Advancing the University Academic Plan Report to Faculty Councils: Fall 2013 Rhonda Lenton, Provost & Vice President Academic and 1 Gary Brewer, Vice President Finance & Administration Outline 1) External Context 2) Successes 3) Challenges (VPFA) York University Budget 4) Moving the University Academic Plan Forward 5) Academic and Administrative Prioritization 2 1. External: Ontario Post-secondary Education Continuing demand for higher education Increasing Higher Education costs & scrutiny of tuition fees Emphasis on differentiation, innovation & productivity Strategic Mandate Discussions 3 Growth in Student Demand for Baccalaureate Education: 2009 - 2025 David Trick, Tyndale Presentation, March 19, 2013 4 Per-student revenues compared to perstudent costs 200 190 180 Per-student costs (~4-5%) 170 160 150 140 130 120 110 100 David Trick, Tyndale Presentation, March 19, 2013 5 CPI inflation (2%) Per-student revenue (~1-2%) Risks to Higher Education Accessibility Risks Sustainability Educational quality e.g., pitting teaching vs research 6 Government Responses Outcomes-Based Funding Approach Credit Transfer Technology Enhanced Learning Productivity and Innovation Fund Differentiation 7 Competitor Responses Alternate sources of revenue Strategic Enrolment Management Improved accountability Public Relations & Communications Exploiting technology Enhancing innovation Diversifying complement Budget cuts Budget efficiency measures 8 2. How Are We Doing? Numerous Successes on Priorities Academic Quality Student Success Community Engagement Enhancing Teaching and Learning e.g., Teaching Commons, AIF Research Intensification e.g., SRP, CRC Strengthening Interdisciplinarity and Comprehensiveness e.g. new programs Enriching Student Experience e.g., YGS, First Year, PRASE Building Community and Extending Global Reach e.g., ONCAT initiatives, bridging programs Promoting Effective Governance 9 GPA of Entering Undergraduates 2006/07 to 2012/13 Grade Distribution of Full-time Year 1 Secondary School Registrants 35.0% 30.0% 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% 70-74% 2006/07 2010/11 10 75-79% 80-84% 2007/08 2012/13 85-89% 90-94% 2008/09 2012/13 Also continue to strengthen GPA: in 70-74% category over time, although not as strong in 85% - 94% last year. Source: OIRA GE 95% 2009/10 Cumulative Change in Tenure Stream Faculty Complement: 2002-03 to 2013-14 (not including Librarians) Significant complement recovery facilitated by strategic funds 11 Source: Office of VPA&P 3. Challenges We Face Reputation Enrolment Uncertainty regarding MTCU directions Ability to continue to advance UAP 12 Financial: gap between revenue and expenditure is unsustainable Financial Gap Annual Budget Cuts MTCU Efficiency Measures 2013-14 Expenditures exceed revenues Financial downturn 2008 New Tuition Fee Framework Budget Presentation 13 Budget (VPFA) 14 Review of Budget Allocations – 2006/07 to 2015/16 In order to provide additional context to the operating budget allocations made over the past several years, a summary was prepared showing budget allocations from the June 2004 budget to the June 2012 budget. The summary shows the growth in revenues and costs for fiscal years 2006/07 through 2015/16: Total expense growth over that period is projected at $208.8 M (primarily through tuition fee increases and enrolment growth) The single largest increase in expenses is for annual compensation increases and pension deficit special payments ($173.4 M) The results are shown in following chart (and more detail in the Senate presentation Appendix). 15 Office of the Vice President Finance and Administration Revenue/Expense Increase – 2006/07 to 2015/16 $350 Other $300 $250 Institutional $200 Facilities/Capital/Energy Management Student Financial Support $100 Academic $50 Compensation ($100) ($150) 16 Cumulative Total of Annual Budget Cuts: $483.2 M Office of the Vice President Finance and Administration 6 20 15 -1 5 20 14 -1 4 20 13 -1 3 20 12 -1 2 20 11 -1 1 20 10 -1 0 20 09 -1 9 20 08 -0 8 20 07 -0 ($50) 7 $0 20 06 -0 $ millions $150 Budget Cuts Revenue Increase Budget Plan 2012-2016 (Approved June 2012) (in $millions) Budget Plan 2012-2016 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 Revenue 752.5 766.7 782.1 801.2 Expenditures 749.3 774.5 788.2 793.9 Annual Surplus/(Deficit) 3.2 (7.8) (6.1) 7.3 Carryforward Surplus/(Deficit) 0.2 3.4 (4.4) (10.5) Cumulative Surplus/(Deficit) 3.4 (4.4) (10.5) (3.2) 3.50% 3.50% 3.50% Budget Cut 17 Office of the Vice President Finance and Administration 3.25% Pension Valuation – Going Concern and Solvency Deficits ($ millions) Going Concern Deficiency Solvency Deficiency 2007 $44.1 $27.8 2008 $265.6 $281.4 Not filed 2009 $228.4 $192.7 Not filed 2010 $217.2 $198.8 Filed in 2011 2011 $283.0 $387.0 Not filed 2012 $219.5 $354.0 * Preliminary numbers Status Filed in 2008 *Valuation assumptions still being finalized. Operating budget has incorporated special pension payments as follows: • $ 5M in 2010/11 • Increasing to $15M in 2011/12 • Increasing to $25M in 2012/13 • Increasing to $34M in 2013/14 Note: These special payment amounts are in addition to regular annual pension contributions of about $40M. 18 Office of the Vice President Finance and Administration Emerging Budget Outlook - Summary • Revenue outlook is significantly worse than June 2012 Plan: – Reduced operating grants from MTCU efficiency targets - $2.8M / $5.5M – Reduced interest income - $1 to $3M (lower projected cash balances) – Reduced revenue from fee increases - $4 to $16M (2013 gov’t announcement on fees provides 3% increases vs. 4.5% assumed in June 2012 plan) – Further revenue constraints from emerging enrolment challenges – Domestic enrolment plan reduced through planning period – Further international growth can only partially offset domestic drop • Cost changes to from the June 2012 Plan include: – Benefit cost escalation - $2 to $3M – Science/Engineering budget rebasing - $2.5M – Some offset to cost pressures by reducing projected compensation escalation and lower projected energy costs (due to success of energy mgt program and lower gas prices) 19 Office of the Vice President Finance and Administration REVENUE Changes – from June 2012 Plan $ million Enrolment Growth Domestic Reductions from June 2012: 400 to 700 FFTEs) International June 2012 Plan growth: ( +250 FFTEs in 2013/14 onwards) Additional growth: ( +100 FFTEs in 2013/14 onwards) Fee Increases Domestic - U/G International - Regular fee Increase - Municipal tax recovery increase - "Head tax" recovery increase Government Grant Adjustments Policy Levers International Enrolment Taxes Other Interest Income Total Revenue Change - increase/(decrease) 20 Office of the Vice President Finance and Administration 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 (5.00) (7.00) (6.00) (4.00) In Plan 1.50 4.00 1.50 In Plan 1.50 In Plan 1.50 (3.70) In Plan 0.26 0.90 (2.54) (7.70) In Plan 0.28 1.80 (5.62) (11.70) In Plan 0.30 2.70 (8.70) (3.70) 2.50 0.32 3.60 2.72 (2.80) (1.16) (3.96) (5.50) (2.08) (7.58) (5.50) (3.00) (8.50) (5.50) (3.92) (9.42) (1.00) (1.00) (2.00) (2.00) (3.00) (3.00) (3.00) (3.00) (11.00) (20.70) (24.70) (8.20) EXPENSE Changes – from June 2012 Plan $ million Academic Investments 2013-14 VPA/P - domestic growth impact (60% share) (3.00) VPA/P - International Fee/growth increase share (72% share) 1.08 Tuition-set-aside - Student support In Plan Faculty of Science/Engineering- Budget Rebasing 2.50 0.58 Compensation/Benefit Compensation In plan Employee Benefit Cost Inflation 3.00 Pension Special Payments In Plan 3.00 Strategic Investments Marketing Campaign Restructuring Fund 3.00 Copyright Office 0.35 Energy - energy mgt prgm/reduced cost (1.80) 1.55 Total Expenditure Change - increase/(decrease) 21 Office of the Vice President Finance and Administration 5.13 2014-15 (4.20) 1.08 In Plan 2.50 (0.62) 2015-16 (3.60) 1.08 In Plan 2.50 (0.02) 2016-17 (2.40) 5.76 0.80 2.50 6.66 (2.00) 2.00 In Plan - (5.00) In Plan (5.00) 10.00 In Plan 10.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.35 (1.80) (0.95) 0.35 (1.80) (0.95) 0.35 (1.80) (0.95) (1.57) (5.97) 15.71 Budget Plan 2013-2017 – Assuming ATB Cuts (to balance) (in $millions) 2013-14 Annual Surplus/(Deficit) - June 2012 Plan Revenue Changes (June 2013) Expenditure Changes (June 2013) Revised Annual Surplus/( Deficit) - before cut adjustments Budget Cuts: 2013-14 increase by 3% 2014-15 increase by 2% 2015-16 increase by 0.5% 2016-17 No Cut Total Adjustment to Budget Cuts Annual Surplus/(Deficit) - June 2013 Plan Prior Year Carryforward Revised Cumulative Surplus (Deficit) Budget Cuts 22 Office of the Vice President Finance and Administration 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 (7.8) (6.2) 7.3 7.3 (11.0) (20.7) (24.7) (8.2) 5.1 (1.6) (6.0) 15.7 (23.9) (25.3) (11.4) (16.6) 12.6 12.6 8.4 12.6 8.4 2.1 12.6 8.4 2.1 - 12.6 21.0 23.1 23.1 (11.3) (4.3) 11.7 6.5 3.4 (7.9) (12.2) (0.5) (7.9) (12.2) (0.5) 6.0 6.50% 5.50% 4.00% 0.00% EXPENSE Changes – additional targeted cuts • Rather than responding to the deterioration in our financial outlook through increases to the 3.5% budget cuts already incorporated into the June 2012 Plan, an alternative plan update is being proposed. • This proposed budget plan update identifies a number of specific targeted cuts to certain administrative/central budget provisions, in order to assist in balancing the budget over the next four years. • These targeted cuts have potentially adverse consequences – and are not sustainable indefinitely. Since they cannot be continued indefinitely, they are not base cuts – and therefore the underlying structural budget issues remain. • The targeted cuts outlined below provide a temporary 4-year window to address the serious budget issues facing the University. Targeted Expense Reductions Defer Other Post Employ't Benefit Contributions Defer Additional Sinking Fund Contributions Reduce Building Maintenance Funding (4 years) Reduce Energy Management program base funding Reduce Insurance funding provision 23 Office of the Vice President Finance and Administration 2013-14 7.00 6.00 2.00 1.00 0.50 16.50 2014-15 7.00 6.00 2.00 1.00 0.50 16.50 2015-16 7.00 6.00 2.00 1.00 0.50 16.50 2016-17 7.00 6.00 2.00 1.00 0.50 16.50 Budget Plan 2013-2017 – (applying targeted expense reductions) 2013-14 Annual Surplus/(Deficit) - June 2012 Plan Revenue Changes (June 2013) Expenditure Changes (June 2013) Revised Annual Surplus/( Deficit) - before targeted cuts Additional Targeted Cuts (June 2013) Budget Cuts: 2013-14 maintain 3.5% 2014-15 maintain 3.5% 2015-16 maintain 3.5% 2016-17 Cut of 2% Total Adjustment to Budget Cuts Annual Surplus/(Deficit) - June 2013 Plan Prior Year Carryforward Revised Cumulative Surplus (Deficit) Budget Cuts 24 Office of the Vice President Finance and Administration 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 (7.8) (6.2) 7.3 7.3 (11.0) (20.7) (24.7) (8.2) 5.1 (1.6) (6.0) 15.7 (23.9) (25.3) (11.4) (16.6) 16.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 - - - 8.4 - - - 8.4 (7.4) (8.8) 5.1 8.3 3.4 (4.0) (12.8) (7.7) (4.0) (12.8) (7.7) 0.6 3.50% 3.50% 3.50% 2.00% Divisional Budget Summary Division Actual 2011/12 Budget 2012/13 Draft Year-End 2012/13 Actuals Comments (in $millions) President's Division 1.1 0.9 1.4 Positive to Plan VP Advancement 1.7 1.3 2.3 Positive to Plan VP Research 3.0 2.3 3.6 Strong Results in ORU's VP Finance & Administration 9.0 5.6 10.7 Positive to Plan Education 9.3 6.6 8.2 Positive to Plan Environmental Studies 1.6 1.1 1.2 On Plan Fine Arts -4.4 -7.9 -6.5 Positive to Plan Glendon Slightly Negative to Plan VP Academic Faculty -3.7 -4.3 -4.6 Graduate Studies 4.0 4.3 4.4 On Plan Health 3.7 1.5 3.5 Exceeded Enrolment Targets -14.7 -23.0 -20.2 0.8 0.0 0.4 Osgoode Hall Law School -3.0 -1.9 -0.4 Schulich School of Business -7.5 -7.6 -10.2 Negative to Plan Science/ Engineering -3.5 -8.3 -6.2 Positive to Plan YUELI 7.6 9.5 9.4 On Plan VPA&P 16.9 12.6 12.2 On Plan 5.1 12.1 2.6 -14.9 6.2 -2.5 Positive to Plan Liberal Arts & Professional Studies Libraries AVP Students VPA Total 25 Office of the Vice President Finance and Administration Positive to Plan On Plan PDP Results Positive to Plan Positive to Plan 4. Implications Challenge is how to best advance the University Academic Plan within this context Faculties in-year deficits continue to rise - expected to average about $25 - $30m in next couple of years Projected cumulative budget cuts between 2006/07 and 2015/16 is $483.2 million Unsustainable 26 Immediate Next Steps • Significant curtailment of major capital projects without funding in hand • Align fundraising plan with priorities • Finalize and transition to new budget model • Identify and complete in-flight projects from PRASE, SEM and AIF that will demonstrably advance UAP 27 Moving the Plan Forward More fundamental change is required to realize strategic vision in UAP Will require: Reductions in expenses New revenue Strategic investment Challenge is how to best identify opportunities Process must rely on: evidence-based, collegial and transparent decision-making “strategic planning modalities that promote and permit tough choices” 28 Five Year Outlook Launch an academic and administrative prioritization initiative Integrate AAP and PRASE as one exercise Align all plans to optimally advance UAP and support strategic vision in SMA Respond to Employment Engagement Survey 29 Summary of Major Initiatives May 13 Sept 13 Jan 14 May 14 Sept 14 Jan 15 May 15 Sept 15 Sept 16 Sept 17 Advance PRASE, AIF and SEM in-flight initiatives central to UAP and SMA Complete Final SHARP Budget SHARP Shadow budget year Expand PRASE to Academic & Administrative Prioritization initiative Year 1 – Data Collection - Report due end of June SHARP Transition Period 2015 – 2018 AAP Year 2 – 4: Response Period AAP Year 5 evaluation Align all plans as we move forward AAP informs enrolment, budget, complement, fund-raising and capital plans Consultations on new UAP New UAP 2015 - 2020 Four year period to balanced budget requires innovation in efficiency measures and new revenue generation Employee Engagement Response 30 Potential for second survey Balanced budget 5. What is Academic & Administrative Prioritization? AAP is a structured assessment process that reviews and ranks an organization’s programs and services in order of priority according to a consistent set of criteria. It allows an institution to: identify strengths (what is being done well) identify challenges facilitate transparent and evidence-based decision-making on opportunities for new directions and opportunities for change. 31 What is included? A program or service refers to a collection of activities that consume resources including: academic programs student services administrative functions Examples: undergraduate programs graduate programs research programs IT, Human Resources, facilities Level of specificity to be determined e.g., degree program discrete enough to permit real analysis 32 Why do It? There are at least four reasons for York to pursue AAP now: To fully realize the University Academic Plan & SMA To develop evidence-based approach to our Strategic Mandate Agreement To assess efficiency of shared service programs To ensure sustainability of the University 33 AAP: Principles Advancing York’s mission and University Academic Plan Transparent Collegial Evidence-based 34 Typical Criteria used to Evaluate Criteria History and expectations of program – why was the program developed? Has it adapted to adjust to context? External demand for the program by prospective students, employers, the community, government now and in the future? Internal demand by students, employees, or other university programs/services now and in the future? Quality/qualifications of inputs – students, faculty, staff, technology, space, facilities/equipment, etc. Quality of outcomes or deliverables such as teaching awards, grant dollars, student retention and graduation rates, comparators to provincial benchmarks, etc Size, scope and productivity – how many services are offered? how many are served? measures of productivity? Revenue and other resources associated with the program or with the base budget – current process improvements underway to streamline operations Costs and other expenses as well as specific challenges Impact, justification, and essentiality – what are the benefits to the institution? The mission? UAP? Opportunity analysis – what opportunities exist for strengthening the program or 35 service? for efficiencies? for collaboration? Weight AAP: Process AAP Steering Group oversees process Programs complete template; comments from the relevant Dean/administrator Two task forces analyze academic and administrative submissions in relation to criteria Submit reports to President and VPs Collegial review and implementation 36 Critical Path for AAP in 2013 - 2014 June – October 2013 Develop AAP plan including: • Community consultation and communication strategy • Program lists • Criteria and templates • Data for templates 37 November 2013 – February 2014 Distribute templates Programs complete and submit templates Task Forces established and trained March – June 2014 Task Forces analyse submissions and prepare reports Discussion • Questions, initial thoughts… For more details: See the May 2013 report of the VicePresidents to Senate: http://www.yorku.ca/secretariat/senate/agenda/20122013/documents/2013-May/20130523Presentation.pdf 38 Appendix 39 Successes: Enhancing Teaching and Learning Strategic Priorities: • • • • Leadership in eLearning Experiential education Student learning outcomes Curricular innovation Successes: • Academic Innovation Fund supports systematic approach to innovation • eLearning Strategic Report • Participation in Ontario University Online Consortium • Teaching Commons supports teaching development • New leadership in continuing and professional education 40 Successes: Research Intensification Strategic Priorities: • • • • • Enhanced research reputation Strategic Research Plan and emerging opportunities Enhanced ORUs Outreach and partnerships locally and internationally Graduate students and program profile Successes: • • • • • • 41 Strategic Research Plan 2013-2018: "Building on Strength“ Increase in external funding despite flat Tri-Council funding levels New Canada Research Chairs Implementation of new Senate policy on Organized Research Units York ranked 4th in Ontario on research impact Launch of Innovation York Successes: Enriching Student Experience Strategic Priorities: • Student quality • Transition to university/first year experience • Student engagement and success Successes: • Enhanced York Graduate Scholarship to attract high quality graduate students • AIF projects focused on first year experience (e.g., YUStart) • PRASE projects: • • Academic advising dashboard Active academic calendar • Scholarship program under review • Increasing GPA on track in most Faculties • Renewal of full-time complement 42 Successes: Building Community & Extending Global Reach Strategic Priorities: • Community engagement • International partnerships and students • Student mobility Successes: • Expanded outreach locally and internationally • Expanded Experiential Education in many Faculties - institutional strategy to be developed in 2013/2014 • On-going leadership in access and student mobility: college-transfer credit ONCAT projects bridging programs (TYP, IEP) cross-registration proposal York-Seneca partnership/York-Ryerson MOU • Attraction of international students to York 43 Successes: Strengthening Interdisciplinarity and Comprehensiveness Strategic Priorities: • Coordinated approach to enrolment planning (SEM) • Expansion of health, engineering, sciences, professional programs in support of increased comprehensiveness Successes: • Strategic Enrolment Management in partnership with Faculties to achieve enrolment targets • Growth and program development in targeted areas, e.g., Accounting, Finance, Global Health, Electrical Engineering, Conference Interpreting • Establishment of Lassonde School of Engineering • Expansion of interdisciplinary curriculum building on strengths in liberal arts and professional programs 44