BISHOPS GRADE 9 EMS In this section of work you will learn about the following concepts… Introduction to Ratio Analysis The Current Ratio Gearing ratio Return on capital employed (“ROCE”) Dividend per share Dividend yield Value and limitation of ratio analysis Name: _____________________ [Date] © Bishops EMS Department 1 Introduction Ratio analysis: an examination of accounting data through the comparison of two figures. Looking at just one piece of financial information of a company might be misleading. For example, examine the data below… Profit before tax (R’000) 2013 - 2014 Adidas 44,051 Nike 54,100 Which company appears to have performed better? ……………………………….. However, if we now look at another piece of financial information about the company, we get a much clearer picture… Profit before tax (R’000) 2013 - 2014 Sales (R’000) 2013 - 2014 Adidas 44,051 271,414 Nike 54,100 787,100 Profit as a percentage of sales Now which appears to be more successful? ……………………… [Date] © Bishops EMS Department 2 1. The Current Ratio The current ratio indicates the short term liquidity position of the business and compares the current assets and current liabilities shown in the balance sheet. Liquidity: refers to how easily an asset can be turned into cash – the easier, the more liquid. A business which doesn’t have enough current assets to pay their liabilities when they are due may be forced into liquidation. This is a situation where the business is forced to stop trading and then their assets are liquidated (sold to raise cash). The cash that is raised is then used to pay off the business’ debts. Liquidity can be improved by… decreasing stock levels speeding up the collection of receivables (debtors) slowing down payments to payables (creditors) The current ratio is a simple measure that shows whether a business can pay debts due within one year out of the current assets. The formula for the current ratio is… current assets : current liabilities The answer is expressed as “x : 1”. Using the financial statements on the last page, work out Pick ‘n Pay’s current ratio for 2013 and 2014. Formula: 2013 2014 Working out and answer: A current ratio of between 1.5 – 2 : 1 is considered the ‘ideal’ ratio. It suggests that the business has enough cash to be able to pay its debts, but not too much finance [Date] © Bishops EMS Department 3 tied up in current assets which could be reinvested to help expand the business or distributed to shareholders. A low current ratio (less than 1 : 1) suggests that the business is not well placed to pay its debts. It might be required to raise extra finance or extend the time it takes to pay creditors. For example, a current ratio of 0.8 : 1 means that a business has only 80c of currents assets for every R1 of current liabilities. However, a high current ratio is not necessarily a good thing for a business. A high current ratio (above 2 : 1) represents a significant opportunity cost. The opportunity cost of holding too many current assets is the lost opportunity to purchase more non-current assets and stimulate growth in the business. Opportunity cost: the cost of the next best alternative forgone. 2. Gearing ratio Gearing: compares the amount of capital raised by selling shares with the amount raised through long-term loans. The gearing ratio is also concerned with liquidity. However, it focuses on the long term financial stability of a business. In theory, the higher the level of borrowing (gearing) the higher are the risks to a business, since the payment of interest and repayment of debts are not "optional" in the same way as dividends are. For example, if a business made a loss they cannot pay out dividends whereas they have to still pay back their long-term loans with interest. The formula for calculating gearing is… non-current liabilities x 100 total equity + non-current liabilities 1 The answer is expressed as a percentage. [Date] © Bishops EMS Department 4 Work out the gearing ratio for Pick ‘n Pay for the years 2013 and 2014… Formula: 2013 2014 Working out and answer: A business with a gearing ratio of more than 50% is traditionally said to be “highly geared”. A company in this position will find itself at risk of defaulting on their loans during a low period of profit as well as being affected by changing interest rates that will change the amount that they will have to pay back on a monthly basis. A business with gearing of less than 25% is traditionally described as having “low gearing”. In this situation a business should consider borrowing more money to grow the company. As long as the proposed investment gains a higher return that the interest that has to be paid on the borrowed money, the business should see profits increasing. Something between 25% ‐ 50% would be considered “normal” for a well‐established business which is happy to finance its activities using debt. It is important to remember that financing a business through long‐term debt is not necessarily always a bad thing! When long‐term debt is relatively cheap due to low interest rates, a business is able to increase the amount of long term loans and can reduce the amount that shareholders have to invest in the business. The more shares that you sell in a company, the more control you give up as well as profits. A well-established business which produces strong and reliable cash flows can handle a much higher level of gearing than a business where the cash flows are unpredictable and uncertain. Having a positive cash flow and working capital is crucial to be able to ensure that monthly repayments are able to be made on time. [Date] © Bishops EMS Department 5 3. Return on capital employed (“ROCE”) ROCE is sometimes referred to as the "primary ratio”. It tells us what returns (profits) the business has made on the resources available to it. ROCE is calculated using this formula… operating profit x 100 total equity + non-current liabilities 1 The answer is expressed as a percentage. Capital employed is a good measure of the total resources that a business has available to it, although it is not perfect. For example, a business might lease or hire many of its production capacity (machinery, buildings etc) which would not be included as assets in the balance sheet. This would lead to the ROCE ration becoming artificially inflated. Using the financial statements on the last page, work out Pick ‘n Pay’s ROCE for 2013 and 2014. Formula: 2013 2014 Working out and answer: [Date] © Bishops EMS Department 6 With ROCE, the higher the percentage figure, the better. The figure needs to be compared with the ROCE from previous years to see if there is a trend of ROCE rising or falling. It is also important to look to see whether the operating profit figure used includes any one-off items as this will make the ROCE percentage and any comparisons over time difficult. To improve its ROCE a business can try to do two things… Improve the top line (i.e. increase operating profit) without a corresponding increase in capital employed Maintain operating profit but reduce the value of total equity and non-current liabilities. 4. Dividend per share Dividend / share: shows the value of the total dividend per issued share for the financial year. The formula for dividend per share is… total dividends number of issued ordinary shares The answer is expressed in cents/share To illustrate the calculation, let us assume that Pick ‘n Pay paid out the following dividends 2013: R460,000 2014: R240,000 In both years, there were 500,000 shares issued Work out the dividend per share for Pick ‘n Pay for both years… Formula: 2013 2014 Working out and answer: [Date] © Bishops EMS Department 7 A shareholder would probably be pleased with a higher dividend per share. However, the problem with dividend per share is that the ratio lacks context. We don’t know, for example… a) How much the shareholder paid for the shares – i.e. what the dividend means in terms of a return on the shareholder’s original investment. b) How much of the actual profit for the year was distributed as a dividend. 5. Dividend yield Dividend yield: expresses dividend / share as a percentage of the current market price. Dividend yield is a better shareholder ratio to use to get a sense for the rate of return on investment. The formula for dividend yield is… ordinary share dividend (in cents) x 100 current market price (in cents) 1 The answer is expressed as a percentage. To illustrate the calculation, consider this information… The average share price for 1 ordinary share of the company on the Stock Exchange during those financial years was 1415c (2013) and 1067c (2014) Work out the dividend yield for Pick ‘n Pay for the years 2013 and 2014… Formula: 2013 2014 Working out and answer: The dividend yield must be compared with the current interest rates that you could have received from saving your money in a bank account. A dividend yield that is higher than these rates is considered a good investment although it should be significantly higher to account for the higher risk of buying shares. [Date] © Bishops EMS Department 8 Value and limitation of ratio analysis The main strength of ratio analysis is that it encourages a systematic approach to analysing performance. However, it is also important to remember some of the drawbacks of ratio analysis… The historical basis of published accounts affects ratio analysis for the following reasons: Accounts indicate where a company has been, rather than where it is going. Past performance is not necessarily a useful guide to the future. Accounts show what has happened, rather than why, and so they can only serve to point out potential problems. Comparisons Ratios rely on comparisons, but they always involve difficulties because no two businesses or department within a business face identical circumstances. Corporate objectives Ratio analysis only looks at financial measures, and relies on the assumption that maximising profit is the only aim of all firms. It ignores other objectives that may be more important to a business like customer loyalty and growth strategies. External Factors Company performance is very dependent on outside factors. Without taking these external factors into account, the ratios may seem better or worse than they actually are given the prevailing external influences. For example, you would expect to see a business that sells luxury items struggle during a recession and this will affect their ROCE ratio negatively. [Date] © Bishops EMS Department 9 Income Statement of Pick ‘n Pay R Millions 2013 R Millions 2014 Balance Sheet for Pick ‘n Pay R Millions 2013 R Millions 2014 [Date] © Bishops EMS Department 10