EXPERIENCES WITH PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT IN THE UNITED STATES PRESENTATION TOWARDS A MORE RESULT ORIENTED FLEMISH PUBLIC SECTOR, JANUARY 10, 2014 Donald P. Moynihan PART I: OVERVIEW OVERVIEW US Experience - background Errors in understanding performance management Expectations about implementation The politics of performance management Lessons: how do we encourage purposeful use? BACKGROUND NATIONAL GOVERNMENT-WIDE CHANGES Government Performance and Results Act - GPRA (1993-2010) Program Assessment Rating Tool (20022008) GPRA Modernization Act (2010-) State level variations on these models DOCTRINAL LOGIC FOR CHANGE 20 YEARS OF LEARNING? Some lessons on how it went Partly from study of topic Reflected in some policy changes, especially GPRA Modernization Act EXPECTATIONS ABOUT IMPLEMENTATION IS THE IDEA OF PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT RUNNING OUT OF STEAM? OECD 2012 survey Seems to be less use of performance data than in past Performance targets not consequential General sense of disappointment: we have systems in place, have not delivered desired results EXPECTATIONS PROBLEM We define performance systems by the benefits we hope will occur (more rational budgeting, more efficient management) The gap between our aspirations and the observed effects of these rules are usually large, resulting in disappointment More grounded and accurate description: performance systems are a set of formal rules that seek to disrupt strongly embedded social routines CONFUSION: ADOPTION VS. IMPLEMENTATION Speak of governments doing performance management What do we mean? Rules about measuring and disseminating data INATTENTION TO THE USE OF DATA Performance data by itself does not do much Implementation of performance management means using the data Why focus on performance information use? Difficult to connect public actions to outcomes Intermediate measure of effectiveness – performance information use Without it, good things we want don’t happen There are different types of use THE FOUR T YPES OF USE Passive – minimal compliance with procedural requirements Purposeful –improve key goals and efficiency Political – advocate for programs Perverse – behave in ways detrimental to goals (goal displacement and gaming) EFFECT OF PERFORMANCE REFORMS Can observe if agencies comply with requirements (passive use), but not other types of use Performance systems encourage passive use, not purposeful THE POLITICS OF PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT APOLITICAL PERFORMANCE REFORMS? Performance data associated with neutrality Offers objective account of the world, and will engender consensus Reduces the role of politics by offering an alternative basis to make arguments This is part of political appeal Has implications for adoption and implementation POLITICS OF ADOPTION Elected officials motivated by symbolic values Primary focus on adopting information reporting requirements, not broader change ACTUAL PATTERN OF CHANGE ONE BASIC REASON FOR CONFUSION We fail to understand the nature of performance data We assume data are Comprehensive Objective Indicative of actual performance Consistently understood Prompts a consensus THE AMBIGUIT Y OF PERFORMANCE DATA Examine same programs but disagree on data Agree on data but disagree on meaning Agree on meaning, but not on next action steps/resources Not clear on how data links to budget decisions THE SUBJECTIVIT Y OF PERFORMANCE DATA Actors will select and interpret performance information consistent with institutional values and purposes Greater contesting of performance data and less potential for solution seeking in forums featuring actors with competing beliefs IMPLICATIONS: POLITICAL USE Performance data is socially constructed by individuals subject to personal biases, institutional beliefs, and partisan preferences has qualities of ambiguity and subjectivity These qualities make performance management likely to operate as part of political process, not as alternative to it EVIDENCE OF ADVOCACY “Spinning” (Hood 2006) Claim credit when things go well, deny responsibility when things do not Advocacy by agents seeks to avoid blame and respond to “negativity bias” disproportionate citizen dissatisfaction with missed target (James 2011) political officials pay more attention to high and low performers (Nielsen and Baekgaard 2013) more bureaucratic explanations of failed performance (Charbonneau and Bellavance 2012) STAKEHOLDERS Political support for agency associated with performance information use (Moynihan and Pandey 2010) May worry less about blame, freedom to experiment Belief that stakeholders care about performance or performance measures associated with bureaucratic use (Moynihan and Pandey 2010) More performance information use when: stakeholders perceived as more influential, more in conflict, and when there is more networking with stakeholders (Askim, Johnsen, and Christophersen 2008; Moynihan and Hawes 2012) PRINCIPAL AGENT ARGUMENT Assumption: Use performance data to reduce information advantage that agencies have over center & elected officials Reality: Some evidence of partisan biases in implementation As long as agencies play role in defining, collecting, and disseminating information, they retain information asymmetry AN EXAMPLE: PROGRAM ASSESSMENT RATING TOOL (PART) • Bush-era questionnaire used by Office of Management and Budget to rank programs from ineffective to effective Four sections: program purpose and design, strategic planning, program management, and program results/accountability Burden of proof on agencies Almost all federal programs evaluated HOW MIGHT POLITICS AFFECT PART IMPLEMENTATION? Ostensibly neutral reforms may serve—or may be seen as serving—political ends: Partisan reformers may implement reforms differently if programs/agencies are ideologically divergent Managers of ideologically divergent programs may perceive bias (whether or not a reform effort is biased against their programs) WAS PART POLITICAL? Designed to be good government, politically neutral reform, and qualitative studies do not report overt partisanship, but… More liberal agencies and programs get lower scores (Gallo and Lewis 2012; Gilmour and Lewis 2006) PART scores only related to President’s budget proposals for liberal programs (Gilmour and Lewis 2006) DID POLITICS AFFECT RESPONSE TO PART? Liberal agencies, though smaller, had significantly higher PARTs completed Two types of effort: Observable: self-reported effort in completing PART – higher for managers in liberal agencies (Lavertu, Lewis and Moynihan 2013) Discretionary: performance information use – lower for managers in liberal agencies (Lavertu and Moynihan 2012) WHY WOULD PART IMPOSE A GREATER ADMINISTRATIVE BURDEN ON LIBERAL AGENCIES? Liberal agencies likely concerned about making their programs look as good as possible, given preference divergence Potentially greater scrutiny of liberal programs, requiring more costly agency data collection and reporting LESSONS: HOW DO WE ENCOURAGE PURPOSEFUL USE WHEN DOES PERVERSE USE OCCUR? Goal displacement – e.g. cream-skimming Data manipulation – including outright cheating Becomes more likely when Data is self-reported Task is complex and hard to measure High-powered incentives attached to measures Especially in contracting Job-training programs, tuition programs Policymakers have imperfect knowledge of perversity, amend contracts after problems occur NEXT GENERATION PERFORMANCE SYSTEM? GPRA MODERNIZATION ACT OF 2010 Quarterly performance reviews Goal leaders Chief operating officers/performance improvement officers High-priority goals Cross-agency priority goals For summary, see Moynihan 2013 CONTINUING CHALLENGE: HOW TO MAKE USE OF PERFORMANCE DATA Create learning forums: routine discussions of performance data with supervisors/peers associated with use (Moynihan and Lavertu 2012) GPRA Modernization Act: quarterly performance reviews Not just routines, also learning culture Tolerates error Rewards innovation Brings together multiple perspectives Gives discretion to users Tradeoff between learning and accountability Accountability evokes defensive reactions and gaming LOOK FOR ACTIONABLE DATA You might want to measure everything but you can’t manage everything Problem with PART – equal attention to all goals Modernization Act: focus on important targets, areas of opportunity (high priority goals, cross-agency priority goals) FOSTER GOAL CLARIT Y Clear goals increase performance information use (Moynihan and Pandey 2010); may not be easy if: Service has many different aspects Tension between: Few enough measures to generate attention Enough measures to avoid encouraging workers to ignore unmeasured aspects APPEAL TO ALTRUISM Appeal to altruistic motivations, not extrinsic reward (Moynihan, Wright and Pandey 2012) Select goals that motivate Clear line of sight between goals and actions Celebrate achievement Connect to beneficiaries INTEGRATE PROGRAM EVALUATION AND PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT Performance data tells you if a measure moved up or down, evaluations tell you what affects performance Discussion of evaluations should be incorporated into performance management Assign evaluation funding for new policies Example: Washington State Institute for Public Policy provides meta-analyses of research on different policies, and provides return-on-investment estimates to policymakers INDUCE LEADERSHIP COMMITMENT Leadership commitment associated with use (Dull 2009; Moynihan and Lavertu 2012) How do you create commitment? 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