ECN 202: Principles of Macroeconomics Nusrat Jahan Lecture-9 Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply There is a very close relationship between Income, Consumption and Saving. Saving = Income-Consumption To understand the way Consumption and Saving affects National Income we need to understand the following toolsConsumption Function Saving Function Consumption Function: Consumption Function is the relationship between Income and Consumption Break-even Point- It is the level of income for which Income=Consumption Non-Income Determinants of Consumption Wealth Expectation about Inflation Real Interest Rate Savings Function: Savings Function is the relationship between Income and Saving. It can be derived from the Consumption Function Disposable Income 100 200 300 400 500 600 Consumption 150 220 300 380 450 520 Consumption Function Income 700 600 45°, 600 500 Consumption, 520 400 300 Break-even point 200 100 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 Saving Function 100 80 60 40 20 0 -20 -40 -60 100 200 300 400 500 600 Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC): The extra amount that people consume when they receive an extra dollar of disposable income. Marginal Propensity to Save (MPS): The fraction of an extra dollar of disposable income that goes to extra saving. MPC + MPS = 1 Average Propensity to Consume (APC): The percentage of income spent. Average Propensity to Save (APS): The percentage of Income saved. APC + APS = 1 Disposable Income Consumptio n Expenditure 1000 1100 Marginal Propensity to Consume Average Propensity to Consume Net Saving 1.1 -100 1 2000 2100 1.05 3000 0 0.92 4200 300 4500 0.075 0.5 0.84 800 0.3 6000 0 0.3 0.5 5000 -0.05 0.1 1 3700 -0.1 -100 0.7 4000 Average Propensity to Save 0 0.9 3000 Marginal Propensity to Save 0.16 0.7 0.75 1500 0.25 Output Determination by Consumption and Investment (Two Sector Model) Aggregate Expenditure for a closed- private economy = C + Ig In Equilibrium, GDP= C+ Ig If GDP>C+Ig then, production will go down and GDP will come back to equilibrium If GDP<C+Ig then, production will increase and GDP will come back to equilibrium. 45° Total Spending C+I E C I A M GDP Output Determination by Consumption, Investment and Governement Expenditure (Three Sector Model) Aggregate Expenditure for a closed- mixed economy = C + Ig+G In Equilibrium, GDP= C+ Ig+G If GDP>C+Ig+G then, production will go down and GDP will come back to equilibrium If GDP<C+Ig+G then, production will increase and GDP will come back to equilibrium. 45° C+I+G Total Spending E C+I C G I A B M GDP Output Determination by Consumption, Investment,Governement Expenditure (Four Sector Model) Aggregate Expenditure for an open- mixed economy = C + Ig+G+NX In Equilibrium, GDP= C+ Ig+G+NX If GDP>C+Ig+G+NX then, production will go down and GDP will come back to equilibrium If GDP<C+Ig+G+NX then, production will increase and GDP will come back to equilibrium. 45° Total Spending E C+I+G+NX C+I+G C+I NX C G I A B C M GDP The Multiplier The multiplier is the number by which the change in expenditure must be multiplied in order to determine the resulting change in output/GDP. The Basic Model of Economic Fluctuations Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply Two variables are used to develop a model to analyze the short-run fluctuations. The economy’s output of goods and services measured by real GDP. The overall price level measured by the CPI or the GDP deflator. Economists use the model of aggregate demand and aggregate supply to explain short-run fluctuations in economic activity around its long-run trend. The aggregate-demand curve shows the quantity of goods and services that households, firms, and the government want to buy at each price level. The aggregate-supply curve shows the quantity of goods and services that firms choose to produce and sell at each price level. The Aggregate Demand Curve The four components of GDP (Y) contribute to the aggregate demand for goods and services. Y = C + I + G + NX Why the Aggregate Demand Curve might shift? P Shifts arising from Consumption Investment Government Expenditure Net Export AD’ AD AD” Y Why the Short-Run Aggregate-Supply Curve Might Shift Labor Capital Natural Resources. Technology. Expected Price Level AS’ AS AS” Two Causes of Economic Fluctuations Shift in Aggregate Demand Shift in Aggregate Supply