Renewable Energy Context, Scope, Application and Green Business in Bangladesh Professor Dr. Kazi Abdur Rouf Noble International University Senior Research Fellow Faculty of Environmental Studies York University, Canada. Paper presented at the Association for Non-profit and Social Economy Research (ANSER) Conference 2015 Ottawa, Canada June 3-5, 2015 Why Renewable Energy Necessary • Energy is inevitable for development and its demand is increasing day by day • Energy from fossil fuel (coals, diesel, kerosene, wood etc.) generates carbon, CO 2 emissions, and green house emissions • Fossil fuel pollute air, and destroy environment resulted global warming • Energy scientists are looking for alternative energy resources uses that are environmentally friendly and good for human being • They are provoking for renewable energy (solar radiation energy, bio gas energy, wind energy, water wave energy, CNG energy and hydropower energy) use • PV technologies produce very small amount of CO2 compared to the emissions from conventional existing fossil fuel energy technologies • RE uses is less harmful to living beings and environment Topic • This paper talks about fossil fuel energy and renewable energy use • Their consequence/impact in the nature and society. Methodology • Author incorporates his working experience with Grameen Shakti (GS) • Collected data from different RE implementing organizations in Bangladesh • During his visit to Bangladesh in 2014-2015. Objectives of the Study • The study explores RE resource sources, scenarios of RE • Identify Demand of Energy • Discern utilization different types of RE programs and use • RE business models and their benefits in Bangladesh. Environmental (CO2) Issues in Bangladesh • Green house gases (CO2 Ch4, and N2O) emitted in burning of different types of fuel lead to air pollution, environmental pollution and global warming. • Gradual increase of global temperature and its consequences affect Bangladesh, risen the sea level of Bay of Bengal. It is because of climate change • Nine warmest years in the 20th century have occurred since 1980 and 1990s were probably the warmest decade of the second millennium (IPCC, 2001). • Fossil fuel energy use, the largest sole source of CO2 emissions and a large contributor of CH4 and N2O emissions, accounted for 81.7 percent of emissions • Earth’s atmosphere receives around 27,000 million tons of CO2 in the recent years • USA is the largest CO2 emitter in the world, which releases 5,729 million tons of CO2 every year with 19.7 million tons of per capita emission • Next CO2 contributor is China releases 3,719 million tons with 2.9 million tons of per capita emission • From 1973 to 2006, the emission of CO2 has increased at a rate of 79.05%. Environmental Issue Table 1: GHG emission factor Source: SWERA, 2007 Item GHG emission factor Kerosene 2.5 ton CO2/ton Wood/straw 1.7 ton CO2/ton Diesel genset 1.3 ton CO2 /MWh Diesel 0.897 ton CO2/MWh Bangladesh grid (natural gas 90%) 0.452 ton CO2/MWh Natural gas 0.452 ton CO2/MWh Hydro, Solar, Wind 0 Government National Energy Policy • First National Policy (NEP) Bangladesh 1996 • Government adopted Private Power Generation Policy • In 1996, import duty and value added tax from solar PV and wind turbines were withdrawn • In April 2004, Bangladesh Energy Regulatory Commission (BERC) was established • NEP 2004 are targeted to provide energy for all • Bring entire country under electrification by the year 2020 (MPEMR, 2004). Renewable Energy Policy • Renewable Energy Program in Bangladesh emphasized on the exploitation of solar, wind, biomass gasification, biogas and hydro energy • Major objectives of the renew able energy policy aim to exploit potential RES • Disseminate RETs in the rural, peri-urban and urban areas • Policy has targeted to develop RES to meet 5% of the total power demand by 2015 and • 10%by the year 2020 (MPEMR, 2008). Table 2: Comparison of World Energy related Data (1973 and 2006) Source: Prepared from International Energy Agency (2008). Category Year 1973 Year 2006 Growth % 19732006 92.00 Primary energy supply 6,115 Mtoe Final energy consumption 4,672 Mtoe 11, 741 Mtoe 8,8084 Mtoe 73.03 Electricity generation 6,116 TWh 18,930 TWh 209.52 Electricity consumption 439 Mtoe 1,347 Mtoe 206.83 CO2 emission 15,640 Mtoe 28,003 Mtoer 79.05 Table-3: CO2 Emission Energy Production in Bangladesh Source: IEA, 2003 Description Quantity of emission Energy-related Carbon Dioxide Emissions 32.9 million tons Per capita energy consumption 4.0 million Btu Per capita carbon dioxide emissions 0.23 tons Table-4: Production and consumption of Natural Gas in Bangladesh Source: BBS, 2006. Category Gas Production Gas (109cft) Consumption (109cft) Electricity Captive Fertilizer Industrial Tea-garden Brick field Commercial Domestic CNG Total Consumption 2000-01 372.16 2001-02 391.53 2002-03 421.16 2003-04 454.59 2004-05 486.75 175.27 0 88.43 47.99 0.65 0.44 4.06 31.85 0 348.69 190.03 0 78.78 53.56 0.72 0.53 4.25 36.74 0 364.61 190.54 0 95.89 63.76 0.74 0.52 4.56 44.80 0.23 401.04 199.40 32.03 92.80 46.49 0.82 0.12 4.83 49.22 1.94 427.65 211.02 37.87 93.97 51.68 0.80 0 4.85 52.49 3.62 456.30 Table-5: Electricity Generation and Consumption in Bangladesh (2005-2006) Source: SWERA Item Quantity Installation Capacity 5,275MW Average demand 4,300-4,500MW Average generation 3,200-3,300MW Per capita generation 167 kWh Per capita consumption 136 kWh Table-6: Estimates of Energy Supplied by Traditional Biomass Fuels (‘000 tons of coal equivalent) Source: BBS (Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics, 2006) Fuels Cow-dung Jute stick Rice straw Rice hulls Bagasse Firewood Twigs and Leaves Other wastes Total 1999-00 2441 922 1375 2810 314 1166 1325 2000-01 2471 966 1429 2810 340 1166 1378 2001-02 2471 1010 1409 2854 366 1219 1431 2002-03 2471 966 12418 2898 366 1219 1484 2003-04 2502 922 1218 2854 392 1272 1537 1186 1230 1273 1317 1361 11539 11790 12033 12139 12258 Table-7: Renewable Energy Prospects in Bangladesh Source: Alam et al. (2003) RES Type Capacity (up to December’08) Theoretical Potential Wind 1M 2,000 MW Hydro 230 MW 672 MW Solar PV 15 MW approx 50,436 MW Solar Thermal 3,000 m3 20<>106 m2 Biogas .3 million m3 3,675 <>106 m3 Table-8: Targets for RETS Tentative Target for RETs, 2020 and GHG reduction Source: Power Cell, 2006 Resource Expected utilization GHG reduction tons of CO2) Wind 1000 MW 5.0 Solar 300 MW 0.5 Biomass/Hydro 600 MW 0.6 Co-generation 300 MW 0.3 Total Renewable Energy 3200 MW 6.4 (million Table-9 : CO2 reduction using Solar Home System Source: SWERA, 2007 Total No. SHSs Savings of Kerosene in litters/year Tons CO2/year 65,000 19 million 49,000 1,00,000 29 million 75,000 Table-10: IDCOL Program Benefits (2014) Program achievement: 3 million SHS Number of beneficiaries: 13.5 million people Power generation: 150 MW Fossil fuel saving: 216,000 ton/yr CO2 reduction: 503,000 ton/yr Job creation: 60,000 IDCOL investment: USD$ 500 million Source: IDCOL, 2014. Table-11: GS Financial Options Source: Grameen Shakti, 2015. Option Down Payment Instalments Option -1 Option 2 Option-3 15% 36 months Service charge (flat rate) 6% 25% 24 months 4% 15% 36 months (with 36 post dated cheque) 5% Option-4 1005 cash payment with 4% discount Table-12: Programs at a Glance February, 2015 (Source: Grameen Shakti, 2015) Grameen Technology Centre ICS Production Center Number of Upazilas covered Number of villages covered Total beneficiaries Total employees Total installation of SHS Total Number of Improved Cook Stove (ICS) Total biogas plant constructed Total installed power capacity Installation rate Number of trained technicians (woman technicians) Number of trained customers (woman) Future plan- total installation of SHS by 2015 Future plan- biogas plant construction by 2015 Future plan- Improved Cooking Stove construction by 2015 Green Jobs Creation by 2015 34 67 508 Upazila 50,000 villages 17.67 m 11,230 1,583,319 910,204 30,847 63.33 MWp Over 20,000 SHSs/ month 22,822 technicians 839,725 users 2 million 100,000 2 million 100,000 Study Findings (summary) • Study finds Bangladesh has developed a Government managed private apex organization named IDCOL (Infrastructure Development Company) • IDCOL is involved in coordinating, counselling and financing to the RE implementing agencies in Bangladesh • Study discovers Grameen Shakti is the largest RE implementing organization not only in Bangladesh, but also in the world • GS has developed a micro-utility RE financial model for the RE users • IDCOL has disseminated this GS micro-utility RE financial model to the IDCOL partnered RE agencies • RE implementing agencies apply the GS micro-utility financial model in their own programs in Bangladesh. Nabin Udoyktas (Nus) New Entrepreneur RE Business • Young encourages to engage in RE business • Four Nobin Udyoktas have received Nine Hundred Thousand Taka till April, 2015 • NU projects include tailoring, textile business, telecom service, grocery shop, dairy farm etc. • There is a plan to invest 5 million Taka among 20 Nobin Udyoktas (New Entrepreneur) by June, 2014 and • 50 million Taka among 250 Nobin Udyokta by June 2016 Conclusion • RE resources like solar panels, biogas plants, wind pumps etc. are expensive for the low income people of Bangladesh • IDCOL provides subsidies to RE implementing agencies • However, still RE technology use is expensive • RE resources could be less expensive to rural people • RE technologies need further improvement for to not only more handy at the micro level, but also valuable at the economic scale • RE agencies charge more than 20% and above (hide information) that needs to be reduced Thank You Comments/Questions