AP Economics Mr. Bernstein Module 16: Income and Expenditure February 2016 AP Economics Mr. Bernstein Income and Expenditure • Objectives - Understand each of the following: • The nature of the multiplier, which shows how initial changes in spending lead to further changes • The meaning of the aggregate consumption function, which shows how current disposable income affects consumer spending • How expected future income and aggregate wealth affect consumer spending • The determinants of investment spending • Why investment spending is considered a leading indicator of the future state of the economy 2 AP Economics Mr. Bernstein The Multiplier: An Informal Introduction • • • • • • • • Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC) Marginal Propensity to Save (MPS) MPC = D Consumer Spending / D Disposable Income MPS = D Saving / D Disposable Income MPC + MPS = 1 So MPC = (1 - MPS) and MPS = (1 – MPC) Increase is Yd typically increases both MPC and MPS Real GDP is often represented as Y, Disp. Income as Yd 3 AP Economics Mr. Bernstein The Multiplier: An Informal Introduction, cont. • Autonomous Change in Aggregate Spending (AAS) • D Y = 1 / (1-MPC) x AAS • Multiplier = D Y / D AAS = 1 / (1-MPC) Example?... 4 AP Economics Mr. Bernstein Current Disposable Income and Consumer Spending • Consumption Function: • C = A + (MPC x Yd) …(A = Autonomous Consumer Spending = not induced by changes in income) • Increase in Yd causes movement upward along C curve • Consumption Function Shifters • • • • Expected Changes in Future Yd Permanent Income Hypothesis Changes in Aggregate Wealth Life-Cycle Hypothesis 5 AP Economics Mr. Bernstein Investment Spending • Most recessions originate in changes in I 6 AP Economics Mr. Bernstein Interest Rates and Investment Spending • Decrease in real rates causes increase in I…why? 7 AP Economics Mr. Bernstein Other Factors Influencing Investment Spending • Increase in Expected Future GDP or in Production Capacity 8