Measuring Quality in the BLS Business Register Richard Clayton David Talan Joint UNECE/OECD/Eurostat Meeting of the Group of Experts on Business Registers Geneva, Switzerland September 3-4, 2013 Outline Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) Program Concepts and Sources Dimensions of Quality Data Quality Metrics Data Uses / Users Publications Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages Quarterly census of employers covered under UI and federal employers covered under UCFE QCEW – Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages Quarterly data (frequent) Released 6.5 months after reference period timely 9.2 million records and growing 133 million in employment Units, employment and wages 6 digit NAICS and county, ownership UI based, mandatory collections to run UI Wages Employment Units - 98% reported data - 97% reported data - 95% reported data 4 Investment in Quality Source: BLS Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) Administrative data from Unemployment Insurance filings (UI) Huge investment in improving raw administrative data Two supplemental collections – ARS- Annual Refiling Survey – MWR- Multiple Worksite Report QCEW Concepts Employer QCEW Establishment Reporting unit Multi-establishment employer Business Register Sources UI Status Determination Form UI Quarterly Contribution Report BLS Multiple Worksite Report BLS Federal Government Report BLS Annual Refiling Survey Forms Status Determination Form Data obtained: UI account number Business name Business address Employer identification number Ownership status Industry status Multi-establishment employer status Predecessor information Quarterly UI Contribution Report Data obtained: Monthly employment Total wages Taxable wages Employer contributions Multiple Worksite Report Data obtained: Establishment address Worksite description Monthly employment by establishment Total wages by establishment Annual Refiling Forms Verify and update: Industry codes Geographic codes Ownership status Business names and addresses Multi-establishment status QCEW File Submitted to BLS by States Contains: Business names and addresses Identification and classification information Employment and wage data The QCEW File Updates: BLS Business Register Employment and wage data Annual refiling code changes BLS Business Register Updated each quarter BLS Business Register 9.2 million records Longitudinally linked to create a time series for each establishment Business Register Data Flow Employers Initial Status Forms Contributions Reports Multiple Worksite Reports Federal Gov't Reports ARS Surveys BLS Business QCEW File Deliverable Register (QCEW) State UI Tax Unit State QCEW Unit Independent Mechanism to Ensure Proper Coverage In 2012, 19.3 million weekly UI claims were filed. Each of these events ensures that QCEW coverage is complete and the QCEW business register is able to capture new businesses in a timely fashion. An average of 372,000 UI claims filed weekly Dimensions of Quality Quality – Measure of Reported Data Relevant Timely Accurate Data Quality: Setting Goals and Standards BLS Sets Data Quality Standards Communicates with BLS Regions and States Prioritizes “focus” of data quality Multiple Layers of Data Quality Review Federal-State Cooperative Program BLS National Office BLS Regional Offices States Quality-Cost Tradeoff Cost Saving Initiatives Electronic Data Collection – ARS and MWR ARS Collection via Contractor Touchtone Data Entry 19 Data Quality Metrics Reports that Measure Data Quality Flash Report Business Register Metrics Report Historical Tracking Flash Report Monitors data quality received from States Number of reported units Number of imputations Number of prorations Number of missing units Number of records with invalid area/county and industry codes Reports generated twice each quarter Initial and Updated reports generated Data Quality Metric: High Level of Reported Data 22 Historical Tracking Percentage of Unclassified NAICS in State B in Comparison to the National Average of Unclassified NAICS Business Register Metrics Generated after the data are linked Monitors: System software Data quality Quality of analyst manual matches Evaluates: The number and type of manual matches (breakout/consolidation) Number of new QCEW businesses each quarter Number of births/deaths each quarter Number of unmatched records Number of weighted match records Quality Metric: High Linkage Rates Percentage of Records Matched by SESA ID: 2000Q1-2012Q4 2012Q1 2011Q1 2010Q1 2009Q1 2008Q1 2007Q1 2006Q1 2005Q1 2004Q1 2003Q1 2002Q1 2001Q1 2000Q1 100.0% 90.0% 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% 25 Timeliness January 1 – March 31 = Reference Quarter March 31 – April 30 = Reporting Period May 1 – July 29 = UI Processing QCEW Extract from UI QCEW Edit & Review July 30 – Sept 30 = State File sent to BLS BLS Review State Updates Received October 7 = Publication Lag = 6 months and 1 week Accuracy Thorough editing and review at the state, regional, and national levels each quarter 196 Interactive Edits State’s contact businesses to correct questionable data and/or provide missing data Development of new state system with even more powerful editing and review capabilities Continuous Progress and Improvements 1991 –1992 : Multiple Worksite Reports - county Level 2001 : Longitudinal Database completed 1998 – 2001 : NAICS Implemented 2002 : Quarterly Publication Initiated 2003 : Business Employment Dynamics (BED) : Geocoding started 2004 : NAICS History Released (Sept 2004) 4 Week Acceleration Completed 2005 : BED Firm Size Data 2007 : NAICS 2007 Conversion (2007/Q1) 2010 : QCEW Mapping Tool 2012 : BED State Industry Data Uses Of Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages Data (QCEW) Local Economic Development Indicators • Clusters Analysis • Shift Share • Industry Diversity Indexes • Location Quotients Minimum Wage Studies Quarterly Press Releases, Annual Employment and Wages Job Creation/Destruction •Size Class Dynamics •Business Survival Rates Geocoded Establishments Interagency Data Uses • Improve CPS After 2000 Census • LEHD • Industry Code Sharing Local Government Services Planning Local Economic Impact Response Planning Local Transportation Planning Current Employment Statistics Gross Domestic Product (BEA) Occupational Employment Statistics Personal Income (BEA) State Revenue Projections Occupational Safety and Health Statistics Economic Forecasting Jobs Openings & Labor Turnover Survey General Economic Uses Benchmarking (Employment Base) Analytical Uses Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages Data (QCEW/ Sampling Industrial Price Program Programmatic Uses UI Tax Rate & Actuarial Analysis UI-Covered Employment National Compensation Survey Current Employment Statistics Occupational Employment Statistics Local Area Unemployment Mass Layoff Statistics Federal Funds Allocation $175 Billion (HUD, USDA, HCFA/CHIP) Occupational Safety and Health Statistics Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey Accessing the QCEW and BED Macrodata BED: http://www.bls.gov/bdm/home.htm QCEW: http://www.bls.gov/cew/home.htm 30 Contact Information Richard Clayton David Talan Email: clayton.richard@bls.gov Email: talan.david@bls.gov www.bls.gov/bdm