Finding the Right Financing Mix: The Capital Structure Decision Aswath Damodaran Stern School of Business Aswath Damodaran / Edited by Del Hawley 1 The Only Two Choices for Financing Debt (Leverage) • The essence of debt is that you promise to make fixed payments in the future (interest payments and repaying principal). If you fail to make those payments, you lose control of your business. Equity • With equity, you do get whatever cash flows are left over after you have made debt payments. Aswath Damodaran / Edited by Del Hawley 2 Debt versus Equity Debt Equity Fixed Claim Residual Claim High Priority on Cash Flows Interest is Tax Deductible Lowest Priority on Cash Flows No Tax Break on Dividends Fixed Maturity Infinite Life Aswath Damodaran / Edited by Del Hawley 3 When Is It Debt? Ask 3 Questions: 1. Is the cashflow claim created by this financing a fixed commitment or a residual claim? 2. Is the commitment tax-deductible? 3. If you fail to uphold the commitment, do you lose control of the business? If all three answers are “Yes”, it’s debt. Otherwise, it’s equity or a hybrid. Aswath Damodaran / Edited by Del Hawley 4 Cost of Debt Debt is always the least costly form of financing. WHY? Aswath Damodaran / Edited by Del Hawley 5 Cost of Debt vs. Equity E(R) Equity Rf Debt will always be perceived by investors to be less risky than equity. Therefore, its required return will always be lower. Debt β Aswath Damodaran / Edited by Del Hawley 6 Cost of Debt vs. Equity AND, Interest on debt is tax deductible, thus lowering the cost of debt even farther. Aswath Damodaran / Edited by Del Hawley 7 Debt versus Equity Factor Cost Debt Lowest High: Bankruptcy Risk to the Firm and volatility of cashflows High: Major Impact on restrictions on Flexibility decision making Impact on Control Aswath Damodaran / Edited by Del Hawley Low, unless firm is in bankruptcy Equity Highest Low Low: Few restrictions on decision making Potentially High: Many owners 8 The Choices Equity can take different forms: • Small business owners investing their savings • Venture capital for startups • Common stock for corporations Debt can also take different forms • For private businesses, it is usually bank loans • For publicly traded firms, it is more likely to be debentures (bonds) for long-term debt and commercial paper for short-term debt Aswath Damodaran / Edited by Del Hawley 9 Compare Advantages and Disadvantages of Debt Advantages of Debt • Interest is tax-subsidized Low cost • Increases upside variability of cashflows to equity • Adds discipline to management Disadvantages of Debt • Possibility of bankruptcy/financial distress • Increases downside variability of cashflows to equity • Agency costs are incurred • Loss of future flexibility Aswath Damodaran / Edited by Del Hawley 10 What Does Leverage Mean? Depending on where the fulcrum is placed, a small force can be amplified into a much larger force. Aswath Damodaran / Edited by Del Hawley 11 What Does Leverage Mean? In financial leverage, the fulcrum is the fixed cost of the debt financing. The small force is variability of operating income. The large force is the variability of cashflows to shareholders (EPS) Aswath Damodaran / Edited by Del Hawley 12 What Does Leverage Mean? The larger the fixed interest payments… The more a small change in operating profit… Will be amplified into a larger change in EPS Aswath Damodaran / Edited by Del Hawley 13 What Does Leverage Mean? See the example spreadsheet linked to the class web page for a demonstration of financial leverage. Aswath Damodaran / Edited by Del Hawley 14 What managers consider important in deciding on how much debt to carry... A survey of Chief Financial Officers of large U.S. companies provided the following ranking (from most important to least important) for the factors that they considered important in the financing decisions Factor Ranking (0-5) 1. Maintain financial flexibility 4.55 2. Ensure long-term survival 4.55 3. Maintain Predictable Source of Funds 4.05 4. Maximize Stock Price 3.99 5. Maintain financial independence 3.88 6. Maintain high debt rating 3.56 7. Maintain comparability with peer group 2.47 Aswath Damodaran / Edited by Del Hawley 15 How do firms set their financing mixes? Life Cycle: Some firms choose a financing mix that reflects where they are in the life cycle; start- up firms use more equity, and mature firms use more debt. Comparable firms: Many firms seem to choose a debt ratio that is similar to that used by comparable firms in the same business. Financing Hierarchy: Firms also seem to have strong preferences on the type of financing used, with retained earnings being the most preferred choice. They seem to work down the preference list, rather than picking a financing mix directly. Aswath Damodaran / Edited by Del Hawley 16 Rationale for Financing Hierarchy Managers value flexibility. External financing reduces flexibility more than internal financing. Managers value control. Issuing new equity weakens control and new debt creates bond covenants. Aswath Damodaran / Edited by Del Hawley 17 Preference rankings : Results of a survey Ranking Source Score 1 Retained Earnings 5.61 2 Straight Debt 4.88 3 Convertible Debt 3.02 4 External Common Equity 2.42 5 Straight Preferred Stock 2.22 6 Convertible Preferred 1.72 Aswath Damodaran / Edited by Del Hawley 18 Why does the cost of capital matter? Value of a Firm = Present Value of Cash Flows to the Firm, discounted back at the cost of capital. If the cash flows to the firm are held constant and the cost of capital is minimized, the value of the firm will be maximized. So, if capital structure changes do not affect the cost of capital, then capital structure is irrelevant since it will not affect firm value. Aswath Damodaran / Edited by Del Hawley 19 The Most Realistic View of Capital Structure… 70% 60% 50% 40% Ke 30% Kd(1-Tx) 20% WACC 10% 0% - 0.10 0.20 Aswath Damodaran / Edited by Del Hawley 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90 1.00 20 The Most Realistic View of Capital Structure… The tax advantage of debt would be progressively offset by the rising potential for bankruptcy and the resulting financial distress costs, and also by the rising agency costs. The result would be that the WACC would fall as debt went from zero to some larger amount, but would eventually reach a minimum and then start to climb. Thus, there would be an optimal capital structure where the WACC is minimized. This would be less that 100% debt. Aswath Damodaran / Edited by Del Hawley 21