International Business Environment & Strategy MOD001148 Determinants of national advantage – and where in the world to locate Market entry © Robert Jones 2010 - 2014 Objectives: 1.) To identify factors in national advantage Which nations are the best for business? 2.) To consider factors in international strategy formulation How do senior managers decide which nation to expand to? Market entry considerations Porter, M. (1990) Competitive Advantage of Nations, Macmillan Ellis, J. & Williams D. (1995) International Business Strategy, Pitman http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-15573991#tooltip19 04nov2011 Porter’s Diamond The Determinants of National Advantage Firm strategy, structure & rivalry Chance Factor conditions skills, resources technological base infrastructure Related & supporting industries Porter M.E. (1990) Competitive Advantage of Nations, MacMillan Demand conditions Govt policies International research data sources - 2014 © Robert Jones 2011 - 2014 http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GlobalCompetitivenessReport_2012-13.pdf WEF Global Competitiveness http://www.weforum.org/issues/global-competitiveness http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GlobalCompetitivenessReport_2012-13.pdf 144 nations http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GlobalCompetitiv enessReport_2012-13.pdf Which are the most competitive nations? Which are the top 3 competitive nations? Hint: they all begin with an ‘S’ http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GlobalCompetitiv enessReport_2012-13.pdf http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GlobalCompetitivenessR eport_2014-15.pdf The BRIC nations The BRIC nations The BRICS nations The BRICS nations WEF GCR rank 2014 57 (56) 53 (64) 71 (59) 28 (29) South Africa 56 (53) The MINT nations 2014 WEF GCR rank 2014 Mexico 61 (55) Indonesia 34 (38) Nigeria 127 (120) Turkey 45 (44) http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GlobalCompetitivenessReport_2012-13.pdf Example: competitive ranking of Canada Example: competitive ranking of Canada http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GlobalCompetitivenessReport_2012-13.pdf Page 25 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kzn9-M2umFQ http://www.doingbusiness.org/~/ media/GIAWB/Doing%20Busines s/Documents/AnnualReports/English/DB14-FullReport.pdf 189 nations compared Doing Business 2014 http://www.doingbusiness.org/~/media/ GIAWB/Doing%20Business/Document s/Annual-Reports/English/DB14-FullReport.pdf The BRICs Doing Business Rank 2014 116 92 134 96 South Africa 41 Doing Business 2011 Doing Business 2014 Risks in entering new nations Emerging Markets - Balancing Risk & Reward The PricewaterhouseCoopers EM20 Index 2009 Interim Update PwC EM20 Index: 2009 Interim Update http://www.pwc.co.uk/eng/publications/0309_em20_podcast.html Emerging Markets - Balancing Risk & Reward The PricewaterhouseCoopers EM20 Index 2009 Interim Update PwC EM20 Index: 2009 Interim Update http://www.pwc.co.uk/eng/publications/0309_em20_podcast.html Conditions for business around the world http://www.internationalbusinessreport.com /files/global%20economy%20in%202013% 20-%20final.pdf http://www.internationalbusinessreport.com/ Tax Who pays the most tax? Where is the best place to do business? http://www.pwc.com/gx/en/paying -taxes/assets/pwc-paying-taxes2013-full-report.pdf Total tax rate http://www.doingbusiness.org/~/media/GIAWB/Doing%20Business/Documents/SpecialReports/Paying-Taxes-2014.pdf Time to comply OECD 50TH ANNIVERSARY CHALLENGES IN DESIGNING COMPETITIVE TAX SYSTEMS Paris, 30 June 2011 Tax Reform Trends in OECD Countries http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/9/23/48193734.pdf The Forbes Tax Misery Index Overall Tax Burden http://www.forbes.com/global/2009/0413/03 4-tax-misery-reform-index.html Corruption Transparency International http://www.transparency.org/whatwedo/publication/cpi_2013 http://www.transparency.org/whatwedo/publication/cpi_2013 http://www.transparency.org/whatwedo/publication/cpi_2013 The Economist 2nd December 2011 http://www.transparency.org/topic Objectives: To identify factors in national advantage Which nations are the best for business? To consider factors in international strategy formulation How do senior managers decide which nation to expand to? Market entry considerations Porter, M. (1990) Competitive Advantage of Nations, Macmillan Ellis, J. & Williams D. (1995) International Business Strategy, Pitman Market Entry Mode grid Adapted from:- Ellis, J. & Williams D. (1995) Market entry Key factors – take care whether positive or negative Opportunities available Skills availability Resource availability Degree of control req’d Investment required Level of risk Political Level of risk Economic Level of risk Social Level of risk Tech Speed to implement Expected return Total weighted score Rank order Weight 1-10 [1] International Business Strategy, Pitman Entry to nation A Entry to nation B Entry to nation C Value 1-5 [2] Value 1-5 [3] Value 1-5 [4] Weighted score [1]x[2] Weighted score [1]x[3] Weighted score [1]x[4] Macroenvironment – PESTEL Economic Political • Government stability • Taxation policy • Foreign trade regulations • Social welfare policies Exhibit 2.2 • • • • • • • Business cycles GNP trends Interest rates Money supply Inflation Unemployment Disposable income Macroenvironment – PESTEL Sociocultural Technological • Population demographics • Income distribution • Social mobility • Lifestyle changes • Attitudes to work and leisure • Consumerism • Levels of education • Government spending on research • Government and industry focus on technological effort • New discoveries /developments • Speed of technology transfer • Rates of obsolescence Exhibit 2.2 Macroenvironment – PESTEL Environmental • Environmental protection laws • Waste disposal • Energy consumption Exhibit 2.2 Legal • • • • Competition law Employment law Health and safety Product safety Key Aspects of PESTEL Analysis • Not just a list of influences • Need to understand key drivers of change • Drivers of change have differential impact on industries, markets, and organisations • Focus is on future impact of environmental factors • Combined effect of some of the factors likely to be most important Control Risks RiskMap 2011 RiskMap 2011 provides a critical assessment of global, regional political, security and business issues that will prove a challenge in 2011 and beyond http://www.control-risks.com/pdf/Control_Risks_RiskMap2011.pdf (04nov2011) Recap: 1.) Where in the world to locate in your international strategy: Porter Diamond logic WEF GCR report 2014 World Bank Doing Business report 2014 Etc 2.) Market entry analysis: Market entry grid (Ellis and Willams) Opportunities Degree of control Risk analysis Market Entry Mode grid Adapted from:- Ellis, J. & Williams D. (1995) Market entry Key factors – take care whether positive or negative Opportunities available Skills availability Resource availability Degree of control req’d Investment required Level of risk Political Level of risk Economic Level of risk Social Level of risk Tech Speed to implement Expected return Total weighted score Rank order Weight 1-10 [1] International Business Strategy, Pitman Entry to nation A Entry to nation B Entry to nation C Value 1-5 [2] Value 1-5 [3] Value 1-5 [4] Weighted score [1]x[2] Weighted score [1]x[3] Weighted score [1]x[4] Porter, M. (1990) Competitive Advantage of Nations, Macmillan Ellis, J. & Williams D. (1995) International Business Strategy, Pitman World Bank Doing Business 2014 http://www.doingbusiness.org/~/media/GIAWB/Doing%20Business/Documents/ Annual-Reports/English/DB14-Full-Report.pdf World Economic Forum WEF The Global Competitiveness Report 2012-2013 http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GlobalCompetitivenessReport_2012-13.pdf Grant Thornton IBR2013 International Business Report http://www.internationalbusinessreport.com/files/global%20economy%20in%202013%20-%20final.pdf Control Risks http://www.control-risks.com/pdf/Control_Risks_RiskMap2011.pdf Emerging Markets - Balancing Risk & Reward The PricewaterhouseCoopers EM20 Index 2009 Interim Update http://www.pwc.co.uk/eng/publications/0309_em20_podcast.html Paying Taxes 2014 – the Global Picture http://www.pwc.com/gx/en/paying-taxes/assets/pwc-paying-taxes-2013-full-report.