Chapter 3: Evaluating Financial Performance Kmart vs. Wal-Mart Objectives Calculate financial ratios to evaluate the financial health of a company. Apply DuPont analysis in evaluating a firm’s financial performance. Explain the limitations of ratio analysis. Relevant Principles Principle 7: Agency relationships, managers won’t work for the owners unless its in their best interest to do so. Principle 5: Competitive markets make it hard to find exceptionally profitable investments. Principle 1: The risk-return trade-off – we won’t take more risk unless we expect higher returns. How to use Financial Ratios? Compare across time for an individual firm. Trend Analysis. Compare to an industry average. Industry Analysis. Compare to a dominant competitor in the same industry. Comparison Analysis. We will conduct trend analysis for both Kmart & Wal-Mart and compare the ratios of the two companies. 4 Key Questions to Answer with Ratio Analysis How liquid is the firm? Is management generating adequate operating profits on the firm’s assets? How is the firm financing its assets? Are the stockholders receiving an adequate return on their investment? How liquid is the firm? Measuring Liquidity Approach 1: comparing liquid assets to short-term debt. Current Ratio = Current Assets/Current Liabilities Acid-test Ratio = (Current Assets – Inventory)/Current Liabilities How liquid is the firm? Measuring Liquidity Approach 2: How easily can other current assets be converted into cash. Average Collection Period = Accounts Receivable/Daily (Credit) Sales Accounts Receivable/(Sales/365) Accounts Receivable Turnover = (Credit) Sales/Accounts Receivable Inventory Turnover = Cost of Goods Sold/Inventory Kmart and Wal-Mart’s Liquidity Ratios Question 1: How Liquid is the Firm? Approach 1: Current Ratio Acid-test (Quick) Ratio Approach 2: Average Collection Period Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover 2001 2.01 0.32 2000 2.00 0.26 Kmart 1999 2.12 0.35 0 0 0 0 0 #DIV/0! 4.63 #DIV/0! 3.96 #DIV/0! 4.03 #DIV/0! 3.95 #DIV/0! 3.84 Wal-Mart 2000 1999 0.94 1.26 0.18 0.24 1998 1.34 0.20 1997 1.64 0.19 2.99 122.23 5.66 2.90 125.65 5.25 1998 2.28 0.34 1997 2.15 0.38 Question 1: How Liquid is the Firm? Approach 1: Current Ratio Acid-test (Quick) Ratio Approach 2: Average Collection Period Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover 2001 0.92 0.18 3.34 109.33 7.01 2.93 124.39 6.55 2.93 124.52 6.37 Is management generating adequate operating profits on the firm’s assets? Operating Return on Investment (OIROI) Operating Profit Margin = Operating Income/Sales Operating Income/Total Assets, also: Operating Profit Margin x Total Asset Turnover Operating Income = Pre-Tax Income plus interest expense, or Pre-tax income minus interest, non-op Total Asset Turnover = Sales/Total Assets Affected by Accounts Receivable Turnover, Inventory Turnover, Fixed Asset Turnover Fixed Asset Turnover = Sales/Net Fixed Assets; Net Fixed Assets = Property, Plant, Equip, NET Kmart & Wal-Mart’s Operating Profitability Ratios Question 2: Is Management Generating Adequate Operating Profits on the Firm's Assets? Kmart 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 OIROI Component 1: Oper Profit Margin -0.1% 3.6% 3.2% 2.4% 2.5% OIROI Component 2 : Total Asset Turnover 2.53 2.38 2.38 2.37 2.20 Oper. Income Return On Investmt (OIROI) -0.3% 8.6% 7.7% 5.8% 5.5% Accounts Receivable Turnover #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! Inventory Turnover 4.63 3.96 4.03 3.95 3.84 Fixed Asset Turvover 5.65 5.60 5.69 5.88 5.48 Question 2: Is Management Generating Adequate Operating Profits on the Firm's Assets? Wal-Mart 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 OIROI Component 1: Oper Profit Margin 5.9% 6.1% 5.8% 5.5% 5.4% OIROI Component 2 : Total Asset Turnover 2.474 2.371 2.784 2.629 2.681 Oper. Income Return On Investmt (OIROI) 14.7% 14.4% 16.2% 14.3% 14.4% Accounts Receivable Turnover 109.33 124.39 124.52 122.23 125.65 Inventory Turnover 7.01 6.55 6.37 5.66 5.25 Fixed Asset Turvover 4.72 4.64 5.36 5.05 5.22 How is the firm financing its assets? Debt Ratio = Total Liabilities/Total Assets Times-Interest-Earned = Operating Income/Interest Expense Operating Income = Pre-Tax Income plus interest expense, or Pre-tax income minus interest, non-op (int exp for Kmart) Kmart & Wal-Mart’s Financing Ratios Question 3: How is the Firm Financing Its Assets? Debt Ratio Times-Interest-Earned Ratio 2001 58.4% -0.16 Kmart 2000 1999 58.3% 57.8% 4.64 3.72 1998 52.7% 2.15 1997 57.5% 1.73 Wal-Mart 2000 1999 63.3% 57.8% 9.89 10.19 1998 59.2% 8.29 1997 56.7% 6.77 Question 3: How is the Firm Financing Its Assets? Debt Ratio Times-Interest-Earned Ratio 2001 59.9% 8.36 Are the stockholders receiving an adequate return on their investment? Return On Common Equity Net Income Available to Common Stockholders(including EI&DO)/Total Common Equity Total Common Equity = Total Shareholders’ Equity – Preferred Stock Kmart & Wal-Mart’s Return on Equity Question 4: Are the Owners Receiving an Adequate Return on Their Investment? Kmart 2001 2000 1999 1998 Return on Common Equity -3.8% 6.4% 8.7% 4.6% Question 4: Are the Owners Receiving an Adequate Return on Their Investment? Wal-Mart 2001 2000 1999 1998 Return on Common Equity 20.1% 20.8% 21.0% 19.1% 1997 -4.3% 1997 17.8% DuPont Analysis of Return on Common Equity (ROE) Breaks down company performance into operational and financing components. ROE = (Net Profit Margin x Total Asset Turnover)/(1-Debt Ratio), where Net Profit Margin = Net Income(available to common stockholders including EI&DO)/Sales Total Asset Turnover = Sales/Total Assets Debt Ratio = Total Liabilities/Total Assets Net Profit Margin x Total Asset Turnover = Return on Assets, which are the operating components. 1/(1-Debt Ratio) = measures impact of financial leverage How does Leverage work? Suppose we have an all equityfinanced firm worth $100,000. Its earnings this year total $15,000. ROE = (ignore taxes for this example) How does Leverage work? Suppose we have an all equityfinanced firm worth $100,000. Its earnings this year total $15,000. ROE = 15,000 =15% 100,000 How does Leverage work? Suppose the same $100,000 firm is financed with half equity, and half 8% debt (bonds). Earnings are still $15,000. ROE = How does Leverage work? Suppose the same $100,000 firm is financed with half equity, and half 8% debt (bonds). Earnings are still $15,000. ROE = 15,000 - 4,000 = 50,000 How does Leverage work? Suppose the same $100,000 firm is financed with half equity, and half 8% debt (bonds). Earnings are still $15,000. ROE = 15,000 - 4,000 = 50,000 22% Kmart & Wal-Mart’s DuPont Analysis ROE Components: Net Profit Margin Total Asset Turnover Return on Assets 1 - Debt Ratio Return On Equity ROE Components: Net Profit Margin Total Asset Turnover Return on Assets 1 - Debt Ratio Return On Equity 2001 -0.6% 2.53 -1.6% 0.42 -3.8% 2001 3.3% 2.47 8.1% 0.40 20.1% 2000 1.1% 2.38 2.7% 0.42 6.4% Kmart 1999 1.5% 2.38 3.7% 0.42 8.7% 1998 0.8% 2.37 1.8% 0.47 3.9% 1997 -0.7% 2.20 -1.5% 0.43 -3.6% 2000 3.2% 2.37 7.6% 0.37 20.8% Wal-Mart 1999 3.2% 2.78 8.9% 0.42 21.0% 1998 3.0% 2.63 7.8% 0.41 19.1% 1997 2.9% 2.68 7.7% 0.43 17.8% Caveats of Ratio Analysis Different Accounting Practices. Sometimes hard to pick an industry for comparison. Seasonality in Operations.