Money and Banking Fall 2009 Homework assignment #4 1. Answer the following questions with a graph and explain the graph a written explanation that explicitly includes what happens to the equilibrium Federal Funds rate and the quantity of reserves in the banking system. Also show what will happen to the Fed balance sheet and the banking systems balance sheet. Assume for each question that initially the Fed Funds rate is at 4% the discount rate is set at 5% and the Fed pays an interest rate of 1% on reserves held at the Fed. Assume that it takes a $1 billion change in new reserves to change the Fed funds rate one percentage point. Also calculate the increase in the money supply assuming our simple money multiplier applies and that required reserves are set at 5%. (there is no need to trace the change in the money supply through several banks) a. Suppose the Fed is worried that the economy is under producing. What happens if there is an open market purchase from banks of $1 billion treasury bonds. b. Suppose the Fed finds that the economy is really in crisis and wants to lower interest rates to zero. How much in reserves would they have to pump into the system? What does the fed need to to do lower the rate to zero besides open market operations? c. If the discount rate is lowered to 3% what happens to the Federal funds rate? Where do the new reserves come from? 2 Many people are worried about the potential consequences of the Fed printing so much money to deal with the “Great Recession”. For the following questions assume the fed funds rate is at 1%, the interest rate that the Fed pays on reserves is 1% and the discount rate is set at 1.50%. There are $2trillion dollars in reserves in the Federal Funds market. Also assume that the “kink” in the demand for reserves is at $1 trillion. That is, banks are willing to pay more than the rate the Fed pays on reserves to borrow reserves when there are only $1 trillion in reserves available in the Fed Funds market. a. Is it possible to lower the Fed Funds rate further with open market operations? Why? Show this with a graph. b. If the Fed sells $100 billion in treasury bonds to the banking system will this change the Fed Funds rate? Show this with a graph. c. Will the open market sale in question 1b change the amount of deposits in the banking system? Bear in mind that an open market sale changes the monetary base in exactly the opposite way as an open market purchase. Trace the change of the monetary base and the money supply on both the Fed’s balance sheet and the balance sheet of three banks: Bank A, Bank B and Bank C. Assume that the Fed sells the $100 billion in treasury bonds to Bank A. Also assume that required reserves are 5% of deposits and that banks hold no excess reserves and that no one holds currency. d. Given the assumptions of 1c what would be the total change in the money supply and the monetary base be after the change in reserves worked its way through the entire banking system? Again, keep in mind that an open market sale takes reserves out of the banking system in exactly the same way that an open market purchase adds reserves to the banking system. e. If Bank A had been holding $100billion in excess reserves at the time of the open market sale what would have happened to the money supply? Why is this important to think about when talking about current monetary policy? 3. Captain Morgan Chase. Assets (billions) Liabilities (billions) Reserves 50 Deposits 500 Loans 400 Bank Capital 50 Securities 100 Borrowing 0 a. If there is a run on deposits of $50 and required reserves are 10% of deposits what problem is CMC facing? Show—using a separate balance sheet for each example—4 different ways this problem can be solved. What are the most desirable ways to deal with this problem? The least desirable? b. If CMC is forced to write down $60 billion in mortgage loans what problem are the facing? Also, show this with a balance sheet. Who will solve this problem? 4. Assume that the Fed has decided to increase reserves in the banking system by $200 billion. Also assume that reserve requirements are 10% of deposits and assume that banks do not hold excess reserves. Answer the following questions. a. What happens to the Fed’s balance sheet? b. What happens to the balance sheet of the banking system? c. What are some factors that may make the increase in reserves cause a smaller increase in the money supply? 5. Quantitative Easing 3 (QE3) is the Federal Reserve’s latest attempt to push the economic recovery forward. The following questions relate to QE3. a. Show on the Fed’s balance sheet one month’s open market purchases of $85 billion b. Show the change on the banking system’s balance sheet if banks do not hold excess reserves and reserve requirements are 2% of deposits. c. Show what happens in the market for bonds if instead of making loans banks simply buy more bonds (You need a graph). d. Does b or c have a larger economic impact? Why? e. Do we see the kind of economic impact implied by change in the banking systems balance sheet in part b? Why might we see something different?