Static Efficiency, Dynamic Efficiency and Sustainability Wednesday, January 25 Represent the demand for a resource as: P = 8 – 0.4 q $ 9 8 7 6 5 Demand Demand 4 3 2 1 0 0 5 10 15 Quantity 20 Demand = marginal willingness to pay = Marginal Benefit (MB) P = 8 - 0.4q q P 0 8 5 6 10 4 15 2 20 0 Represent the demand for a resource as: P = 8 – 0.4 q $ 9 8 7 (5,6) 6 5 Demand Demand 4 3 (15,2) 2 1 0 0 5 10 15 Quantity 20 Assume a constant marginal cost of extraction = $2.00 (Marginal cost = supply) $ 9 8 7 6 5 MB DemandMC 4 3 2 1 0 0 5 10 15 Quantity 20 Efficient allocation occurs where MB = MC, q = 15 units Static Efficiency MB = MC Criteria for allocation in a given time period, with no consideration of future time periods Efficiency: no one can be made better off without making someone else worse off $ MC MB>MC MC>MB MB MB=MC Q What are the net benefits of the efficient allocation? $ 9 8 7 6 5 MB DemandMC 4 3 2 1 0 0 5 10 15 Quantity 20 Efficient allocation occurs where MB = MC, q = 15 units TB (area under MB curve)=½(6x15) + (2x15)=45+30=75 TC (area under MC curve) = (2x15) = 30 $ 9 8 NB 7 6 5 MB 4 3 MC 2 1 0 0 5 10 15 Quantity NB = TB – TC = ½(6x15) = 45 20 This graph illustrates marginal net benefits: MB-MC = (8-0.4q)-2 = 6-0.4q = MNB $ 7 6 5 4 MNB 3 2 1 0 0 5 10 15 Quantity Total NB (area under MNB curve) = ½(6x15) = 45 Dynamic Efficiency When the concern is efficient allocation of a nonrenewable resource over multiple time periods MNB0 = PV MNB1 = PV MNB2 = … = PV MNBt t represents time period With only 20 units of the resource available, what is the present value of total net benefits if effective demand is met in the first period, with no consideration of the second period? Only two time periods in this example For present value calculations, r=.10 Period t0 $ 9 8 7 6 MB 5 4 3 MC 2 1 0 0 5 10 15 Quantity 20 Period t0 $ 9 8 7 6 MB 5 4 3 MC 2 1 0 0 5 10 15 Quantity NB = Area = ½(6x15) = 45 20 Period t1 $ 9 8 7 6 5 MB 4 MC 3 2 1 0 0 5 10 15 Quantity 20 Period t1 $ 9 8 7 6 5 MB 4 MC 3 2 1 0 0 5 10 15 Quantity NB = Area = ½(2x5) + (4x5) = 25 20 NB for t0 = $45 Present Value of NB for t1 = 25/(1+r) = 25/1.1 = $22.73 PV Total net benefit for two periods = $45 + $22.73 = $67.73 With only 20 units of the resource available, what is the present value of total net benefits if the resource is allocated equally across two time periods? (q0 = q1) Period t0 $ 9 8 7 6 5 MB 4 3 MC 2 1 0 0 5 10 15 Quantity 20 Period t0 $ 9 8 7 6 5 MB 4 3 MC 2 1 0 0 5 10 15 Quantity NB = Area = ½(4x10) + (2x10) = 40 20 Period t1 $ 9 8 7 6 5 MB 4 3 MC 2 1 0 0 5 10 15 Quantity NB = Area = ½(4x10) + (2x10) = 40 20 NB for t0 = $40 Present Value of NB for t1 = 40/(1+r) = 40/1.1 = $36.36 PV Total net benefit for two periods = = $40 + $36.36 = $76.36 Find the efficient allocation of the resource over the two periods (dynamic efficiency). Find the dynamically efficient quantities for q0 and q1. Recall, for dynamic efficiency (to maximize PV of total net benefits), MNB0 = PV MNB1 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) MNB0 = PV MNB1 MNB = MB - MC MB = 8 – 0.4q MB – MC = (8 – 0.4q) – 2 = 6 – 0.4q MNB = 6 – 0.4q 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 9) MNB0 = PV MNB1 6 - .4q0 = (6 - .4q1)/1.1 q0 + q1 = 20 6 - .4q0 = (6 - .4[20-q0])/1.1 1.1(6 - .4q0)= (6-8+.4q0) 6.6-.44q0 = (-2 +.4q0) 8.6=.84q0 q0 = 10.238 q1 = 9.762 This graph illustrates marginal net benefits: MB-MC=MNB $ 7 6 5 4 MNB 3 2 1 0 0 5 10 15 Quantity Period t0 $ 7 6 5 4 MNB0 3 2 1 0 0 5 10 15 Quantity MNB = MB – MC = 6 – 0.4q Period t1 $ 7 6 5.45 5 4 PV MNB1 3 2 1 0 0 5 10 15 Quantity Present value calculation: 6/1.1 = 5.45 $ 7 6 5.45 5 MNB0 4 MNB1 3 2 1 t0 0 5 10 15 15 10 5 Quantity q0=10.238 q1=9.762 0 t1 MNB0 = 6 – 0.4(10.238) = 1.9048 MNB1 = [6 – 0.4(9.762)]/1.1 = 2.9052/1.1 = 1.9048 $ 7 6 5.45 5 MNB0 4 MNB1 3 MNB=1.9048 2 1 t0 0 5 10 15 15 10 5 q0 Quantity q1 0 t1 To calculate total benefits, total costs, and net benefits: P0 = 8 - .4q0 P0 = 8 - .4(10.238) P0 = 3.905 P1 = 8 - .4q1 P1 = 8 - .4(9.762) P1 = 4.095 Period t0 $ 9 8 7 6 MB 5 3.905 4 3 MC 2 1 0 0 5 10 15 10.238 Quantity NB = ½(4.095x10.238) + (1.905x10.238) = 40.46 20 Period t1 $ 9 8 7 6 5 4.095 MB 4 MC 3 2 1 0 0 5 10 9.762 15 Quantity NB = ½(3.905x9.762) + (2.095x9.762) = 39.51 20 NB for t0 = $40.46 Present Value of NB for t1 = 39.51/(1+r) = 39.51/1.1 = $35.92 Total net benefit for two periods = $40.46+35.92 = $76.38 Comparing allocations: Maximize NB to period 0 q 0 = q1 TNB = $67.73 TNB = $76.36 Dynamically efficient allocation TNB = $76.38 Sustainability Environmental sustainability Strong sustainability Do not reduce total stock of natural capital Do not reduce productivity (value) of natural capital stock One type of natural capital may substitute for another Weak sustainability Do not reduce productivity of capital May substitute manufactured capital for natural capital With equal distribution With efficient distribution NB0 = $40 NB1 = $40 NB0 = $40.46 NB1 = $39.51 With sharing, keep NB0 = $40, invest $.46 @ 10%, send to t1 .46(1.1) = .506 NB1 = $39.51 + .51 = $40.02 Marginal User Cost MNB0 = 6 – 0.4(10.238) = 1.905 MNB1 = [6 – 0.4(9.762)]/1.1 = 2.0952/1.1 = 1.905 The value of the last unit extracted in t0 Foregone benefit for t1 Opportunity cost of choosing to extract the last unit used in t0 User Cost and Natural Resource Rent P = MEC + MUC $3.905 = $2.00 + 1.905 $ Period t0 9 8 Rent 7 6 MB 5 Wages, etc. 3.905 4 User Cost 3 MC 2 1 0 0 5 10 15 20 Quantity 10.238 P = MEC + MUC $4.095 = $2.00 + 2.095 MUC increases at the rate of discount 2.095 = 1.1(1.905) $ Rent Period t1 9 8 7 6 5 4.095 4 MB User Cost 3 MC 2 1 0 0 5 10 9.762 15 Quantity 20 Reading for Wed. Feb. 2: Hartwick and Olewiler, on ANGEL and Field, Ch. 6