Emerging ICT 2nd lecture 2016 feb 23 dr. R. Pranaitis contents ● ● 1st lecture (summary) Emerging ICT features – Nature and research • Diffusion • Hype Emerging ICT EMERGING PHENOMENON 1st lecture > intro to the Emerging ICT unit ● ● ● ● ● Objectives, actuality, problematics Tasks, results to be achieved Ttudy process Evaluation Sources The aim of the course is providing emerging information and communication technologies (EICT) basic knowledge (including EICT conception, principles, models, methodologies and research results) and developing practical skills in assessing the EICT relevance and perspectivity in organizations under constantly renewable modern ICT conditions. 1st lecture > intro to the Emerging ICT unit Tasks, results to be achieved Initial survey Settling on the web EICT actualities (two) Colloquiums (online tests; two) Project, i.e., selected EICT analysis & demo +activity 1st lecture > intro to the Emerging ICT unit Study process and evaluation ● ● ● cumulative score principle colloquiums (march, may) presentation of actualities (march,april,may) the assessment takes into account the ability to give meaning, optimize, present and convincingly defend the results and ability to use EICT for professional purposes. accumulated points formula: cumulative score = 0.5*knowledge + 0.5*skills (knowledge - colloquiums results mean; skills - mean of published online & defended results). final evaluation (exam) = 0.6*cumulative + 0.4*final.test 1st lecture > intro to the Emerging ICT unit EICT actuality > e.g. horison2020 1st lecture > intro to the Emerging ICT unit EICT analysis tools, e.g., EICT hype cycle Gartner research 1st lecture > intro to the Emerging ICT unit ICT are tightly concerned with society ● ICT regularities, e.g., o Moore’s law http://www.umsl.edu/~abdcf/Cs4890/link1.html o artificial intelligence test [Turing test] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Turing_test o Could AI be dangerous for us? [S.Hawking, E.Musk, B.Gates] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technological_singularity http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/.... ● There are a lot of actual questions about EICT o EICT evolution, adoption? EICT life cycle and hype? o Business IT? When to start using new ICT in business? etc. 1st lecture > intro to the Emerging ICT unit ● Settle on the web [for publishing results], e.g., – https://byet.host/, http://www.000webhost.com/ – Wordpress [org, com] – Google, etc. – Send your web page address to lecturer > regimantas.pranaitis@ff.vu.lt ● Send initial survey to the lecturer ● For individual work – Find some actual guestions (discussed in the lecture), find and analyze sources and publish summary of result [thesis, conclusion, sources] 2nd lecture > Emerging ICT features EICT > nature and research EICT life cycle Diffusion theory of innovations Hype 2nd lecture > Emerging ICT features ● ● ● ● ● What is the nature of innovation phenomenon? How innovative product is adopted? What are mechanisms of adoption? What are models? Etc. Emerging ICT features Adoption of innovations is extremely fast? Delayed? What about adoption curve? Emerging ICT features What about a form of adoption curve? Emerging ICT features EMERGING PHENOMENON EICT life cycle Vision Component technologies Competitive advantage Profitable Adopted Compatible technologies ~Standard Adoption of innovation ● Problem > hybrid corn Diffusion of innovation [1962] ● ● Everet Rogers [1962] Adoption of new agr. Technique ● > Innovation > communication channels > time > social system ● ● Bradcasting vs interpersonal? Diffusion as physical process? > statistics? > bell curve? Channels of adoption Mass media? Interpersonal communication? New product diffusion models New product adoption ● E New product adoption ● E Product life cycle and adoption Emerging ICT adoption [sales & profits] ● E Emerging ICT adoption vs hype ● E Emerging ICT adoption vs hype Emerging ICT adoption vs hype Task for the seminar ● Settle on the web [for publishing results], e.g., – https://byet.host/, http://www.000webhost.com/ – Wordpress [org, com] – Google, etc. – Send your web page address to lecturer > regimantas.pranaitis@ff.vu.lt ● Send initial survey to the lecturer ● For individual work – Find some actual guestions (discussed in the lecture), find and analyze sources and publish summary of result [thesis, conclusion, sources] questions? NEXT >