212 Review Basic Cost Behavior 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz 1 Basic Model of Total Cost In A&MIS 212, we use the basic model of total cost, Independent TC = F + vQ Variable Dependent Variable 9/12/02 Parameters (coefficients) Prof. Bentz 2 Model Characteristics Total cost depends exclusively on the volume of activity Total cost is a linear function of activity volume 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz 3 Illustration Consider an illustration of five ways information might be presented to you on a quiz, exam, or practical situation. All five are based on the same fact situation, so the answers will be the same. What differs is the manner in which the information is presented. 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz 4 Basic Data Fact situation: ◈ Sales volume measured in units or dollars ◈ Fixed cost, F = $20,000 ◈ Variable cost v = $1.50 per unit 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz 5 Case A Given the two cost estimation parameters, estimate total cost for a specified volume level (like GN exercise 5 - 1) 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz 6 Case A Variable cost, v = $1.50 Fixed cost, F = $20,000 Compute total cost (TC) of 13, 000 units 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz 7 Case A TC = $20,000 + $1.50(13,000) = $20,000 + $19,500 = $39,500 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz 8 Case B Given the total cost for a specified level of volume, and the proportion of total cost represented by either the fixed or the variable component of total cost, estimate total cost for a different volume level 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz 9 Case B Given: ◈ TC = $50,000 for 20,000 units ◈ Fixed cost is 40% of total cost at this volume Compute total cost (TC) of 13, 000 units 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz 10 Case B TC = F + vQ vQ = TC – F vQ = $50,000 – 40%($50,000) = $50,000 - $20,000 v(20,000) = $30,000 v = $30,000 / 20,000 units = $1.50 per unit 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz 11 Case B TC = $20,000 + $1.50(13,000) = $20,000 + $19,500 = $39,500 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz 12 Case C Given per-unit fixed and variable costs for a specified level of volume, estimate total cost for a different level of volume 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz 13 Case C Given the cost per unit by component for 12,000 units: ◈ Variable $ 1.50000 ◈ Fixed 1.66667 ◈ Total $ 3.16667 Compute total cost (TC) of 13, 000 units 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz 14 Case C F = 12,000 units @ $1.66667 F = $20,000 v = $1.50 per unit (given) Therefore, the cost estimation equation is: TC = $20,000 + $1.50 Q 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz 15 Case C Compute total cost of 13,000 units TC = $20,000 + $1.50(13,000) = $20,000 + $19,500 = $39,500 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz 16 Case D Given two volume levels, and the total costs at each of those two levels of volume, develop the information required to estimate total cost for a different level of volume and prepare that estimate. 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz 17 Case D Given volume in units and total cost at each of the volume levels: Sales 1 Sales 2 ◈ Sales (units) 12,000 14,000 ◈ Total cost $38,000 $41,000 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz 18 Case D v = Change in cost/change in volume v = ($41,000 - $38,000) (14,000 – 12,000) v = $3,000 / 2,000 units = $1.50 per unit 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz 19 Case D F = = F = = 9/12/02 TC – vQ $41,000 - $1.50(14,000) $41,000 - $21,000 $20,000 Prof. Bentz 20 Case D Compute total cost of 13,000 units TC = $20,000 + $1.50(13,000) = $20,000 + $19,500 = $39,500 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz 21 Case E Given two sales levels (in dollars), and the total costs at each of these two levels of sales, develop the information required to estimate total cost for a different level of sales volume and prepare that estimate. 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz 22 Case E Given total sales and total costs for two different volumes: Sales 1 Sales 2 ◈ Sales $40,000 $48,000 ◈ Total cost $35,000 $38,000 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz 23 Case E v = Change in cost / change in sales volume v = ($38,000 - $35,000) ($48,000 - $40,000) v = $3,000 / $8,000 = 3/8 or 37.5% of sales $ 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz 24 Case E F = = F = = 9/12/02 TC – vQ $38,000 – 0.375($48,000) $38,000 - $18,000 $20,000 Prof. Bentz 25 Case E Compute total cost for sales of $52,000: TC = $20,000 + 0.375($52,000) = $20,000 + $19,500 = $39,500 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz 26 Review of Illustration Obviously, there any number of ways one might encounter the information necessary to compute the cost estimation equation to be able to predict total costs for a given level of volume. But they are all based on the same fundamental relationship of cost to volume. 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz 27 Exercise 5 -1 With exercise 5 -1 we have three ways to estimate the equation that describes the behavior of total shipping expense with respect to the number of units shipped. 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz 28 Exercise 5 -1 The method shows that, in fact, we will can get three different answers using the three methods. The similarity of the three estimates is totally determined by the data presented and one cannot generalize about the differences. 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz 29 Exercise 5 -1 Zerbel Company, a wholesaler of large, custom-built air conditioning units or commercial buildings, has noticed considerable fluctuation in its shipping expense from month to month, as shown on the following slide: 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz 30 Data for Exercise 5 -1 Month January February March April May June July 9/12/02 Total Units Shipping Shipped Expense 4 $ 2,200 7 3,100 5 2,600 2 1,500 3 2,200 6 3,000 8 3,600 Prof. Bentz Low High 31 Ex. 5 –1, Requirement 1 1. Using the high-low method, estimate the cost formula for shipping expense. 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz 32 Ex. 5 –1, Requirement 1 High-Low Method Computation of variable shipping cost: High Low Difference Cost $ 3,600 $ 1,500 $ 2,100 A Volume 8 2 6 B Variable cost per unit $ 350 A/B 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz 33 Ex. 5 –1, Requirement 1 Computation of total fixed shipping cost: Total shipping cost at high Less variable (8 units @ $350) Fixed shipping cost 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz $ $ 3,600 2,800 800 34 Estimation equation TC = $ 800 + $ 350 Q 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz 35 Ex. 5 –1, Requirement 2 2. The president has no confidence in the high-low method and would like you to “check out” your results using the scattergraph method. Do the following: a. Prepare a scattergraph using the data given above. 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz 36 Ex. 5 –1, Requirement 2 b. Using your scatter graph, estimate the approximate variable cost per unit shipped and the approximate fixed cost per month with the “quick-and-dirty method (see below). 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz 37 Req. 2: Scattergraph Method 4,000 3,500 Total Shipping Expense 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Units Shipped 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz 38 Req. 2: Scattergraph Method Scattergraph Method Computation of variable shipping Total cost for five (5) units $ Fixed cost on y-axis (estimate) Variable cost for five (5) units $ Divide by number of units Per unit variable cost $ 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz cost: 2,600 1,100 1,500 5 300 39 Req. 2: Estimation equation TC = $1,100 + $300 Q 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz 40 Regression Analysis Results Intercept (fixed cost) $ 1,010.71 Slope (variable unit cost) $ 317.86 Regression results provide the theoretically correct standard against which we can compare ad-hoc methods. 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz 41 Estimation equation TC = $1,100.71 + $317.86 Q 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz 42 Summary of results 1. High-Low method (unique answer) TC = $800 + $350 Q 2. Scatter graph method (judgment) TC = $1,100 + $300 Q 3. Regression analysis method (unique answer) TC = $1,010.71 + $317.86 Q 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz 43 High-Low Method In summary, the High-Low method is the least accurate of the three methods assuming the regression model best captures the information contained in all the data points. 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz 44 Ex. 5 –1, Requirement 3 3. What factors, other than the number of units shipped, are likely to affect the company’s shipping expense? a. b. c. d. 9/12/02 Weather Road construction and repairs Fuel costs Car and truck traffic Prof. Bentz 45 General Assumption In the absence of evidence to the contrary, for testing and homework purposes in A&MIS 212, assume that all costs can be modeled as semi-variable (mixed) costs. This is the assumption that underlies the high-low method! 9/12/02 Prof. Bentz 46