Critical Infrastructure Disconnects in Transportation and Logistics Modeling the Economic, Sociological, and Human Impacts Outline Objective Overview Systems Engineering (SE) Critical Infrastructure (CI) Transportation & Logistics (Trans/Log) Process Formulating the Model Benefits Outline Fusing Trans/Log Highways and Vehicles (TLHV) with the CI Identifying the Stakeholders Capturing the Requirements Performing Functional Analysis Assessing the TLHV’s Risk What are the Critical Assets What are the Vulnerabilities What are the Threats Outline Verifying and Validating the Model Demonstrating “What if Scenarios” Benefits Conclusion Objective To develop a model based on SE methodologies and practices to asses the system impact of a TLVH disconnect Objective Objective Day 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Objective SE Overview Various Definitions Exists State the problem; Investigate alternatives; Model the system; Integrate; Launch the system; Assesses performance; and Reevaluate (SIMILAR). The systems engineering process is not sequential. The functions are performed in a parallel and iterative manner.1 SE Overview System-of-Systems Interdependencies Elements of a System2 Components Attributes Relationships SE Overview Top-down/Bottom-up Team Approach Life-cycle Identification of System Requirements CI Overview President's Commission on Critical Infrastructure Protection report called for a national effort to assure the security of the United States' increasingly vulnerable and interconnected infrastructures3 Lead to the Presidential Decision Directive 63 (PDD63) CI Overview There are 13 general CI defined by the Department of Homeland Security 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Agriculture 7. Food Banking and Finance 8. Government Chem. Ind. & Haz Mat 9. Info. and Telecom. Defense Industrial Base10.Postal and Shipping Emergency Services 11.Public Health Energy 12.Transportation 13.Water CI Overview Others include: SPAWAR – 10 with subsets InfraGard of North Texas – 9 CI could also be specific to area Port of Houston CI Overview Common property of CI All are complex collections of interacting components in which change often occurs as a result of learning process; that is, they are complex adaptive systems (CAS)4 Trans/Log Overview Transportation is one of the most important and increasingly complex infrastructure networks of our modern society5 Trans/Log Overview Transportation A facility consisting of the means and equipment necessary for the movement of passengers or goods5 Trans/Log Overview Logistics That part of the supply chain process that plans, implements, and controls the efficient, effective forward and reverse flow and storage of goods, services, and related information between the point of origin and the point of consumption in order to meet customers' requirements6 Trans/Log Overview Customer Air Mfg Single Source Information Information Consolidator De-consolidator Customs Product/ Material Ocean Rail Motor Freight Fwd Financial Trans/Log Overview Gross Domestic Product: 20037 8.5% 91.5% Trans/Log All Other Trans/Log Overview Airports/Aircraft Highways/Vehicles Railroads/Trains Waterways/Vessels Trans/Log Overview Airports/Aircraft Highways/Vehicles Railroads/Trains Waterways/Vessels Process Fuse Trans/Log Highways and Vehicles (TLHV) with the CI Identify Stakeholders Process Capture the Requirements Functional Performance Perform Functional Analysis Process Assess TLHV’s Risk8 Process Formulating the Model Economic Impact Process Sociological Impact Process Rs(t) Analysis FMECA Monte Carlo Simulation Risk Analysis Paper Six Dimensions Temporal Geographical Interdependencies Footnotes 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. Inaugural issue, Systems Engineering, Journal of the International Council of Systems Engineering INCOSE, Seattle, WA (vol. 1, no. 1, July/September 1994). Benjamin S. Blanchard, Logistics Engineering and Management, (Upper Saddle River, New Jersey: Pearson/Prentice Hall, 2004), p. 28. The Whit House: Office of the Press Secretary, Fact Sheet, May 22, 1998. [Online]. Available at http://www.fas.org/irp/offdocs/pdd-63.htm. Steven M. Rinaldi, James P. Peerenboom, and Terrence K. Kelly, Identifying, Understanding, and Analyzing Critical Infrastructure Interdependencies, (IEEE Control System Magazine, December 2001), p.13. George Mason University, Systems Engineering Research and Operations. Cognitive Science Laboratory, Princeton University. The Michigan Roundtables (Council of Logistics Management) Perry A. Trunick, How to Beat the High Cost of Shipping, Logistics Today, July, 2004. NDIA Information Briefing. DoD Critical Infrastructure Protection, July 3, 2002. Douglas M. Lambert and James R. Stock, Strategic Logistics Management, (Homewood, IL: Irwin, Third Edition, 1993), pp. 281-294. Process Fuse Trans/Log Highways and Vehicles (TLHV) with the CI Identify Stakeholders Functional Commuters Performance Distribution Centers Emergency Responders Utilities / Power Crews Airports Bus and Rail Stations Water Ports A. Axelrod and MD. Cohen, Harnessing Complexity: Organizational Implications of a Scientific Frontier (NY: Free Press, 1999), pp.32-61