military and civilian applications (proper selection of UAV can help manage costs Airspace access is an issue -- largely risk management • Operating rules (e.g., “see and avoid”) • Certification of airframes and operators • Perception of public and aviation community For now, UAVs should be used for missions needing their unique capabilities (human not at risk, long endurance) Bolton 8/23/06