Meeting 8 - HawkTrade

advertisement
THERE ARE NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, OR
RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION DISCUSSED DURING HAWKTRADE MEETINGS. Past
performance does not guarantee future results. Investment returns and principal value will fluctuate, so that
investors' shares, when sold, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Investing in any financial
instruments does not guarantee that an investor will make money, avoid losing capital, or indicate that the
investment is risk-free. There are no absolute guarantees in investing. HAWKTRADE and its members do not bear
any responsibility for losses or gains made by members trading on their personal accounts based on analysis from
HAWKTRADE meetings.

Earnings Results Analysis

Stocks slide after earnings

Bank of America

Market topping out?

Next week earnings
+0.61%
S&P 500: +0.61%
Dow:
+0.69%
Russell 2K: +0.05%

134 companies have reported

109 companies have beat expectations
Reporting
Company
Surprise Type
Percent
surprise
Stock Reaction
Apple (AAPL)
Positive
13.6%
Down
IBM
Positive
2.6%
Down
CitiGroup (C)
Positive
22.8%
Down
Yahoo (YHOO)
Positive
95.9%
Up
Bank of America
(BAC)
Positive
66.7%
Mixed
Goldman Sachs
(GS)
Positive
28.7%
Up
Reporting
Company
Surprise Type
Percent
surprise
Stock Reaction
Wells Fargo (WFC) Positive
8.9%
Up
Capital One (COF)
Positive
50.3%
Up
Boeing (BA)
Positive
5.7%
Up
Caterpillar (CAT)
Positive
12.4%
Down
Chipoltle (CMG)
Positive
16.2%
Up
Freeport
MacMoRan (FCX)
Positive
10.9%
Up
*13.4%
Airtime: Tues. Oct. 19 2010 | 10:00 AM ET
Stocks Slide after Earnings

China raises interest rates
 Dollar increased
 Commodities Drop

Peter Costa: “I’m getting out, the markets
don’t have a lot of legs on the upside”

Being Sued by:
 BlackRock
 New York Federal Reserve
 PIMCO
Companies want B of A to buy back over $47
billion in mortgages
 B of A plans to fight the case


For further Information visit: http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=1619466644&play=1
Airtime: Thurs. Oct. 21 2010 | 11:31 AM ET
Market Topping Out

B of A continues to underperform

Small regional banks underperforming shows
financials have greater problems
 The more commercial real-estate exposure, the
worse position they are

Gold trade is crowded and is peaking

Companies Mentioned
 Jefferies (JEF)
 Caterpillar (CAT)
 Freeport MacMoRan (FCX)

Can be thought of as a “mini” Goldman Sacs

Looking for more exposure to the US

Possible takeover target
Monday
Tuesday
Wednesday
Amazon (AMZN)
Ford (F)
Comcast (CMCSA)
UBS
Procter & Gamble (PG)
Bristol Meyers (BMY)
ConocoPhillips (COP)
Thursday
Friday
Exon (XOM)
Chevron (CVX)
Microsoft (MSFT)
Merck (MRK)

Small signs often signal larger underlying
problems or potential

Euro Debt Crisis
Mortgage Mess
M&A Speculation



http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-10-22/g-20-to-pledge-to-refrain-from-currency-devaluationsas-sought-by-geithner.html

Corrections Corporation of America (CXW)

During elections, few inmates are sent to
prison. After elections, increase flows of
inmates are sent to prison

Has competitive advantage over other two
main private prison companies
 Can operate at a 15% less than the fed
http://www.correctionscorp.com/
Download