AUSTRALIAN SERVICES IN THE GLOBAL ECONOMY - FINAL REPORT - PREPARED BY OECD – DSTI FOR THE AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT, DEPARTMENT OF INDUSTRY JUNE 2014 TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .............................................................................................................................3 FOREWORD...................................................................................................................................................6 INTRODUCTION ...........................................................................................................................................7 PART 1 GLOBAL TRENDS IN SERVICES .............................................................................................10 1. Structural change in services .................................................................................................................10 2. The growing internationalisation of services sectors: from local to global ..........................................20 3. Knowledge and innovation in services on the rise ................................................................................33 4. Strong firm dynamics support employment growth in market services ...............................................39 5. Growing and complex interactions between manufacturing and services ............................................47 PART 2: AUSTRALIAN SERVICES IN INTERNATIONAL PERSPECTIVE .........................................62 1. A picture of the Australian services sector ...........................................................................................62 2. Drivers of services performance ............................................................................................................68 3. Australian services on international markets through exports ...............................................................89 CONCLUSIONS AND POLICY MESSAGES ..........................................................................................104 REFERENCES ............................................................................................................................................111 ANNEX 1 The size of commercial presence (Mode 3) versus services exports (Mode 1, 2 and 4) ...........118 ANNEX 2 Composition of Services Supplied Abroad................................................................................119 ANNEX 3 Extended Balance of Payments Services – EBOPS 2010 .........................................................121 ANNEX 4 Hypothetical Extraction: Deleting individual services sectors across the world, 2009 .............121 ANNEX 5 Average Wage by Industry ........................................................................................................124 ANNEX 6 Indicators of Skills at Work .......................................................................................................126 ANNEX 7 Australian Services Exports to Asia, 2005-2011 .......................................................................127 ANNEX 8 Source Data for the Charts in the Report ...................................................................................129 BOXES Box 1. Baumol’s theory on the cost disease in/of the service sector ......................................................12 Box 2. Delivery over the Internet - digital content services....................................................................13 Box 3. Modes of supply in services trade ...............................................................................................20 Box 4. Statistics on the international tradability of services ...................................................................23 Box 4. Statistics on the international tradability of services (c’td) .........................................................24 Box 5. The OECD Services Trade Restrictiveness Index (STRI) - Engineering Services .....................32 Box 6. The OECD DYNEMP project .....................................................................................................40 Box 7. ‘The offshoring of services jobs’ .................................................................................................51 Box 8. Hypothetical extraction ..................................................................................................................59 Box 9. Services input to mining production and exports ...........................................................................66 Box 10. Measuring productivity in services .............................................................................................71 Box 11. Services Trade Restrictiveness: Australia ...................................................................................83 Box 12. Globalisation of Retail Services ..................................................................................................88 Box 13. Data sources used in the analysis of Australian services in international markets through exports .....................................................................................................................................................95 Page 2 of 184 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Services have become a dominant feature of economic activity in developed economies and the wealthiest economies derive the majority of their income and employment from services. The tertiarisation, i.e. the growing importance of services, of OECD economies is driven by demand factors (such as rising incomes, demographic changes resulting in ageing population, growing participation of women in the workforce, etc.) as well as supply factors (in particular the higher growth rates in productivity for manufacturing than in services). The services sector is quantitatively the most important sector in Australia with market and nonmarket services contributing 70% of GDP and accounting for about 75% of total employment. Australian services have recorded strong growth in value-added, employment, and exports during the past decade. Services in Australia have significantly benefitted from the recent resources boom as the growth in national income accompanying the commodity-price boom has triggered an economy-wide adjustment process with the reallocation of productive resources towards (domestic) services; The importance of the services sector for national economies is not only determined by its large size, but also by the growing and complex interactions between services and other industries. Services are increasingly used as important business inputs in the production processes of manufacturing, mining, resources and agricultural industries. Services are often referred to as the glue that holds Global Value Chains (GVCs) together and ensure that international production networks function in a smooth and timely manner. In addition, services add significant value to manufactured products and assist to differentiate, customise and upgrade products, and as such help to gain a competitive advantage. As such, services increasingly contribute to the international competitiveness and the growth of OECD economies. Structural change has been transforming knowledge and ICT-intensive services such as finance and services, business services and telecommunications into dynamic industries in terms of growth, productivity, jobs, new firm creation, new products, etc. The rise of these so-called ‘modern’ services is strongly driven by technology, transportability and tradability; the services are largely provided via ICT networks over long distances, in no time and without quality deterioration. The growth-enhancing potential of knowledge intensive services, offers important growth opportunities for Australia. With uncertainty growing over the economic prospects in emerging economies like China and India, Australia needs to broaden its growth model to become less dependent on the mining sector for economic growth. Because of their strong progressive characteristics, knowledge intensive services are an important source of productivity growth and can help to turn around the downward trend in Australian productivity. Increasingly, Australian services can be expected to suffer less from the tyranny of distance than Australian manufacturing as internationally tradable services are to a large extent provided over ICT networks and hence renders transports costs less important. An international benchmark of knowledge intensive services point however to some structural weaknesses in productivity and innovation within Australian services. For example, although knowledgeintensive services (especially financial services) have performed better in productivity than manufacturing and mining in Australia, significant productivity gaps (in levels and growth rates) persist between Australia and other countries in these industries. Nevertheless, international comparisons of productivity have to be interpreted with care as measuring output and productivity (growth) is not straightforward, particularly in services industries. But, while Australian services show innovation rates which are on par with other OECD economies, knowledge intensive services are not (like in other OECD economies) taking the lead. Instead, innovation performance is similar across services industries in Australia. Page 3 of 184 Australia has a market share of about 1.4% in global services exports, which is double its market share in world exports of manufactured goods; services are the second largest category of Australian exports after natural resources. The strong performance of Australia in services exports is largely attributable to travel services, especially tourism and education-related travel. Australia does not possess a measured comparative advantage in other knowledge intensive services, which at the global level show the largest export growth. It should be stressed, though, that knowledge-intensive services are to a large extent provided abroad through the establishment of foreign affiliates (i.e. Mode 3 – commercial presence). This of course needs to be taken into account in the analysis of the competitiveness of Australian service providers abroad, but a lack of data prevents the assessment of the performance of Australian services through this mode. The economic development of Asia creates important business opportunities for Australia. Domestic services sectors in emerging economies still lag behind the demand by both households and business, resulting in rapidly growing imports of services in these countries. Until now, the growing importance of Asia as a destination for Australian services exports is largely driven by Asian tourists and students going to Australia. But the growing importance of GVCs in Asia including the rapid emergence of Asian manufacturers as global players creates a strong demand for high-quality knowledge-intensive services; if managed well, the complementarity between Asian manufacturing capabilities and Australian services capabilities could create important growth opportunities for Australia. The larger international tradability of services also means that foreign providers increasingly look at the Australian market for new and improved business opportunities. The Australian market is relatively open for foreign services providers, with only a number of restrictions applying (movement of people and foreign ownership). The stronger competition can be expected to result in growing productivity, innovation and a wider choice for Australian consumers. The growing international competition will also force Australian firms to provide services more competitively by further developing their competitive advantages but also addressing their weaknesses. A lot of the policy discussion across OECD economies has centred on manufacturing because of its importance for productivity (as a source of economic growth), innovation (as a source of productivity) and international tradability (as a source of export income and productivity). Services have generally received less attention but the growing size and the changing characteristics of services industries calls for a changed focus of government policy, explicitly taking into account services industries. While employment in a number of services sectors is concentrated at the low-end spectrum of the skills distribution, the services sector in Australia also provides most of the high-skilled jobs which underlines the importance of education and training policies for the further growth of services; human capital is a crucial input into the provision of services because of the direct contact with services customers but also for the necessary innovation in services; the different innovation characteristics of services particularly calls for more attention to ‘softer’ innovation capabilities. Firm dynamics in services industries show higher rates of entry and exit happening at a smaller scale (relative to manufacturing); young firms are not only an important source of employment growth, but also play an important role in experimenting with new ideas thereby driving innovation and economic growth; conducive framework conditions (product market and labour market regulation, taxes, finance, etc.) which allow successful businesses to grow, or failing businesses to exit, will be important in tapping the full growth potential of services. Services and manufacturing clearly show important differences across a number of policy domains, such that the traditional measures which are more geared towards manufacturing, risk being less effective for services. But instead of only focusing what distinguishes manufacturing and services from each other, Page 4 of 184 policy should especially analyse what unites services and other sectors particularly now that GVCs have become pervasive in the global economy. The importance of services industries for policy is still not fully understood, which is considerably linked to the small(er) availability of data and statistics. The heterogeneous character of services calls for analysis at a granular level to capture the idiosyncratic characteristics of services, for example in innovation, productivity, etc. Services are traded in a variety of modes, output is much more heterogeneous, and regulation is much more complex. Statistical work on services is progressing rapidly but nevertheless more policy evidence on services is needed, particularly on the international provision of services through commercial presence. Page 5 of 184 FOREWORD This OECD study was commissioned by the Department of Industry of the Australian Government, and is intended to provide input for the Australian Government as well as inform the public debate more generally. The report was prepared by the Structural Policy Division of the OECD Directorate for Science, Technology and Industry under the direction of Koen De Backer who is also the main author. Isabelle Desnoyers-James, Laurent Moussiegt, and Alexander Ragoussis significantly contributed to the report. Copyright © 2014 Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) Australian Services in the Global Economy © 2014 OECD All rights granted herein are non-exclusive, worldwide rights to reproduce and publish the abovementioned work in, print, electronic, online and accessible versions. This permission does not allow translation of the work. Permission to translate is subject to a separate agreement. Due acknowledgement shall be given to the OECD by including a copyright notice on each of the studies [© 2014 OECD] in accordance with the appropriate date indicated above, followed by the following notice: “The present study was produced by the OECD as background material for the work carried out by the OECD Committee on Industry, Innovation and Entrepreneurship. The opinions expressed and arguments employed herein do not necessarily reflect the official views of the OECD or of its member countries.” Attribution-NoDerivs CC BY-ND This license allows for redistribution, commercial and non-commercial, as long as it is passed along unchanged and in whole, with credit to you. Page 6 of 184 INTRODUCTION Services have become a dominant feature of economic activity in developed economies. The services sector is, by far, the quantitatively most important sector in OECD countries. Market and non-market1 services account for about three quarters of GDP in the whole OECD area; only in a limited number of OECD countries, services represent less than 60% of national GDP (Figure 1). In Australia, market and non-market services accounted for 70% of GDP in 2011. The structure of emerging economies is relatively less oriented towards services; countries like India and China which are going through an important industrialisation process show growing shares of manufacturing in addition to agriculture. FIGURE 1. COMPOSITION OF GDP IN OECD AND BRIICS COUNTRIES, 2011 Value-added of major activity groups as a percentage of total industry value-added Source: OECD Science, Technology and Industry Scoreboard 2013. Because of their growing importance, services have received increasing attention within policy discussions, but only recently. Confronted with a declining role of manufacturing in their national economy, policy makers in OECD countries are increasingly looking to services as a source of not only jobs, but also economic growth, productivity, innovation and international trade. Many aspects of services however remain still poorly understood by economists and policy makers. For example, despite the overall importance of services, it is not always clear what constitutes services. One could argue that all value-added in an economy comes from services, that is, from factor services: all production carries an explicit or implicit valuation which is a return to some (production) factor for its services (Baghwati, 1984). In reality however, the services sector has long been considered as a ‘residual’ sector, including everything what is not ‘agriculture, manufacturing, construction and mining’. 1 Non-market services are provided either free of charge or at prices that are not economically significant, meaning in practice prices that cover less than half the cost of production. Government services constitute the bulk of nonmarket services, but there are others such as e.g. services provided by non-profit organisations. Page 7 of 184 Further on, this ‘residual’ category of services is characterised by a large heterogeneity (some argue: larger than manufacturing); the services sector is composed of a wide variety of different activities ranging from fast food to brain surgery. Services sectors differ widely in their labour-intensity, knowledge intensity and international tradability; they span both in the public and the private sectors, and can be market and non-market in nature. Because of this large heterogeneity within services, no widely accepted definition or classification exists. In order to describe what services are, rather than what they are not, a number of characteristics have been put forward to distinguish between services and goods: their intangible character and lack of materiality, the inability to store or transfer (and trade) them and the necessity for direct interaction between the producer and the consumer2. These ‘peculiarities’ are however not without exception; for example, not all services are intangible, such as repair and transportation; some services produce a ‘tangible’ good like movies, consulting reports, etc. (Drake-Brockman, 2011). Further on, rapid structural change within services has rendered some of these characteristics less meaningful during the past decade. The ongoing digitalisation of certain service activities has facilitated direct cross-border sales of disembodied services resulting in a disconnect between simultaneous production and consumption of services. There are now certainly many more services that can be supplied through cross-border trade than one or two decades ago, and there will be many more in the future. The poor understanding of services explains to a large extent the lack or smaller availability of official statistics on services. The measurement of real value of output, the value of inputs, or trade flows, are all much more challenging in services than the rest of the economy. For example, the difficulty in estimating services productivity results from their intangible nature, complexity of outputs and absence of conventional markets. Lipsey (2009) discussed in more detail some of the problems in measuring trade in services including the growing importance of intangible assets. Since these assets do not have a clear geographical location, they can be easily transferred from one country to another, for example because of tax reasons. This means that the production based on these assets (very often with a service character) and the exports flowing from them will be attributed to countries which did not necessarily house the (physical) production, nor the production factors used. Services have in general been analytically and statistically elusive. It is only during the past decade that significant progress has been made in collecting and developing better statistics on services; these new data and indicators on services trade, innovation, etc. are at large used in this report. These better statistics have broadened our view on the role of services in national economies. This report aims to deepen our understanding on the importance of services in the Australian economy along different dimensions. It should be stressed however that the analysis in this report will be, out of necessity, less detailed than the discussion in a similar OECD report (2012) on Australian manufacturing (including indicators on productivity, labour unit costs, scale, international orientation, comparative advantage, etc.). Data availability for services is much more limited than for manufacturing, particularly if one aims to discuss global trends and benchmark Australian services internationally. While more granularity between different types of services would be directly relevant, the level of analysis in this report is determined by the availability and quality of data on services across countries. 2 Some of these elements are reflected in the internationally agreed economic definition set out in the System of National Accounts which states that services are ‘the result of a production activity that changes the conditions of the consuming units, or facilitates the exchange of products or financial assets.’ Two major types of services are distinguished, change-effecting services (which can apply to goods or to people) and margin services (which can apply to goods and services). Page 8 of 184 Indeed, the second objective of this study is to analyse the Australian services sectors in a global perspective in order to discuss future opportunities and challenges for Australia on international markets for services. Part 1 discusses the global trends in services, in particular structural change, international tradability, productivity and innovation, and firm and industrial dynamics in services sectors across countries. Specific attention is devoted to so-called ‘modern’ services like financial services, telecommunication, professional and business services, as these services categories have undergone profound changes in recent years and provide major growth and business opportunities on an international scale. Part 2 discusses these global trends from the perspective of Australia and compares the services sector in Australia to other OECD economies in order to get a more detailed picture of the strengths and weaknesses of Australian services. The report describes the place Australia currently occupies in global services and benchmarks Australian services internationally along a number of performance dimensions. Specific attention is paid to the position of Australian services in Asia, reflecting the growing importance of regional Asian markets for Australian companies. Part 3 summarises the main findings of the analysis and presents major policy implications for Australia in services sectors. This study uses a traditional ‘industry of origin’ approach3, including distribution services (wholesale, retail, transport and storage, communications), producer services (property and business services and finance and insurance), personal services (accommodation, cafes and restaurants, personal and other services and cultural and recreational services) and social services (health and community services, education and government administration and defence)4. This study excludes construction and utilities, in contrast to for example the 2002 Services Study by the Australian Productivity Commission. National and international data sources have been used to provide the much needed evidence on the Australian services sectors in a global perspective. While the presented results have been developed to maximise international comparability across countries, some care has to be taken into account in using and interpreting the empirical evidence. 3 Alternatively, some have used an approach focusing on services in final expenditures, distinguishing between housing, medical care, education, etc. 4 Most services statistics in Part 1 are classified according to the ISIC-3 classification with services including Categories G to Q (50 to 93); market services are defined as categories G to K (50 to 74). However a number of indicators (e.g. productivity) are based on the new ISIC-4 classification with services including Categories G to S (45 to 96); market services are correspondingly defined as categories G to N (45 to 82). Page 9 of 184 PART 1 GLOBAL TRENDS IN SERVICES 1. Structural change in services The tertiarisation of OECD economies The world economy has shifted markedly towards services in recent decades as many OECD economies have witnessed a declining presence of manufacturing with a concurrent rise in the importance of services. Today's wealthiest economies have been deriving most of their income and employment from services. According to the most recent OECD data, the services sector accounts for over 74% of total employment and 71% of the aggregate value-added generated in the OECD area. Economic development of countries is reflected in a shift from primary production to manufacturing, and later to services (the so called ‘tertiarisation’ of western economies). In the initial stages of economic development, agriculture typically accounts for the bulk of GDP and employment, as is still the case in many developing countries. In later stages, the share of agriculture in total value-added and employment typically declines and the manufacturing sector grows as economies industrialise 5. Most OECD economies are beyond this stage now and are characterised by a long-term trend of deindustrialisation (i.e. a decreasing importance of manufacturing) with services accounting for a growing share of national employment and value-added (Figure 2) FIGURE 2. SHARE OF SERVICES IN AGGREGATE VALUE-ADDED AND EMPLOYMENT, 1995-2011 Employment Value-added Notes: Employment refers to persons employed; value-added is reported in constant prices. Source: OECD Structural Analysis (STAN) Database A number of factors at the demand side as well as at the supply side explain the continuing tertiarisation of OECD economies. First, rising incomes have resulted in a growing final demand for services and significant shifts in private domestic consumption6. Demand for services is traditionally 5 However, some countries may ‘leapfrog’ in services thereby foregoing deep industrialisation (The Economist, 2011; Ghani et al., 2011). 6 Early work by Kuznets (1957) and Fuchs (1968) established that the services share of GDP tended to rise with GDP per capita, a fact that was attributed to high income-elasticity of demand for services relative to other sectors. This explanation was challenged later by researchers although the empirical fact of a disproportional rise in services output at later stages of development remains solid. Page 10 of 184 perceived to be income elastic, implying that an increase in incomes will lead to more than proportionate increases in the demand for services. This is typically considered to be the case for services such as leisure activities, high quality health and care services, higher education or other services, e.g. travel, that may contribute to an improved quality of life. Second, some services sectors are faced with growing demand due to factors other than incomes, e.g. demographic changes. Longer life expectancy in industrialised countries is resulting in a rapidly ageing population, so that demand for certain services (e.g. health and personal services) is rising. In addition, changes in life styles (hotels and restaurants, tourism, creative industries), growing participation of women in the workforce (personal services) or the growing use of the internet (computer services, telecommunications) have also been affecting final demand patterns for services. Lastly, demand for some services, notably education and health services, are closely linked to the size of welfare states in OECD countries. Previous empirical work has reported a significant positive effect of the size of the welfare state on the share of services in total employment (OECD, 2000). Third, the growth of the services sector in national economies is also spurred by the growing intermediate demand for services, as services are increasingly used as intermediate inputs to other industrial activities (see below). Outsourcing of services activities is more common today than it was in the past and this this is not only confined to entire service functions but also individual services tasks that have increasingly been outsourced and offshored (see Grossman and Rossi-Hansberg, 2008; Lanz et al., 2011, for work on the so called ‘trade in tasks’).7 At the supply side, differences in productivity growth between services and (especially) manufacturing helps to explain the structural shift towards services in OECD economies (in employment as well as value-added particularly in current prices). Outlined in Baumol’s (1967) stylised model of unbalanced growth, differential productivity growth rates result in the re-allocation of resources (i.e. employment) towards the “stagnant’ services sector (see Box 1). Because of the relatively high productivity growth in manufacturing, prices of manufacturing products tend to increase only little over time and may even fall. This contrasts with the experience of many parts of the services sector, where productivity growth has been slower and prices tend to go up more strongly over time. Consequently, manufacturing products have become relatively cheap and therefore account for a smaller proportion of GDP than they did before (Pilat et al., 2006). Because of the limited potential for productivity growth in some services industries, Baumol argued that the shift to un-progressive services will drive down the long-term economic growth of OECD economies. Some have attributed the productivity slowdown in the 1970s and early 1980s to this model of unbalanced growth, although others argued that conceptual and empirical problems in measuring output and prices led to an important mismeasurement of productivity in services sectors (Triplett and Bosworth, 2000; Griliches, 1994). More fundamentally, the assumption that all services are by definition ‘stagnant’ or ‘unprogressive’ industries is no longer valid; heterogeneity within services was already large and has only increased due to technical progress in the past decades. 7 This is also due to a statistical artefact as many in-house service activities have been outsourced by manufacturing companies (cleaning, transport, etc.). Page 11 of 184 BOX 1. BAUMOL’S THEORY ON THE COST DISEASE IN/OF THE SERVICE SECTOR The main idea behind Baumol’s theory of Cost Disease is that the tendency of unbalanced growth across sectors induces resource re-allocation towards the slowly growing or stagnant sector, eventually slowing down aggregate growth. Baumol’s (1967) views derive from the assumption that the economy consists of two distinct sectors. The first is a growing (manufacturing) sector, characterised by rapid technological progress, capital accumulation, and economies of scale. The second one is a relatively stagnant (service) sector, consisting of services such as education, performing arts, public administration, health and social work. Due to the nature of this second sector, any potential for technological progress in this sector would only be temporary. These services might thus be subsidised by an eventual increase in the costs that would have to be incurred in providing them. The crucial point for differentiation between the two sectors lies in the role of labour. In the first sector, labour is mainly an input in the production of some final good. In the second sector, labour is rather an end in itself. In order to stress the point, Baumol assumes that labour is the only input into production, with the total supply of labour being constant. Furthermore, wages in the two sectors are assumed to change in parallel to money wages, and thus to income in the economy, rising as rapidly as output per man hour in the growing sector. As a consequence, costs (i.e. wage costs) would steadily increase in the stagnant sector, while costs could be held constant within the growing sector, due to the productivity growth that can be achieved there. This leads to two possible scenarios of inter sectoral resource allocation and aggregate economic performance. In the first scenario, there is a tendency for the output of the stagnant sector to disappear. This would mainly be the case if demand for the service industries is not highly price or income inelastic. In the second scenario, however, the relative supply of both sectors’ goods is assumed to be constant. Either the demand for stagnant sectors’ goods is highly price inelastic, as is the case for social and health services, or production of these sectors is subsidised, as is the case in cultural services. In this second scenario, an increasing share in labour would have to be transferred to the stagnant industry, while the share of labour allocated to the growing industry would eventually approach zero. In the long term, the second scenario would lead to declining aggregate productivity growth, as the weighted average of the two sectors, with the weights being the relative employment shares of each contributing sector. Despite the intuitive appeal of Baumol’s argument and its foundation in empirical evidence during the 1960s, two factors argue against declining aggregate productivity growth. First, not all service industries are stagnant; ICT use, for instance, has contributed to improved productivity growth in the services sector in several countries (see also Baumol, Blackman and Wolff, 1985). Second, declining aggregate productivity growth might only occur if these service industries produce final goods, not if they produce intermediate inputs (Oulton, 1999, and Fixler and Siegel, 1999). Source: Wölfl (2005) The rise of ‘modern’ services and the growing progressive character of services The assertion that productivity improvements in services are harder to achieve than in goods producing industries is traditionally explained by the labour-intensive character of services and especially the face-to-face interaction necessary to deliver these services. Technological innovations combined with new business models however have profoundly altered the nature of services provision and structure for certain categories of services. Baghwati (1984) described a process of splintering and disembodiment of services such that services initially embodied in the person providing them and thus requiring the physical presence of the service provider have become increasingly disembodied as a result of technical progress. Important obstacles to the international delivery of services have been eliminated as new means of supplying services remotely have been developed (see for example Box 2 for a discussion on service provision via the internet). Page 12 of 184 BOX 2. DELIVERY OVER THE INTERNET - DIGITAL CONTENT SERVICES Over the past five years, digital content (i.e. goods and services that are downloaded, streamed or hosted over the Internet) has developed rapidly. The increase in digital content availability and heavier Internet use have not only transformed consumer behaviour – digital content is arguable the most important driver of consumer Internet adoption- but also challenge traditional business models. The switch to digital technologies has forced business in a growing list of sectors to rethink business models in order to survive. The growing marketplace for digital content is spurred by increased convergence of delivery channels and platforms online and has resulted in a shift from physical media to delivery over the Internet. The digital content available over the Internet is increasingly delivered over two different types of networks: wired broadband and wireless mobile networks. High-speed Internet connections on both platforms are becoming the foundation for innovation in the digital content sector. In addition, during the last years, however, users have adopted, en masse, the powerful combination of smart handheld devices and mobile Internet connectivity. Digital content includes more traditional products like music, films, computer and video games; a recent development is the growth of user-created content (UCC) which can be defined as content that is made publicly available over the Internet, which reflects a ‘certain amount of creative effort’ and is ‘created outside professional routines and practices’ (OECD, 2007). There are a variety of UCC platforms like blogs, social network sites, podcasting, wikis, etc. Global consumer demand for buying and using digital content products across multiple channels and platforms is increasing. In 2010, games led global consumer demand, accounting for an estimated 39% of digital revenues. According to the International Federation of the Phonographic Industry (IFPI), digital music worldwide accounted for about 29% of recording companies’ revenues, with the United States constituting the largest marketplace. Digital music revenue amounted to more than four times that of the combined online revenues generated by the book, film and newspaper industries (IFPI, 2011), although these other industries are much larger overall. According to the Pew Internet & American Life Project, music, software and applications were the most popular digital content purchases in the United States in late 2010, although games, e-books and news articles also featured among the intangible digital products purchased by consumers. Figures for newspaper, magazine and/or journal articles or reports were much lower: just 18% of consumers stated that they had paid to access or download these types of digital content. The majority of users preferred paying for subscription services (23%) as opposed to downloading individual files (16%) or streaming content (8%) (Jansen, 2010). Business models are rapidly adjusting to allow the delivery of sophisticated, integrated broadband content offers that cover a range of digital content. Companies must innovate constantly to survive; adapt to changes in product content and delivery means; provide better quality, higher speed at lower prices, better payment facilities and better coverage and improve customer service. As online businesses strive to remain competitive and to gain market share, growing Internet uptake in emerging markets is pressuring companies to search for new frontiers, and to adapt to changing consumer preferences and environments. New business models are emerging, some of which mirror offline models (e.g. pay-per-item digital content sales) and some of which are new (e.g. sale of virtual items or professional subscription accounts). New, complex value chains involve a number of newPage actors, and184 the changes, maturity of business models and 13 of user acceptance differ across the different sectors in digital content (see table below). Ghani and Kharas (2011) argue that the so-called 3 T’s (technology, transportability and tradability) have given rise to a category of progressive services labelled by Mishra et al. (2012) as ‘modern’ services. These modern services are more similar to manufacturing goods in the sense that they can be digitally stored and more easily traded. Technological progress particularly in ICT has increased the codifiability of certain services, giving them a physical and storable presence (e.g. financial products, telecommunications, data, etc.). Via ICT networks (telecom networks, internet, satellite, etc.), these services can be electronically transported over long distances in no time and without quality deterioration. The increased transportability has in turn thus rendered services more internationally tradable. Services that were not traded at all are now more often exchanged across borders. The fact that service provision requires lower spatial and temporal interaction allows providers to reach out to more customers and attain the scale thresholds for standardising their services. This goes hand in hand with a trend of ‘modularisation’ as this overcomes the dichotomy between standard and customised services (see Baldwin and Clark, 1997; Tether et al., 2001). Recent evidence indeed shows a move towards tailoring new services to individual customer needs, while retaining the cost advantages associated with standardisation and scale (Glazer, 2007). ‘Modern’ services are as such not distinguished as a separate category in statistical classifications on services, but indirect evidence presented below indeed points to the growing importance of this category of services in OECD economies. Typically more ICT intensive than other categories, the group of modern services is mostly observed within the group of knowledge-intensive ‘market services’ like telecommunications, financial services and business services (like engineering, consulting, etc.) 8. It should be noted however that in recent years, also specific categories in transportation, logistics, wholesale and retail services as well as some non-market services such as health and education (e.g. distance learning) also increasingly include ‘modern’-type services. Business services, and to a lesser extent financial services, have grown more strongly than other services sectors in the OECD as well as in Australia, reflected in their rising share in services value-added, employment between 1995 and 2009 (Figure 3). The above-average growth of financial intermediation and real estate/business services is highest in terms of exports, clearly illustrating the growing tradability of these services. The growing importance of these sectors is less outspoken in employment which is most likely related to the important productivity enhancements in these services sectors. The results in Figure 3 seem to show less support for the rise of telecommunications services; however, data for telecommunications are only available combined with data on transport and storage which may show diverging results. Further on, general trends in prices and quantities have moved in opposite directions for this broad group of distribution services, which may result in decreasing shares in nominal currencies like value-added and exports. 8 Knowledge-intensive market services include categories 64 (Post and telecommunications), 65-67 (Finance and insurance) and 71-74 (Business services excluding real estate) in the ISIC-3 classification. According to ISIC-4, knowledge-intensive services include categories (Information and communication), 64-66 (Finance and insurance) and 69-75 (Professional, scientific and technical activities). Page 14 of 184 FIGURE 3. COMPOSITION OF THE SERVICES SECTOR IN OECD AND AUSTRALIA, VALUEADDED, EMPLOYMENT AND EXPORTS, 1995 AND 2009 VALUE-ADDED Australia OECD EMPLOYMENT Australia OECD EXPORTS Australia OECD Note: TRD: wholesale and retail trade; HRE: hotels and restaurants; TSC: transport, storage and communications; FIN: financial intermediation; RBA: real estate and business activities; PAD: public administration and defence; EDU: education; HSW: health and social work; CSP: community, social and personal services Source: OECD Structural Analysis (STAN) Database OECD-WTO Trade in Value-Added (TiVA) Database Page 15 of 184 The rise of modern services strongly contributes to the growing progressive character of services, and as such a more positive and optimistic view on the role of services in national economies. The tertiarisation of OECD economies raised questions among policy makers and Baumol’s cost disease’ had – in some countries more than others – significantly influenced policy thinking about structural change in OECD economies. Large discussions about the need for (re-)industrialisation have been taking place in many countries as manufacturing is still considered to be the engine of economic growth because of its contribution to rapid technical progress and strong economies of scale (Kaldor, 1967). In general, services have received less attention in the policy debate as they have traditionally been labelled as ‘un-progressive’. Indeed, discussions on manufacturing versus services typically focus on the progressive character of manufacturing in terms of productivity (as a source of economic growth), innovation (as a source of productivity) and international trade (as a source of export income and also productivity) 9. But the fact that services have dramatically changed over time with certain services increasingly displaying these progressive characteristics of manufacturing underlines the increasing growth-enhancing potential of services. Modern services are characterised by high and growing productivity, knowledge-intensity and international tradability. Just like manufacturing goods, some services benefit from technological advances and specialisation through the division of labour, economies of scale and network effects (Mishra et al. 2012). Some analysis argues that services will be next growth escalator including in developing economies (Ghani et al., 2011). The contribution of services sectors to aggregate (labour) productivity growth has been rising in most OECD countries10. Productivity estimates for manufacturing and total market services show that manufacturing still shows the highest growth of labour productivity. A detailed look at individual services categories shows that particularly the groups of wholesale, retail and accommodation and transport and storage are characterised by lower productivity growth (Figure 4). ‘Modern’ – knowledge- and ICT-intensive, services such as information and communication and finance and insurance show much higher growth rates of labour productivity over the last 10 years. These significant productivity increases in (modern) services combined with their growing relative size has resulted in a growing contribution of market services to aggregate labour productivity growth (Figure 5). Services increasingly determine the overall labour productivity growth, and thus economic growth, in OECD economies. This is especially the case in Australia where the contribution of market services accounts for more than three quarters of total labour productivity growth. 9 See OECD (2012a), Australian Manufacturing in the Global Economy, prepared for the Australian Government. 10 The progressive character of services in terms of international tradability and innovation will be discussed in separate sections below. 16 FIGURE 4. GROWTH IN LABOUR PRODUCTIVITY BY SECTOR Percentage change at annual rate Notes: Manufacturing refers to ISIC Rev.4 C.; Market services excl. real estate refers to ISIC Rev.4 G to N excl. L.; Trade; transport; accommodation, food refers to ISIC Rev.4 G to I; Information and communication refers to ISIC Rev.4 J; Finance and insurance refers to ISIC Rev.4 K.; Professional, scientific and support activities; administrative and support service activities refers to ISIC Rev. 4 M to N. 17 Source: OECD Compendium of Productivity Indicators 2013. 18 FIGURE 5. INDUSTRY CONTRIBUTION TO GROWTH IN REAL BUSINESS SECTOR VALUEADDED PER HOUR WORKED Percentage point contribution at annual rate 19 Notes: The business sector is measured as the non-agricultural business sector excluding real estate. It covers mining, manufacturing; utilities; construction; and market sector services. The latter cover distributive trade, repair, accommodation, food and transport services; information and communication; financial and insurance; professional; scientific and support activities. Source: OECD Compendium of Productivity Indicators 2013. 2. The growing internationalisation of services sectors: from local to global Different modes of supplying services abroad Technological progress particularly in ICT (as discussed above), deregulation of previously closed service industries and multilateral efforts to liberalise service trade have allowed services companies to enter new markets outside their home market. On the demand side, the emergence of an exponentially growing middle class in emerging economies has opened up new markets for financial services, health, education and tourism (WTO, 2012a). As a result, services sectors have become increasingly internationalised; in general, the internationalisation of services takes place through four different modes of supply, depending on the territorial presence of the supplier and the consumer at the time of the transaction (see Box 3 for definitions and examples). Only in Mode 1 (Cross-border supply), services are transferred between countries; Modes 1 and 3 (respectively ‘cross-border supply’ and ‘commercial presence’) do not involve movement of people while Modes 2 and 4 (respectively ‘consumption abroad’ and ‘presence of natural persons’) do. BOX 3. MODES OF SUPPLY IN SERVICES TRADE Cross-border supply (Mode 1) takes place when a service is supplied into the territory of another country without anybody moving. This is similar to trade in goods where the product is delivered across borders and both the consumer and the supplier remain in their respective territories. Financial services or brokerage services across the border are typical examples of services traded predominantly through that mode. Consumption abroad (Mode 2) occurs when the consumer moves to the territory of the supplier for the transaction to occur. Tourist services, education or persons travelling abroad to receive medical treatment are typical examples of that mode. Commercial presence (Mode 3), takes place through established presence of the supplier to the territory of the consumer. This mode corresponds essentially to establishment of facilities or permanent presence through Foreign Direct Investment. The value of trade corresponds to the value of sales by foreign affiliates. Typical examples of such presence are telecommunications and private banking. The presence of natural persons (Mode 4) occurs when an individual (and not a firm like in mode 3) is temporarily present in the territory of an economy other than his own to provide a commercial service. Mode 4 is generally understood as covering contractual services of suppliers (such as self-employed, intra-corporate transferees, and foreign employees directly recruited by foreign established companies). The choice for one or another mode of supply depends on a broad range of different factors. First, sectoral characteristics explain to a large extent the dominant mode that is chosen for services provision. Education for example involves large trade under Mode 2 with students moving in order to study in a 20 foreign university11. Second, mode-specific regulatory restrictions also affect the decision as countries may apply, for example relatively high restrictions in the movement of people and/or when red-tape and restrictions to foreign ownership are common. If regulation makes it costly to establish a commercial presence, services suppliers most likely decide to serve the market through temporary movement of people. Third, important complementarities exist between different modes. For example, a foreign company established under Mode 3 may contract the services of nationals from the home country (Mode 4) to export services cross-border abroad (Mode 1). Business visits (Mode 4) may be necessary to complement crossborder supplies into another country (Mode 1) or to upgrade the capacity of a locally established office Mode 3). It is clear that because of such complementarities barriers of any nature in one mode of supply may also adversely affect rather than boost trade in another mode (Fillat- Castejón et al. 2008; Nordås and Kox, 2009). For example, cross-border trade of business, communication and financial services is found to increase when commercial presence increases, rather than when it is restricted (Fillat-Castejón et al. (2008). Also Pain and van Welsum (2004) report on the complementarity between outward investment and trade in services. In general, the more similar a country pair is in terms of business environment and regulation, the more commercial presence appears to be the preferred mode of supply. Heterogeneity duplicates compliance costs in new markets (which are typically higher for commercial presence than for crossborder supply), hence differences in regulation can be as important for the choice of mode as is the level of regulation. Estimates show that if all countries would harmonize or recognize each other’s regulation, total services trade through commercial presence could increase by between 13% and 30% depending on the country (Nordås and Kox, 2009). Also the remoteness of a foreign country is a determinant of whether to establish commercial presence, like in the case of goods. Yet trade-offs are different and more complex in the case of services12. In addition to cross-border trade and commercial presence that are available to goods’ producers, Modes 2 and 4 in services trade involve also a variable cost for the movement of people that rises with distance. Commercial presence will hence be preferred only when interaction with customers is necessary for the efficient provision of services, or when the establishment of such lasting relationships with customers boosts rents to a level that exceeds the fixed costs of commercial presence (Oldenski, 2012). Available, albeit limited, evidence demonstrates the growing international tradability of services Statistics on the international supply of services (see Box 4) show that commercial presence is the preferred mode of supply for services13. Estimates by the WTO suggest that the value of services supplied through foreign affiliates (Mode 3) represents about 55% of total services supplied abroad and is thus higher than the value of exported services (Table 1; Maurer and Magdeleine, 2011). Data for individual countries seem to confirm the importance of affiliates’ sales for the globalisation of services 14. The 11 In recent years, one observes an increasing importance of other modes for supplying education services abroad: distance and on-line education (Mode 1), the development of affiliates abroad of education providers (Mode 3) and teachers/lecturers travelling abroad (Mode 4). 12 In the goods’ export versus FDI literature, the decision to produce at home or in the destination market is based on a trade-off between economies of scale achieved by concentrating production in the home country and the avoidance of transport costs through commercial presence that rise with distance (see Markusen, 2002, for an integral analysis of this trade-off). 13 Even when cross-border trade is more feasible due to technological improvements (Francois and Hoekman, 2009; Nordås and Kox, 2009; Oldenski, 2012). 14 The availability and quality of the data however calls for caution in interpreting the presented results and may explain the results of some countries. First, not all countries collect statistics on AMNE activities abroad, and not 21 turnover of foreign affiliates abroad active in service industries is in many countries a multiple of the services exports of these countries, though important differences exist across reporting countries (see Annex 1). This mode of supply of services abroad via foreign affiliates has significantly grown over the years: services sales of foreign affiliates abroad have consistently increased up to the financial/economic crisis in 2008/2009 (Figure 6). Preliminary figures for 2011 and 2012 however suggest that services sales are on the rise again. for all (services) sectors. Second, MNE surveys typically show a lower coverage for outward investment (compared to inward investment). Third, the turnover of foreign affiliates in services sectors does not necessarily equal services sales (e.g. some services firms might also sell goods, while also reversely manufacturing companies may sell services separately from their goods). 22 BOX 4. STATISTICS ON THE INTERNATIONAL TRADABILITY OF SERVICES Upon conclusion of the General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS) and the definition of international trade of services encompassing four modes of supply, the Task Force on Statistics of International Trade in Services which is now composed of seven international organisations (including OECD, WTO and IMF) started to develop recommendations for methodologies on measuring trade in services. The Manual on Statistics of International Trade in Services (MSITS 2002, 2010) provides guidelines to develop statistics on the international supply of services abroad providing statistical criteria to develop statistics for the four modes of supply (see figure below). Statistics on the international tradability of services Source: Maurer and Magdeleine (2011) Data on services sales by foreign affiliates – commercial presence (Mode 3) are collected within the Survey of Multinational Enterprises, particularly in the EU and the United States. Australia conducted a survey on MNEs in 2002-2003 and more recently, a new survey was undertaken in 2008/2009 focusing exclusively on the sector of financial services. A lot of countries however do not collect statistics on this Mode 3; FDI statistics are often used as a proxy for affiliates sales for countries where no MNE data are available although this has some drawbacks (e.g. FDI is a financial concept which does not necessarily measure ‘real’ investment as it is increasingly affected by the activities of Special Purpose Entities (SPEs)). UNCTAD reports that the share of services in outward FDI has consistently increased over the years and accounts for almost 70% of world FDI stock. Exports and imports of services are provided within the Balance of Payments (BOP) statistics and cover Modes 1, 2 and 4. Data on trade in services are not as widely available as on trade in goods; for example, the HS classification for trade in goods includes around 5300 products/articles (6-digit, although some countries have more detail on 9 and even 12 digit- level). Data on services trade under the latest Balance of Payments Manual sixth edition (BPM 6), more specifically in the Extended Balance of Payments Services (EBOPS – 2010) classification) counts around 140 services categories. Australia being the first OECD country to implement BPM6, releases 7000 disaggregated trade categories for goods and 70 service 23 trade categories for trade with partner country (Drake-Brockman, 2011). Box 4. Statistics on the international tradability of services (continued) As international transactions may be composed of several modes of supply, the different modes of supply (1, 2 and 4) cannot be distinguished in the exports and imports reported within BOP. Derived from the definitions of the GATS, the MSITS 2010 proposes a simplified allocation of the EBOPS-2010 services categories across the different modes of supply. Transport (except supporting and auxiliary services to carriers in foreign ports, which should be allocated to Mode 2), insurance and pension services, financial services, telecommunication services and information services and to a certain extent charges for the use of intellectual property n.i.e are deemed to be predominantly provided via Mode 1 (Cross-border supply). Services recorded under manufacturing services on physical inputs owned by others, maintenance and repair services n.i.e. and travel (i.e. excluding goods) should be allocated to Mode 2 (consumption abroad). Combined Modes 1 and 4 transactions are often found in computer services, other business services (research and development services, professional and management consulting services etc.) and personal, cultural, and recreational services; construction services recorded in BOP may be provided through Mode 3 and Mode 4 (see figure below). Statistics on the international tradability of services Source: Maurer and Magdeleine (2011) 24 TABLE 1. THE DIFFERENT MODES OF SUPPLYING SERVICES ABROAD, WORLD, STATISTICAL APPROXIMATION, 2005 Mode 1. Mode 2. Mode 3. Mode 4. Cross-border supply Consumption abroad Commercial presence Presence of natural persons Percentage 25-30 10-15 55-60 Less than 5 Source: Maurer and Magdeleine (2011) FIGURE 6. Turnover of affiliates abroad in the services sector, selected sample of OECD countries 1 USD billion Note: Data for Austria, Belgium, Canada, Finland, Germany, Japan and the United States. Source: OECD, Activities of Multinational Enterprises (AMNE) database. Data on the exports of services, largely capturing Modes 1, 2 and 4, show that services have become increasingly tradable across borders with average annual growth rates of services exports close to 10% (which is slightly higher than growth in merchandise exports; Figure 7)15. Services overall remain less traded than manufactured goods when looking at gross trade data. Indeed, for some services production and consumption still coincide spatially and temporally and services seem overall to be more sensitive to cultural and language barriers than goods. Further on, regulatory frictions and state intervention still play a role in some services sectors thereby limiting domestic and international competition in some services sectors. However, it should be stressed that manufacturing exports include to a large extent value-added that is created in services sectors. The value of a large number of (tangible) goods stems to a large extent from services; Bryson and Daniels (2010) put forward that service functions now comprise 70-80% of the 15 Lipsey (2009) however notes that growth figures in services trade have to be interpreted carefully, particularly if they go back a long time; not only the number of countries reporting services trade is increasing but also the number of services categories reported on have increased over time. 25 production costs of most manufacturing firms. In looking at trade in value-added instead of gross terms, the recent OECD work on Global Value Chains and Trade in Value-Added has demonstrated that the internationally tradability of services is actually much larger than international trade statistics indicate (see below). FIGURE 7. GROSS EXPORTS OF GOODS AND SERVICES 1996-2012 GROWTH (1996 = 100) 2012 LEVEL (IN BILLION USD) Source: IMF Balance of Payments Looking at which categories of services are supplied abroad, available AMNE data suggest that wholesale, retail, repair and trade is the most important sector for Mode 3: more than 50% of the turnover of foreign affiliates in services originates in these industries. Other important services industries for commercial presence are finance and insurance and information and communication (see Annex 2). FDI data (outward stock figures, available for a larger number of countries but in a slightly different industry classification) suggest that Mode 3 is especially important for other business services. In line with AMNE data, finance and insurance is also found to be important in FDI data on commercial presence. Services exports data, which are classified according to services categories instead of services sectors (see Annex 3 for the EBOPS 2010 classification), indicate that transport, travel and other business activities are the most important services categories traded in the world. Each of them accounted for a bit a less than one quarter of total world exports. Other services categories are in general less traded (see Annex 2). Internationalisation of intermediate services Intermediate services are at the forefront of the internationalisation in services sectors: the majority (more than 80%) of services exports are destined for intermediate use in other countries. The exports of business services, financial services and transportation services serve especially as services inputs in the production of goods and services in other countries. Less dependent on final consumer preferences and cultural barriers they may be the vehicle for fastest internationalisation in services. 26 But intermediate services also internationalise through downstream industries. Services value-added is to a large extent embodied into the output of other domestic industries (especially manufacturing), which is then subsequently more easily exported. The largest part of the (domestic) services value-added that is exported is indirect, i.e. services value-added is included in exports of non-services industries like manufacturing, mining, etc. (Figure 8). In fact, the internationalisation of some of the less tradable services is more often realised via the intermediary of other more tradable industries rather than through direct exports. Legal services for example that are relatively hard to sell directly cross-border are used intensively within the domestic market by export-intensive firms in other industries. Value-added from legal services could hence be exported indirectly much more intensively than directly by law firms. FIGURE 8. COMPOSITION OF SERVICES VALUE-ADDED EXPORTS: DIRECT, INDIRECT, RE-IMPORTED AND FOREIGN, 2009 Note: The bars show the composition (in %) of services value -added that is exported by countries: ‘direct domestic’ is services valueadded that is created domestically and is exported as services by the country in question; ‘indirect domestic’ is services value- added created domestically and is included in the exports of non-services sectors (manufacturing, mining, agriculture, etc.) of the country in question; ‘reimported domestic’ is services value-added that has been created domestically, was then exported and then re-imported in the country in question and is then again exported (in services and non-services exports) by that country; ‘foreign’ concerns services value-added created abroad which has been imported in the country in question and is included in that country’s exports. Source: OECD Trade in Value-Added (TiVA) Database, May 2013 These embodied services go unnoticed in international trade statistics on services - as they are counted as manufacturing, agriculture or mining exports – and hence are an important source of underestimation of the actual tradability of services. The OECD-WTO Trade in Value-Added (TiVA) database shows that on average around 45% of the value of exports in OECD countries is services value-added (OECD, 2013c) – compared to the services share of 25% in gross trade. For example, in the United States, the United Kingdom, France, Spain and Singapore, the services sector contributes 50% or more of total exports in value-added terms, while the share of services lags significantly in these countries’ exports in gross terms (Figure 9). For Australia, the export share of services almost doubles switching from gross (21%) to valueadded terms (40%). 27 FIGURE 9. SERVICES AS A SHARE OF GROSS AND VALUE-ADDED EXPORTS, 2009 Source: OECD-WTO Trade in Value-Added (TiVA) Database. Comparative advantage in downstream industries may thus contribute to a large extent to the international specialisation in services industries. For example, comparative advantage in mining has the potential to boost domestic demand for specific services such as transport that grow disproportionally more than other services. This also means that the globalisation of services firms in some industries could be promoted effectively through indirect linkages in the domestic market, that have ultimately little to do with trade policy. Industrial and innovation policies targeting services could potentially have an impact on services value-added exported that is comparable to what is achieved by trade policies. New importers and new exporters of services While services trade was for many decades a North-North phenomenon, over the past ten years the picture has changed significantly. Imports and exports of services by emerging economies are growing at a very high pace. China’s exports in services experienced a five-fold increase in the past decade recording a year-on-year growth of over 26% (WTO, 2012b), but started of course from a low benchmark. India and other Asian countries have also significantly increased their services exports just like Brazil; the rest of the developing world (Africa most notably) however has remained rather uninvolved in the trend16. While both imports and exports of services from fast growing economies are on the rise, imports are expanding disproportionally more. China and Brazil run large structural service deficits according to the latest WTO data, and surprisingly India also runs deficits in some key sectors such as financial services. The reason is that, although emerging markets have grown significantly over the past two decades, their domestic services sectors still lag behind demand by both households and businesses. Sophisticated services from mature providers are increasingly sought in emerging economies. Moreover, greater access to emerging markets, the opening of services sectors and the improvement of communication and transport infrastructures has increased the import penetration for services in these countries. Overall, import penetration in services has deepened substantially over the past decade in emerging Asian markets (Figure 10) attesting to the emergence of new opportunities for exports from developed countries. An illustration of how rising wealth in emerging markets boosts the demand for foreign services is the growth in tourism and education services imports. China’s transport services imports increased by 27.0% 16 Part 2 analyses to what extent Australian services have benefitted from these developments. 28 and travel by 32.2% in 2011 alone (WTO, 2012b), due to a combination of higher personal disposable incomes and better integration of the local transport network with the rest of the world. But business demand for services is also rising: growing manufacturing production in South East Asia has created high demand for business, financial and transport services, which is only partly served by domestic suppliers. Similar observations come clear in services affiliates’ sales abroad (Mode 3 – Commercial presence) showing that outward investment in services goes to developed but increasingly also emerging economies. US affiliates abroad realise an increasing share of their services turnover in emerging economies: the share of emerging economies increased from 24% in 2000 to 30% in 2010. The same applies for Japanese affiliates abroad: the share of emerging economies in services turnover abroad increased from 25% in 2000 to 34% in 2010. Likewise, WTO reports that in 2009, United States exports of commercial services to India decreased by 4% while services supplied through commercial presence rose by 34%. Similarly, in China services supplied by US majority-owned foreign affiliates grew by 25%, while exports of commercial services grew by only 2%. FIGURE 10. AVERAGE ANNUAL GROWTH IN DOMESTIC SERVICES OUTPUT AND SERVICES IMPORTS Notes: The size of the bubbles is proportional to the level of imports. Unlabelled and unfilled bubbles are OECD member countries. Source: OECD calculations based on World Input Output Database (WIOD) A wide range of barriers to services trade While impediments to merchandise trade can be (relatively) easily measured in terms of trade barriers like tariffs and quotas, impediments to services trade are more complex and harder to measure. Tariffs are generally smaller or non-existent for services trade, but the scope of potential barriers to trade in services is broader than trade in goods. Services are traded in a variety of modes, output is much more heterogeneous, and regulations covering both domestic and cross-country transactions are much more complex. That is 29 why explicit identification or quantification of barriers is notoriously difficult and analysis on this topic is still in its infancy (see Box 5).17 Some of the horizontal policies that restrict services trade include restrictions on market entry (such as equity limits, licensing requirements, or economic needs tests), restrictions to the movement of people, heterogeneous services standards, and competition regulation. Barriers may be discriminatory against foreign suppliers, but even when that is not the case, trade may be to a large extent restricted through domestic regulation that prevents entry and competition. Much of this regulation is sector-specific, e.g. a wide range of rules in telecommunication services concern access and interconnection, number portability, local loop unbundling and infrastructure sharing which will directly affect the decision of foreign providers to enter a market. Regulation with bearing on services trade is present in all countries, and there does not seem to be a clear North-South pattern in countries that are more open than others. Across sectors, professional and transportation services seem to be among the most protected in both industrial and developing countries, while retail, telecommunications and finance tend to be more open. The impact of services trade barriers also varies according to the mode of supply; as trade in services overall occurs increasingly through commercial presence, barriers to foreign investment are the category that receives most attention. Some of the sectors that have grown exponentially the last years, like education, or health services occur importantly through Mode 2, partly because of important barriers to commercial presence. Countries could boost trade in services in these sectors by allowing transition to Mode 3, e.g. by allowing the establishment of foreign medical providers, universities, training providers or banks in their territory. In legal services, especially the restrictions to the movement of people are damaging as Mode 4 accounts for large part of the exports of these services. Governments are slowly opening services to international competition. Although most initiatives in services sectors have been unilateral, multilateral negotiations at the WTO within the GATS structure are also contributing to a reduction in discriminatory barriers against foreign producers. In addition, regional trade agreements (RTAs) with provisions for trade in services have proliferated the last two decades. Most agreements entered into by its member countries include provisions for services, dealing with a variety of areas, such as investment, competition, intellectual property or government procurement. These agreements usually go beyond GATS with additional specific commitments on market access and national treatment, as well as complementary sets of disciplines in sectors such as telecommunications or financial services (see Miroudot et al. 2010). Lowering trade policy barriers in services reflects a more general change of government attitudes towards more competition in services industries. Many market failures have been put forward in the past for not liberalising services sectors: natural monopolies resulting from high fixed costs of entry, universal provision, and quality assurance are only some of them. Monopolies and oligopolies have long dominated network sectors with the government often controlling directly shares of the market. In addition, excessive regulation in many countries still prevents entry and competitive conduct in many liberal professions, health services, and education. Reforms, such as the privatisation and restructuring of major state-owned service providers, infrastructure sharing and opening of closed professions have been implemented effectively in many countries; the policy objective being to foster the potential of services to generate value and employment 17 The Australian productivity Commission has pioneered studies on the quantification of barriers to services trade (Kalirajan, 2000; Nguyen-Hong, 2000), with several international organisations taking initiatives in this direction using similar methodologies, including the OECD (see Box 2) and the World Bank (Borchert et al., 2012). 30 by addressing their weaknesses. The benefits are already visible but stand to be even greater in the near future. Recent OECD work has detected, for example, that a highly regulated country such as Spain would eventually experience a 4% increase in aggregate productivity if it were to reduce anti-competition barriers in the services sector to the lower level that prevails in Denmark (Andrews and Cingano, 2012). 31 BOX 5. THE OECD SERVICES TRADE RESTRICTIVENESS INDEX (STRI) - ENGINEERING SERVICES The STRI project was launched by the OECD Trade Committee in 2007 as a tool for quantifying barriers to trade in services at the sectoral level. Seven pilot sectors were covered at the beginning (computer services, construction, telecommunications, and professional services such as legal, accounting, architecture and engineering services), and 11 more sectors were added (3 audiovisual services, distribution, 2 financial services, courier and 4 transport services). The major outputs from the project include a regulatory database, providing detailed information on current laws and regulations affecting international trade in services, and trade restrictiveness indices which provide a snapshot of the trade policy stance at a particular point in time. The sources of information for the database are laws and regulation in each member country. Five policy areas are covered by the index: ï‚· Restrictions on foreign ownership and other market entry conditions; ï‚· Restrictions to the movement of people; ï‚· Other discriminatory measures and international standards; ï‚· Barriers to competition and public ownership; ï‚· Regulatory Transparency and administrative requirement; Professional services are considered a highly restrictive services sector, while also offering opportunities for trade under multiple modes. It is therefore an interesting example to illustrate differences in regulations and potential barriers in different countries. Figure 1 takes the example of Engineering Services and presents STRI results broken down by category of restrictions (Geloso-Grosso and Lejarraga, 2012) STRI – engineering services Source: OECD Services Trade Restrictiveness Index database (2014) 32 (http://www.oecd.org/tad/services-trade/services-trade-restrictiveness-index.htm) Clearly, regulations concerning the movement of people are contributing the most to the level of restrictiveness in engineering services. The supply of engineering services relies heavily on the temporary movement of suppliers aboard. The most prevalent quantitative pre-conditions for entry are labour market tests, which are maintained by two-thirds of OECD countries. Many OECD countries also have licensing 3. Knowledge and innovation in services on the rise18 Innovation in services is broader than R&D Services sectors have long been considered as less innovative as one traditionally thinks of innovation in terms of R&D and technology. Data indeed show that the service sector accounts for a smaller share of business R&D, notwithstanding the services share has increased during the past decade (Figure 11). Likewise, services firms display overall lower R&D intensities compared to manufacturing firms and almost half of firms who introduce new services on the market do not carry out any internal R&D activities (Lopez-Bassols and Millot, 2013). FIGURE 11. SHARE OF SERVICES IN BUSINESS R&D, 2001 AND 2011 Source: OECD Science, Technology and Industry Scoreboard 2013. R&D is however only one source of knowledge for innovation; recent OECD work has shown the importance of investment in so-called knowledge-based capital (i.e. organisational capital, innovative property and computerised information) for the innovation potential of firms and countries (OECD, 2013d). This is particularly true for services; the production and delivery of certain types of services are heavily based on intangible assets and knowledge-based capital. Knowledge embodied in data, design, brands, reputation, skills, know how, etc. are the common and core element of intangible assets and services. A much broader notion of innovation is thus warranted; services innovation embodies some technological (mainly ICT-related) but especially non-technological aspects. As product innovation (i.e. the introduction of a good that is new or significantly improved with respect to its characteristics or intended use)19 is often associated with R&D, innovation strategies in services industries include more 18 This section is based on Lopez-Bassols and Millot (2013) ‘Measuring R&D and innovation in services’ and Cervantes (2013) ‘Policy report on service R&D and innovation’. 19 The definition of innovation is according to the Oslo Manual (OECD, 2005). 33 often marketing and organisational innovation. Taking into account the fact that innovation in services often and to a larger extent takes other forms than R&D, services firms are much more innovative than traditionally thought. The shares of innovating firms are relatively similar across manufacturing and services firms in most countries (Figure 12). FIGURE 12. INNOVATION IN MANUFACTURING AND SERVICES, 2008-2010 (As a percentage of all firms in the manufacturing and services sector respectively) MANUFACTURING SERVICES Source: OECD Science, Technology and Industry Scoreboard 2013. 34 Services innovation is characterised by a large heterogeneity across industries and firms. Some service industries are amongst the most innovative industries in OECD economies: innovation rates in knowledge-intensive services are comparable – in some countries even higher – to those in high-tech manufacturing sectors (Figure 13). High-tech manufacturing sectors show the highest rates of companies introducing new goods (more than 40%, based on 15 EU countries); for comparison, 30% of the firms in knowledge intensive services are found to introduce new services. FIGURE 13. SHARE OF FIRMS INTRODUCING PRODUCT, PROCESS, ORGANISATIONAL OR MARKETING INNOVATION BY SECTOR CATEGORY, 2006-2008 Note: 1) Observations are weighted by firm size. 2) High tech manufacturing includes chemicals and pharmaceuticals, electrical and electronic equipment, machinery and equipment and transport equipment including motor vehicles; knowledge intensive services include water and air transport, publishing, telecommunications, finance and services, and other business services Source: OECD calculations based on CIS 2008 micro-data (Eurostat), 2012 and national innovation surveys from Australia, Austria, Belgium and Canada. Innovation in services tends to be more ‘open’ Innovation is a complex process, in manufacturing as well as services, and often involves several actors and linkages, hence the growing need for companies to collaborate in innovation (co-development with other companies, procure services such as R&D and design, etc.) and use information from outside the firm. Innovation in services is found to be somewhat more reliant on external inputs and/or developed outside the firm or jointly with other firms or institutions compared to innovation in manufacturing. For service innovation, more than 35% of innovating firms drew on some form external developments during 2008-2010, compared to less than 30% for goods innovation (Figure 14). 35 FIGURE 14. EXTERNALLY DEVELOPED GOODS AND SERVICES INNOVATION, 2008-10 As a percentage of firms introducing each type of innovation Note: no data for Australia available Source: OECD Science, Technology and Industry Scoreboard 2013. Firms use different approaches when implementing more open models of innovation; some firms codevelop their innovations with other partners while other firms adapt/imitate innovations which have been developed elsewhere. Collaboration in innovation - one specific type of external engagement – is the most important in knowledge-intensive industries; other service industries seem to choose relatively more for other forms of interrelationships, such as imitation or other types of agreements within companies. So-called market-oriented types of collaboration are found to be relatively more important in services industries. Service firms tend to collaborate significantly more than manufacturing firms with suppliers, clients or competitors, whereas the level of collaboration with universities, consultants or public research institutes is similar in the two broad sectors (Figure 15). 36 FIGURE 15. FIRMS CO-OPERATING FOR INNOVATION BY TYPE OF CO-OPERATION PARTNER, 2006-2008 Proportion among “innovation active” firms Notes: Observations weighted by firm size for EU-16 (CZE, DEU, ESP, EST, FIN, FRA, HUN, IRL, ITA, LUX, NLD, NOR, PRT, SVK, SVN, SWE). The term “innovation active” is used here to refer to firms with product or process innovation, or ongoing/abandoned activities for product or process innovation. Source: OECD calculations based on CIS 2008 micro-data (Eurostat), 2012 Protection of intellectual property is crucial in models of open innovation, the more so in services because of the intangible character of services. Trademarks are the predominant type of Intellectual Property Rights (IPR) used by firms in service sectors while patents are only rarely used: innovations in services industries are often not patentable because of their intangible or non-technological nature. Services firms also tend to rely on copyrights, e.g. in software-related activities but only rarely use designs (Figure 16). These traditional forms of IPR protection are however not always effective; trade secrets and informal protection methods (e.g. confidentiality and non-competition clauses in employment contracts, agreements on ownership and use in co-operation contacts) are found to complement, and in some case substitute for, more traditional forms of intellectual protection (Cervantes, 2013). Interestingly, there is some evidence suggesting that trademarks registered as relating to goods actually describe ultimately a service. The protection granted by the trademark prevents other companies from claiming to be able to provide an identical service as implied in the name of the final good delivered20. Further on, the fact that trademarks are frequently registered both in goods and services classes points to the growing complementarity between innovation in goods and services and that correspondingly firms increasingly offer bundles of goods and services (see below). 20 For example, the Big Mac trademark which was initially registered in a class of goods (class 30, relating to food products including sandwiches) stems from a service company delivering the good as a service. 37 FIGURE 16. SHARE OF FIRMS USING VARIOUS INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY RIGHTS BY SECTOR CATEGORY Notes: 1) Observations weighted by firm size for EU-10 (CZE, ESP, EST, GRC, HUN, IRL, LUX, NOR, PRT, SVK). The shares correspond respectively to firms that have applied for a patent, registered an industrial design, registered a trademark or claimed copyright during the three years 2004 to 2006. 2) High tech manufacturing includes chemicals and pharmaceuticals, electrical and electronic equipment, machinery and equipment and transport equipment including motor vehicles; knowledge intensive services include water and air transport, publishing, telecommunications, finance and services, and other business services Source: OECD calculations based on CIS 2006 micro-data (Eurostat), 2012 Innovation in services and public support Public financial support for innovation, as reported by companies in innovation surveys, is generally more important in manufacturing than in services (Figure 17). But in most countries the gap between manufacturing and services in terms of the relative likelihood of receiving support has narrowed slightly within the last decade. This might be related to the shift in countries’ policy strategies in recent years, which increasingly support innovation in services. A comparison of national policies in selected OECD countries and key non-members tends to reveal four main approaches in service innovation policies (Cervantes, 2013): a normative approach whereby innovation strategies mention services but where the focus is mainly on traditional manufacturing; the awareness approach whereby service innovation is the subject of a specific policy; the embedded approach whereby innovation policies aim to accommodate service innovation but have yet to do so, and lastly; a targeted approach whereby policies to promote service innovation are adapted to the country’s specific industrial structure and comparative advantage (e.g. ICTs, tourism, etc.). Rather than creating new instruments, most OECD countries are in the process of changing the scope of those already in place. For example, financial support in the form of tax incentives is increasingly being expanded to include service innovation (Cervantes, 2013). France, Germany, Denmark and Finland are examples of OECD countries that have targeted instruments in place to support service innovation. These include programmes to engage users/employees in innovation, in new business models, or programmes to promote innovation in public sector services. Australia, China, Poland, South Africa and the United 38 Kingdom are examples of countries whose policy instruments support innovation in the service sector indirectly (e.g. voucher system, centers of excellence, clusters, knowledge transfer networks, etc.). Policy instruments directly targeting service innovation are often found on the supply-side, while novel instruments are mostly indirect and demand-oriented such as public procurement. FIGURE 17. FIRMS RECEIVING PUBLIC SUPPORT FOR INNOVATION, MANUFACTURING AND SERVICES, 2008-10 As a percentage of product and/or process innovative firms in each sector Source: OECD Science, Technology and Industry Scoreboard 2013. 4. Strong firm dynamics support employment growth in market services The size and age characteristics of services firms Services sectors have been characterised by strongly growing employment, whereas the number of jobs have consistently fallen in manufacturing industries. These aggregate data hide large differences in firm dynamics; for example, not all manufacturing firms have decreased their employment while likewise not all service firms have continuously expanded. The OECD DYNEMP project studies the dynamics among firms in structural firm characteristics (like size and age), entry and exit in direct relation to the creation and destruction of employment across firms, industries and countries (see Box 6). The results overall point to different firm and employment dynamics between services and manufacturing; current work is underway to derive results for individual (services and manufacturing) industries21. 21 The analysis focuses on non-financial market services; the exact coverage of industries is from 50 to 74 in the industrial classification system ISIC 3 excluding 65-67 (Financial services). 39 BOX 6. THE OECD DYNEMP PROJECT The OECD project DynEmp utilises business level information on employment, entry and exit, firm age and sectoral affiliation in 16 OECD countries and Brazil during the last decade, from 2001 to 2011 (Criscuolo et al, 2013). The data underlying the analysis rely on official national sources such as business and tax registers. It is based on a methodology called distributed microdata analysis (DMD), which is a harmonized collection of micro-aggregated data by running the same computer code using each national firm-level data source (see e.g. Bartelsman et al., 2004). The main advantage of this approach is that it allows access to the widest available coverage of businesses, and at the same time resolves confidentiality issues. The routine only collects non-confidential, aggregate information at certain aggregation levels (cells) defined by firm characteristics such as size, age, sector (manufacturing, business services excluding financial services and construction), year (2001-2011) and firm status (entrant, exiting and continuing firms). Currently, 17 countries (Austria, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, Finland, France, Hungary, Italy, Japan, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Norway, New Zealand, Portugal, Spain, Sweden and United States) are included in the analysis, and the number is expanding as more countries are joining the network. This data collection method builds on earlier studies using a similar approach for analysing business dynamics across countries and various firm groups (Bartelsman et al, 2004, 2005 and 2009; Haltiwanger et al, 2008; Anyadike-Danes et al, 2013; and Bravo-Biosca et al, 2013). Substantial efforts were made at harmonizing the key concepts related to firm dynamics. Nevertheless, the exact definitions of firm birth and death may still need to be further investigated and refined; for example, data do not always allow for all countries to distinguish between newly- born firms from firms resulting from merger and takeovers). Bearing this potential caveat in mind, the precise role of various firm age groups should be interpreted with caution. Accordingly, the main focus below is on highlighting broad qualitative patterns, robustly present in the majority of countries, and not the exact differences across countries. As already reported in previous work, services firms are on average smaller than manufacturing firms, which is a direct illustration of the smaller optimal scale in services sectors (Figure 18). For example, 94% of services firms in Italy have less than 10 employees, but also in the United States, which has the lowest fraction of small firms, 75% of services firms operate in that size category. In contrast, the fraction of small firms in manufacturing ranges from 57% (United States) to 78% (Italy and New Zealand). In addition to being smaller, services firms are also younger: the percentage of services firms which are at most 10 years old is 60%, whereas this is only 45% for manufacturing (Figure 19). Old firms (more than 10 years old) tend to be larger both in services and manufacturing sectors and as such are more important in terms of employment than in number of firms. 40 FIGURE 18. SHARE OF FIRMS BY SIZE CLASS, BY COUNTRY Services Manufacturing Note: The graphs show the share of firms by different size class in the total number of firms in each economy on average over the available years. The period covered is 2001-2011 for Austria, Belgium, Finland, Hungary, the Netherlands, Norway, and the United States; 2001-2010 for Brazil, Spain, Italy, Luxembourg and Sweden; 2001-2009 for Japan and New Zealand; 2001-2007 for France; and 2006-2011 for Portugal. Owing to methodological differences, figures may deviate from officially published national statistics. For Japan data are at the establishment level, for other countries at the firm level. Services refer to non-financial business services. Source: Preliminary results from the OECD’s DynEmp project (Criscuolo et al. 2013) 41 FIGURE 19. SHARE OF FIRMS AND EMPLOYMENT BY AGE CLASS, AVERAGE ACROSS COUNTRIES Services Manufacturing Note: The graph reports the share of firms and employment, respectively, by firms of different age classes in average across all available years and countries. The period covered is 2001-2011 for Austria, Belgium, Finland, Hungary, the Netherlands, Norway, and the United States; 2001-2010 for Brazil, Spain, Italy, Luxembourg and Sweden; 2001-2009 for Japan and New Zealand; 2001-2007 for France; and 2006-2011 for Portugal. Services exclude the financial business sector. Owing to methodological differences, figures may deviate from officially published national statistics. For Japan data are at the establishment level, for other countries at the firm level. Source: Preliminary results from the OECD’s DynEmp project (Criscuolo et al. 2013) Looking across different age classes of firms shows that services sectors are characterised by smaller but more start-ups and firm births (i.e. firms less than 3 years old). Start-up sizes (i.e. the average size within these groups) in services are substantially smaller than in manufacturing which is directly related to differences in optimal firm size and barriers to entry between the two broad sectors. While smaller, firm births and start-ups in services are more numerous pointing to important firm dynamics in services (Figure 20). 42 FIGURE 20. SIZE AND SHARE OF START-UPS, BY COUNTRY Note: The graph reports the average size of start-up firms (from 0 to 2 years old) over the available years. The period is: 2001-2011 (Austria, Belgium, Finland, Hungary, Netherlands, Norway, and United States); 2001-2010 (Brazil, Spain, Italy, Luxembourg and Sweden); 2001-2009 (Japan and New Zealand); 2001-2007 (France); and 2006-2011 (Portugal). Services exclude the financial business sector. Owing to methodological differences, figures may deviate from officially published national statistics. For Austria and Japan data are at the establishment level, and at the firm level for other countries. Source: Preliminary results from the OECD’s DynEmp project (Criscuolo et al. 2013) Firm and employment dynamics Looking at employment dynamics, a relatively uniform picture emerges in manufacturing industries across countries: young firms (below 5 years of age) grow while older firms (above 5 years old) shrink in employment (Figure 21). The job destruction by old firms is larger than the job creation by young firms, resulting in a net reduction of total employment in manufacturing. The net job creation in services is explained by higher growth rates of young businesses as well as positive employment growth by older firms. Young and old firms are found thus to grow faster in services. Within each of the categories of young and old firms, important differences exist between firms that downsize (i.e. reducing the number of jobs) and those that expand (i.e. increasing the number of jobs); this more detailed analysis however does not reveal major differences between services and manufacturing. Young and small firms, in services as well as manufacturing, create disproportionately more jobs – compared to their employment share – and this pattern is very stable across countries and over time (Figure 22). In contrast, old firms (small as well as large) contribute relatively more to job destruction while less to job creation. 43 FIGURE 21. NET EMPLOYMENT GROWTH RATES BY SURVIVING YOUNG AND OLD FIRMS, BY COUNTRY Note: Growth rates are calculated as post-entry net job creation by the group over employment in the group, on the surviving subset of firms (i.e. not taking into account entry or exit). Young firms are 5 years old or less, old firms are at least 6 years old, averaged across available years. Period covered is: 2001-2011 (Austria, Belgium, Finland, Hungary, Netherlands, Norway, and United States); 2001-2010 (Brazil, Spain, Italy, Luxembourg and Sweden); 2001-2009 (Japan and New Zealand); 2001-2007 (France); and 20062011 (Portugal). Owing to methodological differences, figures may deviate from official national statistics. Source: Preliminary results from the OECD’s DynEmp project (Criscuolo et al. 2013) 44 FIGURE 22. CONTRIBUTION TO AGGREGATE EMPLOYMENT, JOB CREATION AND JOB DESTRUCTION BY FIRM AGE, SIZE, AND SECTOR, AVERAGE ACROSS COUNTRIES Note: The figure reports the contribution to total employment, gross job creation and job destruction by firms in the indicated age-size groups averaged across available years and countries. Period covered is: 2001-2011 (Austria, Belgium, Finland, Hungary, Netherlands, Norway, and United States); 2001-2010 (Brazil, Spain, Italy, Luxembourg and Sweden); 2001-2009 (Japan and New Zealand); 2001-2007 (France); and 2006-2011 (Portugal). Sectors considered are: manufacturing and non-financial business services. Owing to methodological differences, figures may deviate from officially published national statistics. Data for Japan are at the establishment level and at the firm level for other countries. Source: Preliminary results from the OECD’s DynEmp project (Criscuolo et al. 2013) Analysing the separate roles of the intensive margin (i.e. the growth of incumbent firms) and the extensive margin (i.e. through entry and exit) in employment shows that a large fraction of job creation comes from newly created firms (i.e. entrants) especially in services (Figure 23).22 At the same time, young businesses leaving the industry (i.e. exit) prominently contribute to the job destruction in services – more than in manufacturing. Summarising, the results point to stronger firm dynamics in services firms: more churning is observed particularly among the younger cohorts of services firms, illustrated by higher job creation and job destruction, higher firm start-up rates and more exits. Those staying in the market tend to grow faster than manufacturing firms. Given that services industries are characterised by a large presence of smaller and younger firms, the group of younger firms drive to a large extent the net job creation in services. But young 22 Firms who enter, i.e. who appear for the first time in the business registers, may or may not indicate genuine births of new businesses, in the traditional sense of being created by entrepreneurial managers and employees who did not work together before. It may reflect spinoffs from a larger company, a creation of a new firm as part of an enterprise group (e.g. a greenfield investment); the merger of more companies; or the re-birth of a company under a different name. Similar issues apply for the definition of exit. Refining these definitions with the involvement of national statistical agencies would be a potentially important step in future work. 45 firms are not only a source of employment growth, but also play an important role in experimenting with new ideas thereby driving innovation and economic growth (OECD, 2013d). Countries differ significantly with respect to the employment growth (net and gross) generated by business entry and by young start-ups and the contraction or expansion of firms’ employment. These differences point to the significant role played by framework conditions (ease of starting up a business, mergers and acquisition policies, policy impediments to growth, bankruptcy laws, etc.), which may or may not allow successful businesses to grow or failing businesses to exit. Future work in the DYNEMP project will analyse the impact framework conditions have on firm dynamics and employment growth, thereby distinguishing between manufacturing and services. FIGURE 23. CONTRIBUTIONS TO NET JOB CREATION BY ENTRY, EXIT AND INCUMBENT GROWTH AND BY FIRM AGE, AS A PERCENTAGE OF AGGREGATE EMPLOYMENT, BY COUNTRY Note: Contributions are calculated as the net job creation by the group (e.g. young incumbents) over total sectoral level employment averaged across all available years. Young firms are aged 5 years old or less, old firms are at least 6 years old. The period covered is: 2001-2011 (Austria, Belgium, Finland, Hungary, Netherlands, Norway, and United States); 2001-2010 (Brazil, Spain, Italy, Luxembourg and Sweden); 2001-2009 (Japan and New Zealand); 2001-2007 (France); and 2006-2011 (Portugal). Owing to methodological differences, figures may deviate from officially published national statistics. Data for Japan are at the establishment level and at the firm level for other countries. Source: Preliminary results from the OECD’s DynEmp project (Criscuolo et al. 2013) Focusing on the role of young and old services and manufacturing firms in the last decade and their different responses during the recent financial crisis shows that employment in services stills grows faster than in manufacturing but that post-crisis recovery has been slower. Services firms seem to have suffered relatively more in the crisis as they are still not reaching the pre-crisis levels of job creation, mainly due to the lack of young firms’ dynamism (Figure 24). This is alarming in the sense that the main sources of employment creation – young and small services firms – face apparent difficulties in the post-crisis economic environment. 46 FIGURE 24. CONTRIBUTIONS TO NET JOB CREATION BY FIRM AGE as % of aggregate employment, average across countries Note: Contributions are calculated as the net job creation by the group over total employment in manufacturing. The period covered is: 2001-2011 (Austria, Belgium, Finland, Hungary, Netherlands, Norway, and United States); 2001-2010 (Brazil, Spain, Italy, Luxembourg and Sweden); 2001-2009 (Japan and New Zealand); 2001-2007 (France); and 2006-2011 (Portugal). Owing to methodological differences, figures may deviate from officially published national statistics. Data for Japan are at the establishment level and at the firm level for other countries. Source: Preliminary results from the OECD’s DynEmp project (Criscuolo et al. 2013) 5. Growing and complex interactions between manufacturing and services The blurring between manufacturing and services While traditionally a clear distinction is made between the tangible goods producing manufacturing sector at the one side and the intangible services sector at the other side – to describe for example the structural shifts in employment, national economies and firms are increasingly structured around the close interaction of ‘manufacturing’ and ‘services’ activities. Services are increasingly involved in the production of intermediate inputs (Pilat and Wölfl, 2005); on average around 40% of gross output produced by OECD services industries is used as intermediate inputs by other industries. Along the same lines, many manufacturing firms have been transformed into services firms and conversely, many services firms are becoming more like manufacturing firms as outputs are mass produced service products rather than customised services experiences (Bryson, 2007). The past decades have clearly witnessed a growing interdependence between services and manufacturing industries as the share of services activities that is necessary for or complementary to manufacturing production has increased. Figure 25 measures the extent to which services contribute inputs to manufacturing production at any stage of the production process and shows that manufactured goods increasingly incorporate inputs and value-added from services industries.23 In the majority of OECD countries, about one-third of manufactured goods consisted of value-added created in services industries in 23 For example, a car manufacturer might subcontract specific services such as logistics to a specialised services producer; in addition, the car is made up of many inputs that are produced in other manufacturing industries (such as wheels, steel, rubber, etc.) which may also have bought services from a specialist service producer. 47 2009. The services content of final demand for manufactured goods has risen in almost all countries since the mid-1990s. FIGURE 25. SERVICES VALUE-ADDED IN MANUFACTURED GOODS as a percentage of total value-added of manufactured goods in final demand Source: OECD/WTO Trade in Value-Added (TiVA) database. Likewise, as already discussed above, manufacturing exports include more and more inputs from service industries: between 30% and 40% of manufacturing exports is actually value-added that has been created within (domestic and foreign) services industries (Figure 26). The services value-added content of manufacturing exports has increased in almost all countries between 1995 and 2009; the largest valueadded contributions come from distribution (wholesale and retail) and business services and to a lesser extent from financial services and transportation/telecommunication services. Exports of services in engineering, design, etc. for example often follow from specific manufacturing activities; hence the tradability of these services is very closely linked to manufacturing. 48 FIGURE 26. SERVICES VALUE-ADDED IN MANUFACTURING EXPORTS, 2009 as a percentage of total gross manufacturing exports Source: OECD/WTO Trade in Value-Added (TiVA) database. These figures reflect in the first place the fact that manufacturing has undergone profound changes in the organisation of production during the past decade(s). Production, investments and exports are nowadays taking place within Global Value Chains (GVCs), with different production stages dispersed geographically and organisationally. Within GVCs, production processes have become increasingly fragmented and different activities (including services activities) have been outsourced to independent suppliers and/or offshored to different locations. Technical progress, economies of scale, growing specialisation, lower production costs, etc. have motivated companies to outsource and offshore businessrelated services such as R&D, financing, logistics (i.e. modern services) but also more traditional services like cleaning. This outsourcing/offshoring of service activities has resulted in important efficiency and productivity gains as well as lower input prices for companies (see Box 7). It directly means that the growing shares of services for manufacturing is to some extent the result of statistical factors24; the outsourcing of services functions to independent suppliers helps to correct for the typical understatement of the role of services in firms and economies. Service activities performed within a manufacturing firm were before automatically classified as part of that firm’s manufacturing output; as these services are nowadays increasingly contracted out to specialised service providers (domestically or internationally) within GVCs, these services activities will be now categorised as ‘services’ 25. 24 See also Pilat et al, 2006; Rowthorn and Ramaswamy, 1998; The Economist, 2011. 25 Bagwhati (1984) describes this as the ‘splintering of services from goods’ wen explaining the rising importance of services in industry-of-origin shares (i.e. in production as opposed to final-demand shares, i.e. consumption). 49 Nevertheless, the results in Figure 25 and 26 still constitute a lower bound for the actual contribution of services to manufacturing as certain services activities (like R&D) are often performed in-house26. 26 The results in Figure 25 and 26 are based on national/international Input-Output Tables, hence they only include contracted and traded services. 50 BOX 7. ‘THE OFFSHORING OF SERVICES JOBS’ Services offshoring raised long-standing fears about the effects of trade on domestic labour markets; Blinder (2006) referred to (services) offshoring as the next industrial revolution. The reason was that services jobs that were generally considered to be unaffected by globalisation were increasingly reported to be offshored like for example medium-skilled clerical and service employees. The discussion on globalisation and employment in OECD countries in the past focused on the deteriorating position of low-skilled workers in the labour market: the classical argument was that increased specialisation has given rise to higher imports of low-skilled-intensive products from lower-wage countries particularly in more traditional (often low-technology intensive) manufacturing industries, resulting in decreasing demand for low-skilled workers. US employment clearly demonstrated this polarisation as it shifted from low-skilled to high-skilled workers during the 1980s; the higher the skill level, the faster the growth in employment. During the 1990s, however, the share of middle-skilled workers declined, while the share of high-skilled workers continued to rise sharply and that of low-skilled workers rose moderately. The share of mediumskilled workers continued to decline during the 2000s, this time mirrored by a sharp rise in the share of low-skilled services workers while the share of high-skilled workers stayed relatively flat (Autor et al., 2010). Evidence for other countries [e.g. Goos et al. (2009) for Europe] also pointed to this growing polarisation, with employment shares of both high-skilled and low-skilled increasing at the expense of medium-skilled jobs. Middle-skilled workers often tend to do manual or cognitive tasks that lend themselves to automation or codification (e.g. book-keeping, monitoring processes and processing information). Because these tasks can be substituted by machines or offshored (as services), demand for middle-skilled workers declines as do the returns to their skills. At the high-skills end, workers tend to perform cognitive non-routine tasks that are complementary to information technology. Demand for high-skilled workers therefore often increases in tandem with investment in information technology. At the low-skilled end, non-routine tasks involve services activities such as operating vehicles and assisting and caring for others. These activities have – thus far – been less affected by trade or technology, and employment has shifted into these occupations (Lanz et al. 2012). Estimates of the number of jobs that could be lost owing to (services) offshoring and international production sharing received considerable attention; these estimates were calculated on the assumption that jobs which could be automated (in the future) would in the end be offshored. But (service) jobs that can be offshored in theory are however not always offshored in reality: OECD (2007) gives an overview of different studies and shows the typically large discrepancies in estimates of ‘jobs potentially at risk being offshored’, ‘jobs likely to be offshored’ and ‘jobs effectively offshored’. In fact, Lanz et al. (2012) show that companies find it uneconomical to unbundle specific tasks because of large economies of scope and synergies. Moreover, transaction and coordination costs (because of e.g. the importance of tacit information, unforeseen events, and contractual problems) would significantly rise if these tasks would actually be offshored. More importantly, services offshoring just like economic globalisation in general, creates a broad range of effects, positive as well as negative. But typically the51negative, visible, short-term effects (e.g. employment losses) receive the most media attention and reach the public. Offshoring is often perceived in the public debate as the exporting of jobs abroad and a pure loss to the country and its workers. Longer-term indirect benefits are much more difficult to analyse as they are much harder to calculate; but they are frequently permanent gains while short-term costs are often transitory or one-off in But the trend to "servitisation" of the manufacturing industry27 is not only reflected in the growing and complex interactions between manufacturing and services industries, but is also illustrated in the changing characteristics of the in-house/intra-firm activities of manufacturing companies. For example, jobs in manufacturing firms are no longer associated only with the pure production process (fabrication, assembly, etc.); instead an increasing part of the employees in manufacturing are employed in occupations that can be considered as services-related, such as management, business, finance and legal professionals28 (Figure 27). FIGURE 27. SERVICES-RELATED OCCUPATIONS IN MANUFACTURING, 2002 AND 2012 As a percentage of total employment in manufacturing Note: 1) Services-related occupations correspond to ISCO-08 (2002: ISCO-88) major groups: 1) Legislators, senior officials and managers; 2) Professionals; 3) Technicians and associate professionals; 4) Clerks and 5) Service workers and shop and market sales workers. 2) No comparable data available for Australia Source: OECD Science, Technology and Industry Scoreboard 2013. The growing service character of manufacturing becomes also increasingly clear at the innovation side demonstrating the growing complementarity between goods and services innovation (Lopez-Bassols and Millot, 2013). Survey evidence shows that a considerable deal of service innovation takes place outside the service sector: several manufacturing firms innovating in products –almost one out of three in EU-15 countries– simultaneously introduces new goods and new services (Figure 28). In some cases manufacturing firms even report introducing only new services which may partly be explained by the fact that some enterprises are involved in both manufacturing and service activities, even though they are classified in only one industry. There are reversely a number of services firms that have introduced new 27 Other terms used are servicification, servicisation (Kommerskollegium, 2012). 28 In spite of the significant outsourcing/offshoring of service activities (see above) 52 goods: Google in the markets for tablets, Amazon with its Kindle, etc., which confirms the blurring between manufacturing and services. 53 FIGURE 28. FIRMS INNOVATING IN GOODS AND SERVICES, MANUFACTURING AND SERVICES, 2008-10 As a percentage of product innovative firms in each sector Note: Data for Australia refer to financial year 2010/11. Source: OECD Science, Technology and Industry Scoreboard 2013 and national sources for Australia. 54 Services as source of value and competitiveness in manufacturing GVCs Within GVCs, services play an increasingly important role both in co-ordinating value chain activities and adding value to manufactured products. First, logistics, communication services, business services etc. permit the efficient functioning of GVCs as they allow to transfer goods, data, technology and (managerial) know how across borders and to coordinate dispersed activities in a quick and smooth manner. Basically, transportation and communications networks form the backbone of GVCs and the provision of services to these networks directly benefit manufacturing activities. For example, implementing just-in-time organisation of production in GVCs requires effective and reliable transport and logistics services, but also technical testing, legal advice, ICT support and many other business services (Nordås et al., 2006). Second, in addition to these embodied services, manufacturing companies increasingly use embedded services to gain a competitive advantage. Services help not only to raise productivity and efficiency of GVC activities, but also differentiate, customise and up-grade their products and develop closer and more longstanding relationships with customers (Kommerskollegium, 2012). Manufacturing companies no longer sell only goods but instead sell bundles including design, development, marketing, warranties and after-sales care. Firms increasingly bundle products – goods and services – to create unique product characteristics and differentiate themselves from competitors. A company like Rolls Royce for example does not only sell cars but ‘solutions, outcomes or experiences’ to better meet the needs of customers and to differentiate from competitors. Xerox has restructured itself to a ‘document solution’ company, offering technology advanced printers systems but also services like document managing and consulting; in fact, services represent around 40% of Xerox’s turnover and are expected to contribute to 50% in the next years (Benedettini et al., 2010). As GVCs increasingly allow for the unbundling of business functions and pure production activities are increasingly located to emerging economies, manufacturers in OECD countries indeed rely more on complementary non-production functions to create value. OECD manufacturing is nowadays much broader than the pure production of goods and includes several service-related activities in upstream as well as downstream stages. A large part of the future growth in manufacturing is expected to come from so-called ‘manu-services’ which involves combining advanced manufacturing with a range of different services (Neely et al., 2012; Sissons, 2011). With intangible assets transforming the determinants of competitive success in manufacturing, these (modern) services are often developed in parallel and on the basis of different forms of knowledge-based capital (OECD, 2013d). Manufacturers in high-cost countries use design, branding, etc. to develop advanced and differentiated products for which consumers are willing to pay a price premium. The highest level of value creation in a GVC is often found in certain upstream (concept development, R&D and engineering services, etc.) and downstream (marketing, branding, services after sales, etc.) service activities (e.g. the smile-curve in electronics – Gereffi, 2010). A growing number of manufactured products owe a large part of their success to modern services attached to the product, like for example a range of applications linked to Apple’s iPhone. In the automotive sector, the cost of developing new vehicles is increasingly dominated by software services, while high-end vehicles rely on millions of lines of computer code and advanced on-board processors (OECD, 2013c). A number of studies have documented the importance of services for manufacturing competitiveness. For example, services are found to represent a growing share of the sales of Swedish manufacturing companies (Kommerskollegium, 2012) and service activities (developed in-house or bought in) are found for example to promote the export activities of manufacturing companies in Sweden (Lodefalk 2012). A Swedish machine tool manufacturer is reported to use 40 different services in its delivery chain and sell 15 different types of services to its customers (Rentzhog, 2010). Firm-level analysis for the United Kingdom 55 and Germany also found that services account for a significant share of manufacturers (export) revenue (Breinlich and Criscuolo, 2011; Kelle and Kleinert, 2010). By bringing policy variables into the analysis, Francois and Woerz (2008) showed that service sector openness (trade and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)) has boosted the competitiveness of manufacturing industries with stronger services linkages across the OECD. Likewise, Arnold et al. (2011) showed that services liberalisation has benefitted manufacturing firms in the Czech Republic; opening services sectors to foreign providers is found to be a crucial channel through which services reform affects downstream productivity in manufacturing. Nordås and Kim (2013) show the importance of service performance (which itself is driven by policy measures such as barriers to (services) trade but also by investments in infrastructure) for manufacturing competitiveness across countries and industries. Variables on telecommunications density, interest spread between banks’ deposit and lending rates, transport costs, time for exports and imports, etc. are found to have differential effects for manufacturing performance dependent on the income of the country and the technological character of the industry. Additional analysis on the OECD/WTO TiVA database also points to the importance of services for manufacturing competitiveness, suggesting a positive relationship between countries’ export competitiveness in manufacturing industries and the services value-added content of these industries’ exports (De Backer, 2013). In general, a higher share of (market) services inputs in manufacturing exports tends to go together with a stronger position on international markets; this is the case for all manufacturing industries grouped together as well as within individual manufacturing industries although for some industries the relationship is rather weak. Further on, in some industries, by zooming in on the ‘richer’ countries in the TiVA dataset, the results tend to suggest that the positive link between export competitiveness and services value-added content of manufacturing exports becomes somewhat stronger. This is consistent with the patterns of specialisation in global manufacturing as developed economies are more specialised in higher value-added service activities more upstream and downstream, while emerging economies are more active in pure production/assembly activities. The results are also in line with Nordås and Kim (2013) who found that the impact of services quality on export competitiveness differs across countries and industries: services are found to matter more in low-technology industries in emerging low-cost economies, while services have a larger role to play in developed economies especially in medium- to high technology industries. The rise of services GVCs Services are not only used as inputs for manufactured goods in new business models but are also more and more embodied in final services sales and exports since international fragmentation has not only taken place in manufacturing industries but increasingly also in services. As services firms have redefined their boundaries and focused on their core competencies, an increasing number of business services previously supplied within companies have been outsourced and offshored to both developed and emerging economies. Gereffi and Fernandez-Stark (2010) discussed in large detail the GVCs in business services by explicitly distinguishing between horizontal activities - i.e. services that are needed by any type of company like information technology services (e.g. software research and development, IT consulting), knowledge process outsourcing services (e.g. market intelligence, legal services) and business process outsourcing services (e.g. accounting services, human resource management, supply chain management) and vertical activities - i.e. services that are part of a specific value chain in the manufacturing sector (e.g. clinical trials in the pharmaceuticals value chain) or in another services industry (e.g. private equity research or risk management analysis in the banking and insurance industries). By mapping GVCs across different industries (including services), De Backer and Miroudot (2013) present a number of indicators on the participation and position of countries within GVCs. One indicator measuring the participation of countries in GVCs shows what percentage of a country’s exports are part of 56 GVCs: either because of upstream links – that is looking back along the value chain and measuring foreign inputs/value-added included in a country’s exports – or downstream links – i.e. measuring the domestic inputs/value-added of the country contained in the exports of other countries by looking forward along the value chain. The results for the individual categories of market services – wholesale and retail, transport and communications, financial intermediation, and business services, show an overall smaller GVC participation of countries in services compared to manufacturing, reflecting to a large extent the smaller size of services in countries’ total exports (Figure 29)29. The strong manufacturing (export) specialisation indeed explains to a large extent the limited participation of some countries in services GVCs. A second general observation coming out of the results is the relatively large forward character of countries’ participation in services GVCs which illustrates the large use of services inputs in other countries’ manufacturing and other services industries. The sourcing of foreign inputs – i.e. backward participation – is on average much smaller in services industries. FIGURE 29. PARTICIPATION IN SERVICES GVCS GVC participation: Wholesale & retail, hotels and restaurants GVC participation: Transport, storage and communications 29 The indicator is expressed relative to countries’ total exports - instead of industry exports - in order to take into account the importance of the industry in the total export composition of countries 57 GVC participation: Financial intermediation GVC participation: Business services Source: OECD/WTO Trade in Value-Added (TiVA) database. Services GVCs are however different from manufacturing GVCs with value configuration dependent on different types of innovation (see above) and structured along other business models. Stabel and 58 Fjeldstad (1998) for example argue that ‘value networks’ and ‘value shops’ instead of ‘value chains’ are more appropriate to discuss value creation in services industries. The focus in value networks and shops is less on sequentially transforming inputs into products but more on solving capabilities for customer’s problems. Services firms typically do not consider themselves part of one GVC, but rather as a partner for a whole range of firms across different GVCs. The systemic importance of services – ‘A world without services’ In the past, especially manufacturing has been considered as a central actor in a national economic system because of its linkages with other sectors. But the growing and complex interactions between services and other sectors result in a rising systemic importance of services in OECD countries. The importance of the services sector for national economies is thus no longer only determined by its large size (in terms of value-added and employment), but increasingly also by its interdependencies with other sectors. A hypothetical “thought” experiment allows to quantify the systemic importance of services by analysing what a world without services would look like, in particular how much national output across economies would decrease if services would be eliminated (see Box 8). BOX 8. HYPOTHETICAL EXTRACTION The importance of an industry or a set of industries has been a matter of interest for some time, particularly in policy discussions on the need of support for specific industries. The technique of ‘hypothetical extraction’ as developed by Paelinck et al. (1965) and Miller (1966) quantifies how much the output in an economy would decrease if a particular industry was no (longer) present, i.e. when this industry is deleted from the national economy system. The method uses Input-Output Tables by setting the row (forward linkages) and/or column (backward linkages) describing the industry in question in the accounts to zero; the difference before and after extraction indicates the importance of the extracted industry to the national economy. Several papers have applied the technique to address a wide range of topics and refinements to the methodology have been proposed (see for an overview Dietzenbacher and Lair, 2013). Of course, the sometimes stringent (and often criticised) assumptions of Input-Output analysis like the lack of supply-side constraints, fixed prices fixed ratios for intermediate inputs to production and outputs from production, etc. (Gretton, 2013) also affect the outcomes of this technique. For example, the technique does not allow the freed resources of services sectors to be used in other sectors; Input-Output analysis does not take into account opportunity costs or benefits. In the “thought” experiment developed below, the OECD Intercountry Input-Output model underlying the TiVA database, has been used thereby allowing to take into account the cross-border effects of removing one industry from the global economy. A first simulation removes the whole services sector in all countries from the global economy; following simulations remove individual services sectors in the global economy as well in individual countries. The effects are calculated for the total economy, but also for specific sectors to demonstrate the different linkages between the services sectors and these industries. Figure 30 presents the hypothetical decrease in national output of Australia, the OECD era and the world in a global economy without any services. The results clearly reflect the growing interdependencies between services and other parts of the economy; mining, utilities and manufacturing all witness a 59 substantial decrease in production if services are no longer available in the global economy. For example, manufacturing output would decrease by one-third in a world without services. This is because of backward linkages effects – i.e. the use of services inputs in the production of manufacturing, etc. – and forward linkages effects – i.e. the demand from services for manufactured products. The decrease in national output for the total economy is much larger as this decrease is the result of the indirect effects on other sectors as well as the direct impact (i.e. the loss of the services output itself). The systemic importance of services has risen over time, with percentage decreases in 2009 larger than in 1995; except for agriculture, this observation is valid for basically all sectors and all countries. In the case of Australia, services have become more important for mining and utilities but agriculture and manufacturing show a smaller dependency on services. The results also illustrate how the commodity boom benefitted the services sector in Australia especially through the larger demand for services inputs (see also above). FIGURE 30. HYPOTHETICAL EXTRACTION: DELETING ALL SERVICES SECTORS ACROSS THE WORLD, 2009 Decrease in output of agriculture, mining, manufacturing, utilities and total economy in Australia, OECD and world Note: the decrease in total economy’s output includes direct and indirect effects Source: OECD calculations based on the Trade in Value-Added (TiVA) Database Interdependencies and linkages are different across individual services industries; hence the results of the “thought” experiment differ from one services industry to another. Figure 31 shows the impact on manufacturing output of when individual services sector on the world level are removed; for example the results show the decrease when there would be no transport and storage services offered across the world. Manufacturing output decreases because of forward linkages through the purchases of manufactured products for example in hotels and restaurants, non-market services, etc.; for other services categories e.g. business services, backward linkages effects are relatively more important when the supply of services inputs would stop. The results for agriculture, mining and utilities are presented in Annex 2. 60 FIGURE 31. HYPOTHETICAL EXTRACTION: DELETING INDIVIDUAL SERVICES SECTORS ACROSS THE WORLD, 2009 Decrease in output of manufacturing in Australia, OECD and world Note: the decrease in total economy’s output includes direct and indirect effects Source: OECD calculations based on the Trade in Value-Added (TiVA) Database A last simulation analyses the importance of individual services for the national economy by removing individual services sectors in the domestic economy only. Figure 32 presents the effects on the Australian economy when removing the different services sectors in Australia. The results are of course the largest for services and total economy since they include also the direct effect of the non-existence of a services industry; these direct effects in terms of output are significantly larger than the indirect effects. 61 FIGURE 32. HYPOTHETICAL EXTRACTION: DELETING INDIVIDUAL SERVICES SECTORS OF AUSTRALIA, 2009 Decrease in output of agriculture, mining, manufacturing, services (incl. utilities) and total economy in Australia Note: the decrease in total economy’s output includes direct and indirect effects Source: OECD calculations based on the Trade in Value-Added (TiVA) Database PART 2: AUSTRALIAN SERVICES IN INTERNATIONAL PERSPECTIVE 1. A picture of the Australian services sector Similar to the world’s most industrialised countries, services industries roughly account for about three quarters of total employment and value-added in Australia, clearly illustrating the tertiarisation of the Australian economy (Figure 33). Compared to the G7 countries (the United States, Japan, France, Germany, Italy, the United Kingdom and Canada), the value-added share of Australian services is slightly lower than its employment share which suggests that the labour productivity in Australian services is slightly lower than in these other countries. The overall importance of services for the Australian economy is also illustrated by other indicators: 62% of total sales and 75% of gross profits generated originated in services activities. 62 The share of services in total Australian exports fluctuates around 20-30% which overall reflects the lower tradability of services; however as indicated in Part 1, gross exports typically underestimate services exports because manufacturing exports include to a large extent services value-added. The drop in the services share of Australian exports in recent years is somewhat more evident than in G7 countries and most likely reflects the exponential rise of mining exports from Australia (through a volume and price effect) to Asian countries. FIGURE 33. SERVICES SHARE OF EMPLOYMENT, VALUE-ADDED AND EXPORTS (19952010) Australia G7 Source: OECD, STAN and TiVA databases Looking at individual services industries, non-market services (community, social and personal services) and real estate, renting and business services dominate the services sector in Australia, with finance and insurance and wholesale and retail trade following in relative weight. These four industries make up the largest part of value-added that is created in services and by extension in the whole economy. This is also the case in other countries with a similar cultural and industrial background30 as Australia (Figure 34)31; minor differences illustrate key idiosyncratic characteristics. For example, the relative weight of transport and storage is larger in Australia which is likely to reflect distances within the country as well as to the rest of the world. Financial and insurance services in Australia are significantly larger than information and communication services, reflecting the high productivity and growth in the sector (see below). The industry composition changes in when looking at employment (Figure 35). Non-market services (community, social and personal services) accounts for almost 40% of services employment in Australia; also wholesale and retail trade and accommodation show a higher share in employment than in valueadded. 30 The United Kingdom, the United States and Canada are all English-speaking, services oriented (the UK more than the others), with a non-negligible weight of manufacturing, and, in the case of Canada, a large mining sector. 31 Although it should be taken into account that these rather aggregate sectors might hide underlying diverging patterns across countries. Data availability does not allow a comparison on a more disaggregated level. 63 FIGURE 34. INDUSTRY COMPOSITION OF THE SERVICES SECTOR IN TERMS OF VALUEADDED, AUSTRALIA, CANADA, THE UNITED KINGDOM AND THE UNITED STATES, 2011 OR LATEST Note: Data correspond to the latest available year: 2011 for the United States, 2010 for Australia and the United Kingdom and 2008 for Canada. Source: OECD Structural Analysis (STAN) Database 64 FIGURE 35. INDUSTRY COMPOSITION IN TERMS OF EMPLOYMENT, AUSTRALIA, 2009 Total economy Services sector Source: OECD Structural Analysis (STAN) Database Australia’s services sectors have seen strong growth over the past two decades with professional, scientific and technical services having recorded the highest average annual growth over the 20 years followed by financial and insurance services (Austrade, 2014). As discussed in Part 1, demand as well as supply factors are an important reason behind this strong growth. In addition, the recent resources boom seems to have positively impacted the growth of services in Australia. Indeed, services have grown more strongly in Australia compared to other countries such as the United States and the United Kingdom. Also other resource-rich countries like Canada, New Zealand and Norway show a stronger expansion of the services sector although the evidence for Norway is less clear (Francis, 2008). The services sector in Australia has indirectly benefitted from the expansion of the resourceproducing sector; first, because of the strong linkages between the mining and services sector. Mining activities in Australia use a high services input relative to the rest of the OECD (see Box 9; see also Part 1); hence the growing output and investments in the Australian mining sector led to an increased sourcing of intermediate services. 65 BOX 9. SERVICES INPUT TO MINING PRODUCTION AND EXPORTS Similar to manufacturing, the mining sector sources important inputs from services industries. Distribution and transport services for example are essential in order to establish linkages with the final consumer (predominantly businesses in the case of mining); financial services are necessary because of the large fixed (often up-front) costs; and business services are critical in ensuring efficiency of production. This is reflected in the large services value-added of natural resources rich countries, including Australia. Nevertheless, the mix of services input in mining activities is much more variable across countries than expected by the relative homogeneity of production process in the sector. The figure below illustrates the services content of mining by source industry for the top exporting countries. The services content ranges from 5% in the case of Indonesia to nearly 30% in the case of Brazil. Services content of value-added in mining and quarrying, 2009 Source: OECD-WTO Trade in Value-Added (TiVA) database, April 2013 Transport is essential to countries such as South Africa, Brazil or Chile that are far from large manufacturing centres. Interestingly, Australia’s use of transport services seems to be more limited, at least transport services contracted from independent suppliers (in-house transport services are not included in the results). Moreover, Australia, similarly to other OECD countries such as the US, the UK, Chile and the Netherlands, uses a disproportionally large share of business services in mining, ensuring the follow up of the products to international markets and manufacturers. Overall, Australia relies heavily on services inputs for its mining sector and hence services stand to gain significantly from the business inputs directly associated with mining activities. Second, the growth in income accompanying the commodity-price boom has triggered an economywide adjustment process with a reallocation of productive resources across sectors; and services have been at the receiving end in this process. The rise in commodity prices on international markets has resulted in a strong improvement of the terms-of-trade and appreciation of the exchange rate in countries like Australia (Francis, 2008). This improved terms-of-trade has raised the real income, of which part is spent on 66 domestically produced, not readily tradable products (like e.g. construction and services) causing in turn the prices of these products to rise (i.e. price effect). At the same time, the appreciation of the real exchange rate has made imports of traded products cheaper (in domestic currency terms) and reduced the firm profitability in internationally open industries like manufacturing. Accordingly, resources typically tend to flow out of internationally open – and less profitable - sectors like manufacturing into non-traded sectors like construction, utilities and services; value-added and employment growth figures across broad sectors in resource-rich countries lend support for this process, resulting in a stronger expansion of the services (and construction) sector compared to non-resource rich countries (Figure 36). As was argued in OECD (2012a), the growing demand for commodities in international markets has indeed accelerated the process of structural change in the Australian economy but it would be wrong to consider the natural resources boom as the only or main reason for the deindustrialisation in Australia. Likewise, the expansion of Australian services is not only due to the positive effects of the natural resources boom; structural change is a broader process going beyond temporal booms in mining and oil industries, even in countries richly endowed with natural resources (see also Part 1). Further on, the fact that certain services categories have become increasingly internationally tradable also means that these services are negatively affected by a strong national currency; there are some indications that some services exports from Australia have suffered in most recent years from the strong Australian dollar (see below). FIGURE 36. VALUE-ADDED AND EMPLOYMENT GROWTH, MANUFACTURING, MINING AND SERVICES, AUSTRALIA, CANADA, NORWAY, UNITED KINGDOM AND UNITED STATES, 2000-2011 Value-added (current prices) 67 Employment Note: value-added: 2000-2010 for Australia and the United Kingdom; 2000-2008 for Canada: Employment: 2000-2009 for Australia and Canada. Source: OECD Structural Analysis (STAN) database 2. Drivers of services performance Productivity Australia’s productivity growth (multifactor as well as labour productivity) has slowed markedly since the end of the 1990s and has fallen below its long-run average. Several reasons have been put forward including more temporary factors: the effect of drought on agriculture output, the effect of the dramatic increase in commodity prices on mining inputs and outputs (e.g. more extraction of lower quality deposits), the slowdown in productivity-enhancing reforms, rising profitability allowing less-efficient firms to remain in business (Productivity Commission, 2010; Dolman, 2009; Eslake, 2011). Part of the productivity slump can be related to the current mining boom induced structural adjustment of the economy as Australia’s productivity performance is broadly in line with other resource-rich countries like Canada and Norway. The slowdown has affected services sectors along with the rest of the Australian economy; productivity has deteriorated from strongly positive in the mid-1990s to close to zero by the mid-2000s in a number of services sectors (Figure 37). Financial services were a clear exception as its productivity has increased substantially over that period. Nevertheless, the estimates suggest that services sectors performed better than the other sectors in the Australian economy: mining, utilities and manufacturing recorded large negative growth of (multi-factor) productivity in the mid-2000s. Productivity growth in Australian market services has further decreased during the most recent period (2007-2012). After the 2008 financial crisis, labour productivity growth has significantly fallen in most OECD countries and this decline is broadly spread across sectors. The growth of value-added per hour worked in the period 2007-2012 is a fraction of the productivity growth between 2001 and 2007 in market services, with even negative figures in some countries like Hungary, Luxemburg and Estonia (Figure 38). A positive growth in services productivity is observed for Australia with trade, hotels and transport showing the largest contribution to services productivity growth (see also Box 10). 68 In discussing the productivity challenge of the Australian economy, McKinsey and Company (2012) argued that productivity levels across a broad range of services industries still fall behind productivity in US service industries. This productivity gap shows that there is room for further gains. FIGURE 37. MULTI-FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH BY INDUSTRY, AUSTRALIA, 19942008 Annual average growth in log changes Note: Industries: AGC: agriculture; MNG: mining; MNF: manufacturing; UTI: utilities; CON: construction; WHL: wholesale trade RTD: retail trade; TRM: accommodation & food services; TSP: transport; INFO: information and technology; FINI: finance and insurance; ART: art & recreational services. Only complete productivity cycles are shown. Source: OECD (2012b) Economic Surveys: Australia 2012; using ABS, Cat. Nos. 5204.0 and 5206.0.55.002 and unpublished ABS data. 69 FIGURE 38. COMPOSITION OF LABOUR PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH IN MARKET SERVICES, 2001-2012PERCENTAGE CHANGE CONTRIBUTION TO ANNUAL CHANGE IN VALUE-ADDED PER HOUR WORKED Source: OECD Productivity Compendium 2013 70 BOX 10. MEASURING PRODUCTIVITY IN SERVICES Measuring output and productivity growth in services sectors is not straightforward. What exactly does a lawyer or economist produce? How can the changing pricing schemes of telecommunications providers be compared over time? And how should one measure the ‘quantity’ of health services provided by hospitals? How to accurately measure nominal output and value-added for the financial services sector, as some financial intermediation services, such as implicit banking charges, are indirectly measured. These and similar questions arise when statisticians attempt to measure the output of service industries. The comparability of productivity growth across industries and countries is significantly affected by problems in measuring real value-added. Generally, measuring volumes in the National Accounts requires current price values of flows of goods and services that can be divided into volume and price components. Typically, this is more difficult for services than for goods. Characteristics of goods can normally be identified and changes in quantities and qualities are, in principle, measurable. However for services, even quantitative changes are often hard to measure, let alone quality change. Despite substantial progress made over the past ten years in compiling service producer price indices (SPPIs) the methods used to compute real value-added still vary across OECD countries. In many countries estimates of real value-added in some industries are based on a sum of costs approach, where compensation of employees is deflated using a priori assumptions on labour productivity growth. For example, most countries assume no change in labour productivity for public administration activities, which is why the OECD excludes this sector in its productivity estimates. Also excluded are the real estate services which mainly reflect the imputation made for the dwelling services provided and consumed by home-owners. The quality of productivity estimates also depends on the availability and accuracy of data on labour input. Certain services sectors are characterised by a high degree of part-time work and self-employment, which can directly affect the quality of estimates of actual hours worked. In general, international comparisons of productivity have to be interpreted with care as they might be subject to differences in scope and statistical methods across countries, cyclical movement and noise in the data, as well as unmeasured changes in volume, quantity and quality of outputs and inputs. Growth comparisons are on average ‘better’ than level comparisons, if only because of the adjustment of price differences across countries. Source: OECD Productivity Compendium 2013 Innovation and knowledge Innovation in services is complex and multi-dimensional and differs from the much better documented innovation process in manufacturing. The 2008 Cutler Review of the National Innovation System in Australia concluded that innovation in services tends: ï‚· to take place specifically at the point of interaction between services provider and the client; 71 ï‚· to be driven by client relations more than is the case for innovation in manufacturing; service companies must maintain a flexible approach to innovation, constantly changing to solve client problems and meet new needs; ï‚· to be people-driven as well as laboratory-driven, i.e. to break the bounds of traditional hierarchy by requiring integrated input from all kinds of operational, organisational, technical and managerial staff as well as researchers; ï‚· not to offer necessary economies of scale, as in manufacturing; ï‚· to involve a high level of interaction and interdependence between knowledge providers (such as research organisations) and knowledge users (such as service firms) – to the extent that the term co-innovation has relevance; ï‚· to be focused not only on new suites of services but also on new modal delivery methods for those services and on new business models to reach new markets; ï‚· not to take place as a specialised and separately accounted activity located in a separately identified part of a firm but to be inextricably linked with everyday creativity and design; ï‚· to show evidence of a strong responsiveness to both technological and non-technological inputs, including when provided jointly; ï‚· to involve the social as well as the natural sciences; ï‚· to involve the creative arts and humanities; ï‚· to suffer from inadequate formal or informal access to collaboration opportunities between services providers and the education and R&D community. Some of these characteristics have been documented in Part 1 through the new statistics and indicators that have been developed to show the growing importance of innovation in services. As was demonstrated above (see Figure 12), the average innovation rate32 in Australian services is quite similar to these in other OECD countries and is driven to a large extent by ‘softer’ types of marketing and organisational innovation. Indeed, innovation is broader than only formal R&D particularly in Australian services; less than one-fifth of the country’s service providers that innovate are undertaking R&D (Figure 39). This share is significantly lower than in other OECD countries, stressing the need to consider broader forms of innovation activities beyond R&D when targeting service innovation. Consequently, support for services innovation through traditional R&D subsidies or tax credits risks to be less effective in Australia compared to other countries. 32 Defined as the number of innovating firms as a share of the total number of firms. 72 FIGURE 39. R&D-ACTIVE FIRMS, MANUFACTURING AND SERVICES, 2008-10 As a percentage of product and/or process innovative firms in each sector Source: OECD Science, Technology and Industry Scoreboard 2013 In general, government support for services innovation in Australia is low compared to other OECD countries (see also Figure 17). The number of firms receiving public support for innovation in Australia is consistently lower in all industry categories – manufacturing as well as services – relative to other countries (Figure 40). Public support is typically more important in manufacturing than in service sectors; the share of firms receiving public support is highest in high-tech manufacturing sectors, followed by other manufacturing and/or knowledge-intensive services. In a number of countries like Germany, Belgium, Spain, Portugal, France and Hungary, knowledge-intensive services receive more frequently government support than firms in medium- and low-tech manufacturing. There is much less differentiation in government support for innovation in Australia with the shares of firms at the receiving end for public support relatively similar across high tech manufacturing, other manufacturing and knowledge-intensive services. The incidence of government support is equal in high-tech and other manufacturing and slightly higher than in knowledge intensive services. 73 FIGURE 40. SHARE OF FIRMS RECEIVING PUBLIC FINANCIAL SUPPORT FOR INNOVATION ACTIVITIES, 2006-2008 As percentage of total number of firms Notes: 1) Observations weighted by firm size. Public financial support corresponds to support from local or regional authorities, central government or the European Union. This variable is by construction equal to zero for firms that are not inno-active, i.e. firms without product or process innovation, neither actual nor ongoing or abandoned in the CIS framework. 2) High tech manufacturing includes chemicals and pharmaceuticals, electrical and electronic equipment, machinery and equipment and transport equipment including motor vehicles; knowledge intensive services include water and air transport, publishing, telecommunications, finance and services, and other business services Source: OECD calculations based on CIS 2008 microdata (Eurostat), 2012 and national innovation surveys from Australia, Austria, Belgium and Japan. Knowledge intensive market services are traditionally considered as significant users of high technology (e.g. ICT capital) and/or have a relatively skilled workforce able to meet the demands of modern, highly competitive, business environments. About 14% of services employment in Australia is found in knowledge-intensive services which is slightly higher than the OECD average (Figure 41). But innovation rates in knowledge-intensive services in Australia are smaller than corresponding rates in most other OECD countries (Figure 13). Innovation rates in knowledge-intensive service are not much different from these in other services in Australia, but also not that different from innovation rates in manufacturing (high-tech as well as other manufacturing). In other countries, a ranking of industry groupings emerge with high-tech manufacturing coming out as the most innovative, followed by knowledge-intensive services, other manufacturing and other services (Figure 13). It is not immediately clear what causes this lower innovation in Australian knowledge services as for example the industry composition within these services is largely similar between Australia and other OECD countries33. 33 As was discussed in OECD (2012a), the smaller differences between high tech and other manufacturing could be explained by the (very) strong position of Australia in medium- and low tech industries and its rather weak position in high-tech manufacturing. 74 FIGURE 41. EMPLOYMENT IN KNOWLEDGE-INTENSIVE MARKET SERVICES, 2000 AND 2011 As a percentage of total employment Source: OECD Science, Technology and Industry Scoreboard 2013. Human capital The performance of firms and their innovation ability depends to a large extent on the skills of the workforce. This is valid for manufacturing (OECD, 2012a) but increasingly also for services; some researchers have argued that services need especially softer innovation capabilities (Thether, 2005). The growing importance of human capital and skills in services seems to be at odds with the traditional view that services offer only/mainly low-skilled and low-paid jobs. While employment in a number of services sectors is concentrated at the low-end spectrum of the skills distribution (Australian Productivity Commission, 2002), the services sector in Australia also provides most of the high-skilled jobs (graduate diploma or above). Education and training, but also professional, scientific and technical services, health care and social assistance and public administration employ large numbers of highly skilled people (Table 2). The importance of services sectors for highlyskilled jobs is not only due to the large size of these sectors in the Australian economy; the average skillcontent of knowledge-intensive market services (information and communication, professional services and finance and insurance) is also significantly higher than in manufacturing as well as mining Differences in human capital across industries are also reflected in average wages. Mining is by far the industry with the highest average wage in Australia34 (almost double of the average wage in the second highest ranked industry ‘utilities’), but again market services like telecommunications, finance and insurance and business services show higher average wages compared to manufacturing. This is an observation that also applies for other countries like the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom and 34 There is evidence to suggest that wages in mining are influenced by factors not related to skills, in particular geography (” Given the remote areas in which many mines are located, mining wage levels are typically higher than in other sectors in order to attract labour towards the industry” (Reserve Bank of Australia, 2011). 75 New Zealand (see Annex 5): the average wage in the above mentioned market services is higher than the average wage in manufacturing, while wholesale, retail and accommodation provide significantly lower wages. TABLE 2. SKILL CONTENT AND AVERAGE WAGE, AUSTRALIA Industry Agriculture, forestry and fishing Mining Manufacturing Electricity, gas, water and waste services Construction Wholesale trade Retail trade Accommodation and food services Transport, postal and warehousing Information media and telecommunications Financial and insurance services Rental, hiring and real estate services Professional, scientific and technical services Administrative and support services Public administration and safety Education and training Health care and social assistance Arts and recreation services Other services Total Graduate plus Average weekly Absolute number graduate diploma or cash earnings of graduate above in industry (AUD) in diploma or above workforce (%) industry 6 100 2.2 .. 12 800 8.3 2 490.9 41 800 4.3 1 238.8 13 000 9.2 1 746.4 20 400 2.2 1 462.7 23 000 5.6 1 268.4 27 100 2.6 663.8 6 000 1.0 542.9 15 900 3.3 1 354.0 28 600 12.7 1 506.7 53 500 13.4 1 446.1 6 200 3.4 1 035.0 127 000 16.7 1 458.0 11 900 3.2 938.3 103 500 15.3 1 383.9 288 800 35.8 1 107.9 150 000 13.0 1 047.2 17 700 10.1 823.9 14 800 3.6 951.4 969 200 9.5 1 140.3 Source: ABS Cat. No. 6278.0, Education and training experience, 2009; ABS Cat. No. 6302, Average Weekly Earnings, Australia, May 2013. Internationally comparable data on human capital in services are not readily available for Australia. Figure 42 presents the importance of human resources in science and technology (HRST) 35 in market services and manufacturing across countries; professionals and technicians play a key role in innovation. In general, HRST is somewhat more prevalent in market services than in manufacturing, although in countries like Germany and France manufacturing employs relatively more professionals and technicians. The same estimates on HRST occupations are not available for Australia as the national data in Australia do not allow for the distinction between technicians and trade workers. Consequently, the results for Australia included in the graph at the far right overestimate the actual importance of HRST. The results also underline the importance of services for HRST occupations, in line with other countries. 35 Human resources in science and technology (HRST) are defined according to the Canberra Manual (OECD and Eurostat, 1995) as persons having graduated at the tertiary level of education or employed in a science and technology occupation for which a high qualification is normally required and the innovation potential is high. HRST occupations include professionals, technicians and associate professionals (see OECD Science, Technology and Innovation Scoreboard, 2013). 76 FIGURE 42. PROFESSIONALS AND TECHNICIANS IN BUSINESS SECTOR SERVICES AND MANUFACTURING, 2012 As a percentage of total employment in each industry group Note: Data for Australia include professionals, technicians and trade workers, hence should not be compared at face value with HRST personnel in other countries. Source: OECD Science, Technology and Industry Scoreboard 2013. The recent published PIAAC (Programme for the International Assessment of Adult Competencies)36 results by the OECD provide some insights in the type and level of skills used in Australian services. The Survey of Adult Skills (PIAAC) includes detailed questions about the frequency with which respondents perform specific tasks in their jobs. Based on this information, the survey measures the use of a wide range of skills, including both information-processing skills (reading at work, writing at work, numeracy at work, ICT at work and problem solving) and generic skills (task discretion, learning at work, influencing skills, co-operative skills, self-organising skills, dexterity and physical skills) across occupations and industries. The results presented in Figure 43 show the (mean) use of these different skills across Australian industries, clearly demonstrating the importance of highly-skilled workers in services (OECD, 2013e). Information-processing skills for example are most frequently used in the finance and insurance and information and communication sectors. Also generic skills are heavily used in several services industries, on average more than for example in manufacturing and mining. At the same time, the results underline the heterogeneity of services, also in skills. 36 The PIAAC survey assesses the proficiency of adults from age 16 onwards in literacy, numeracy and problemsolving in technology environments. These skills are “key-information-processing competencies” that are relevant to adults in many social contexts and work situations, and necessary for fully integrating and participating in the labour market, education and training, and social ad civic life. Around 166,000 adults aged 16-65 were surveyed in 24 countries. The survey includes a wealth of information; the first results are presented in the OECD Skills Outlook 2013. 77 FIGURE 43. SKILLS USE BY INDUSTRY, AUSTRALIA, Information-processing skills 78 General skills Note: see Annex 6 for a definition of the different skills and the meaning of the use-levels Source: OECD Skills Outlook 2013 International orientation through trade and investment Services companies operate in an increasingly international environment. In a number of services sectors (e.g. modern services and knowledge intensive services) imports from abroad and the entry of foreign MNEs has significantly increased competition. At the same time, domestic services companies are trying to grasp new opportunities on foreign markets. As such, internationalisation has become an important driver of firm performance in services industries, although not to the same extent as in 79 manufacturing; scale economies for example are overall less important in services weakening the need to operate on an international scale. This comes clear in data of the Australian Bureau of Statistics (2013) showing that there were 43,080 exporters of merchandise goods (representing AUD 264 billion of exports) and 2,937 exporters of services (representing AUD 51 billion) in 2011-2012. Many firms in service industries in Australia are however categorised as goods exporters37; about one third of goods exporters are actually from service industries like transport, finance and services, business services and retail trade38. Further on, these statistics do not include the provision of services abroad through foreign affiliates and investment abroad. Commercial presence (Mode 3) is estimated to account for 65% of all Australian services provided internationally (see below). Additional, internationally comparable, evidence on the international orientation of services industries through trade can be obtained from the OECD TiVA database, as it allows to calculate the import penetration (i.e. the proportion of the domestic market served by imports) and export ratios (i.e. the part of services production that is exported) in services industries across countries39. The results in Figure 44 clearly show the rising import penetration and export ratio’s in services between 2000 and 2009 due, among other reasons, to the growing internationally tradability of services. Not surprisingly both the import penetration and export ratio in services are much lower than comparable ratios for manufacturing (see OECD, 2012a). Australia shows an overall smaller export ratio than other countries, which may suggest that at the one side also services in Australia suffer from its remoteness from world markets. As was already noted for Australian manufacturing (OECD, 2012a), large economic distances result in high trade and transport costs which hamper the global integration of Australia. At the other side, it has been argued however that for services the tyranny of distance might be of a lesser problem as some services (e.g. weightless services) are largely provided over ICT networks. The new OECD evidence on GVC participation seems to support this since it shows a relatively higher GVC participation for Australia in services compared to manufacturing GVCs. Australia’s GVC participation is close to or above the OECD average particularly in business services, finance and insurance, and telecommunications (see Figure 29). Further on, Australia can expect to benefit from the emergence of large (consumer) markets in Asia and its overall economic distance will decrease40. As the global economic centre is shifting to the East, the distance of Australia to these new world markets will still be significant but smaller than to markets in Europe and the United States. While in the 1950s about 15% of world GDP was located within 10,000 kilometres of Australia, in 2010 about one-third of world GDP fell within the 10,000 kilometres m range. And if emerging Asia keeps growing, that figure could be almost as high as two-thirds of world GDP by 2050 (Thirlwell, 2012). 37 Services firms are counted as goods exporters if they have sent physical goods abroad, based on data recorded by the Australian Customs and Border Protection Services. 38 Further on, the Australian Bureau of Statistics (2013) acknowledges that their ‘Characteristics of Exporters’ survey does not capture a representative sample of smaller firms, which may under-represent the importance of services exporter even more. 39 It should be stressed though that the TiVA database is an analytical database and the results should be interpreted as estimates rather than as real observed/collected statistics. Particularly for services trade, a number of missing values across countries and services categories are estimated. 40 While the cost represented by Australia’s remoteness from major markets as measured by per capita GDP was estimated at more than 10% in 2005, that handicap could drop by 3 percentage points by 2050. 80 Remoteness provides at the same time some natural protection for industries as higher trade costs render imported services less competitive. This may explain the lower import penetration in Australia as other barriers to imports of services in Australia have been rather low relative to other OECD countries. The OECD Services Trade Restrictiveness Index (STRI) reveals that barriers are concentrated in restrictions to the movement of people and foreign ownership, with restrictions in other categories such as discriminatory measures and standards, regulatory transparency, or barriers to competition being concentrated in only few services activities (see Box 11). In terms of sectors, courier, air transport, maritime freight and rail freight have been relatively more protected than the rest of services, with the aggregate of services industries ranking low in barriers relative to the STRI average. FIGURE 44. IMPORT PENETRATION AND EXPORT RATIO, SERVICES, 2000 AND 2009 Import penetration 81 Export ratio Source: OECD-WTO Trade in Value-Added (TiVA) database 82 BOX 11. SERVICES TRADE RESTRICTIVENESS: AUSTRALIA The STRI project was launched by the OECD Trade Committee in 2007 as a tool for quantifying barriers to trade in services in 40 countries at the level of the industry (see Chapter 1 Box 5 for more details). Indices for 18 sectors were calculated and were publicly released in May 2014: three audio-visual services (motion pictures, broadcasting, sound recording), construction, computer services, courier (including postal services), distribution, two financial sectors (banking and insurance), four professional services (legal, accounting, architectural, engineering services) and four transport services (air –covers establishment only, maritime freight, road freight, rail freight). In almost all industries, Australia stands out among OECD countries with the lowest restrictiveness scores, reflecting largely an open market for foreign services providers. In 17 out of the 18 sectors covered, Australia is below the sample average value. Deregulation of services sectors in the 1990s as well as extensive privatisations and measures to strengthen competition have all contributed to an environment that is friendly for business. There are two categories nevertheless where barriers still remain across sectors: i) restrictions to the movement of people (such as for example labour market tests for intra-corporate transferees, independent and contractual services suppliers) and ii) restrictions to foreign ownership that affect the establishment of commercial presence in the country (such as for example screening requirements, restrictions to the acquisition of land by foreigners or requirements that at least one director be resident). Given the importance of commercial presence, these are particularly relevant for most services activities. Looking closer at results for specific sectors, there are four activities that are relatively more protected than others (yet still the overall restrictiveness is below or close to the average): courier services, air transport (establishment), maritime freight and rail freight. In courier services, Australia maintains a state-owned postal service monopoly on letters weighing up to 250g. In air transport, there are no foreign equity limits for domestic airlines but international airlines cannot be controlled by foreign shareholders. Australia has nonetheless the lowest STRI value in the sample of countries (as other countries are more restrictive). In the case of maritime freight, there is also a foreign equity limit and there are restrictions to own and register vessels under the national flag. Lastly, rail freight is a transport service where not all the procompetitive regulations are in place to guarantee the access to foreign suppliers. However, it should be noted that due to its geography, it is not possible for Australia to have international rail transport. Overall, while the Australian market is relatively open to foreign services providers, there is scope of improvement by relaxing restrictive regulations under specific categories and within specific sectors that could ultimately stimulate competition and productivity in some critical services activities. STRI of Australia by sector and policy area 83 Trade is however only part of the international engagement by Australian service providers; investment is another – important - way of providing services abroad (Mode 3 – commercial presence). In general, economic distance limits the growth of services trade but is less of a constraint on investment as illustrated by the importance of Mode 3 for the supply of services abroad (see Part 1). In order to overcome (some of) the large trade costs, foreign companies have set up subsidiaries in Australia to serve the local market, while reversely Australian companies have located subsidiaries abroad to serve foreign markets. As discussed in Part 1, data on MNE activities can provide the necessary insights into the commercial presence (Mode 3) in services but are not available for a large number of countries, including Australia. An experimental ‘Survey of Outward Foreign Affiliates Trade’ in 2003 showed that financial and insurance services were by far the largest category of services provided by Australian foreign affiliates41. More recent data are only available for two types of services categories; a study by Australia’s International Legal Services Advisory Council (ILSAC) concluded that export data significantly underestimated the total provision of legal services abroad in 2006. Legal services provided abroad by Australian companies (i.e. exports and commercial presence) were reported to be AUD 675 million, which is 142% higher than the official export statistics for this service category. A survey commissioned by the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (DFAT), Australian Government focusing on the finance and insurance sector in 2009-2010 underlined again the importance of Australia’s foreign affiliates for this type of services; Australia had according to this survey 1,245 finance and insurance foreign affiliates operating in 70 countries around the world. The total economic value of finance and insurance services provided by these affiliates was valued at AUD 35.1 billion, thereby accounting for 96% of total services sales abroad of Australia’s finance and insurance sales. Exports accounted only for 4% of internationals sales, explaining the low ranking of finance and services in Australia’s services exports. Given the unavailability of statistics of Australia’s outward investment in services, an attempt was made to use the inward statistics of host countries to identify Australian affiliates abroad. Figure 47 presents the share of Australia in total foreign employment as well as the absolute number of jobs across different countries in individual services industries. The majority of Australian outward investment in services goes to the United Kingdom: in all services industries, the number of ‘Australian’ jobs abroad is the largest in the United Kingdom with finance and services accounting for half of this. Except from Trade and Repair (including wholesale and retail), Australian presence in services industries abroad seems to be concentrated in only a couple of countries. It should be stressed however that the information on Australia’s outward investment based on these so-called mirror statistics provides only a partial view of Australia’s outward investment in services. First, the OECD AMNE Database does not include all host countries across the work but only these countries that collect statistics on foreign affiliates. Second, even if an Australian presence is observed in a country, the information may be treated as confidential for statistics purposes (due to the small number of Australian affiliates); these cases are included in Figure 52 with N/A. The analysis thus shows that mirror statistics on inward investment are not a perfect substitute for collecting own statistics on outward investment, even in the case if inward statistics would be available for all countries. 41 A significant proportion of services sales could however not be classified to a specific services category, either because they were confidential or could not be separately identified. 84 FIGURE 45. AUSTRALIAN AFFILIATES ABROAD IN SERVICES, 2011 Share of total foreign employment and total number of jobs Trade and repair (ISIC 45 to 47) Transportation and storage (ISIC 49 to 53) Information and communication (ISIC 58 to 63) Finance and insurance (ISIC 64 to 66) 85 Professional, scientific and technical activities (ISIC 69-75) Administrative and support service activities (ISIC 77-82) Source: OECD Activities of Multinational Enterprises (AMNE) Database. In the absence of MNE data, FDI are typically used to get some idea about the international investment of firms, although it should be kept in mind that FDI data capture financial flows without necessarily representing significant economic activities42 (see Part 1). FDI data show that services account for the majority of FDI globally; in some countries services account for more than 80% of FDI stocks (Figure 45). The services share in Australian FDI is somewhat lower, as the mining sector accounts for about one third of inward and outward FDI stock in Australia (DFAT Australian government, 2013). The most important services sector in outward Australian services FDI is by far finance and insurance, representing 80% of the total outward FDI stock in services by Australia (Figure 46); for comparison, finance and insurance accounts only for one-third of world outward FDI stocks while other business services accounts for nearly half of outward FDI stocks at the world level (see Annex 2). Nevertheless, in recent years Australia has become an important international investor abroad in a number of other services sectors like transport and telecommunications but also wholesale and retail trade (see Box 12). The sectoral distribution of inward FDI stocks is more evenly spread: financial intermediation services, and wholesale and retail are the most important services sectors, followed by transport, storage and communications, and renting and business services (Figure 47). 42 It should be taken into account that FDI flows in finance and insurance most likely include financial flows passing via Special Purpose Entities (SPEs) as these MNE affiliates, because of their financial activities, are assigned to this industry. 86 FIGURE 46. INWARD AND OUTWARD FDI POSITIONS AS A PERCENTAGE OF GDP, 2011 Source: OECD, International Direct Investment Database and Annual National Accounts. FIGURE 47. INWARD AND OUTWARD FDI POSITIONS AS A PERCENTAGE OF GDP, AUSTRALIA 2011 Inward FDI stocks Outward FDI stocks Note: The sectoral distribution of world FDI is presented in Annex 2. Source: OECD, International Direct Investment Database. 87 BOX 12 GLOBALISATION OF RETAIL SERVICES The internationalisation of the retail sector is a relatively recent phenomenon. From the mid-1990s onwards, the retail industries undertook substantial transformation and a period of sustained engagement with the global economy began in a small number of OECD countries. Other OECD countries, whose retail systems remained essentially ‘traditional’ in the mid-1990s, experienced that engagement in an importer mode. The acceleration of retail FDI in the late 1990s primarily involved European and US retailers (mostly grocery/general merchandise operators) exporting capital and expertise to the emerging economies of East Asia, Latin America and Central/Eastern Europe, as well as developing store networks in these countries. The FDI acceleration was driven by a number of factors discussed in OECD (2010) such as: ï‚· the longer-term growth opportunities offered by emerging economies with ‘traditional’ retail systems; ï‚· the consolidating, and often increasingly tightly regulated, home markets of these firms; ï‚· the capacity of the largest of these firms to leverage their increasing core-market scale and free cash flow for expansionary investment in order to secure the longer-term higher growth opportunities offered by the emerging markets. In turn the process was facilitated by ï‚· full or partial liberalisation of trade and market access in many of the emerging economies; ï‚· the availability of low-cost capital; ï‚· emulation of the ‘first mover’ benefits seen to have accrued to the early exporters; ï‚· the emergence and adoption of ICT technologies which provided essential management tools to assist the control of large dispersed operations Australia is home to some of the world’s leading retailers such as Woolworths and Wesfarmers figuring both impressively in the Top 20 retailers, at 17th and 18th respectively according to Deloitte (2013). Wesfarmers continues to top the list of the 50 fastest growing retailers for the five year period from 20062011, but this is predominately driven by its acquisition of Coles in November 2007. With many retailers facing challenging economic conditions in local markets, there has been a clear drive to seek growth opportunities abroad in countries with stronger economic conditions and growth prospects. This has been particularly evident in Australia where the influx of foreign retailers over the past two or three years has been significant. Sources: OECD (2010) The Globalisation of trade in retail services; Deloitte (2013) 88 3. Australian services on international markets through exports43 A snapshot of services exports and imports in Australia Exports of services from Australia have consistently increased from roughly AUD 13 billion in 1990 to more than AUD 50 billion in 2012, averaging an annual growth rate of 6.2% (Figure 48). Services are the second largest export category in Australia after natural resources but before manufacturing and agricultural products (Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (DFAT), Australian Government, 2013a). The strong export growth of services has slowed down somewhat in recent years due to a number of reasons: the worsening economic situation in several regions of the world, the high Australian dollar and a range of inhibiting factors such as new visa requirements for students, etc. (Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (DFAT), Australian Government, 2011). Largely similar to other OECD economies, services account for about one sixth of total (gross) exports from Australia - services are around one quarter to one half of exports to many trading partners, but can be up to 90% in the case of Ireland and as low as 3.9% in the case of Japan. Services imports in Australia have grown at roughly the same rate as exports up to 2008. The global financial crisis has resulted in a significant drop in Australian services imports, but since 2009 imports have picked up again and are growing stronger than exports, resulting in a trade deficit in services for Australia. FIGURE 48. EXPORTS AND IMPORTS OF SERVICES, AUSTRALIA 1990-2012 Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics (Cat. No 5368) 43 In the absence of MNE data including for Australia and the smaller suitability of FDI data to analyse economic performance, the analysis takes – out of necessity – only exports into account to discuss the competitiveness of Australian service providers on international markets. 89 The growth in services exports from Australia has been mainly driven by growth in education, tourism and business services44, although almost all services categories have grown in value between 1990 and 2012. Other personal travel (i.e. foreign tourists travelling to Australia) and education-related travel (i.e. foreign students coming to Australia for their studies) – both largely Mode 2 - are by far the two largest export categories in Australian services and represent together more than half of Australia’s export in services in 2012 (Figure 49). Business services at large including finance and insurance, telecommunications and information and other business services account for another quarter of services exports from Australia. At the other side, the different categories of transportation services have fallen in importance; while transportation as a whole accounted for almost a third of Australian services exports in 1992, this share has fallen to one-eighth in 2012. The composition of services imports is a bit more evenly spread across different categories, with transportation services still accounting for a quarter of Australian services imports in 2012. The share of other personal travel has almost doubled between 1992 and 2012, indicating the growing tourism of Australian residents abroad. Intellectual property is more important in services imports than in exports, pointing to the significant payments of royalties and license fees by Australia to the rest of the world. FIGURE 49. EXPORTS AND IMPORTS OF SERVICES BY CATEGORY, AUSTRALIA 1992-2012 Exports 1992 44 Exports 2012 See Annex 1 for the list of services categories according to EBOPS 2010. 90 Imports 1992 Imports 2012 Note: Other services include: Manufacturing services on physical inputs owned by others, Maintenance and repair services n.i.e. and Construction. Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics (Cat. No 5368.0) The major markets for Australia’s services exports in 2012 were the United States, the United Kingdom, China, New Zealand and Singapore; the EU-27 together was Australia’s largest export market (Figure 50). Asia as a whole has become much more important as a destination for Australian services exports since 2000: about half of Australian services exports went to Asian markets in 2012. Particularly strong growth has been recorded in China, but also other Asian economies like India and Malaysia have become more important between 2000 and 2012. In contrast, the share of Japan in Australian services exports dropped from 10.6% in 2000 to 4% in 2012. The United States and EU-27 (taken as a single entity) were the most important sources of services imports in Australia; together they were responsible for about 41% of Australian services imports. Asia is less important in services imports than in exports, and accounted for about one third of services imports in Australia in 2012. Australia is a net exporter of services to Asia. The composition of Australian services import and exports differs across countries of destination/origin. Australian exports and import to/from the United States are concentrated in business services at large, including finance and insurance, telecommunication, engineering services, etc. Exports and imports to/from Asia are heavily orientated towards travel related services including education (see below). 91 FIGURE 50. EXPORTS AND IMPORTS OF SERVICES BY COUNTRY, AUSTRALIA 2000-2012 Exports 2000 Exports 2012 Imports 2000 Imports 2012 Note: Services not allocated geographically are excluded from the graph. Source: OECD, Trade in services database, November 2013. Australia’s Business Survey 2014 (Export Council of Australia, 2014), which surveys individual firms including also a large number of respondents in services industries, presents largely similar results when analysing the most important overseas markets. The top-10 overseas markets in terms of international revenue (through exports and foreign presence) overall were found to be a mix of countries that are geographically close (New Zealand but also three ASEAN countries – Singapore, Malaysia and Indonesia – and Papua New Guinea), are large economies (China, Japan and the United States) and/or have historical and linguistic ties with Australia (six countries are Commonwealth countries: the United Kingdom, New Zealand, Singapore, Malaysia, India and Papua New Guinea). Five of these markets (Japan, the United States, China, India and Indonesia) were also identified as the most difficult markets in the same survey, with important differences across industries. Barriers faced by Australian firms related to market information (local culture, regulation, etc.), financial barriers (customer payment, exchange risk, etc.), border restrictions (tariffs and quotas, customs costs and delays, etc.) and laws and regulations (licenses and standards, discriminatory regulations, etc.). 92 Comparative advantage in Australian services exports Australia had a market share of about 1.4% in world export of services in 2012; this market share has remained roughly constant between 1998 and 2012 (Figure 51). The largest actors in the global export market for services are the United States with a 15% market share, the United Kingdom (7%) and Germany (6.5%). In contrast to manufacturing where emerging economies have become more important during the past decade, developed economies are the most important services exporters, with the exception of China and India. The geographical distribution of services value-added shows that developed economies account for about three quarters of the value that is created in services industry globally (Figure 52). This share has fallen over time but the decrease is much smaller than in global manufacturing (see OECD, 2012a). FIGURE 51. EXPORT MARKET SHARES FOR SERVICES, 1998-2012 Source: IMF, Balance of Payments statistics. 93 FIGURE 52. REGIONAL SHARE OF GLOBAL VALUE-ADDED IN SERVICES SECTORS (19952011) 1995 2011 Source: OECD calculations using data from the United Nations Statistics Division. Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA) indices show in which services categories Australia is performing relatively better (in terms of exports) than other countries. The calculation of RCAs for services exports is however not as straightforward as for merchandise exports, because of the smaller availability of services statistics with a lot of missing values across countries and across services categories (see Box 13). The results overall indicate that Australia’s competitiveness on the global market for services (through exports, hence Modes 1, 2 and 4) is strongly concentrated in a number of services categories (Figure 53). 94 BOX 13. DATA SOURCES USED IN THE ANALYSIS OF AUSTRALIAN SERVICES IN INTERNATIONAL MARKETS THROUGH EXPORTS The main data source used in the analysis is the IMF Extended Balance of Payments statistics where flows by EBOPS category are reported for all countries (developed as well as emerging economies), hence allowing the calculation of RCA indices. For the years after 2005, trade in services in the database is reported according to the framework set by the 6th edition of the Balance of Payment Manual (BPM6/EBOPS 2010). Data for previous years (until 2008) follow the framework set by the 5th edition of the Balance of Payment Manual (BPM5) and the Extended Balance of Payment on Services classification released in 2002 (EBOPS 2002). The differences between EBOPS 2002 and 2010 concern the enhancement of the "change of ownership" principle. This implies revisions of the concepts of goods for processing and merchanting transactions. Unfortunately, detail by partner country is not available in the IMF database; mirror statistics on exports by partner country reported by Australia have been used to compensate for the unavailability of imports by partner country in the IMF BOP database. The OECD Trade in Services Database includes trade flows (imports and exports) by partner country and activity, according to BPM5/EBOPS 2002 and BPM6/EBOPS 2010. Data for Australia are reported up until 2012, and the latest years after 2008 are only reported in BPM6. Education-related travel stands out as the most competitive services category (in terms of RCA) showing the large attractiveness of education in Australia for foreign students. Academics are often internationally recruited, teaching takes place in English; degrees follow a flexible academic system with shorter study requirements; and research is generously funded relative to other countries, making Australia a popular destination for students from the whole world. Australia has witnessed a huge inflow of students from Asia; more than 80% of Australian exports of education services were destined to Asian countries, with China and India accounting for the largest share (Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (DFAT), Australian Government, 2013b). Reversely, Chinese trade data show that education has been the most intensively imported service from Australia throughout the last decade, while the number of Chinese international student enrolments in Australia increased three-fold from 49,391 in 2002 to 149,758 in 2012 (Department of Education, 2012)45. Travel services in general are important in Australia’s exports of services, as Australia also shows a comparative advantage for business travel and personal travel. Australia also occupies a strong position in the global market of postal and courier services, although this services category only represents 2% of Australian services exports46. Other ‘export-competitive’ services categories for Australia are other personal, cultural and recreational services and passenger transport, although the RCA index is only marginally above one. 45 In addition to Mode 2 exports of education services, also other modes of education services provision has substantially increased; for example, 42,000 students availed Australian public Vocational Education and Training (VET) services in 2012 in China. 46 It is not clear to what extent high shipment costs because of the remoteness of Australia may affect this result. 95 Australian providers of other services categories seem less competitive in international markets through exports. Despite the fact that Australian exports in these service categories have significantly grown during the past decade, Australia is not export-competitive in most of the knowledge-intensive services such as telecommunications and information, financial services, technical, trade-related and other business services. Large players like the United States and the United Kingdom have built up strong positions in these services categories. FIGURE 53. REVEALED COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE INDEX FOR SERVICES (AUSTRALIA, 2011) Source: OECD calculations using IMF (Balance of Payments statistics) Databases. Two caveats should be emphasised when deriving conclusions on international competitiveness in services from RCA indices, in addition to the general observation about the lesser availability of services data. First, because data are recorded in gross terms, services sectors that internationalise intensively through downstream industries tend to appear less competitive than services targeting final consumers. The bias is larger the more intensive indirect internationalisation is with respect to other countries; indirect internationalisation in Australia is significantly above the OECD average (Figure 8). The fact that business-oriented services providing inputs to manufacturing or mining industries, such as financial services, construction, transport or business services, appear less competitive in international markets may be partly attributed to the way services trade is measured Second, the majority of services are supplied abroad through commercial presence; estimates suggest over half of services supplied abroad happen through Mode 3 (Table 1, Part 1). Similar estimates, discussed above, for Australia suggest that commercial presence through MNE affiliates accounts for almost two-thirds of Australian services supplied abroad47 (Magdeleine and Maurer, 2008). The choice for exports versus investments in servicing foreign markets varies across industries, hence the weak(er) position of Australia in a specific services sector may be counterbalanced by a strong(er) competitive performance of Australian service providers abroad through commercial presence. 47 This is most likely related to the remoteness of Australia in the global economy (see Part 1) 96 More detailed insights on Australia’s services export portfolio (thus abstracting from foreign presence as mode of supplying services abroad) can be obtained through a growth share matrix 48 which relates the export performance of Australian service providers to the size and growth of world exports across services categories. Are Australia’s strengths in services exports concentrated in large and growing services categories, or are they rather situated in services for which the global market is small and/or slowly growing49? Figure 54 shows on the horizontal axis the 2011 market share of Australia across different services categories, while the vertical axis presents the growth in world exports in these services categories between 2005 and 201150; the size of the balls is proportional to the size of world exports in these same services categories. Roughly speaking, the quadrant upper right includes strong growing activities (at the world level) in which Australian service providers shows significant competitive strengths (in terms of exports), hence these activities can be considered to provide strong growth opportunities for Australia. The quadrant below right also shows competitive activities of Australian services providers but in a rather slowly growing world market. The quadrant upper left includes services activities who witness a strong global growth but Australia is not able to benefit from this growth as Australian services providers lack competitive strength in these activities. The quadrant below left are activities where Australia does not possess competitive capabilities but these services activities grow relatively less on world markets. The results overall show that Australia has built up a strong position (i.e. RCA > 1) in services categories that, except from other personal, cultural and recreational services, show relatively slower growth on a global scale51. Through its strong export performance in travel services, Australia captures a considerable share of the large global market for travel (business as well as personal which includes education-related travel). The market for travel services however shows lower growth on a global scale, i.e. world exports of travel services grow slower than total world exports in services. The global market for postal and courier services, another services category in which Australia has a comparative advantage, shows also a slower growth and is also (still) relatively small. Knowledge-intensive services are significantly growing (in exports) across the world, but the weaker international competitiveness of Australian providers suggest that Australia benefits less from the growth opportunities in these services categories. A number of global markets for these services categories like technical, trade-related and other business are not only strongly growing but also large on a global scale. 48 Similar to the Growth-Share Matrix of the Boston Consulting Group, which was developed to guide companies in their investment decisions on specific product-market combinations. 49 In order to prevent that a better coverage of services trade statistics might bias the results (see Lipsey 2009), growth figures are only calculated for countries that report the specific service category in 2005 as well as 2011. 50 In order to be consistent with later graphs where the growth in foreign services markets (proxied by imports of services in these markets) is presented, the vertical axis presents the growth of world imports across services categories; it should be kept in mind however that mirror statistics in international trade are not perfect, meaning that total world imports may differ from total world exports in certain services categories. 51 It should be stressed that the growth in these services categories is significantly positive, but lower than the average growth of total services exports. 97 FIGURE 54. GROWTH-SHARE MATRIX OF AUSTRALIAN SERVICES EXPORTS, BY SERVICES CATEGORY, 2005-2011 Source: OECD calculations using IMF (Balance of Payments statistics) and OECD (Trade in Services) Databases. New export market opportunities for Australian services providers A similar growth share matrix using countries (as destination of Australian exports) instead of industries allows the identification of strengths and weaknesses of Australian services exporters in geographical markets. Figure 55 shows the market share of Australia by importing market (i.e. the share of the country’s services imports provided by Australian firms52) on the horizontal axis, while the vertical axis presents services import growth in those markets during 2005-2011. The results underscore the importance of Asian economies in the export portfolio of Australian service providers. China, Korea and other SouthEast Asian economies figure prominently in the upper right side quadrant: services imports in these countries have grown more strongly than the world average and Australia has acquired large market shares in these foreign services markets. Australian service providers may thus be in a favourable position to capture future growth in these markets, some of which are also already very large in absolute terms. 52 This is calculated as the share of Australian services exports in percentage of total services imports in that country since statistics on services imports by partner country are not available. Differences in mirror statistics (exports from country A to country are not equal to imports by country B from country A) may to some extent bias the results. 98 Australia also shows relatively large market shares in English-speaking countries (United States, United Kingdom, South Africa and New Zealand) highlighting the importance of cultural ties for services trade. Australian services providers have a clear advantage in these markets which on the world level grow relatively less (quadrant below right); but the US and UK services markets are large in volume. The strong performance of Australian providers in India is partly explained by cultural ties as well, given the two countries’ Commonwealth connection. Large European services markets feature in the lower left quadrant indicating that they are growing less rapidly than the world average while they are also relatively less important for Australian service providers probably as a result of the large distances between Europe and Australia. FIGURE 55. GROWTH-SHARE MATRIX OF AUSTRALIAN SERVICES EXPORTS, BY COUNTRY OF DESTINATION, 2005-2011 Source: OECD calculations using IMF (Balance of Payments statistics) and OECD (Trade in Services) Databases. In order to assess whether Australian service providers effectively capture growth opportunities in different markets, Figure 56 relates the services import growth in individual economies during 2005-2011 (vertical axis) to the growth of services exports from Australia to these economies rather than the share (horizontal axis). Countries positioned to the left of the 45 degree line point to ‘missed’ opportunities as growth of Australian services exports has not fully matched the total growth in the services market in these countries. The results overall show that Australian service providers have expanded their position in most markets; but very noticeable is that in a number of large Asian economies such as China, India and also Japan Australian services exports to these countries have not followed the overall growth of these countries’ imports of services. Despite their strong position in these markets (see Figure 51), Australia 99 appears to lose ground in these Asian markets for services which in the case of China and India are very rapidly expanding. ‘Missed’ opportunities for Australian services providers emerge also in some (smaller) European economies. In other, particularly larger, European markets such as France, Germany and Italy services export growth from Australia exceeded market growth. The same is true for Korea, Canada, South Africa, Mexico and other South Asian economies. FIGURE 56. GROWTH-GROWTH MATRIX OF AUSTRALIAN SERVICES EXPORTS, 2005-2011 Source: OECD calculations using IMF (Balance of Payments statistics) and OECD (Trade in Services) Databases. Taking the analysis one step further and focusing on Asia aims to identify the strengths and weaknesses of Australian service providers in specific services categories in Asia and in individual markets in the region. Figure 57 presents the results for Asia as a whole and China in particular; the results for other individual countries are presented in Annex 7, clearly showing the differences across countries. The results especially show the large importance of travel (including tourism but also education53) in Australian services exports to Asia; travel services (including education-related travel) largely dominate the exports of Australia to all Asian countries. Looking at Asia as a whole, Australia has reinforced its already strong position in travel services. Looking at individual Asian countries shows that this is particularly the case in India and Korea; in other Asian countries like China, Japan and other Southeast Asia, the growth in 53 Data availability does not allow for the analysis on a more disaggregated level of services categories. 100 Australia’s exports of travel services lags the market (for travel abroad) growth in these countries. Asian tourists and students in these countries increasingly look also to other countries. Transport services are a second important category of services imported in Asia, somewhat more in industrialised countries like Japan and Korea while less important in emerging economies like China and India. Australian service providers do not occupy a strong position in Asian transport markets and this may also explain why Australia seems to miss out on opportunities in these markets (i.e. Australian exports to these markets grew more slowly than total imports in these markets). The Asian markets for other service categories (including knowledge intensive services) are relatively smaller; although in Japan and other Southeast Asia the market for other business services is relatively large and still expanding. Australian providers play an overall smaller role in these markets and risk to become even less important as Australia’s export growth does not follow total market growth in these countries. Interesting observations though are the strong and growing importance of Australian providers (through exports) in financial services in China and telecommunication services in India. It should be stressed again that the above analyses are based on exports of services, hence the results apply only to a fraction of the international activities of Australian services providers. For example, the above analyses showed only a smaller importance of exports in finance and insurance services, but estimates show that most of the international activities in this industry is realised through foreign affiliates. The lack of AMNE statistics for Australia (in service industries) prevents a similar analysis of the competitiveness of foreign affiliates by Australian services providers. The choice for exports or commercial presence is different across industries and depends on the characteristics of the services offered but also on the existence of specific barriers in host countries. The OECD Services Trade Restrictiveness Index (STRI) shows that barriers vary across host countries even within services industries, which may explain why Australian service providers are doing better in one country compared to others. More data and analysis is needed to look into this in more detail. 101 FIGURE 57. AUSTRALIAN SERVICES EXPORTS TO ASIA, 2005-2011 ASIA Growth-share matrix of Australian services exports to Asia, by services category, 2005-2011 Growth-growth matrix of Australian services exports to Asia, by services category, 2005-2011 102 CHINA Growth-share matrix of Australian services exports to China, by services category, 2005-2011 Growth-Growth matrix of Australian services exports to China, by services category, 2005-2011 Note: data availability restricts the analysis to be undertaken only for the main categories of services exports/imports Source: OECD calculations using IMF (Balance of Payments statistics) and OECD (Trade in Services) Databases. 103 CONCLUSIONS AND POLICY MESSAGES Services have become a dominant feature of economic activity in developed economies, and the wealthiest economies derive the majority of their income and employment from services. The services sector is quantitatively the most important sector with market and non-market services contributing 70% of GDP and accounting for about 75% of total employment in Australia: ï‚· developed economies account for about three quarters of the value that is created within in services industries globally; ï‚· the tertiarisation, i.e. the growing importance of services, of OECD economies is driven by demand factors (such as rising incomes, demographic changes resulting in ageing population, growing participation of women in the workforce, etc.) as well as supply factors (in particular the differential growth rates in productivity between manufacturing and services); ï‚· in addition, services in Australia have significantly benefitted from the recent resources boom as the growth in national income accompanying the commodity-price boom has triggered an economy-wide adjustment process with the reallocation of productive resources towards (domestic) services; ï‚· non-market services account for 40% of services employment in Australia; wholesale and retail, finance and insurance, and real estate, renting and business services are the most important categories within market services. The importance of the services sector for national economies is not only determined by its large size, but also by the growing and complex interactions between services and other industries. Services are increasingly used as important business inputs in the production processes of manufacturing, mining, resources and agricultural industries: ï‚· part of the growing systemic character of services is however a statistical ‘artefact’ as the outsourcing/offshoring of activities from other industries to specialised services providers has assisted to identify services transactions; ï‚· nevertheless, a broad trend of servitisation of the manufacturing industry is observed with also the remaining in-house/intra-firm activities increasingly displaying service characteristics in terms of jobs, innovation, etc. ï‚· the services value-added content of manufacturing (exports) has increased in almost all OECD countries reflecting the growing bundling of and goods and services such as design, development, marketing, warranties and after-sales care; services – typically developed on the basis of knowledge-based capital - add significant value to manufactured products and assist to differentiate, customise and upgrade products and as such help to gain a competitive advantage; 104 ï‚· in addition, services are often referred to as the glue that holds GVCs together and ensure that international production networks function in a smooth and timely manner; logistics, communication, financial and business services allow for the coordination of dispersed activities and hence raise the productivity and efficiency of GVCs; ï‚· in Australia, also the mining industry as well as the agricultural industry (in addition to the manufacturing industry) are found to source important inputs from services industries; ï‚· as such, services contribute to the international competitiveness of the Australian economy and support the competitive performance of internationally engaged firms but also of purely domestic firms in Australia. Structural change has been transforming knowledge and ICT-intensive services such as finance and services, business services and telecommunications into dynamic industries in terms of growth, productivity, jobs, new firm creation, new products, etc.: ï‚· the rise of these so-called ‘modern’ services is strongly driven by technology, transportability and tradability which have given certain categories of services a physical and storable character; this in turn has made the transport of these services possible over long distances, in no time and without quality deterioration; ï‚· these categories of services are increasingly displaying the ‘progressive’ characteristics which were until now mainly observed in manufacturing industries: growing productivity, innovation, knowledge intensity and international tradability; ï‚· the contribution of services to aggregate productivity growth has been rising in most OECD countries; market services (excluding real estate) accounted for almost 80% of labour productivity growth in Australia during the past decade. The growth-enhancing potential of knowledge intensive services, not only in terms of jobs but increasingly also in value-added and productivity, offers important growth opportunities for OECD economies, including Australia. Policy makers are confronted with a sluggish economic performance in most countries and are looking for new sources of growth: ï‚· in contrast to most OECD economies, economic growth in Australia was strong in recent years driven by record export prices of natural resources and historic levels of investment; ten percent of the Australian economy was responsible for a third of the recent income growth; with uncertainty growing over the economic prospects in emerging economies like China and India, Australia need to broaden its growth model to become less dependent on the mining sector for economic growth; ï‚· Australian manufacturing suffers from a number of structural weaknesses (including small scale, low productivity, etc.) which have limited its role in the Australian economy as well in 105 global manufacturing; further on, the process of deindustrialisation is further shrinking the role of manufacturing in Australia; . ï‚· because of their strong progressive characteristics, knowledge intensive services are an important source of productivity growth and can help to turn around the downward trend in Australian productivity; ï‚· a stronger position of Australia in knowledge services will directly benefit other sectors in the Australian economy as these services are heavily used in downstream industries like manufacturing, mining and agriculture; ï‚· Australian services can be expected to suffer less from the tyranny of distance than Australian manufacturing as internationally tradable services are largely provided over ICT networks, hence reducing the impact of transportation costs. Services in Australia have been performing very well across a broad range of indicators with a particularly strong financial sector; an international benchmark of knowledge intensive services point however to some structural weaknesses in productivity and innovation within Australian services; ï‚· Australian services have in general recorded strong growth in value-added, employment, and exports; the resources boom has supported services to directly benefit from increased wealth and rising purchasing power; ï‚· knowledge intensive services in Australia have accordingly recorded strong growth rates but these rates are overall lower than in other OECD countries; the employment share of knowledge intensive services in Australia is above the OECD average but has remained fairly stable during the past decade; ï‚· knowledge-intensive services (especially financial services) in Australia have performed better in productivity than manufacturing and mining, but productivity gaps (in levels and growth rates) persist between Australia and other countries in these industries; nevertheless, international comparisons of productivity have to be interpreted with care as measuring output and productivity (growth) is not straightforward particularly in services industries; ï‚· while Australian services overall show innovation rates which are on par with other OECD economies, knowledge intensive services are not, like in other OECD economies taking the lead on this: instead, innovation performance is similar across services industries in Australia; ï‚· services innovation in Australia is less driven by R&D stressing the need to consider broader forms of innovation activities beyond R&D when targeting service innovation in policies; . ï‚· more analysis is needed to identify the reasons behind the relatively weaker innovation performance of knowledge intensive services in Australia. 106 The strong performance of Australia in services exports is largely attributable to travel services, especially tourism and education-related travel; Australia does not show a comparative advantage in knowledge intensive services exports, although the provision of these services abroad also takes place through commercial presence: ï‚· Australia has a market share of about 1.4% in global services exports, which is double its market share in world exports of manufactured goods; services are the second largest category of Australian exports after natural resources; ï‚· Australian exports of services have grown strongly during the past decade but have slowed down somewhat in recent years for a number of reasons: the worsening economic situation in several regions of the world, the high Australian dollar, etc.; ï‚· half of Australian services exports concern the provision of services to foreign customers (tourists, students and to a lesser extent business travellers) going to Australia; the success of Mode 2 (i.e. consumption abroad) of services provision within Australia is largely explained by the attractiveness of Australia as a host country and the quality and flexibility of education institutions, etc.; ï‚· Australia does not possess a comparative advantage in exports of knowledge intensive services, which at the global level show the largest export growth; nevertheless, Australian exports of knowledge-intensive services have grown significantly, particularly in business services, and they accounted for one quarter of Australian services exports in 2012; ï‚· it should be stressed though that knowledge-intensive services are to a large extent provided abroad through the establishment of foreign affiliates (i.e. Mode 3 – commercial presence) and this needs to be taken into account in the analysis of the competitiveness of Australian service providers abroad; but a lack of data prevents the assessment of the performance of Australian services through this mode; ï‚· further on, many firms in service industries in Australia are actually categorised as good exporters in Australian trade statistics; ï‚· in addition, it should be taken into account that knowledge-intensive are also indirectly exported, i.e. embodied in the exports of manufactured goods, because of the strong intermediate use of these services. The economic development of Asia creates important business opportunities for Australia; Australian services providers have developed new export activities and markets, but could do probably more to tap into these growth markets. ï‚· domestic services sectors in emerging economies still lag behind the demand by both households and business, resulting in rapidly growing imports of services in these countries; 107 ï‚· while distance is generally assumed to be of lesser importance for the international provision of services, the emergence of large Asian markets makes Australia a less remote location in the global economy; ï‚· the growing importance of GVCs in Asia including the rapid emergence of Asian manufacturers as global players creates a strong demand for high-quality knowledge-intensive services; if managed well, the complementarity between Asian manufacturing capabilities and Australian services capabilities could create important growth opportunities for Australia; the growing importance of Asia as a destination for Australian services exports is largely driven by Asian tourists and students going to Australia; although fast growing Asian markets occupy a central position in Australia’s export portfolio, Australian services providers seem to miss out on opportunities as the growth in Australian exports is not keeping pace with the market growth in countries like China and India. The larger international tradability of services also means that foreign providers increasingly look at the Australian market for new and improved business opportunities; the growing international competition will force Australian firms to provide services more competitively: ï‚· distance from world markets generally limits countries’ exposure to international competition, making foreign service providers less competitive in Australian markets and hence offering some natural protection for Australian firms; the growing international tradability of services via ICT networks will facilitate the provision of foreign services for the Australian market; ï‚· deregulation of services sectors in the 1990s as well as extensive privatisations and measures to strengthen competition have all contributed to an environment that is friendly for business; the OECD Services Trade Restrictiveness Index convincingly shows that the Australian market is relatively open for foreign service providers (average ranking of Australia is lower than OECD average) with courier, air transport, maritime and rail freight more protected than other services industries; remaining barriers are especially concentrated in restrictions to movement of people and foreign ownership, hence there is scope for improvement; ï‚· the stronger international competition can be expected to result in growing productivity, innovation and a wider choice for Australian consumers; ï‚· but in light of the growing competition, Australian services providers will need to (further) develop their competitive advantages and address their weaknesses; since especially knowledge intensive services have become more internationally tradable, there is a clear need for Australia to improve its productivity and innovation performance not only on international markets but also in the domestic market. 108 A lot of the policy discussion across OECD economies has centred around manufacturing because of its importance for productivity (as a source of economic growth), innovation (as a source of productivity) and international tradability (as a source of export income and productivity); services have generally received less attention but the growing size and the changing characteristics of services industries calls for a changed focus of government policy, explicitly taking into account services industries: ï‚· services and manufacturing clearly show important differences across a number of policy domains, such that the traditional measures which are more geared towards manufacturing, risk being less effective for services; for example, services innovation is more open, is less R&D driven and receives less government support suggesting that existing R&D policy measures may advantage manufacturing industries at the expense of services; ï‚· while employment in a number of services sectors is concentrated at the low-end spectrum of the skills distribution, the services sector in Australia also provides most of the high-skilled jobs which underlines the importance of education and training policies for the further growth of services; human capital is a crucial input into the provision of services because of the direct contact with services customers but also for the necessary innovation in services; the different innovation characteristics of services particularly calls for more attention to ‘softer’ innovation capabilities; ï‚· firm dynamics in services industries show higher rates of entry and exit happening at a smaller scale (relative to manufacturing); young firms are not only an important source of employment growth, but also play an important role in experimenting with new ideas thereby driving innovation and economic growth; conducive framework conditions (product market and labour market regulation, taxes, finance, etc.) which allow successful businesses to grow or failing businesses to exit will be important in tapping the full growth potential of services ï‚· but instead of only focusing what distinguishes manufacturing and services from each other – as is often done in policy discussions, policy and research should especially analyse what unites services and other sectors particularly now that GVCs have become so pervasive in the global economy; the full potential of services can be only realised if the policy discussion takes into account this broader approach. The importance of services industries for policy is still not fully understood which is considerably linked to the small(er) availability of data and statistics also in Australia. 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Report in collaboration with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Ltd., World Economic Forum, Geneva. 116 Wrigley, N. and M. Lowe (2010), The Globalisation of Trade in Retail Services, Report commissioned by the OECD Trade Policy Linkages and Services Division for the OECD Experts Meeting on Distribution Services WTO (2010), Measuring Trade in Services, Geneva. WTO (2012a), International Trade Statistics 2012, Geneva WTO (2012b), Trade Policy Review: China, Geneva 117 ANNEX 1 THE SIZE OF COMMERCIAL PRESENCE (MODE 3) VERSUS SERVICES EXPORTS (MODE 1, 2 AND 4) Turnover of affiliates abroad in the services sector as a percentage of total exports of services, 2011 Country % Austria Belgium Canada Czech Republic Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Ireland Israel (2009) Italy Japan Luxembourg Norway Poland Portugal Slovak Republic Slovenia Spain Sweden United Kingdom United States 136.8 64.8 227.8 7.8 247.1 495.0 537.1 20.5 50.2 63.4 63.2 297.1 803.6 4.8 146.1 41.9 196.3 18.5 113.9 174.4 131.1 289.4 467.9 Source: OECD, Activities of Multinational Enterprises (AMNE) and Annual National Accounts databases. 118 ANNEX 2 COMPOSITION OF SERVICES SUPPLIED ABROAD Commercial presence (Mode 3) Turnover of MNE affiliates abroad, 2010 FDI (outward) stocks, 2011 Wholesale and retail trade, repair, 8.1% Hotels and restaurants, 0.9% Other business activities, 47.0% Transportation, storage and communications, 6.2% Research and development, 0.4% Computer activities, 1.3% Renting, 1.5% Finance and insurance, 32.2% Real estate, 2.5% Note 1) AMNE data for Austria, the Czech Republic, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Italy, Norway, Poland, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, the United Kingdom and the United States. 2) FDI data for Austria, Belgium, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Israel, Italy, Korea, the Netherlands, Norway, Poland, the Slovak Republic, Slovenia, Turkey, the United Kingdom and the United States. 3) FDI data for the Czech Republic, Germany and the Slovak Republic are 2010. Source: OECD, Activities of Multinational Enterprises (AMNE) database and Eurostat, New Cronos database; OECD International direct investment database. 119 Exports of services (Modes 1, 2 and 4) World total, 2012 Other business services, 24% Telecom., computer & information serv., 4.2% Personal, cultural & recreational services, 1.2% Government, 2.7% Manufacturing services on physical inputs owned by others, 1.5% Intellectual property, 6.9% Maintenance and repair services n.i.e., 0.8% Financial services, 3.2% Insurance and pension services, 4.2% Construction, 2.6% Transport, 24.4% Travel, 23.4% Source: IMF Balance of Payments. 120 ANNEX 3 EXTENDED BALANCE OF PAYMENTS SERVICES – EBOPS 2010 TOTAL SERVICES 1 Manufacturing services on physical inputs owned by others 2 Maintenance and repair services n.i.e. 3 Transport 3a.1 Passenger 3a.2 Freight 3a.3 Other 3a.3.1 Postal and courier services 3a.3.2 Other 4 Travel 4.1 Business 4.2 Personal 4.2.1 Health-related 4.2.2 Education-related 4.2.3 Other 5 Construction 6 Insurance and pension services 6.1 Direct insurance 6.2 Reinsurance 6.3 Auxiliary insurance services 6.4 Pension and standardized guaranteed services 7 Financial services 8 Charges for the use of intellectual property n.i.e. 9 Telecommunications, computer, and information services 9.1 Telecommunications services 9.2 Computer services 9.3 Information services 10 Other business services 10.1 Research and development services 10.2 Personal and management consulting services 10.3 Technical, trade-related and other business services 11 Personal, cultural and recreational services 11.1 Audio-visual and related services 11.2 Other personal, cultural and recreational services 12 Government goods and services n.i.e. Source: Manual on Statistics of International Trade in Services 2010. 121 ANNEX 4 HYPOTHETICAL EXTRACTION: DELETING INDIVIDUAL SERVICES SECTORS ACROSS THE WORLD, 2009 Decrease in output of agriculture in Australia, OECD and world Decrease in output of mining in Australia, OECD and world 122 Decrease in output of services (incl. utilities) in Australia, OECD and world Decrease in output of total economy in Australia, OECD and world Note: the decrease in total economy’s output includes direct and indirect effects Source: OECD calculations based on the Trade in Value-Added (TiVA) Database 123 ANNEX 5 AVERAGE WAGE BY INDUSTRY Australia Total economy = 100 United States Total economy = 100 124 United Kingdom Total economy = 100 Canada Total economy = 100 Source: OECD Structural Analysis (STAN) database 125 ANNEX 6 INDICATORS OF SKILLS AT WORK Source: OECD Skills Outlook 2013 For the categories of problem-solving skills, co-operative skills, self-organising skills, physical skills and dexterity: a value of 0 indicates that the skill is never used; a value of 1 indicates that it is used less than once a month; a value of 2 indicates that it is used less than once a week but at least once a month; a value of 3 indicates that it is used at least once a week but not every day; and a value of 4 indicates that it is used every day. For the categories of skills, the results have been transformed using a statistical method so that they have a mean of 2 and a standard deviation of 1 across the pooled sample of all participating countries, thus allowing meaningful comparisons across countries and industries. 126 ANNEX 7 AUSTRALIAN SERVICES EXPORTS TO ASIA, 2005-2011 JAPAN Growth-share matrix of Australian services exports to Japan, by services category, 2005-2011 Growth-Growth matrix of Australian services exports to Japan, by services category, 2005-2011 KOREA Growth-share matrix of Australian services exports to Korea, by services category, 2005-2011 Growth-Growth matrix of Australian services exports to Korea, by services category, 2005-2011 127 INDIA Growth-share matrix of Australian services exports to India, by services category, 2005-2011 Growth-Growth matrix of Australian services exports to India, by services category, 2005-2011 OTHER SOUTHEAST ASIA (includes Hong Kong, China; Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore and Thailand) Growth-share matrix of Australian services exports to Growth-Growth matrix of Australian services exports to other SE Asia, by services category, 2005-2011 other SE Asia, by services category, 2005-2011 Source: OECD calculations using IMF (Balance of Payments statistics) and OECD (Trade in Services) Databases. 128 ANNEX 8 SOURCE DATA FOR THE CHARTS IN THE REPORT Figure 1: Source Data Code LUX GRC FRA USA ISR DNK BEL GBR PRT NLD ITA CHE JPN IRL SWE CAN ESP AUS FIN NZL AUT ZAF DEU BRA SVN EST ISL HUN TUR POL MEX SVK CZE RUS KOR CHL NOR IND CHN IDN "Market" services 69.2 55.3 53.4 51.8 53.2 49.2 52.4 53.9 50.2 48.9 52.7 47.1 41.6 50.7 45.4 48.7 48.6 50.7 44.9 49.0 48.9 46.0 46.1 44.4 46.5 48.8 43.4 44.6 51.5 46.3 47.0 43.8 42.7 45.0 38.2 35.7 35.1 41.7 32.6 27.6 "Nonmarket" services 16.3 25.5 25.9 26.8 24.1 27.4 24.2 22.1 23.7 24.7 20.6 25.9 31.1 21.1 26.0 22.1 21.9 18.7 24.4 20.3 20.1 22.4 22.2 23.1 20.3 17.6 22.7 19.8 12.0 16.7 14.0 16.7 17.7 13.9 19.2 21.8 21.5 14.0 10.7 10.6 Construction Industry Agriculture 5.8 2.5 6.2 3.7 5.7 4.8 5.7 6.8 5.7 5.3 6.0 5.6 5.6 1.7 5.6 7.4 10.1 7.7 6.8 5.9 6.8 3.8 4.6 5.3 6.0 6.4 4.4 4.0 5.0 8.2 6.5 9.1 6.8 6.5 5.9 8.1 5.5 8.2 6.6 10.2 8.3 13.3 12.7 16.4 15.2 17.2 17.0 16.6 18.2 19.5 18.7 20.6 20.5 24.6 21.2 20.1 16.9 20.5 20.9 18.2 22.5 25.4 26.2 21.6 24.5 23.6 21.3 27.0 22.5 24.8 29.0 26.9 30.5 30.2 33.9 31.0 36.5 18.5 40.0 36.9 0.3 3.4 1.9 1.2 1.9 1.4 0.7 0.7 2.2 1.6 2.0 0.8 1.2 2.0 1.8 1.6 2.5 2.4 2.9 6.6 1.6 2.5 0.9 5.6 2.6 3.6 8.3 4.5 9.0 4.0 3.4 3.4 2.3 4.4 2.7 3.4 1.4 17.5 10.1 14.7 129 All services 85.6 80.8 79.2 78.6 77.3 76.6 76.6 76.0 73.9 73.6 73.2 73.0 72.7 71.7 71.4 70.8 70.5 69.4 69.3 69.3 69.0 68.3 68.3 67.5 66.9 66.4 66.1 64.4 63.5 63.0 61.1 60.5 60.4 58.9 57.5 57.5 56.6 55.7 43.2 38.2 Country Luxembourg Greece France United States Israel Denmark Belgium United Kingdom Portugal Netherlands Italy Switzerland Japan Ireland Sweden Canada (2009) Spain Australia (2011/12) Finland New Zealand (2009/10) Austria South Africa Germany Brazil (2009) Slovenia Estonia Iceland Hungary Turkey Poland Mexico Slovak Republic Czech Republic Russian Federation Korea Chile Norway India (2011/12) China Indonesia FIGURE 2: SOURCE DATA Employment Country Australia Canada France Germany Italy Japan United Kingdom United States 1995 72.2 N/A 72.4 65.4 63.3 60.8 75.1 N/A 1996 72.6 N/A 72.9 66.5 64.1 61.3 75.4 N/A 1997 72.8 73.4 73.5 67.3 64.4 61.8 75.7 N/A 1998 73.9 74.2 74.0 67.8 64.7 62.9 75.8 79.1 1999 73.0 74.4 74.6 68.6 65.3 63.5 76.9 79.4 2000 74.1 74.4 75.0 69.4 65.9 64.1 77.6 79.7 2001 73.9 75.0 75.2 70.0 66.2 65.0 78.3 80.2 2002 74.5 75.3 75.6 70.7 66.5 66.0 79.1 81.0 2003 74.8 75.5 75.9 71.3 66.9 66.5 79.8 81.4 2004 74.4 75.5 76.3 71.9 67.1 67.4 80.3 81.5 2005 74.4 75.3 76.5 72.4 67.1 67.9 80.7 81.6 2006 74.6 75.6 76.8 72.8 67.3 68.0 81.0 81.6 2007 74.7 75.9 77.0 72.9 67.4 68.2 81.2 82.0 2008 74.6 76.3 77.2 72.9 67.7 68.7 81.6 82.5 2009 75.2 77.4 77.5 73.4 68.3 N/A 82.1 83.8 2010 N/A 77.4 78.1 73.8 68.9 N/A 82.4 84.2 2011 N/A N/A N/A 73.7 69.3 N/A 82.9 84.3 VALUE-ADDED Country Australia Canada France Germany Italy Japan United Kingdom United States 1995 65.9 N/A 76.5 67.6 69.1 65.4 69.7 77.1 1996 66.4 N/A 76.7 68.8 69.4 65.4 70.1 77.3 1997 66.5 64.8 77.0 68.8 69.8 65.5 70.6 77.4 1998 66.8 64.9 76.9 69.4 69.9 66.3 71.4 77.5 1999 67.0 64.6 76.7 69.6 70.0 66.5 72.1 77.4 2000 67.8 64.1 76.7 69.3 70.3 66.3 72.9 77.3 2001 67.8 65.2 76.8 70.0 70.9 67.6 73.9 78.6 2002 68.1 65.4 76.9 70.7 71.1 68.2 74.4 78.6 130 2003 68.1 65.7 77.2 70.6 71.5 68.1 75.0 78.4 2004 68.5 65.8 76.9 69.9 71.3 67.4 75.2 77.9 2005 68.6 66.0 77.1 69.9 71.3 67.1 76.0 78.3 2006 69.0 66.8 77.3 69.4 71.1 66.9 76.6 78.4 2007 69.0 67.4 77.3 69.0 71.0 66.9 77.2 78.4 2008 69.1 68.0 78.0 69.8 71.4 66.9 77.5 79.0 2009 69.1 70.3 78.7 73.1 73.6 69.1 79.0 79.4 2010 N/A 69.7 79.0 70.6 73.1 N/A 78.6 79.2 2011 N/A N/A 79.2 69.8 73.2 N/A N/A 79.3 FIGURE 3: SOURCE DATA Value-Added Australia OECD Code and year 1995 2009 1995 2009 TRD 16.2 12.0 18.5 14.4 HRE 3.3 2.0 3.6 3.5 TSC 13.7 10.4 10.0 9.1 FIN 10.3 10.8 8.4 8.7 RBA 33.0 41.9 29.0 32.3 PAD 5.8 4.8 9.0 10.5 EDU 6.5 5.5 6.9 6.4 HSW 7.2 8.4 9.1 9.3 CSP 4.0 4.2 5.5 5.8 EMPLOYMENT Australia OECD Code and year 1995 2009 1995 2009 TRD 27.4 22.6 24.1 21.2 HRE 7.3 9.0 8.1 8.5 TSC 9.4 7.8 8.3 7.4 FIN 5.3 5.1 4.9 4.3 RBA 12.5 17.4 14.4 17.4 PAD 5.8 8.3 9.5 10.2 EDU 9.7 9.7 9.6 9.1 HSW 13.7 14.7 13.3 13.2 CSP 8.8 5.3 7.8 8.9 EXPORTS Code and year TRD Australia 1995 21.9 OECD 2009 1995 2009 5.6 30.6 19.4 HRE 6.6 9.2 2.4 2.5 TSC 46.7 47.5 33.4 28.4 FIN 3.1 4.6 9.6 16.6 RBA 14.7 20.6 19.4 27.6 PAD 0.5 0.4 1.2 0.7 EDU 4.4 8.2 0.4 0.8 HSW 0.7 1.2 0.2 0.3 CSP 1.4 2.6 2.8 3.8 131 FIGURE 4: SOURCE DATA Manufacturing Code 20012012 Market services excl. real estate 20012007 20072012 SVK EST SVN 9.96 6.56 5.40 11.76 7.47 7.02 7.80 5.46 3.45 CZE HUN SWE AUT PRT ESP DEU AUS NLD FRA FIN DNK LUX NOR ITA 7.60 4.95 5.60 3.11 2.69 2.95 2.89 1.34 2.62 2.47 2.58 -1.46 -1.35 2.55 0.71 10.21 8.65 8.27 4.01 2.55 2.76 4.54 1.36 4.33 3.78 7.58 0.92 2.82 2.43 1.05 4.48 0.50 2.40 2.03 2.87 3.18 0.92 1.30 0.57 0.91 -3.42 -4.31 -6.56 2.69 0.32 Country Code Slovak Republic Estonia Slovenia Czech Republic Hungary Sweden Austria Portugal Spain Germany Australia Netherlands France Finland Denmark Luxembourg Norway Italy 20012012 20012007 20072012 SVK EST SVN 1.08 3.97 1.62 2.22 8.26 2.53 -0.30 -1.17 0.54 CZE HUN SWE AUT PRT ESP DEU AUS NLD FRA FIN DNK LUX NOR ITA 2.01 1.28 2.35 1.29 1.13 0.89 0.56 1.90 1.23 1.03 1.06 1.88 0.85 2.04 -0.30 4.20 3.42 3.90 2.20 1.21 0.35 1.19 2.24 2.55 1.71 1.73 2.76 3.00 3.30 -0.12 -0.61 -1.29 0.51 0.19 1.04 1.53 -0.19 1.39 -0.34 0.22 0.26 0.82 -1.84 0.53 -0.51 Trade and repair; transport and storage; accommodation, food Information and communication Code Code SVK 20012012 -0.18 20012007 0.17 20072012 -0.60 EST SVN CZE 3.41 2.25 2.02 6.92 3.70 4.69 -0.81 0.50 -1.17 HUN SWE AUT PRT ESP DEU AUS NLD FRA FIN DNK LUX NOR ITA 1.43 1.74 0.66 0.78 0.98 1.24 1.88 1.68 0.49 1.30 1.45 -1.22 1.37 -0.46 4.52 3.30 1.53 0.09 -0.13 2.73 1.88 3.25 0.83 1.84 1.23 0.60 2.68 -0.39 -2.28 -0.14 -0.37 1.62 2.32 -0.55 1.88 -0.19 0.08 0.66 1.71 -3.50 -0.20 -0.55 Slovak Republic Estonia Slovenia Czech Republic Hungary Sweden Austria Portugal Spain Germany Australia Netherlands France Finland Denmark Luxembourg Norway Italy 132 20012012 20012007 20072012 SVK EST SVN 4.13 4.70 1.82 5.68 9.67 3.30 2.28 -1.28 0.05 CZE HUN SWE AUT PRT ESP DEU AUS NLD FRA FIN DNK LUX NOR ITA 1.36 3.96 6.05 1.78 -0.61 1.44 3.07 3.24 2.30 3.02 3.56 6.94 3.63 5.82 1.76 4.09 5.64 7.76 3.96 1.35 1.60 1.21 3.46 5.03 5.20 4.68 8.16 0.61 7.80 2.83 -1.90 1.94 3.99 -0.83 -2.96 1.24 5.31 2.90 -0.99 0.39 2.23 5.47 7.41 3.46 0.47 Country Slovak Republic Estonia Slovenia Czech Republic Hungary Sweden Austria Portugal Spain Germany Australia Netherlands France Finland Denmark Luxembourg Norway Italy Country Slovak Republic Estonia Slovenia Czech Republic Hungary Sweden Austria Portugal Spain Germany Australia Netherlands France Finland Denmark Luxembourg Norway Italy Finance and insurance Country code 20012012 20012007 20072012 SVK EST SVN 6.07 6.06 4.43 12.24 16.29 7.20 -1.35 -6.22 1.10 CZE HUN SWE AUT PRT ESP DEU AUS NLD FRA FIN DNK LUX NOR ITA 2.46 -0.15 2.74 3.66 4.79 4.20 0.93 2.92 3.95 1.78 1.12 5.50 1.56 4.31 2.15 3.35 1.18 4.59 4.88 7.93 8.12 0.02 4.83 4.96 2.96 3.61 8.31 5.51 8.13 2.41 1.40 -1.74 0.52 2.19 1.02 -0.51 2.02 0.04 2.74 0.36 -1.87 2.13 -3.38 -0.27 1.84 Professional, scientific and support activities; administrative and support activities Country Country code Slovak Republic Estonia Slovenia Czech Republic Hungary Sweden Austria Portugal Spain Germany Australia Netherlands France Finland Denmark Luxembourg Norway Italy 20012012 20012007 20072012 SVK EST SVN 3.61 3.07 -1.15 6.99 8.05 -2.55 -0.44 -2.90 0.52 CZE HUN SWE AUT PRT ESP DEU AUS NLD FRA FIN DNK LUX NOR ITA 1.31 -1.85 1.88 1.41 -0.59 -1.12 -1.58 0.16 -0.82 0.76 -1.13 0.55 0.91 0.41 -2.37 2.38 -1.29 3.18 1.88 -0.48 -2.41 -0.93 -0.47 -0.47 1.13 -0.80 -2.00 2.82 -0.18 -2.20 0.03 -2.51 0.33 0.85 -0.72 0.42 -2.36 1.10 -1.24 0.32 -1.53 3.63 -1.48 1.12 -2.57 FIGURE 5: SOURCE DATA Country code EST SVK CZE SWE SVN HUN PRT ESP AUT DNK FIN AUS NLD DEU FRA LUX NOR ITA Manufacturing Construction 1.60 3.08 2.61 1.67 1.70 1.64 0.65 0.53 0.86 -0.14 0.92 0.21 0.48 0.99 0.49 -0.12 0.35 0.19 0.37 0.23 0.04 -0.05 0.01 -0.11 0.18 0.39 -0.06 0.03 0.04 0.09 -0.04 0.03 -0.23 -0.37 -0.22 -0.15 Mining and utilities 0.20 0.46 -0.08 0.06 0.14 0.03 0.09 0.13 0.02 0.35 0.11 0.00 0.07 0.03 -0.01 -0.15 -0.87 0.00 Business sector services excluding real estate 2.29 0.45 0.98 1.29 0.86 0.65 0.74 0.52 0.68 1.13 0.46 1.05 0.78 0.26 0.68 0.75 0.57 -0.19 133 Country Estonia Slovak Republic Czech Republic Sweden Slovenia Hungary Portugal Spain Austria Denmark Finland Australia Netherlands Germany France Luxembourg Norway Italy Country Slovak Republic Estonia Slovenia Czech Republic Hungary Sweden Austria Portugal Spain Germany Australia Netherlands France Finland Denmark Luxembourg Norway Italy FIGURE 6: SOURCE DATA Turnover of affiliates abroad in the services sector, selected sample of OECD countries1 2002 2,539 Year OECD (1) 2003 2,889 2004 3,371 2005 3,938 2006 4,309 2007 4,716 2008 5,067 2009 4,966 2010 4,795 1. Includes Austria, Belgium, Canada, Finland, Germany, Japan and the United States. FIGURE 7: SOURCE DATA Gross exports of goods and services Year Goods/Services Goods 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 3,904 4,026 4,066 4,173 4,525 4,363 4,511 5,182 6,157 6,630 7,533 8,650 9,653 7,520 8,866 10,368 10,212 Services Goods 1,027 100 1,062 103.1 1,114 104.1 1,136 106.9 1,199 115.9 1,194 111.7 1,278 115.5 1,469 132.7 1,758 157.7 1,935 169.8 2,145 192.9 2,538 221.5 2,817 247.2 2,545 192.6 2,709 227.1 3,018 265.6 3,021 261.6 Services 100 103.4 108.5 110.6 116.7 116.2 124.4 143.0 171.2 188.4 208.8 247.0 274.2 247.8 263.7 293.8 294.0 ABSOLUTE VALUES (BILLION USD) INDEX 1996=100 134 FIGURE 8: SOURCE DATA Country code JPN ITA AUS NZL CAN MEX CHL FRA POL DEU TUR ESP USA NOR SVK CHE GBR CZE SVN NLD KOR BEL EST PRT SWE ISR AUT FIN HUN DNK GRC IRL Direct domestic 55994.1 52632.3 21325.5 3896.9 36311.0 10279.5 3923.6 83250.0 14995.4 129280.8 20531.1 64642.1 339965.4 20427.9 3322.7 40495.3 145762.7 9167.4 3207.6 49440.2 38271.5 41561.9 1773.8 12103.9 31878.6 12776.5 31815.4 15950.6 9462.4 22650.1 22242.6 39856.8 Indirect domestic 163644.2 146739.7 46503.1 8045.0 73833.0 38384.7 9862.2 156402.7 35917.2 281921.7 30946.2 80392.4 327981.3 24036.8 10013.7 52786.5 134597.4 18123.3 4842.1 65848.5 59094.3 54114.2 2344.9 11697.8 33904.9 11381.7 27951.1 14869.7 11448.5 21535.6 12276.2 21828.9 Reimported domestic 878.3 593.5 85.3 2.7 207.7 106.5 6.1 1255.1 105.8 5414.4 35.7 327.8 3543.6 77.6 30.6 398.8 804.0 88.2 3.7 421.8 644.4 389.0 2.8 23.9 208.5 11.4 184.5 38.4 31.5 102.7 21.0 138.6 Foreign 27003.5 39136.9 8798.9 2480.6 24791.7 21767.8 4580.7 58663.2 17781.9 139448.6 10597.5 28365.4 51360.0 10194.8 9754.5 28414.8 42034.8 16970.3 3830.1 49689.5 53239.5 42577.8 1892.6 8203.5 29041.5 9354.1 25015.5 15188.0 14683.8 25903.9 7159.5 59789.3 Country Japan Italy Australia New Zealand Canada Mexico Chile France Poland Germany Turkey Spain United States Norway Slovak Republic Switzerland United Kingdom Czech Republic Slovenia Netherlands Korea Belgium Estonia Portugal Sweden Israel Austria Finland Hungary Denmark Greece Ireland FIGURE 9: SOURCE DATA Country code MEX CHN JPN RUS ITA DEU BRA ZAF CAN KOR Gross Exports 6.15% 9.59% 15.30% 12.24% 19.02% 19.59% 15.32% 15.81% 16.13% 17.41% Export Value-Added Country 30.42% 29.46% 40.05% 31.61% 47.86% 47.96% 36.66% 37.32% 36.77% 37.70% Mexico China Japan Russian Federation Italy Germany Brazil South Africa Canada Korea 135 Country code FRA AUS NLD ESP USA IND SGP GBR Gross Exports Export Value-Added 24.45% 20.84% 24.54% 38.03% 34.28% 37.14% 40.23% 43.36% Country 51.30% 39.67% 45.52% 55.57% 49.57% 52.53% 56.53% 57.74% France Australia Netherlands Spain United States India Singapore United Kingdom FIGURE 10: SOURCE DATA Country code AUS AUT BEL BGR BRA CAN CHN CYP CZE DNK ESP EST FIN FRA GBR DEU GRC HUN IND IRL ITA JPN KOR LTU LUX LVA MEX MLT NLD POL PRT ROU RUS SVK SVN SWE TUR TWN dom_cons_imports_serv_gr_2000 GO_serv_gr_2000 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.14 0.14 0.08 0.37 0.08 0.13 0.18 0.13 0.12 0.13 0.08 0.12 0.08 0.11 0.13 0.17 0.14 0.08 0.01 0.14 0.21 0.15 0.16 0.07 0.12 0.09 0.14 0.08 0.19 0.15 0.17 0.16 0.08 0.19 0.03 0.07 0.04 0.04 0.13 0.12 0.05 0.15 0.07 0.07 0.05 0.08 0.10 0.05 0.04 0.06 0.02 0.07 0.09 0.13 0.09 0.04 0.00 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.14 0.09 0.08 0.05 0.08 0.05 0.26 0.26 0.08 0.09 0.05 0.28 0.03 136 dom_cons_imports_serv 45787.47 33271.63 54411.61 3349.17 32520.15 70872.03 187108.16 1765.35 20088.97 41744.65 71108.82 1612.29 26888.02 93601.29 172980.03 158718.50 18940.92 17621.36 17095.29 96398.83 87351.78 55755.53 62265.93 3174.18 49553.95 1749.66 11506.19 1409.45 121780.10 26805.96 12858.62 7104.67 16127.57 8884.16 3235.44 48550.20 9349.06 22463.40 Australia Austria Belgium Bulgaria Brazil Canada China Cyprus Czech Republic Denmark Spain Estonia Finland France United Kingdom Germany Greece Hungary India Ireland Italy Japan Korea Lithuania Luxembourg Latvia Mexico Malta Netherlands Poland Portugal Romania Russian Federation Slovak Republic Slovenia Sweden Turkey Chinese Taipei Country code USA dom_cons_imports_serv_gr_2000 GO_serv_gr_2000 0.08 0.05 dom_cons_imports_serv 297204.06 United States FIGURE 11: SOURCE DATA Country code RUS ISR PRT GBR IRL NOR ISL DNK POL FRA TUR NZL ZAF CAN AUS MEX CHL ESP NLD SVK HUN CZE BEL AUT EST USA ITA SVN SWE CHE FIN DEU JPN KOR CHN Services 81.48 70.12 61.88 61.49 60.23 59.56 53.91 48.89 46.20 46.04 45.04 44.59 44.57 44.07 43.07 39.81 39.20 37.88 37.11 36.33 35.06 34.13 33.32 31.60 30.98 28.04 27.06 26.15 24.21 21.02 20.90 13.83 10.74 8.85 6.42 Of which R&D services 77.84 40.82 2.46 33.81 12.51 17.17 20.21 12.74 10.37 13.41 14.69 4.27 #N/A 11.41 3.64 10.63 2.60 3.45 5.61 14.85 0.18 11.77 8.56 12.59 8.53 5.31 6.32 8.49 13.03 9.42 4.92 3.41 5.22 0.68 #N/A Services, 2001 58.36 62.51 47.44 #N/A 32.18 #N/A 81.00 #N/A #N/A #N/A 13.31 59.81 25.27 31.76 47.59 43.64 #N/A 25.65 19.57 56.04 19.42 28.88 24.27 25.60 #N/A 28.14 22.12 5.74 21.56 21.25 18.94 9.37 11.44 12.69 6.56 137 Country Russian Federation (2001, 2009) Israel Portugal (2001, 2010) United Kingdom (2010) Ireland Norway Iceland (2001, 2009) Denmark (2010) Poland France (2010) Turkey New Zealand South Africa (2001, 2009) Canada Australia (2001, 2010) Mexico Chile (2010) Spain (2001, 2010) Netherlands Slovak Republic Hungary Czech Republic Belgium (2001, 2009) Austria (2001, 2009) Estonia (2011) United States (2004, 2010) Italy (2001, 2010) Slovenia (2003, 2011) Sweden (2001, 2009) Switzerland (2000, 2008) Finland Germany Japan Korea China (2000, 2011) FIGURE 12: SOURCE DATA MANUFACTURING Country code DEU CAN ZAF ISR BRA AUS BEL IRL LUX SWE FIN EST AUT NLD ITA DNK PRT FRA ISL CZE TUR JPN NZL GBR NOR ESP KOR SVK CHL HUN POL RUS Product or process innovation only 19.8 16.9 19.6 8.0 7.1 14.6 22.0 19.1 12.8 19.7 20.0 24.3 15.6 22.5 15.2 14.2 13.5 12.9 17.3 11.1 8.4 10.4 14.3 11.5 15.6 15.5 21.2 8.4 8.2 7.8 8.0 5.1 Product or process & marketing or organisational innovation 52.0 53.1 49.5 45.4 31.1 43.7 36.7 39.5 40.7 32.3 33.7 28.8 34.8 30.9 31.1 33.5 30.4 27.7 33.2 28.0 27.9 23.0 23.1 26.9 23.7 18.2 16.0 22.9 16.3 11.0 10.1 6.1 Marketing or organisational innovation only 11.2 11.1 8.7 23.9 37.1 12.0 9.2 8.5 12.2 9.2 7.4 7.9 10.3 6.8 13.0 10.1 12.2 15.5 5.0 14.8 16.0 17.0 12.3 9.8 7.6 10.2 1.1 5.3 6.4 11.6 10.4 2.1 Country sum 83.0 81.1 77.8 77.3 75.2 70.3 67.9 67.1 65.7 61.1 61.0 61.0 60.6 60.2 59.2 57.8 56.1 56.1 55.5 54.0 52.2 50.4 49.7 48.2 47.0 43.9 38.3 36.6 30.9 30.4 28.5 13.3 Germany Canada (2007-09) South Africa (2005-07) Israel (2006-08) Brazil Australia (2011) Belgium Ireland Luxembourg Sweden Finland Estonia Austria Netherlands Italy Denmark Portugal France Iceland Czech Republic Turkey Japan (2009-10) New Zealand (2009-10) United Kingdom Norway Spain Korea (2005-07) Slovak Republic Chile (2009-10) Hungary Poland Russian Federation (2009-11) SERVICES Country code BRA DEU ISL ISR CAN ZAF LUX PRT Product or process innovation only 7.8 15.5 17.6 3.6 11.0 17.7 7.0 10.7 Product or process and marketing or organisational innovation 38.7 42.5 49.2 39.2 39.5 43.6 42.2 39.6 138 Marketing or organisational innovation only 34.0 18.7 8.2 31.5 22.0 8.2 19.5 16.5 sum 80.5 76.7 75.0 74.2 72.5 69.5 68.6 66.8 Country Brazil (2006-08) Germany Iceland Israel (2006-08) Canada (2007-09) South Africa (2005-07) Luxembourg Portugal Country code AUS SWE BEL IRL NLD FIN AUT EST DNK ITA FRA CZE NZL JPN SVN NOR GBR ESP SVK HUN POL CHL RUS Product or process innovation only 11.6 14.5 14.8 10.2 16.6 12.6 9.7 16.1 8.1 8.2 6.5 6.8 15.6 9.5 5.8 12.8 6.6 10.1 4.0 6.9 5.0 5.2 2.8 Product or process and marketing or organisational innovation 46.3 32.3 31.9 31.0 27.0 28.7 29.2 24.4 31.0 22.6 22.5 22.7 18.5 14.6 21.6 18.5 21.9 14.5 21.4 10.6 8.5 9.7 4.4 Marketing or organisational innovation only 7.3 12.3 9.3 14.7 11.1 12.2 14.5 12.9 12.8 21.0 22.5 19.9 13.8 23.5 18.7 10.9 12.6 14.3 9.9 14.0 14.5 5.4 2.0 sum 65.2 59.1 55.9 55.9 54.6 53.5 53.4 53.4 51.9 51.8 51.5 49.4 47.9 47.7 46.1 42.1 41.1 39.0 35.2 31.4 28.0 20.3 9.2 Country Australia (2011) Sweden Belgium Ireland Netherlands Finland Austria Estonia Denmark Italy France Czech Republic New Zealand (2009-10) Japan (2009-10) Slovenia (2006-08) Norway United Kingdom Spain Slovak Republic Hungary Poland Chile (2009-10) Russian Federation (2009-11) FIGURE 13: SOURCE DATA Country code DEU EST BEL PRT IRL AUT CZE AUS ITA SWE FIN FRA SVN NLD NOR ESP SVK HUN High-tech manufacturing 74 75 73.3 70 72 78.7 64 56.7 65 69 63 66 65 61 59 59 43 38 Other manufacturing 68 64 57.9 51 59 53.3 52 54.2 52 50 51 49 49 48 40 39 36 27 Knowledge-intensive services 72 64 68.1 78 60 65 62 54.4 58 61 57 56 60 53 50 57 47 44 139 Other services Country 53 52 49.6 60 49 47.7 53 51.7 44 43 39 43 37 40 37 36 31 25 Germany Estonia Belgium Portugal Ireland Austria Czech Republic Australia Italy Sweden Finland France Slovenia Netherlands Norway Spain Slovak Republic Hungary FIGURE 14: SOURCE DATA Country code ZAF JPN HUN CHL DNK SWE POL AUT EST SVN NLD BEL CZE FIN TUR PRT NOR ITA SVK ISR Goods innovation 47.0 51.6 37.4 34.4 41.1 31.8 27.8 27.3 37.8 31.7 30.4 34.4 27.7 24.0 12.4 27.4 32.1 18.5 34.0 10.7 Services innovation 61.5 50.8 49.2 45.6 45.5 38.0 37.6 35.8 35.3 34.9 32.0 31.8 31.5 31.2 29.4 29.1 28.3 24.6 20.7 13.5 Country South Africa (2005-07) Japan (2009-10) Hungary Chile (2009-10) Luxembourg Sweden Poland Austria Estonia Slovenia Netherlands Belgium Czech Republic Finland Turkey Portugal Norway Italy Slovak Republic Israel (2006-08) FIGURE 15: SOURCE DATA Manufacturing Other enterprises within group Suppliers of equipment, materials, components, or software Clients or customers Competitors or other enterprises in sector Consultants, commercial labs, or private R&D institutes Universities or other higher education institutions Government or public research institutes 9 16 13 7 10 10 6 140 Services 12 19 15 10 11 10 7 FIGURE 16: SOURCE DATA Patent Sector Category High-tech manufacturing Other manufacturing Knowledge-intensive services Other services Design 7 3 4 1 Trademark 5 3 3 2 FIGURE 17: SOURCE DATA Country code FRA NLD FIN LUX HUN ITA TUR ESP EST BEL JPN CZE DEU PRT POL BRA SVK CHL CHE ISR AUS RUS Manufacturing 53.3 47.3 44.5 40.1 37.3 32.3 32.2 29.0 28.8 28.3 26.5 26.5 26.3 25.1 22.2 21.3 19.6 15.7 13.9 13.8 8.8 7.3 Services 37.9 24.9 25.6 9.8 31.5 21.0 21.8 24.2 17.4 17.3 23.6 19.2 16.2 22.4 14.7 15.6 9.5 6.0 1.9 3.6 5.8 23.4 Country France Netherlands Finland Luxembourg Hungary Italy Turkey Spain Estonia Belgium Japan (2009-10) Czech Republic Germany Portugal Poland Brazil (2006-08) Slovak Republic Chile (2009-10) Switzerland (2009-11) Israel (2006-08) Australia (2011) Russian Federation (2009-11) 141 10 9 15 10 Copyright 2 1 5 1 FIGURE 18: SOURCE DATA Services Code ITA ESP NZL HUN NLD FIN PRT SWE FRA BRA LUX AUT JPN BEL NOR USA Micro Small Medium (1-9) (10-49) (50-249) 0.94 0.06 0.01 0.92 0.07 0.01 0.89 0.09 0.01 0.89 0.10 0.01 0.88 0.10 0.02 0.87 0.11 0.02 0.86 0.12 0.02 0.86 0.12 0.02 0.85 0.13 0.02 0.83 0.14 0.02 0.83 0.14 0.02 0.82 0.15 0.03 0.80 0.18 0.02 0.78 0.18 0.03 0.77 0.20 0.03 0.75 0.21 0.03 Manufacturing Large (250+) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 Country Code Italy Spain New Zealand Hungary Netherlands Finland Portugal Sweden France Brazil Luxembourg Austria Japan Belgium Norway United States NZL ITA ESP FIN HUN SWE NLD PRT JPN BRA AUT FRA NOR BEL LUX USA Micro Small Medium (1-9) (10-49) (50-249) 0.79 0.18 0.03 0.78 0.19 0.03 0.74 0.22 0.04 0.71 0.21 0.06 0.71 0.21 0.06 0.70 0.22 0.06 0.70 0.22 0.06 0.68 0.26 0.05 0.68 0.26 0.06 0.66 0.27 0.05 0.66 0.24 0.08 0.63 0.28 0.07 0.59 0.31 0.08 0.59 0.30 0.09 0.59 0.29 0.10 0.57 0.32 0.09 Large (250+) 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.02 Country New Zealand Italy Spain Finland Hungary Sweden Netherlands Portugal Japan Brazil Austria France Norway Belgium Luxembourg United States FIGURE 19: SOURCE DATA Services Firms 0.07 0.14 0.18 0.22 0.40 Firm Age Class Firm births Startups (1-2) Young (3-5) Mature (5-10) Old (10+) Manufacturing Employment 0.02 0.08 0.14 0.20 0.56 Firms 0.04 0.09 0.13 0.19 0.56 Firm Age Class Firm births Startups (1-2) Young (3-5) Mature (5-10) Old (10+) Employment 0.01 0.05 0.09 0.14 0.72 FIGURE 20: SOURCE DATA Country code BRA FRA ESP HUN NLD PRT LUX AUT USA NZL Services (size of startups) 5.33 7.11 2.40 3.62 6.03 3.60 3.05 8.06 6.80 3.14 Services (share of startups) 0.39 0.28 0.26 0.24 0.22 0.22 0.21 0.21 0.20 0.20 Manufacturing (size of startups) Manufacturing (share of startups) Country Manufacturing Share (x-axis label position) 11.80 23.73 4.57 7.51 15.99 6.18 4.27 12.57 9.94 5.13 0.34 0.14 0.15 0.17 0.15 0.13 0.12 0.11 0.13 0.15 1.15 2.15 3.15 4.15 5.15 6.15 7.15 8.15 9.15 10.15 142 Country Services Share (x-axis label position) 0.85 1.85 2.85 3.85 4.85 5.85 6.85 7.85 8.85 9.85 Country Brazil France Spain Hungary Netherlands Portugal Luxembourg Austria United States New Zealand Country code Services (size of startups) SWE BEL NOR ITA JPN FIN Services (share of startups) 4.77 4.85 8.46 3.24 3.01 5.05 Manufacturing (size of startups) Manufacturing (share of startups) Country Manufacturing Share (x-axis label position) 10.01 10.11 15.23 5.85 4.04 17.93 0.11 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.04 0.06 11.15 12.15 13.15 14.15 15.15 16.15 0.19 0.17 0.14 0.12 0.11 0.09 Country Services Share (x-axis label position) 10.85 11.85 12.85 13.85 14.85 15.85 FIGURE 21: SOURCE DATA Country Code BEL HUN LUX ITA BRA PRT FIN NZL ESP SWE NLD FRA NOR USA AUT Services Services Services (young, up to (old, >5) 5) 0.13 0.00 0.11 -0.01 0.11 0.02 0.10 0.01 0.09 0.02 0.09 0.00 0.09 0.01 0.07 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.04 -0.01 0.03 0.01 0.03 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.02 -0.01 Manufacturing Manufacturing (young, up to 5) Manufacturing (old, >5) 0.07 0.10 0.13 0.07 0.09 0.07 0.02 0.08 0.02 0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0.02 0.01 0.03 -0.02 -0.02 0.00 -0.02 0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.01 Services x-axis label position 0.82 1.82 2.82 3.82 4.82 5.82 6.82 7.82 8.82 9.82 10.82 11.82 12.82 13.82 14.82 Manufacturing Country x-axis label position 1.24 2.24 3.24 4.24 5.24 6.24 7.24 8.24 9.24 10.24 11.24 12.24 13.24 14.24 15.24 Name Belgium Hungary Luxembourg Italy Brazil Portugal Finland New Zealand Spain Sweden Netherlands France Norway United States Austria FIGURE 22: SOURCE DATA Sector Size Small (1-249) Services Large (250+) Small (1-249) Manufacturing Large (250+) Age Young (1-5) Old (>5) Young (1-5) Old (>5) Young (1-5) Old (>5) Young (1-5) Old (>5) Contribution to employment 0.20 0.46 0.06 0.28 0.11 0.46 0.06 0.38 143 Contribution to job destruction 0.24 0.52 0.04 0.19 0.13 0.54 0.04 0.29 Contribution to job creation 0.44 0.32 0.09 0.16 0.31 0.37 0.10 0.21 Country Sweden Belgium Norway Italy Japan Finland FIGURE 23: SOURCE DATA Services Country code BRA ESP NLD HUN FRA PRT NZL NOR SWE AUT LUX ITA BEL USA FIN Age class Young (1-5) Old (>5) Young (1-5) Old (>5) Young (1-5) Old (>5) Young (1-5) Old (>5) Young (1-5) Old (>5) Young (1-5) Old (>5) Young (1-5) Old (>5) Young (1-5) Old (>5) Young (1-5) Old (>5) Young (1-5) Old (>5) Young (1-5) Old (>5) Young (1-5) Old (>5) Young (1-5) Old (>5) Young (1-5) Old (>5) Young (1-5) Old (>5) Entrant 0.09 0.06 0.06 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 Exit -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.05 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.03 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.03 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.03 -0.01 -0.03 Manufacturing Incumbent 0.04 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 -0.01 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 Country Country code Brazil BRA Spain NLD Netherlands ESP Hungary NZL France HUN Portugal AUT New Zealand PRT Norway JPN Sweden FRA Austria ITA Luxembourg NOR Italy SWE Belgium BEL United States USA Finland FIN LUX 144 Age class Young (1-5) Old (>5) Young (1-5) Old (>5) Young (1-5) Old (>5) Young (1-5) Old (>5) Young (1-5) Old (>5) Young (1-5) Old (>5) Young (1-5) Old (>5) Young (1-5) Old (>5) Young (1-5) Old (>5) Young (1-5) Old (>5) Young (1-5) Old (>5) Young (1-5) Old (>5) Young (1-5) Old (>5) Young (1-5) Old (>5) Young (1-5) Old (>5) Young (1-5) Entrant 0.07 N/A 0.04 N/A 0.02 N/A 0.01 N/A 0.01 N/A 0.02 N/A 0.02 N/A 0.02 N/A 0.02 N/A 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 Exit -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.04 -0.01 -0.03 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 0.00 -0.02 0.00 -0.02 0.00 -0.03 0.00 -0.03 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.03 0.00 -0.02 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.03 0.00 -0.03 0.00 Incumbent 0.04 0.01 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.02 0.01 -0.02 0.01 -0.02 0.00 -0.01 0.01 -0.02 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.01 0.01 -0.02 0.00 -0.02 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.02 0.00 -0.02 0.00 -0.02 0.00 Country Brazil Netherlands Spain New Zealand Hungary Austria Portugal Japan France Italy Norway Sweden Belgium United States Finland Luxembourg Country code Age class Old (>5) Entrant Exit 0.00 Incumbent 0.00 Country 145 FIGURE 24: SOURCE DATA By young (0-5) Net job creation by young By old (>5) Net job creation by old Total Net growth rate Manufacturing /Services year Manufacturing 2001-02 0.016615 -0.03457 -0.01795 Manufacturing 2002-03 0.023205 -0.02787 -0.00467 Manufacturing 2003-04 0.022267 -0.03082 -0.00855 Manufacturing 2004-05 0.019599 -0.03163 -0.01203 Manufacturing 2005-06 0.028778 -0.0302 -0.00142 Manufacturing 2006-07 0.025004 -0.02534 -0.00033 Manufacturing 2007-08 0.019216 -0.02698 -0.00776 Manufacturing 2008-09 0.008627 -0.07204 -0.06341 Manufacturing 2009-10 0.01778 -0.05194 -0.03416 Manufacturing 2010-11 0.013705 -0.02316 -0.00945 Services 2001-02 0.034049 -0.01985 0.014202 Services 2002-03 0.035746 -0.01969 0.016056 Services 2003-04 0.038936 -0.02212 0.016816 Services 2004-05 0.040754 -0.02062 0.020132 Services 2005-06 0.043429 -0.01764 0.025785 Services 2006-07 0.046946 -0.01185 0.0351 Services 2007-08 0.040413 -0.01834 0.022075 Services 2008-09 0.018389 -0.04957 -0.03118 Services 2009-10 0.029825 -0.03621 -0.00639 Services 2010-11 0.023871 -0.02065 0.003222 FIGURE 25: SOURCE DATA Country code ARG AUS AUT BEL BGR BRA BRN CAN CHE CHL CHN CZE DEU DNK ESP EST FIN FRA GBR 1995 25.3 29.2 31.1 31.2 29.9 26.0 26.2 23.9 30.6 26.1 20.7 27.6 29.4 27.8 29.4 28.2 29.2 30.9 27.0 2000 27.2 29.5 29.8 32.5 28.1 34.1 22.3 24.9 32.3 29.3 21.6 29.5 31.2 29.2 31.0 30.6 29.9 32.1 30.2 2005 21.8 30.4 30.2 32.5 28.0 25.1 20.9 26.8 32.6 28.6 22.1 30.0 31.6 30.7 31.7 30.8 30.1 34.1 30.1 2009 24.1 31.8 32.4 34.0 32.1 29.6 22.3 29.5 35.1 29.9 24.2 30.8 34.7 31.9 34.2 31.7 31.4 35.0 31.3 146 Country Argentina Australia Austria Belgium Bulgaria Brazil Brunei Canada Switzerland Chile China Czech Republic Germany Denmark Spain Estonia Finland France United Kingdom Country code GRC HKG HUN IDN IND IRL ISL ISR ITA JPN KHM KOR LTU LUX LVA MEX MLT MYS NLD NOR NZL PHL POL PRT ROU ROW RUS SAU SGP SVK SVN SWE THA TUR USA VNM ZAF 1995 26.7 27.6 27.0 20.0 29.0 27.0 26.3 30.3 29.8 28.3 29.3 23.5 29.0 29.0 27.4 24.3 26.5 28.4 28.8 28.2 27.9 17.2 26.2 28.3 24.3 26.3 26.9 26.7 28.7 28.2 28.3 28.2 23.5 24.3 22.1 28.8 27.6 2000 2005 26.9 30.5 30.5 22.4 31.7 31.2 29.2 28.9 32.3 27.0 31.2 25.6 28.0 33.1 33.0 24.5 27.8 28.4 30.6 30.4 27.6 24.3 30.1 30.1 24.3 29.5 28.4 28.0 29.7 30.0 30.0 30.6 24.5 30.1 25.7 29.5 26.7 29.9 28.6 31.6 20.9 33.4 32.6 30.6 31.0 33.5 28.4 31.1 22.9 31.6 33.9 33.6 26.5 31.2 28.0 30.9 29.5 30.1 24.5 31.3 31.2 25.7 28.3 27.6 28.8 29.0 30.2 30.3 31.7 24.1 28.6 26.4 28.6 30.2 2009 Country 32.3 29.9 33.2 18.6 32.8 32.1 31.4 30.2 35.8 28.7 27.0 27.7 31.5 36.1 35.1 27.1 32.0 30.0 32.5 31.3 30.4 23.4 32.2 32.1 26.8 28.4 29.2 29.7 30.8 31.2 32.7 32.3 20.8 29.9 27.8 26.4 31.0 Greece Hong Kong (China) Hungary Indonesia India Ireland Iceland Israel Italy Japan Cambodge Korea Lithuania Luxembourg Latvia Mexico Malta Malaysia Netherlands Norway New Zealand Philippines Poland Portugal Romania Rest of the world Russian Federation Saudi Arabia Singapore Slovak Republic Slovenia Sweden Thailand Turkey United States Vietnam South Africa FIGURE 26: SOURCE DATA Country code ISL FRA ITA DEU BEL FIN ESP IRL Wholesale, retail, hotels & rest. 22.0 8.5 11.5 8.0 13.2 7.1 12.3 10.6 Transport, storage & telecom. 4.7 4.8 6.2 5.4 5.8 6.5 6.0 3.3 Finance & insurance Business services Other services 2.4 3.0 3.5 2.3 2.5 2.1 3.7 3.3 9.1 17.9 12.8 17.0 12.2 16.6 9.9 15.6 1.4 4.0 4.1 4.1 3.1 4.0 3.9 2.5 147 2009 total 39.6 38.3 38.1 36.9 36.7 36.3 35.7 35.4 1995 total 34.0 31.5 31.7 29.2 32.5 24.5 28.2 33.0 Country Iceland France Italy Germany Belgium Finland Spain Ireland Country code IND LUX SWE POL CHE EST NLD SVK AUT TUR GRC NZL AUS PRT ISR CHL SVN JPN NOR GBR DNK CZE ZAF CAN BRA RUS MEX HUN KOR USA CHN IDN Wholesale, retail, hotels & rest. 14.7 9.6 8.1 14.9 8.6 12.0 8.6 12.8 8.3 13.1 14.5 8.2 7.9 9.1 9.0 6.5 11.6 9.2 8.5 10.2 11.7 11.7 9.1 10.9 13.6 14.6 11.1 8.8 7.9 5.1 7.3 7.3 Transport, storage & telecom. Finance & insurance Business services Other services 6.8 2.3 2.1 1.8 4.7 1.9 3.2 1.8 2.5 3.2 3.8 4.0 3.2 3.6 5.5 4.5 2.3 4.2 3.8 3.1 2.3 2.1 4.2 2.9 3.2 1.3 4.0 2.3 3.3 2.9 4.4 1.5 3.6 14.9 14.2 8.7 11.4 9.6 13.8 9.9 12.2 6.3 7.6 11.1 12.1 10.2 11.5 10.9 9.3 8.4 9.8 10.3 9.4 8.4 7.6 9.0 5.0 4.6 8.8 10.5 10.3 12.8 7.4 2.9 2.6 3.5 3.9 3.6 3.4 2.4 3.4 3.2 4.1 1.2 2.4 2.7 2.4 3.9 2.0 2.1 3.0 2.3 3.8 2.3 2.5 3.1 2.9 3.0 2.2 2.2 1.1 2.7 1.5 1.9 1.9 2.0 7.6 4.2 6.2 5.1 5.5 6.9 3.7 5.1 5.5 8.7 3.9 6.3 6.6 5.3 4.0 7.7 4.9 6.9 5.0 4.6 4.3 4.8 6.3 4.1 5.4 6.6 4.3 4.3 5.1 3.5 4.2 4.2 FIGURE 27: SOURCE DATA Country code FRA CHE NLD GBR LUX DEU BEL USA DNK AUT FIN NOR IRL 2012 52.8 52.7 52.2 51.7 51.7 50.1 50.0 48.4 47.9 45.8 45.8 44.4 44.1 2002 37.8 #N/A 47.7 45.3 37.3 42.6 42.6 #N/A 40.3 34.9 40.4 39.7 39.7 Country France Switzerland Netherlands United Kingdom Luxembourg Germany Belgium United States Denmark Austria Finland Norway Ireland 148 2009 total 35.3 34.5 34.4 34.1 33.7 32.8 32.8 32.7 32.6 32.4 32.2 32.2 32.2 32.1 31.9 31.7 31.2 31.1 30.9 30.6 30.2 30.2 30.0 29.8 29.5 29.4 29.3 28.7 28.2 26.3 25.2 17.9 1995 total 29.7 27.5 30.7 25.6 32.7 28.7 29.7 25.3 28.3 24.1 21.9 28.4 30.1 27.6 40.7 27.7 28.0 30.9 28.4 26.4 27.1 26.5 26.7 25.0 26.1 28.6 25.8 26.4 24.6 20.1 20.5 21.7 Country India Luxembourg Sweden Poland Switzerland Estonia Netherlands Slovak Republic Austria Turkey Greece New Zealand Australia Portugal Israel Chile Slovenia Japan Norway United Kingdom Denmark Czech Republic South Africa Canada Brazil Russian Fed. Mexico Hungary Korea United States China Indonesia Country code SWE EU28 ESP ITA SVN ISL CZE GRC POL EST SVK PRT HUN TUR 2012 42.0 41.6 38.2 37.7 36.7 36.6 32.7 31.2 30.6 28.8 27.3 27.1 25.0 22.9 2002 39.9 #N/A 28.5 34.9 34.5 27.7 29.7 25.1 #N/A 22.9 25.8 21.9 24.9 #N/A Country Sweden EU28 Spain Italy Slovenia Iceland Czech Republic Greece Poland Estonia Slovak Republic Portugal Hungary Turkey FIGURE 28: SOURCE DATA Country code DNK NOR JPN HUN SVK AUS NLD CHL ESP AUT BEL SVN SWE FRA ISR FIN CZE ITA TUR ZAF USA PRT EST GBR Manufacturing Product innovators innovating in goods only Manufacturing Product innovators innovating in services only Manufacturing Product innovators innovating in goods and services 76.0 89.7 71.2 76.7 78.3 70.1 69.7 58.8 69.5 72.2 66.4 #N/A 65.9 64.1 65.9 65.7 68.2 59.8 42.5 39.5 56.4 53.7 78.6 19.0 3.2 5.5 8.6 5.7 2.2 14.0 8.9 7.8 8.3 3.8 4.9 #N/A 9.7 7.7 11.7 7.6 6.8 7.9 7.1 17.5 13.1 11.2 8.8 8.3 20.9 4.8 20.2 17.5 19.5 15.9 21.5 33.4 22.2 24.1 28.6 #N/A 24.4 28.2 22.4 26.7 25.0 32.3 50.5 43.0 30.6 35.1 12.6 72.7 149 Services Product innovators innovating in goods only 58.2 49.3 46.3 44.6 38.3 36.5 35.1 34.5 32.8 32.0 30.5 29.4 29.2 27.7 26.4 25.6 24.8 24.4 23.1 21.7 20.8 20.2 15.3 9.1 Services Product innovators innovating in services only 17.3 41.8 29.2 25.1 40.9 44.8 40.2 33.5 35.1 32.4 38.9 40.8 40.2 35.0 42.7 45.2 42.6 30.0 29.3 37.5 46.8 37.6 59.1 27.2 Services Product innovators innovating in goods and services 24.5 8.9 24.6 30.3 20.8 18.7 24.8 32.0 32.1 35.6 30.6 29.9 30.5 37.3 30.9 29.2 32.6 45.5 47.6 40.8 32.4 42.2 25.6 63.7 Country Denmark Norway Japan (2009-10) Hungary Slovak Republic Australia (2010-11) Netherlands Chile (2009-10) Spain Austria Belgium Slovenia Sweden France Israel (2006-08) Finland Czech Republic Italy Turkey South Africa (2005-07) United States Portugal Estonia United Kingdom FIGURE 29: SOURCE DATA GVC PARTICIPATION: WHOLESALE AND RETAIL, HOTELS AND RESTAURANTS Country code HKG MLT SGP PHL GRC RUS CHN LVA KHM MYS AUT BGR BEL CHE SWE IRL NLD JPN VNM POL FRA BRA NZL HUN ITA IND SVK CZE ISR ROU USA NOR THA DEU PRT TUR LTU EST KOR CHL LUX FIN SVN ESP DNK CHN MEX Backward participation 9.5 6.1 4.3 1.1 1.6 0.3 0.7 1.0 4.2 1.1 1.4 2.5 1.4 1.1 1.7 2.6 1.2 0.2 1.9 0.3 0.7 0.2 1.4 1.3 0.3 0.8 0.5 0.4 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.3 Forward participation 10.4 2.4 3.5 4.8 4.2 5.2 4.6 4.2 0.9 3.7 3.3 2.1 3.1 3.3 2.8 1.6 2.7 3.7 1.7 3.2 2.7 3.1 1.9 1.8 2.8 2.3 2.5 2.6 2.0 2.2 2.7 2.1 2.3 2.2 1.8 2.3 1.9 2.2 1.9 1.7 1.3 1.6 1.9 2.0 1.6 1.8 1.8 150 Total participation 19.9 8.5 7.9 6.0 5.7 5.5 5.4 5.2 5.1 4.8 4.7 4.6 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.1 3.9 3.9 3.6 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.1 Country Hong Kong, China Malta Singapore Philippines Greece Russian Federation Chinese Taipei Latvia Cambodia Malaysia Austria Bulgaria Belgium Switzerland Sweden Ireland Netherlands Japan Viet Nam Poland France Brazil New Zealand Hungary Italy India Slovak Republic Czech Republic Israel Romania United States Norway Thailand Germany Portugal Turkey Lithuania Estonia Korea Chile Luxembourg Finland Slovenia Spain Denmark China Mexico Country code GBR AUS CAN ARG ZAF IDN BRN ISL SAU Backward participation Forward participation 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.6 1.0 1.3 0.9 0.8 0.5 Total participation 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.3 0.9 Country United Kingdom Australia Canada Argentina South Africa Indonesia Brunei Iceland Saudi Arabia GVC PARTICIPATION: TRANSPORT, STORAGE AND COMMUNICATIONS Country code DNK GRC HKG EST SGP MLT LVA PRT FIN CHL BEL ESP NOR SVN BGR KOR ARG ISR JPN LTU AUS TUR ROU SWE LUX MYS AUT NZL RUS THA ISL CZE NLD POL FRA KHM ITA Backward participation Forward participation 16.2 11.0 7.8 6.4 7.7 6.7 2.9 4.0 2.1 3.3 3.3 2.3 2.5 2.9 3.0 3.0 1.2 2.7 0.6 1.5 1.1 0.9 1.2 1.9 2.1 2.3 1.5 2.0 0.5 2.1 1.9 1.1 1.7 1.3 0.8 2.5 0.7 3.8 6.9 3.3 3.6 2.1 2.4 5.5 4.3 3.6 2.3 2.3 3.0 2.7 2.3 2.1 1.9 3.7 1.8 3.7 2.6 3.0 3.2 2.8 1.9 1.6 1.3 2.1 1.6 3.1 1.5 1.7 2.3 1.6 2.0 2.1 0.4 2.1 151 Total participation 20.0 17.9 11.1 10.0 9.8 9.1 8.4 8.2 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.2 5.1 5.1 4.9 4.8 4.5 4.3 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.0 2.9 2.7 Country Denmark Greece Hong Kong, China Estonia Singapore Malta Latvia Portugal Finland Chile Belgium Spain Norway Slovenia Bulgaria Korea Argentina Israel Japan Lithuania Australia Turkey Romania Sweden Luxembourg Malaysia Austria New Zealand Russian Federation Thailand Iceland Czech Republic Netherlands Poland France Cambodia Italy Country code PHL HUN USA IND DEU GBR ZAF BRA CHE TWN IDN SVK IRL VNM CAN CHN BRN SAU MEX Backward participation Forward participation 1.2 1.2 0.5 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 1.5 1.5 2.2 1.7 1.6 1.9 1.8 2.2 1.7 1.3 1.2 1.1 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.4 Total participation 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.2 1.9 1.7 1.5 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.5 Country Philippines Hungary United States India Germany United Kingdom South Africa Brazil Switzerland Chinese Taipei Indonesia Slovak Republic Ireland Viet Nam Canada China Brunei Saudi Arabia Mexico GVC PARTICIPATION: FINANCIAL INTERMEDIATION Country code LUX IRL CHE HKG GBR SGP ISL USA LVA ESP MLT NLD MYS BEL AUT ITA JPN IND CHN BGR AUS NOR PHL ISR EST DEU GRC Backward participation Forward participation 40.3 6.1 1.6 1.9 1.4 1.6 1.3 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.9 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 4.8 2.1 4.3 3.7 3.1 1.9 1.7 2.0 1.6 1.7 1.0 1.1 1.6 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.1 1.1 0.9 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.8 152 Total participation 45.1 8.2 5.9 5.6 4.5 3.6 2.9 2.3 2.1 2.0 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 Country Luxembourg Ireland Switzerland Hong Kong, China United Kingdom Singapore Iceland United States Latvia Spain Malta Netherlands Malaysia Belgium Austria Italy Japan India China Bulgaria Australia Norway Philippines Israel Estonia Germany Greece Country code TWN PRT FRA TUR CHL KOR ZAF BRA NZL FIN SWE CZE RUS BRN ARG SVN DNK ROU KHM HUN MEX CAN POL VNM SAU IDN SVK LTU THA Backward participation Forward participation 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 Total participation 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 Country Chinese Taipei Portugal France Turkey Chile Korea South Africa Brazil New Zealand Finland Sweden Czech Republic Russian Fed. Brunei Argentina Slovenia Denmark Romania Cambodia Hungary Mexico Canada Poland Viet Nam Saudi Arabia Indonesia Slovak Republic Lithuania Thailand GVC PARTICIPATION: BUSINESS SERVICES Country code IRL HKG ISL SWE IND GBR BEL USA ISR MLT ESP AUT FIN LUX DEU FRA EST Backward participation Forward participation 8.3 3.7 4.5 2.7 2.9 0.9 2.0 0.4 1.5 3.3 1.4 1.5 1.9 3.4 0.5 0.5 1.1 3.3 4.6 3.0 4.9 4.5 6.3 5.1 6.5 4.9 3.0 4.8 4.4 4.0 2.3 5.0 5.0 4.1 153 Total participation 11.6 8.3 7.6 7.6 7.4 7.3 7.1 6.9 6.4 6.3 6.2 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.5 5.5 5.2 Country Ireland Hong Kong, China Iceland Sweden India United Kingdom Belgium United States Israel Malta Spain Austria Finland Luxembourg Germany France Estonia Country code SGP PRT NLD ITA AUS NOR KOR DNK CZE LVA HUN JPN CHE SVN PHL ROU CHL POL GRC SVK NZL TWN BRA CAN CHN RUS MYS TUR ARG BGR LTU BRN ZAF MEX VNM IDN THA SAU KHM Backward participation Forward participation 2.2 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.8 3.1 3.4 3.5 3.4 2.8 2.7 2.2 2.0 2.1 2.0 2.7 2.6 2.2 2.5 1.8 2.4 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.4 1.2 1.7 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.2 154 Total participation 4.1 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.6 3.4 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.3 2.3 2.2 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.3 Country Singapore Portugal Netherlands Italy Australia Norway Korea Denmark Czech Republic Latvia Hungary Japan Switzerland Slovenia Philippines Romania Chile Poland Greece Slovak Republic New Zealand Chinese Taipei Brazil Canada China Russian Fed. Malaysia Turkey Argentina Bulgaria Lithuania Brunei South Africa Mexico Viet Nam Indonesia Thailand Saudi Arabia Cambodia FIGURE 30: SOURCE DATA Sector Agriculture Mining Manufacturing Utilities Total economy Country/Region Australia OECD World Australia OECD World Australia OECD World Australia OECD World Australia OECD World Decrease 1995 Decrease 2009 -25.1 -21.1 -17.9 -52.7 -47.6 -50.8 -45.1 -31.4 -31.3 -41.6 -39.3 -40.4 -82.4 -74.4 -72.8 -22.9 -18.6 -21.4 -55.2 -46.7 -55.4 -42.8 -34.3 -36.5 -42.0 -37.2 -42.8 -85.5 -80.1 -76.6 FIGURE 31: SOURCE DATA International Standard Industrial Classification (ISIC) Code 50T52: Wholesale and retail trade; repairs 55: Hotels and restaurants 60T63: Transport and storage 64: Post and telecommunications 65T67: Finance and insurance 70: Real estate activities 71: Renting of machinery and equipment 72: Computer and related activities 73: Research and development 74: Other Business Activities 75: Public admin., defence, social security 80: Education 85: Health and social work 90T93: Other services Australia -7.8 -3.5 -5.4 -2.2 -0.8 -1.7 0.0 -0.1 -0.1 -3.6 -3.5 -1.5 -1.9 -2.5 155 OECD -5.1 -3.1 -3.7 -1.1 -1.3 -1.4 -0.3 -0.4 -0.2 -3.1 -4.7 -1.4 -3.8 -2.3 World -4.7 -3.1 -4.0 -1.1 -1.2 -1.2 -0.2 -0.4 -0.3 -3.1 -4.3 -1.6 -3.7 -2.3 FIGURE 32: SOURCE DATA International Standard Industrial Classification (ISIC) Code 45: Construction 50T52: Wholesale and retail trade; repairs 55: Hotels and restaurants 60T63: Transport and storage 64: Post and telecommunications 65T67: Finance and insurance 70: Real estate activities 71T74: Other business activities 75: Public admin., defence, social security 80: Education 85: Health and social work 90T93: Other services Agriculture Mining -2.4 -4.4 -4.2 -0.7 -0.4 -0.2 -0.5 -1.3 -0.6 -0.3 -0.4 -2.1 -6.9 -4.0 -0.7 -2.2 -0.8 -0.2 -0.8 -1.4 -0.9 -0.4 -0.5 -0.7 156 Manufacturing -14.2 -6.5 -2.4 -4.1 -1.9 -0.4 -1.3 -2.9 -2.4 -1.1 -1.0 -1.9 Services (incl. utilities) -24.3 -19.2 -3.9 -12.1 -5.9 -10.3 -14.5 -18.2 -7.8 -4.8 -6.9 -6.9 Total economy -21.2 -15.9 -3.4 -10.0 -4.8 -7.9 -11.3 -14.4 -6.4 -3.8 -5.5 -5.6 FIGURE 33: SOURCE DATA AUSTRALIA 1995 23.5 67.5 72.2 Exports Value-added Employment 1996 23.7 68.4 72.6 1997 23.0 68.6 72.8 1998 23.9 69.5 73.9 1999 26.0 69.6 73.0 2000 24.4 70.0 74.1 2001 22.9 69.6 73.9 2002 24.0 70.0 74.5 2003 27.4 70.0 74.8 2004 25.4 69.6 74.4 2005 23.2 68.6 74.4 2006 21.4 69.2 74.6 2007 22.6 69.3 74.7 2008 17.7 68.4 74.6 2009 24.4 70.3 75.2 2010 69.4 G7 COUNTRIES Exports Value-added Employment 1995 19.2 69.8 71.3 1996 20.1 70.4 71.7 1997 20.5 71.1 72.1 1998 20.3 71.9 72.8 1999 20.7 72.4 73.4 2000 20.9 72.6 73.9 2001 21.0 73.8 74.5 2002 21.8 74.6 75.2 2003 21.5 74.7 75.7 2004 22.2 74.3 76.1 2005 22.2 74.5 76.3 FIGURE 34: SOURCE DATA Industry Sector Wholesale and retail trade Transportation and storage Accommodation and food service activities Information and communication Finance and insurance Real estate, renting and business activities Community, social and personal services Australia 2010 Canada 2008 United Kingdom 2010 United States 2011 13.0 8.2 3.5 4.5 15.2 28.6 27.1 17.4 6.6 3.3 5.2 11.4 26.2 29.8 13.9 6.0 3.7 8.5 11.4 26.3 30.3 14.6 4.2 3.7 7.0 9.7 29.5 31.4 157 2006 22.4 74.6 76.5 2007 22.8 74.7 76.8 2008 21.7 75.0 77.2 2009 24.5 2010 FIGURE 35: SOURCE DATA Total economy Agriculture, forestry and fishing Mining Manufacturing Electricity, gas, water and waste services Construction Total services All industries 3663 1774 10147 1357 10113 83366 110841 Services sector Wholesale and retail trade Accommodation and food services Transportation and storage Information and communication Finance and insurance Real estate Professional, scientific and technical services Administrative and support services Community, social and personal services 18674 7403 5620 2103 4230 1240 8654 3965 31477 FIGURE 36: SOURCE DATA Value-added Country Australia New Zealand Canada United Kingdom United States Norway Mining 245.7 200.1 154.1 29.5 166.2 88.8 Manufacturing Market services 35.6 18.4 -7.4 -0.5 22.3 46.5 101.6 59.1 53.8 57.8 50.9 78.1 Non-market services 100.7 96.7 56.2 76.2 77.8 106.7 Employment Country Australia New Zealand Canada United Kingdom United States Norway Mining 134.0 .. 36.1 -20.8 40.9 99.3 Manufacturing Market services -5.2 -12.6 -21.0 -36.4 -31.8 -10.8 19.2 21.8 15.9 9.6 -0.4 12.8 158 Non-market services 35.7 26.0 19.9 20.2 16.3 20.0 FIGURE 37: SOURCE DATA Sectors AGC MNG MNF UTI CON WHL RTD TRM TSP INFO FINI ART 1994-99 1999-2004 3.91 0.6 0.59 1.93 2.49 5.21 2.07 1.69 2.02 2.78 2.82 -1.85 2004-08 3.5 -0.04 1.33 -2.27 0.94 1.26 1.39 0.77 1.71 -0.96 2.27 0.98 -1.54 -4.09 -1.39 -4.92 0.63 -0.03 0.25 0.4 0.67 0.12 4.34 -1.87 FIGURE 38: SOURCE DATA 2001-2012 Country code EST SWE NOR CZE AUS DNK SVN AUT HUN NLD PRT SVK FIN FRA ESP LUX DEU ITA Trade, hotels and transport 2.14 0.78 0.66 1.19 0.67 0.31 1.19 0.37 0.83 0.78 0.42 -0.24 0.70 0.17 0.47 -0.63 0.58 -0.26 Information and communication 0.50 0.86 0.77 0.42 0.29 0.77 0.35 0.17 0.70 0.25 0.10 0.57 0.60 0.43 0.25 0.47 0.37 0.21 Finance and insurance 0.64 0.31 0.58 0.29 1.05 0.81 0.60 0.51 -0.07 0.51 0.81 0.54 0.12 0.23 0.54 1.24 0.05 0.33 Professional services 0.54 0.42 0.04 0.19 -0.08 0.00 -0.61 0.24 -0.22 -0.28 -0.20 0.43 -0.30 0.23 -0.40 -0.19 -0.40 -0.57 Country code EST SWE NOR CZE AUS DNK SVN AUT HUN NLD PRT SVK FIN FRA Trade, hotels and transport 3.85 1.58 1.43 2.78 0.58 0.71 1.95 0.85 2.25 1.50 -0.11 -0.14 0.94 0.32 Information and communication 0.98 1.07 1.03 0.88 0.36 0.96 0.58 0.36 0.94 0.54 0.31 0.68 0.76 0.72 2001-2007 Finance and insurance 1.69 0.52 1.02 0.30 1.58 1.43 1.05 0.71 0.15 0.76 1.26 1.03 0.32 0.34 Professional services 1.46 0.72 -0.16 0.36 -0.23 -0.31 -1.23 0.31 0.08 -0.23 -0.21 1.02 -0.23 0.33 159 Country Estonia Sweden Norway Czech Republic Australia Denmark Slovenia Austria Hungary Netherlands Portugal Slovak Republic Finland France Spain Luxembourg Germany Italy Country Estonia Sweden Norway Czech Republic Australia Denmark Slovenia Austria Hungary Netherlands Portugal Slovak Republic Finland France Country code ESP LUX DEU ITA Trade, hotels and transport -0.33 -0.13 1.28 -0.35 Information and communication 0.33 0.13 0.18 0.36 Finance and insurance 1.14 3.05 -0.09 0.40 Professional services -0.78 0.09 -0.17 -0.54 Country code EST SWE NOR CZE AUS DNK SVN AUT HUN NLD PRT SVK FIN FRA ESP LUX DEU ITA Trade, hotels and transport 0.10 -0.18 -0.26 -0.72 0.81 -0.17 0.27 -0.21 -0.88 -0.08 1.07 -0.35 0.41 -0.01 1.43 -1.24 -0.27 -0.16 Information and communication -0.07 0.62 0.46 -0.13 0.18 0.55 0.08 -0.06 0.41 -0.10 -0.14 0.43 0.41 0.09 0.16 0.90 0.61 0.02 2007-2012 Finance and insurance -0.63 0.05 0.06 0.29 0.25 0.07 0.05 0.28 -0.34 0.20 0.27 -0.06 -0.12 0.09 -0.18 -1.02 0.21 0.24 Professional services -0.57 0.07 0.28 -0.03 0.15 0.38 0.14 0.15 -0.59 -0.33 -0.19 -0.27 -0.39 0.10 0.05 -0.54 -0.69 -0.61 Country Spain Luxembourg Germany Italy Country Estonia Sweden Norway Czech Republic Australia Denmark Slovenia Austria Hungary Netherlands Portugal Slovak Republic Finland France Spain Luxembourg Germany Italy FIGURE 39: SOURCE DATA Country code SVN FIN CHE NOR BEL NLD SWE CZE AUT ISR SVK DEU GBR JPN EST ZAF ITA CHL HUN PRT DNK ESP POL TUR FRA RUS Manufacturing Services #N/A 85.8 79.5 77.8 74.9 70.7 69.5 66.8 66.3 62.7 61.2 60.8 60.0 59.0 54.8 54.5 54.0 52.8 47.5 47.1 45.9 42.9 41.3 34.8 34.0 29.9 Country 72.8 77.6 56.6 66.5 52.2 55.8 56.1 62.3 43.9 55.7 52.1 41.5 57.6 40.3 57.0 40.4 39.3 34.1 50.5 53.8 32.7 32.6 34.2 26.2 30.0 9.5 160 Slovenia Finland Switzerland (2009-11) Norway Belgium Netherlands Sweden Czech Republic Austria Israel (2006-08) Slovak Republic Germany United Kingdom Japan (2009-10) Estonia South Africa (2005-07) Italy Chile (2009-10) Hungary Portugal Denmark Spain Poland Turkey France Russian Federation (2009-11) Country code Manufacturing NZL AUS BRA Services 29.2 27.8 13.3 Country 15.6 19.2 20.1 New Zealand (2009-10) Australia (2011) Brazil (2006-08) FIGURE 40: SOURCE DATA Country code AUT FIN NLD DEU BEL ITA ESP PRT CZE FRA EST HUN AUS SVK High-tech manufacturing 46.2 41.0826 29.2046 27.3381 27.3 20.5888 19.7837 16.4686 14.2246 13.3374 10.2041 8.5869 6.2 6.1977 Other manufacturing 20.9 20.0334 13.6548 14.2102 11.8 14.3282 8.9979 4.6789 7.5145 6.6334 8.1448 6.4516 6.3 3.8256 Knowledgeintensive services 17 15.3414 10.9389 17.1598 17.2 12.7161 19.5902 14.3985 8.0276 8.9125 5.8355 12.7663 5.4 2.2282 161 Other services 6.5 3.647 4.0911 6.0498 5 4.7878 5.4104 5.3615 2.627 2.0555 3.6269 3.4663 2.1 1.6813 Country Austria Finland Netherlands Germany Belgium Italy Spain Portugal Czech Republic France Estonia Hungary Australia Slovak Republic FIGURE 41: SOURCE DATA Country code LUX CHE ISL GBR BEL IRL CAN USA AUS NLD SVN DNK DEU SWE FRA ITA AUT FIN NOR CZE ESP SVK GRC EST HUN POL PRT TUR Information and communication 4.0 3.1 4.3 3.9 2.4 4.1 2.2 3.0 1.8 3.0 2.6 3.8 3.0 3.6 2.9 2.6 2.5 3.9 3.3 2.4 2.4 2.5 1.8 2.8 2.5 2.0 1.6 0.9 Finance and insurance 11.3 5.5 4.9 3.6 3.0 5.1 5.3 4.1 3.7 3.0 2.7 3.3 2.9 2.0 3.0 2.6 3.1 1.9 2.0 1.8 2.1 1.8 2.5 1.7 2.3 2.4 2.2 1.2 Professional, scientific and technical activities 8.3 7.5 6.0 7.7 9.6 5.5 6.4 6.2 7.6 6.7 7.2 5.4 6.1 6.3 5.8 6.4 5.6 5.2 4.6 5.5 5.0 5.1 4.8 4.0 3.3 3.2 3.4 1.8 Total share in 2000 20.9 14.4 #N/A 13.6 13.1 12.4 13.1 13.2 12.8 13.0 8.0 11.1 11.1 11.3 10.7 10.8 10.1 9.6 9.4 8.1 8.1 7.8 #N/A 6.5 6.5 #N/A 5.9 #N/A Country Luxembourg Switzerland Iceland United Kingdom Belgium Ireland Canada United States Australia Netherlands Slovenia Denmark Germany Sweden France Italy Austria Finland Norway Czech Republic Spain Slovak Republic Greece Estonia Hungary Poland Portugal Turkey FIGURE 42: SOURCE DATA Country code LUX SWE DNK CHE NOR ISL FIN USA FRA SVN CZE GBR NLD ITA IRL EST EU28 AUT POL DEU BEL HUN Manufacturing Business sector services 39.7 28.3 35.0 31.3 26.2 17.0 34.8 28.5 38.0 20.7 21.1 29.8 30.0 23.4 26.0 18.3 25.4 27.6 17.0 29.9 28.2 15.9 Country 58.6 41.0 40.7 39.3 38.1 38.0 37.7 35.4 33.1 32.6 32.2 31.9 31.2 30.2 29.9 29.8 29.5 28.9 28.6 28.5 28.2 28.1 162 Luxembourg Sweden Denmark Switzerland Norway Iceland Finland United States France Slovenia Czech Republic United Kingdom Netherlands (2011) Italy Ireland Estonia EU28 Austria Poland Germany Belgium Hungary Country code Manufacturing SVK PRT GRC ESP TUR AUS Business sector services Country 16.4 13.8 14.3 21.0 8.3 9.7 27.1 24.5 23.6 22.4 12.4 33.8 Slovak Republic Portugal Greece Spain Turkey Australia FIGURE 43: SOURCE DATA Information-Processing Skills Industry Agriculture/forestry/ fishing Manufacturing/mining/ other industries Construction Trade/transportation/ storage/ accommodation/food Information and communication Financial and insurance Real estate Professional/scientific/tech/admin/ support services Public services Other services Reading at work 2.0 Writing at work 1.5 Numeracy at work 1.9 ICT at work 1.6 Problem solving 1.8 2.1 2.0 2.3 1.9 2.1 2.0 1.7 2.2 1.8 2.2 1.9 1.8 2.1 1.8 1.8 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.4 2.5 2.9 2.4 2.5 2.7 2.9 2.8 2.5 2.8 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.5 2.2 2.5 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.3 1.8 General Skills Industry Agriculture/forestry/ fishing Manufacturing/mining/ other industries Construction Trade/transportation/storage/ accommodation/food Information and communication Financial and insurance Real estate Professional/scientific/tech/admin/ support services Public services Other services Task discretion Learning at work Influencing skills Selforganising skills 3.2 Dexterity Physical skills 1.7 Cooperative skills 2.6 1.9 2.0 3.7 3.4 1.8 2.1 2.0 2.8 3.0 3.5 2.6 1.9 2.2 2.1 2.8 3.4 3.7 3.1 1.8 2.1 2.2 2.8 3.0 3.4 2.7 2.1 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.7 2.4 2.6 3.8 3.5 3.7 3.2 3.0 3.2 0.8 0.7 1.2 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.3 3.5 3.4 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.3 2.0 2.7 2.3 2.7 2.7 3.5 3.3 3.4 3.5 2.0 2.4 FIGURE 44: SOURCE DATA Import penetration Country code LUX IRL ISL DNK EST BEL HUN 1995 23.1 14.3 5.9 4.8 12.1 6.4 5.1 2009 38.3 26.2 11.6 9.4 8.3 8.1 7.6 Country Luxembourg Ireland Iceland Denmark Estonia Belgium Hungary 163 Country code FIN NOR KOR NLD SWE SVN SVK ISR AUT DEU CZE GRC CHL GBR CHE PRT CAN ESP NZL POL ITA FRA AUS TUR MEX USA JPN 1995 4.8 4.7 5.3 7.2 4.1 4.6 5.7 4.2 6.1 3.1 7.5 2.4 4.3 2.7 2.1 3.2 3.4 2.6 3.5 2.8 3.7 2.7 1.9 3.2 1.9 1.2 1.2 2009 6.5 6.2 6.1 6.0 5.9 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.4 4.6 4.3 4.2 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.6 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.1 2.9 2.6 2.2 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.4 Country Finland Norway Korea Netherlands Sweden Slovenia Slovak Republic Israel Austria Germany Czech Republic Greece Chile United Kingdom Switzerland Portugal Canada Spain New Zealand Poland Italy France Australia Turkey Mexico United States Japan EXPORT RATIO Country code LUX IRL ISL EST DNK BEL HUN AUT SWE CHE NOR SVN FIN GRC NLD ISR GBR KOR PRT CZE ESP SVK DEU POL 1995 44.5 8.3 9.2 19.9 8.6 9.3 11.1 10.3 6.1 6.9 9.7 8.5 6.2 11.0 10.6 6.9 6.2 5.5 6.9 11.5 7.2 12.1 3.3 5.6 2009 57.7 33.2 17.0 16.7 14.6 13.6 13.1 12.9 12.2 12.0 10.8 10.8 10.7 10.4 9.5 9.1 8.6 8.5 8.3 8.3 7.2 6.9 6.2 5.5 Country Luxembourg Ireland Iceland Estonia Denmark Belgium Hungary Austria Sweden Switzerland Norway Slovenia Finland Greece Netherlands Israel United Kingdom Korea Portugal Czech Republic Spain Slovak Republic Germany Poland 164 Country code NZL CHL TUR FRA CAN ITA AUS USA MEX JPN 1995 2009 6.1 5.9 10.2 5.4 4.6 5.4 3.6 2.9 3.8 1.1 Country 5.4 5.4 5.0 4.6 4.2 4.0 3.4 3.1 2.0 1.7 165 New Zealand Chile Turkey France Canada Italy Australia United States Mexico Japan FIGURE 45: SOURCE DATA Figure 45: Source data TRADE AND REPAIR (ISIC 45 TO 47) Belgium Denmark Ireland Japan Netherlands Poland Portugal Sweden Estonia Finland Luxembourg Slovak Republic Slovenia Spain Hungary Austria France Czech Republic Norway Italy Germany United States United Kingdom #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A 0 0 0 0 0 0.04 0.06 0.07 0.10 0.11 0.15 0.16 0.19 0.20 0.35 0 0 0 0 0 133 80 129 510 198 117 444 957 2,100 3,263 TRANSPORTATION AND STORAGE (ISIC 49 TO 53) Belgium Denmark Germany Hungary Japan Netherlands Portugal Sweden United States Austria Czech Republic Estonia Ireland Luxembourg Norway Poland Slovak Republic Slovenia Spain Italy France #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.32 0.54 166 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 170 398 United Kingdom Finland 0.80 5.39 2,422 698 INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION (ISIC 58 TO 63) Czech Republic France Germany Netherlands Poland Spain Sweden United States Austria Belgium Denmark Estonia Ireland Luxembourg Portugal Slovak Republic Slovenia Norway Hungary United Kingdom Italy Finland #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.01 0.02 1.34 3.44 4.63 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 8 4,119 2,779 1,082 FINANCE AND INSURANCE (ISIC 64 TO 66) Austria Belgium Czech Republic Finland France Italy Japan Denmark Estonia Hungary Norway Poland Portugal Slovak Republic Slovenia Spain Germany United States United Kingdom #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 2.08 5.15 167 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 244 8,500 16,729 PROFESSIONAL, SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNICAL ACTIVITIES (ISIC 69-75) Belgium Czech Republic Denmark France Germany Hungary Ireland Italy Luxembourg Netherlands Poland Slovak Republic Slovenia Spain Sweden United States Estonia Portugal Austria Norway Finland United Kingdom #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A 0 0 0.11 0.14 0.77 2.12 0 0 18 24 115 4,145 ADMINISTRATIVE AND SUPPORT SERVICE ACTIVITIES (ISIC 77-82) Belgium Czech Republic Hungary Ireland Netherlands Slovenia Spain Sweden United States Denmark Estonia Finland Luxembourg Poland Portugal Slovak Republic Norway Austria France Germany Italy United Kingdom #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.05 0.25 0.43 0.73 1.02 1.83 168 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 24 143 635 2,344 1,518 5,902 FIGURE 46: SOURCE DATA Country by direction of flow Inward United Kingdom Outward Inward France Outward Inward Australia Outward Inward Germany (2010) Outward Inward Turkey Outward Inward United States Outward Inward Italy Outward Inward Korea Outward Inward Japan Outward Total FDI 48.2 69.0 35.0 57.5 33.9 22.7 27.0 34.3 18.1 3.4 16.4 26.8 15.5 23.7 12.0 29.7 3.8 16.3 Services 28.9 38.9 29.0 46.7 13.1 8.8 23.9 27.3 7.2 2.2 9.6 21.7 9.5 16.4 7.2 11.5 2.2 6.7 FIGURE 47: SOURCE DATA INWARD FDI STOCKS Wholesale and retail trade, repair 0.264 Hotels and restaurants 0.0298 Transports, storage and communication 0.2 Financial intermediation 0.332 Real estate, renting and business activities 0.154 OUTWARD FDI STOCKS Wholesale and retail trade, repair 0.0258 Transports, storage and communication 0.0462 Financial intermediation 0.8046 169 Real estate, renting and business activities 0.0652 Other services 0.0582 Other services 0.0209 FIGURE 48: SOURCE DATA Year 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Exports Imports 13.3 14.4 15.9 18.5 20.0 22.8 24.7 26.1 27.5 29.1 34.4 34.6 35.7 36.1 37.7 40.0 43.9 48.3 51.4 51.1 50.5 50.0 51.2 18.1 17.8 19.2 20.5 22.0 24.1 24.7 26.6 29.5 29.8 33.4 33.8 34.0 34.1 38.5 40.7 44.1 50.1 58.4 54.1 56.1 59.9 62.4 FIGURE 49: SOURCE DATA EXPORTS 1992 share (%) 1992 Sector Passenger transport Freight transport Other transport Postal and courier transport Business travel Education-related personal travel Other personal travel Insurance and pension services Financial services Intellectual property Telecom., computer & information serv. Other business services Personal, cultural and recreational services Government Other services Services 1,974 705 1,904 503 606 1,210 4,706 368 1,011 202 904 1,062 171 470 91 15,887 170 2012 share (%) 2012 2,490 348 2,286 1,040 4,102 14,467 12,173 457 1,596 831 1,668 7,824 878 912 110 51,182 12.4 4.4 12.0 3.2 3.8 7.6 29.6 2.3 6.4 1.3 5.7 6.7 1.1 3.0 0.6 100.0 4.9 0.7 4.5 2.0 8.0 28.3 23.8 0.9 3.1 1.6 3.3 15.3 1.7 1.8 0.2 100.0 1992 1992 share (%) 2012 share (%) 1992 share (%) 2012 share (%) 2012 Sector IMPORTS 1992 Sector Passenger transport Freight transport Other transport Postal and courier transport Business travel Education-related personal travel Other personal travel Insurance and pension services Financial services Intellectual property Telecom., computer & information serv. Other business services Personal, cultural and recreational services Government Other services Services 2012 2,465 3,693 35 147 1,313 331 3,665 786 804 1,146 946 2,765 490 554 20 19,160 6,901 9,228 480 79 3,386 1,020 22,132 714 777 4,044 1,790 8,804 1,623 968 493 62,439 12.9 19.3 0.2 0.8 6.9 1.7 19.1 4.1 4.2 6.0 4.9 14.4 2.6 2.9 0.1 100.0 11.1 14.8 0.8 0.1 5.4 1.6 35.4 1.1 1.2 6.5 2.9 14.1 2.6 1.6 0.8 100.0 FIGURE 50: SOURCE DATA EXPORTS 2000 Share (%) 2000 Country United Kingdom Other EU27 Other Europe United States Other Americas Japan China Hong Kong (China) India Malaysia Singapore Korea Other Asia Oceania Africa Services 2012 Share (%) 2012 2263 1698 648 3231 481 1969 472 696 271 526 1092 453 2378 2104 239 18,520 171 4024 4667 1397 5438 2235 2031 5945 1804 1855 1727 3288 1824 8041 4989 1102 50,372 12.2 9.2 3.5 17.4 2.6 10.6 2.5 3.8 1.5 2.8 5.9 2.4 12.8 11.4 1.3 100.0 8.0 9.3 2.8 10.8 4.4 4.0 11.8 3.6 3.7 3.4 6.5 3.6 16.0 9.9 2.2 100.0 2000 2000 Share (%) 2012 Share (%) 2000 Share (%) 2012 Share (%) 2012 Country IMPORTS 2000 United Kingdom Other EU27 Other Europe United States Other Americas Japan China Hong Kong (China) Indonesia Malaysia Singapore Thailand Other Asia Oceania Africa Services 2012 2481 1958 957 4101 551 1018 428 725 442 478 1167 353 1269 1406 250 17,583 5224 8760 2801 11436 1870 2333 1939 2085 2263 1317 4491 2566 7541 5546 838 61,009 FIGURE 51: SOURCE DATA Country code USA GBR DEU FRA CHN BLX IND ESP JPN SGP KOR IRL NLD ITA HKG CAN CHE DNK RUS SWE AUT 1998 19.3 8.3 6.2 6.3 1.8 2.8 0.9 3.6 4.6 1.8 1.9 1.2 3.7 5.0 2.5 2.5 2.0 1.1 0.9 1.4 1.7 2012 15.8 7.1 6.5 4.9 4.8 4.3 3.5 3.3 3.3 2.9 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.0 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.4 Country United States United Kingdom Germany France China Belgium + Luxembourg India Spain Japan Singapore Korea Ireland Netherlands Italy Hong Kong (China) Canada Switzerland Denmark Russian Federation Sweden Austria 172 14.1 11.1 5.4 23.3 3.1 5.8 2.4 4.1 2.5 2.7 6.6 2.0 7.2 8.0 1.4 100.0 8.6 14.4 4.6 18.7 3.1 3.8 3.2 3.4 3.7 2.2 7.4 4.2 12.4 9.1 1.4 100.0 Country code AUS THA TUR BRA POL MYS NOR GRC ISR FIN PRT IDN CZE HUN UKR EGY PHL MEX MAR ZAF ARG ROU CHL HRV NZL SAU KWT VNM PAN 1998 2012 1.3 1.0 1.7 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 Country Australia Thailand Turkey Brazil Poland Malaysia Norway Greece Israel Finland Portugal Indonesia Czech Republic Hungary Ukraine Egypt Philippines Mexico Morocco South Africa Argentina Romania Chile Croatia New Zealand Saudi Arabia Kuwait Viet Nam Panama FIGURE 52: SOURCE DATA Country or Regional Bloc OECD EU 1995 2011 1995 Share (%) 2011 Share (%) 5,559,924,388,078 11,200,139,401,616 29.8 25.6 238,505,580,455 3,145,571,226,671 1.3 7.2 United States 5,320,100,000,000 11,926,820,798,798 28.5 27.2 Other Asia & Oceania 1,081,224,786,316 3,873,908,105,094 5.8 8.8 Japan 3,467,295,811,664 4,179,993,411,966 18.6 9.5 Other OECD 1,610,607,310,032 4,898,921,292,534 8.6 11.2 South & Central America 863,839,237,144 2,413,413,195,784 4.6 5.5 Other Europe 282,577,577,387 1,307,949,134,025 1.5 3.0 Africa 258,213,777,483 843,957,885,565 1.4 1.9 World 18,685,424,069,276 43,798,115,272,310 100.0 100.0 China 173 FIGURE 53: SOURCE DATA 5. Construction 3.2. Freight transport 8. Charges for the use of intellectual property n.i.e. 6. Insurance and pension services 9.Telecommunications, computer, and information services 10.3. Technical, trade-related, and other business services 7. Financial services 10.1. Research and development services 11.1. Audiovisual and related services 3.3.2. Other transport 10.2. Professional and management consulting services 12. Government goods and services n.i.e. 3.1. Passenger transport 4.2.1+4.2.3. Other personal travel 11.2. Other personal, cultural, and recreational services 4.1. Business travel 3.3.1. Postal and courier services 4.2.2. Education-related personal travel 0.051 0.082 0.293 0.341 0.365 0.379 0.380 0.418 0.802 0.819 0.867 0.928 1.102 1.122 1.488 2.024 5.036 10.364 FIGURE 54: SOURCE DATA Total Services Transport: passenger Transport: freight 1.33 1.39 0.07 100.00 4.49 13.50 Growth of imports 20052011 64.65 43.95 60.23 Transport: other 7.76 3.99 2.70 3.67 0.08 0.45 0.01 1.23 0.17 0.98 0.41 0.18 1.03 0.62 0.72 1.15 0.47 6.18 0.30 3.15 17.46 2.16 1.25 3.36 0.24 0.34 3.21 5.98 1.80 3.02 0.22 1.68 6.69 17.52 84.18 30.59 22.64 35.90 72.32 62.63 79.24 144.46 8.28 78.67 71.27 92.62 115.79 73.77 84.08 124.01 74.41 0.63 1.69 0.78 0.73 0.92 2.60 19.25 260.18 42.22 Industry Share of AUS in IMP Postal & courier Travel: business Travel: personal Construction Direct insurance Reinsurance Auxiliary insurance serv. Pension & standardized guaranteed serv. Financial services Intellectual property Telecommunications services Computer services Information services R&D services Professional & management consulting serv. Technical, trade-related & other bus. serv. Audio-visual and related services Other personal, cultural & recreational serv. Government goods and services n.i.e. 174 Market size (%) FIGURE 55: SOURCE DATA Variable USA JPN KOR Chin India CAN Rus. Fed. MEX Market size (%) 10.8 4.4 2.5 6.0 3.1 2.7 2.3 0.8 Share of AUS in IMP 1.25 1.13 1.78 2.44 1.78 0.78 0.13 0.21 43 26 69 184 164 65 126 33 Growth of total imports NZ 0.3 28.9 5 42 Other South East Asia 7.6 Switz South Africa All countries GER FRA UK Italy NLD SWE NOR 7.7 4.8 2.9 2.4 1.4 1.2 1.3 0.5 100.0 2.98 0.33 0.35 0.29 0.46 0.42 0.51 1.54 2.29 1.30 78 39 78 4.5 2.2 4 11 29 30 63 59 101 62 65 GER FRA UK Italy NLD SWE NOR Switz South Africa 7.7 39 54 4.8 78 94 2.9 29 73 2.4 30 10 1.4 63 22 1.2 59 40 1.3 101 124 0.5 62 127 FIGURE 56: SOURCE DATA Variable Market size (%) Share of AUS in IMP Growth of total imports USA JPN KOR Chin India CAN Rus. Fed. MEX 10.8 43 58 4.4 26 -17 2.5 69 75 6.0 184 150 3.1 164 136 2.7 65 103 2.3 126 178 0.8 33 83 NZ 0.3 42 39 Other South East Asia 7.6 78 85 4.5 11 17 All countries 100.0 65 69 FIGURE 57: SOURCE DATA ASIA (INCL. JPN & KOR) Market size (%) Share of AUS in IMP Growth of total imports Growth of imports from AUS Transport Travel Construction Insurance and pension services Financial services 11.3 0.74 86 11 73.1 7.71 73 91 0.2 0.23 85 494 0.7 0.34 155 143 1.6 1.60 199 140 Charges for the use of intellectual property n.i.e. 1.2 0.38 73 297 175 Telecom., computer, and information services 1.5 1.27 110 41 Other business services 8.5 0.86 105 88 Personal, cultural, and recreational services 1.1 2.23 138 83 Government goods and services n.i.e. 0.7 2.33 47 27 Total services 100.0 2.21 86 76 Transport Travel Construction Insurance and pension services 4.2 0.31 183 60 89.7 7.20 234 161 0.1 0.11 130 440 0.6 0.19 174 342 CHINA Market size (%) Share of AUS in IMP Growth of total imports Growth of imports from AUS Financial services Charges for the use of intellectual property n.i.e. Telecom., computer, and information services Other business services Personal, cultural, and recreational services Government goods and services n.i.e. Total services 0.7 5.80 368 1318 0.4 0.15 176 35 0.4 0.49 126 8 2.4 0.35 141 100 0.9 12.91 160 133 0.5 2.71 71 35 100.0 2.44 184 150 176 BOX 5: SOURCE DATA Country code AUS AUT BEL BRA CAN CHE CHL CHN CZE DEU DNK ESP EST FIN FRA GBR GRC HUN IDN IND IRL ISL ISR ITA JPN KOR LUX MEX NLD NOR NZL POL PRT RUS SVK SVN SWE TUR USA ZAF Restrictions on foreign entry 0.027 0.067 0 0.053 0.040 0.027 0.013 0.080 0 0.027 0.013 0.053 0.027 0.040 0 0 0.027 0.013 0.067 0.013 0.027 0.067 0.040 0.053 0.027 0 0.040 0.013 0 0.040 0.013 0.027 0 0.013 0.027 0.013 0.040 0.013 0.013 0.053 Restrictions to movement of people 0.055 0.183 0.091 0.164 0.055 0.164 0.073 0.128 0.183 0.091 0.055 0.128 0.383 0.091 0.091 0.091 0.128 0.164 0.201 0.110 0.091 0.110 0.183 0.164 0.110 0.055 0.110 0.110 0.055 0.055 0.055 0.383 0.183 0.183 0.383 0.164 0.055 0.091 0.164 0.256 Other discriminatory measures 0 0.021 0.011 0.032 0.011 0 0 0.011 0.011 0.011 0 0.011 0.021 0 0.011 0.011 0.011 0.011 0.011 0.011 0.011 0.021 0 0.021 0.021 0 0.021 0.011 0.011 0.011 0.011 0.011 0.032 0.011 0.011 0 0.011 0.021 0.021 0.032 Barriers to competition 0 0 0 0.011 0.011 0 0.011 0.021 0 0.021 0 0 0.011 0 0 0 0.021 0.011 0 0 0 0 0.011 0 0 0 0.021 0 0 0 0 0.011 0.011 0.011 0.021 0.011 0 0.011 0 0.032 Regulatory transparency 0 0.047 0.016 0.031 0 0 0.047 0.047 0.047 0.016 0 0.047 0 0 0 0 0.031 0 0.047 0.063 0 0 0.016 0.031 0.031 0.031 0.016 0.016 0 0 0.016 0.031 0 0.031 0 0 0 0.031 0 0 Average 0.203 0.203 0.203 0.203 0.203 0.203 0.203 0.203 0.203 0.203 0.203 0.203 0.203 0.203 0.203 0.203 0.203 0.203 0.203 0.203 0.203 0.203 0.203 0.203 0.203 0.203 0.203 0.203 0.203 0.203 0.203 0.203 0.203 0.203 0.203 0.203 0.203 0.203 0.203 0.203 BOX 9: SOURCE DATA Country code BRA ZAF Wholesale, retail, hotels & rest. 6.7% 4.0% Transport, storage & telecom. 7.4% 10.9% Finance & insurance 2.3% 3.6% 177 Business services 8.2% 3.9% Other services 3.8% 3.5% 2009 total 1995 total 28.4% 25.9% 28.5% 23.6% Country code AUS CHN RUS USA CAN GBR NOR IND CHL MEX NLD IDN Wholesale, retail, hotels & rest. 3.6% 5.7% 6.0% 1.7% 5.2% 2.3% 2.3% 4.1% 1.7% 3.1% 1.1% 1.2% Transport, storage & telecom. 4.4% 4.0% 5.1% 2.3% 1.7% 2.3% 1.9% 2.2% 2.4% 1.3% 1.4% 0.9% Finance & insurance 3.7% 3.5% 1.5% 1.8% 2.0% 2.1% 2.3% 2.6% 1.6% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5% Business services 7.3% 4.6% 3.7% 8.4% 5.0% 5.7% 5.2% 0.8% 5.5% 3.2% 4.6% 0.8% Other services 2.5% 1.9% 2.4% 2.0% 2.2% 1.8% 1.4% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.8% 1.3% 2009 total 1995 total 21.5% 19.7% 18.7% 16.2% 16.1% 14.2% 13.2% 12.0% 11.9% 10.2% 9.1% 4.6% 20.5% 16.8% #N/A 13.4% 19.5% 20.2% 14.1% 11.2% 21.8% 10.1% 16.2% 8.5% BOX 11: SOURCE DATA Sector Computer Construction Legal Accounting Architecture Engineering Telecom Distribution Broadcasting Motion pictures Sound recording Commercial banking Insurance Air transport Maritime transport Road transport Rail transport Courier Restrictions on foreign entry 0.052 0.084 0.029 0.071 0.026 0.027 0.075 0.063 0.126 0.055 0.042 0.098 0.099 0.135 0.160 0.074 0.046 0.135 Restrictions to movement of people 0.062 0.039 0.057 0.064 0.108 0.055 0.012 0.016 0.023 0.044 0.044 0.019 0.020 0.013 0.038 0.032 0.024 0.022 Other discriminatory measures Barriers to competition Regulatory transparency Average Minimum 0 0.034 0.010 0 0.012 0 0 0 0.011 0 0 0 0.005 0 0.006 0 0 0.013 0 0 0.018 0 0.012 0 0.103 0 0.022 0 0 0.011 0.005 0.110 0.022 0 0.130 0.099 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.011 0.006 0 0.007 0 0 0.039 0.175 0.166 0.316 0.304 0.227 0.203 0.220 0.130 0.279 0.178 0.158 0.192 0.199 0.437 0.249 0.162 0.221 0.263 0.079 0.054 0.114 0.133 0.066 0.065 0.056 0.022 0.070 0.060 0.049 0.064 0.047 0.258 0.070 0.081 0.057 0.070 178 SOURCE DATA FOR ANNEX 2 – TURNOVER OF MNE AFFILIATES ABROAD Wholesale and retail trade, repair Transportation and storage Accommodation and food services Information and communication Finance and insurance Real estate Professional, scientific and technical services Administrative and support services 50.3% 4.7% 1.5% 10.3% 24.5% 0.7% 5.0% 3.0% SOURCE DATA FOR ANNEX 2 – FDI (OUTWARD) STOCKS Wholesale and retail trade, repair Hotels and restaurants Transportation, storage and communications Finance and insurance Real estate Renting Computer activities Research and development Other business activities 8.1% 0.9% 6.2% 32.2% 2.5% 1.5% 1.3% 0.4% 47.0% SOURCE DATA FOR ANNEX 2 – EXPORTS OF SERVICES (MODES 1, 2 AND 4) Manufacturing services on physical inputs owned by others Maintenance and repair services n.i.e. Transport Travel Construction Insurance and pension services Financial services Intellectual property Telecom., computer & information serv. Other business services Personal, cultural & recreational services Government 1.5% 0.8% 24.4% 23.4% 2.6% 4.2% 3.2% 6.9% 4.9% 24% 1.2% 2.7% 179 SOURCE DATA FOR FIGURES IN ANNEX 4 Code 50T52: Wholesale and retail trade; repairs 55: Hotels and restaurants 60T63: Transport and storage 64: Post and telecommunications 65T67: Finance and insurance 70: Real estate activities 71: Renting of machinery and equipment 72: Computer and related activities 73: Research and development 74: Other Business Activities 75: Public admin., defence, social security 80: Education 85: Health and social work 90T93: Other services Agriculture Australia OECD World Australia Mining OECD World Manufacturing Australia OECD World Services (incl. utilities) Australia OECD World Total economy Australia OECD World -5.94 -2.75 -2.52 -8.66 -5.89 -6.13 -7.76 -5.08 -4.71 -19.85 -17.56 -18.73 -16.97 -14.06 -13.84 -7.55 -1.39 -8.17 -0.74 -9.10 -1.48 -2.94 -11.60 -2.26 -8.61 -2.71 -10.02 -3.54 -5.39 -3.08 -3.66 -3.13 -4.03 -4.17 -12.52 -5.65 -9.08 -5.95 -9.86 -4.06 -11.15 -5.02 -7.59 -5.17 -7.92 -0.53 -0.29 -0.26 -1.80 -1.15 -1.10 -2.18 -1.15 -1.07 -6.02 -4.51 -4.21 -5.04 -3.56 -3.09 -0.46 -0.66 -0.44 -0.49 -0.62 -0.44 -1.33 -1.98 -1.50 -2.19 -1.46 -1.75 -0.77 -1.69 -1.27 -1.37 -1.25 -1.20 -10.51 -14.70 -11.40 -13.76 -11.09 -12.10 -8.20 -11.58 -8.58 -10.32 -7.66 -8.32 -0.03 -0.09 -0.07 -0.16 -0.36 -0.29 -0.04 -0.28 -0.22 -0.02 -1.65 -1.39 -0.04 -1.27 -0.98 -0.06 -0.11 -0.14 -0.22 -0.34 -0.34 -0.09 -0.43 -0.43 -0.07 -1.99 -1.80 -0.08 -1.55 -1.31 -0.07 -1.79 -0.06 -1.02 -0.20 -1.12 -0.37 -3.76 -0.22 -3.52 -0.41 -3.19 -0.09 -3.62 -0.23 -3.11 -0.29 -3.06 -0.04 -18.40 -0.48 -13.47 -0.79 -11.81 -0.07 -14.82 -0.40 -10.56 -0.62 -8.72 -1.43 -1.74 -2.21 -4.55 -7.76 -6.48 -3.45 -4.67 -4.29 -8.29 -13.43 -13.77 -7.16 -10.99 -10.48 -0.88 -1.24 -2.66 -0.80 -1.78 -1.03 -1.07 -2.42 -1.30 -1.94 -4.02 -3.12 -1.89 -3.37 -2.52 -2.48 -3.81 -2.63 -1.50 -1.95 -2.46 -1.41 -3.77 -2.27 -1.60 -3.67 -2.31 -4.95 -7.26 -7.13 -5.66 -10.80 -7.75 -6.15 -9.56 -7.25 -4.14 -6.11 -6.06 -4.47 -8.81 -6.21 -4.58 -7.48 -5.52 180 SOURCE DATA FOR FIGURES IN ANNEX 5 AUSTRALIA, 2009 01-99 10-33 45-99 Average wage 499 527 507 454 45-82 84-99 503 513 100.8 102.9 321 522 589 1347 565 64.4 104.8 118.1 270.1 113.4 ISIC Rev.4 Sector Total economy Manufacturing Total services Other industries Blank (Graph spacing) Market services Non-market services Blank (Graph spacing) Trade; accommodation and food services Transport and storage Information and communication Finance and insurance Real estate, renting and business act. 45-47; 55-56 49-53 58-63 64-66 68-82 Index total economy =100 105.7 101.6 91.1 UNITED STATES, 2011 01-99 10-33 45-99 Average wage 4523 5879 4419 4221 45-82 84-99 4593 4201 101.6 92.9 45-47; 55-56 49-53 58-63 64-66 68-82 3067 4588 8127 8551 5152 67.8 101.4 179.7 189.1 113.9 ISIC Rev.4 Sector Total economy Manufacturing Total services Other industries Blank (Graph spacing) Market services Non-market services Blank (Graph spacing) Trade; accommodation and food services Transport and storage Information and communication Finance and insurance Real estate, renting and business act. Index total economy =100 130.0 97.7 93.3 CANADA, 2009 ISIC Rev.4 Sector Total economy Manufacturing Total services Other industries Blank (Graph spacing) 01-99 10-33 45-99 181 Average wage 4782 6029 4620 5442 Index total economy =100 126.1 96.6 113.8 ISIC Rev.4 Sector Market services Non-market services Blank (Graph spacing) Trade; accommodation and food services Transport and storage Information and communication Finance and insurance Real estate, renting and business act. 45-82 84-99 45-47; 55-56 49-53 58-63 64-66 68-82 Average wage 4280 5192 Index total economy =100 89.5 108.6 3063 5289 6813 7118 4674 64.0 110.6 142.5 148.8 97.7 UNITED KINGDOM, 2010 01-99 10-33 45-99 Average wage 2552 3911 2450 2263 45-82 84-99 2413 2506 94.6 98.2 45-47; 55-56 49-53 58-63 64-66 68-82 1821 3013 4258 5308 1974 71.4 118.1 166.9 208.0 77.4 ISIC Rev.4 Sector Total economy Manufacturing Total services Other industries Blank (Graph spacing) Market services Non-market services Blank (Graph spacing) Trade; accommodation and food services Trade; accommodation and food services Information and communication Finance and insurance Real estate, renting and business act. 182 Index total economy =100 153.3 96.0 88.7 SOURCE DATA FOR FIGURES IN ANNEX 7 Transport Travel Construction 29.6 1.19 23 -15 52.8 3.85 -27 -28 0.9 0.23 62 JAPAN Market size (%) Share of AUS in IMP Growth of total imports Growth of imports from AUS Transport Travel Construction 4.9 0.29 50 2 91.2 8.25 29 90 0.0 0.00 332 KOREA Market size (%) Share of AUS in IMP Growth of total imports Growth of imports from AUS Transport Travel Construction INDIA Insurance and pension services Financial services Charges for the use of intellectual property n.i.e. Telecom., computer, and information services Other business services Personal, cultural, and recreational services Government goods and services n.i.e. Total services 1.3 0.38 258 78 3.4 2.00 25 339 1.9 0.20 31 316 1.4 0.52 70 -53 7.5 0.33 74 37 0.8 1.58 -12 -22 0.5 0.56 12 35 100.0 1.13 26 -17 Insurance and pension services Financial services Charges for the use of intellectual property n.i.e. Telecom., computer, and information services Other business services Personal, cultural, and recreational services Government goods and services n.i.e. Total services 0.6 1.65 -6 112 0.1 0.23 280 -32 0.2 0.04 60 103 0.4 0.49 55 -37 1.9 0.10 123 -31 0.3 0.60 115 103 0.2 0.27 55 35 99.9 1.78 69 75 Insurance and pension services Financial services Charges for the use of intellectual property n.i.e. Telecom., computer, and information services Other business services Personal, cultural, and recreational services Government goods and services n.i.e. Total services Market size (%) 1.1 93.5 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.9 1.9 1.5 0.4 0.1 100.0 Share of AUS in IMP 0.04 15.09 0.09 0.14 0.04 0.69 1.32 0.13 0.37 1.78 Growth of total imports 171 122 88 160 320 117 88 81 164 -2 164 845 103 0.14 348 267 454 -68 143 1 136 Growth of imports from AUS 116 183 OTHER SOUTH EAST ASIA Market size (%) Share of AUS in IMP Growth of total imports Growth of imports from AUS Transport Travel Construction Insurance and pension services Financial services Charges for the use of intellectual property n.i.e. Telecom., computer, and information services Other business services Personal, cultural, and recreational services Government goods and services n.i.e. Total services 15.5 1.35 67 21 58.9 8.16 91 84 0.2 0.74 17 230 0.7 0.61 109 127 2.4 2.77 156 90 1.9 0.70 71 440 2.4 2.09 137 71 15.4 2.16 110 130 1.5 11.81 -50 93 1.1 6.56 68 25 100.0 2.91 71 76 184