Beef Checkoff Successes & Challenges Successes and Challenges • Consumers and beef safety • Consumers and beef’s nutrition • Consumers and lifestyle/socio-economic issues 2 SOURCES: Peter Hart Research – 2000; IPSOS 2001 - 2009 3 Supermarket Foods of Highest Safety Concerns Percent of consumers naming a specific food as highest concern 50% 40% 37% 30% 44% 40% 28% 22% 21% 20% 14% 15% 17% 10% 13% 10% 7% 0% 33% 27% 25% 9% 41% 40% 40% 23% 39% 25% 22% 20% Beef 13% 13% 13% 12% Pork 11% 10% 12% Chicken 11% Fish/Seafood Q: When you think of the safety of foods you might buy in the supermarket, which one of the following types of food are you most concerned about? 4 TABLE 6 Percent of Consumers Confident in the Safety of Beef and Chicken DATE FRESH BEEF STEAKS/ ROASTS FRESH GROUND BEEF FRESH CHICKEN Nov. 09 83% 76% 79% Nov. 08 91% 84% 81% May 08 85% 77% 81% Oct. 07 76% 66% 71% Nov. 06 86% 75% 75% Nov. 05 84% 77% 77% Nov 04 76% 64% 63% Nov. 03 76% 64% 63% Nov. 02 74% 60% 62% Nov. 01 80% 64% 69% Nov. 00 83% 68% 77% Aug. 99 815 60% 69% Source Peter Hart Research 1998-2000: IPSOS 2001-2009 5 6 Beef’s Nutrition The successes… 62% “Great source of vitamins and minerals (57%) 84% “Provides energy and fuel” (83%) 86% “Great source of protein” (85%) And the challenges… 56% “Can be eaten every day” (76%) 48% “Fits a health-conscious diet” (81%) 32% “Low in sat fat” (64%) 30% “Low in cholesterol” (60%) Consumer Beef Index – July '09 7 Importance of Purchase Activities Lean cuts of meat “most important” activity when shopping for food 31 Buying cuts of meats that are 'lean' Buying foods with a low percentage of calories from saturated fat 38 27 25 22 Buying foods that provide lots of protein Buying foods that have lots of vitamins and minerals Buying foods with a low percentage of calories from fat Buying foods that have lots of nutrients but relatively few calories 18 30 19 27 28 Buying foods with low sugar content 16 24 Buying foods that are low in calories 13 27 Buying foods with low sodium content 16 23 Buying foods that don't contain high fructose corn syrup 16 IPSOS – 12/2009 4 3 2 20 6 8 8 10 28 31 15 5, extremely important 30 28 19 Buying foods that say 'zero trans fats' 17 10 12 35 7 8 31 14 7 32 12 10 37 8 12 35 14 38 31 29 12 15 21 9 11 15 14 1, not at all important 8 2010 Dietary Guidelines • Nutrition research program has submitted nine sets of scientific comments: – Explaining the leanness of beef – Explaining beef’s excellent nutrient package – Demonstrating beef intake is not associated with heart disease – Clarifying beef’s contribution to the total saturated fat in the American diet – Clarifying beef’s sustainability / environmental impact 9 65% Recession is Over Lag Time Consumer Confidence Rebounds Lag Time Spending Improves (3) “38th Annual Forecast and Outlook Seminar: 2010: A Year of Challenge & Success” Technomic Survey, August, 2009 50% of consumers say will be frugal long-term after the recession is over 10 Overall Perceptions of Beef Return to higher level of last summer 23% 46% 26% 45% 22% 33% 48% 26% 10% Jan '07 (N=1,200) 20% 45% 20% 16% 9% 10% May '07 (N=1,800) Feb '08 (N=1,000) 7% Jul '08 (N=1,006) Bucket 1 – Positives strongly outweigh negatives 45% 20% 30% Chicken 43% Bucket 2 – Positives somewhat outweigh negatives 20% 18% 9% 9% Mar '09 (N=1,008) 46% 42% Bucket 3 7% – Negatives somewhat outweigh positives Bucket 4 – Negatives strongly outweigh positives 5% Jul '09 (N=1,009) Question: Q.35: Considering all you know about beef, would you say the positives of beef outweigh the negatives or do the negatives of beef outweigh the positives? Q.36: Considering all you know about chicken, would you say the positives of chicken outweigh the negatives or do the negatives of chicken outweigh the positives? Consumer Beef Index – July '09 11 11 Per Week Average Number of Beef Servings (by consumer belief) 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 Consumers saying: 3.4 3.2 3.2 3.3 –Bucket Beef positives strongly outweigh negatives 1 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.6 – Positives somewhat outweigh negatives Bucket 2 2.4 1.8 1.8 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.7 2.0 – Negatives somewhat outweigh positives Bucket 3 * 1.0 1.1 0.9 0.5 – Negatives strongly outweigh positives Bucket 4 0.7 0.6 0.0 May '07 (N=51-225) Feb '08 (N=98-477) Jul '08 (N=66-449) Mar '09 (N=93-454) Jul '09 (N=88-437) Question: Q.20: How many times did you eat this type of food in the past week? Consumer Beef Index – July '09 1212 Food expenditure retail vs. foodservice • Food purchased for at-home consumption accounted for 55.7% total food expenditure, 2009 (↑ from 2008) • Food purchased away-from-home accounted 44.3% total food expenditure (↓ from 2008) USDA, 2009 15 Beef production 16 Consumers Don’t Know Us… Percent of consumers saying how well they know beef industry IPSOS Public Affairs 5/2009 17 …in a void, others will define us • HSUS “Farm animals are mutilated. They’re crammed into tiny cages. They endure often-agonizing slaughter. Farms routinely abuse them. No federal law protects them from cruelty while on the farm, and most states exempt common agricultural practices from animal cruelty laws, regardless of how abusive." -HSUS Web site • PETA “Animals on factory farms do not see the sun or get a breath of fresh air until they are prodded and crammed onto trucks for a nightmarish ride to the slaughterhouse, often through weather extremes and always without food or water. Many die during transport, and others are too sick or weak to walk off the truck after they reach the slaughterhouse. The animals who survive this hellish ordeal are hung upside-down and their throats are slit, often while they're completely conscious. Many are still alive while they are skinned, hacked into pieces.” -PETA Web site 18 Advocacy Group Consumers Union HSUS Environmental Defense PETA Sierra Club CSPI Greenpeace PCRM Farm Sanctuary Budget $206.6 $124.9 $69.5 $31.1 $29.3 $17.3 $10.7 $7.2 $5.3 19 SA Esteem High-End Luxury Natural and organics Animal Welfare Belonging Safety Physiological Sustainability Safety Nutrition 20 Beef Report Card Value Taste anSolid Safety Ongoing Passion Bounces Back At Home At Restaurant 1-07 5-07 2-08 7-08 3-09 7-09 1-07 5-07 2-08 7-08 3-09 7-09 Great tasting 85% 82% 84% 85% 84% 87% 80% 81% 86% 83% 84% 85% Extremely safe to eat 55% 60% 50% 57% 54% 63% 52% 62% 55% 60% 60% 58% A good value for the money 60% 54% 62% 62% 62% 67% 57% 54% 61% 60% 63% 63% Food you crave 62% 59% 63% 69% 67% 67% 60% 58% 65% 66% 68% 68% Source: Consumer Beef Index: July, 2009 Questions: Q.32a/b: Thinking only about beef, how much do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements when eating this food type at home/a full-service restaurant? 21 21 Beef Industry LRP Goal: Export 3.0 Billion Pounds by 2010 2011 Forecast 3.06 billion lbs (million lbs) 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 BVM Beef 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 F 12 20 F 11 20 F 10 20 F 09 20 08 20 07 20 06 20 05 20 04 20 03 20 Source: USDA/USMEF Forecast Beef Industry LRP Goal: Become a Net Exporter by 2010 (million $) 5,000 2007 Net Imports $780 million 4,000 2008 Net Exports $453 million 3,000 2,000 2009 Jan-May Net Imports $40 million 1,000 -2,000 -3,000 08 20 07 20 06 20 05 20 04 20 03 20 02 20 01 20 00 20 99 19 98 19 97 19 96 19 19 -1,000 95 0 Exports Imports Net Export Value -4,000 Source: USDA/FAS; Million USD 23