Year 8 Whole Project Probability Unit VELS Progresion Points: Measurement, Chance and Data 4.5 *contrast between the stability of long run relative frequency and the variation of observations based on small samples 4.75 *use of random numbers to assist in probability simulations and the arithmetic manipulation of random numbers to achieve the desired set of outcomes 4.75 *calculation of theoretical probability using ratio of number of ‘successful’ outcomes to total number of outcomes 4.75 *use of tree diagrams to explore the outcomes from multiple event trials 5.0 *Students use appropriate technology to generate random numbers in the conduct of simple simulations. 5.0 *Students identify empirical probability as long-run relative frequency. 5.0 *They calculate theoretical probabilities by dividing the number of possible successful outcomes by the total number of possible outcomes. 5.0 *They use tree diagrams to investigate the probability of outcomes in simple multiple event trials. Structure 5.0 *students identify collections of numbers as subsets of natural numbers, integers, rational numbers and real numbers. 5.0 They use venn diagrams and tree diagrams to show the relationships of intersection, union, inclusion (subset) and complement between the sets. 5.0 They list the elements of the set of all subsets (power set) of a given finite set and comprehend the partial-order relationship between these subsets with respect to inclusion (for example, given the set { a, b, c} the corresponding power set is {Ø, {a}, {b}, {c}, {a, b}, {b, c}, {a, c}, {a, b, c}}.) WEBSITE REFERENCES: Maths 300 www.curriculum.edu.au/maths 300 Concepts Notion of Chance as Probability Probability Continuum Expression of Probability as a word, fraction, decimal or percentage. Key Skills *Chances of something happening can range from 0 to 1 as a continuum *Discuss Notation i.e Pr(tossing a head on a coin) = ½ *Discuss fraction, decimal and percentage form in probability Activities Clothes Line Activity Outline Clothes Line Activity Outline.docx Worksheet #1 Worksheet #1.docx Worksheet #2 Worksheet #2.docx Concepts Exploring Probability with various objects Introduction of Set Notation Exploring Probability using a pack of playing cards Key Skills Resources *Introduction of Sample Space and Set Notation *Exploring Probability with various objects *From this introduce the following terms and set notation: -Sample Space -Universal Set (ξ) -Brackets { } -Subsets ⊂ 𝑎𝑛𝑑 ⊃ -Element of or not Element of ∈ 𝑜𝑟 ∉ -Number of ( n Pr(A) ) -Outcomes Package (between pairs) Includes: 1 x 6 sided dice 1 x 10 sided dice Coin Letters of a word (Super) Activity Worksheet *Familiarising themselves with a pack of 52 playing cards *Finding Probabilities with a pack of 52 playing cards *Designing a pack of playing cards given a set of probabilities 14 sets of Playing Cards (one pack per pair) Activity worksheet.docx 14 sets of 52 blank squares of paper. Designing a Deck of Cards Instructions Designing a Deck of Cards.docx Combining Probility and Set Notation using an Open Ended Approach *Exploring Probability using Venn Diagrams and Karnaugh Maps *Listing Outcomes Instruction sheet for Open Ended Approach Combining Sets and Probability Instruction Sheet.docx Sampling Simulations Experimental Vs Theoretical Probability Lattice Diagrams *Explore the notion of Sampling and how it can be used. *Explore theoretical Vs Experimental Probability *Designing a sample space given a set of probabilities Farmer Joe Activity *Lattice diagrams *Listing Outcomes Take Away Activity Farmer Joe Activity.docx Maths 300 - Lesson #58 Chocolate Chip Cookies Tree Diagrams Tree Diagrams Examine the use of tree diagrams here – instruct students to always place the probability on each branch in fraction form. Explore with replacement first. For enrichment discuss with the students what would change if the item was not replaced. Maths 300 Lesson #146 Division Boxes Venn Diagram *Constructing Venn Diagrams *Reading Venn Diagrams *Finding Probabilities from Venn Diagrams *Incorporating Set Notation with Venn Diagrams (∪,∩, ξ, A’ etc) Human Venn Diagram Draw or place rope in two or three intersecting circles on the floor. Get the students to stand in the circle or section that they belong in. For example the three circles could represent 3 sports or TV programs or Lunchbox foods. Discuss the probabilities represented by the diagram. Discuss the number and how people can belong to one or more groups and are not counted more than once. Venn Diagrams and Set Notation Complete a Worksheet or text book problems on constructing and reading Venn Diagrams using set notation Assessment Task Useful Websites: http://www.shodor.org/interactivate/activities/ShapeExplorer/ http://illuminations.nctm.org http://nlvm.usu.edu/