Section 8.2 Student’s t-Distribution With the usual enthralling extra content you’ve come to expect, by D.R.S., University of Cordele HAWKES LEARNING SYSTEMS Students Matter. Success Counts. Copyright © 2013 by Hawkes Learning Systems/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Student’s t-Distribution 1. 2. 3. 4. Properties of a t-Distribution A t-distribution curve is symmetric and bell-shaped, centered about 0. A t-distribution curve is completely defined by its number of degrees of freedom, df. The total area under a t-distribution curve equals 1. The x-axis is a horizontal asymptote for a t-distribution curve. HAWKES LEARNING SYSTEMS Students Matter. Success Counts. Copyright © 2013 by Hawkes Learning Systems/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. HAWKES LEARNING SYSTEMS Continuous Random Variables math courseware specialists 6.5 Finding t-Values Using the Student t-Distribution Comparison of the Normal and Student t-Distributions: A t-distribution is pretty much the same as a normal distribution! HAWKES LEARNING SYSTEMS Students Matter. Success Counts. There’s this additional little wrinkle of “d.f.”, “degrees of freedom”. Slightly different t distributions for different d.f.; higher d.f. is closer & closer to the normal distribution. Copyright © 2013 by Hawkes Learning Systems/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Observations about the t distribution • • • • In the middle, at the mean, the t distribution peaks { lower or higher } than the normal distribution.. In the tails, the t distribution is { lower or higher } than the normal distribution. The differences between the t and the normal distributions are because there is more un__________ty built into the t distribution. As the sample size n gets larger, the degrees of freedom d.f. gets larger, the t distribution gets { closer to, farther from } the normal distribution bell curve we use in z problems. Why bother with t ? • If you don’t know the population standard deviation, σ, but you still want to use a sample to find a confidence interval. • t builds in a little more uncertainty based on the lack of a trustworthy σ. The plan: 1. This lesson – learn about t and areas and critical values, much like we have done with z. 2. Next lesson – doing confidence intervals with t. The t and the z tables – the same but different z, Standard Normal Distribution Lookup z in row label and column header Read inward to find the area. The t and the z tables – the same but different z, Standard Normal Distribution Lookup z in row label and column header Read inward to find the area. Choose which header row and column for Area: The Choose the t df row = Distribution sample size n, minus 1. area in 1 tail or in 2 tails 1 tail 0.100 0.050 0.025 0.010 df 2 tails 0.200 0.100 0.050 0.020 n–1 #.### Read inward to find the t value. The t and the z calculator functions z, Standard Normal Distribution The t Distribution If I know AREA and want to work backward to find z 1) What z has area = .0500 to its left? 2) What z has area .9500 to its left? If I know two z values and I want the area between them What is the area between z = -1.645 and z 1.645 ? If I know AREA and want to work backward to find t Find the t and –t values such If I know two t values and I that the area in two tails is want the area between .1000 for df = 20. Area in one tail is ________; them (Less common, use tcdf(low t, high t, df) Answer: t = _____ (positive) if it comes up.) Example 8.9: Finding the Value of tα Find the value of t0.025 for the t-distribution with 25 degrees of freedom. tα means “what t value has area α to its right? (And because of symmetry, α is also the area to the left of –tα) For finding critical values of t, using the table is the quickest and easiest way to find the needed value. Answer: t = ____________ HAWKES LEARNING SYSTEMS Students Matter. Success Counts. Even though the TI-84 has an invT function, we’ll emphasize the table method for t problems. Also - invT is not available with the TI-83 family. Copyright © 2013 by Hawkes Learning Systems/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Example 8.9: Finding the Value of tα (cont.) * Seeking t0.025 … USE THIS ONE Area in One Tail 0.100 0.050 23 0.200 1.319 Area in Two Tails 0.100 0.050 0.020 1.714 2.069 2.500 0.010 2.807 24 1.318 1.711 2.064 2.492 2.797 25 1.316 1.708 2.060 2.485 2.787 26 1.315 1.706 2.056 2.479 2.779 27 1.314 1.703 2.052 2.473 2.771 28 1.313 1.701 2.048 2.467 2.763 df TI-84 only – not available on TI-83: invT(area to the left, degrees of freedom) it’s at 2ND DISTR 4:invT( HAWKES LEARNING SYSTEMS Students Matter. Success Counts. 0.025 0.010 Note TWO sets of headings! One Tail & 0.005 Two Tails invT(area to the left, degrees of freedom) invT(0.025,25) gives -2.059538532 then you have to fix up the sign & round Copyright © 2013 by Hawkes Learning Systems/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Example 8.10: Finding the Value of t Given the Area to the Right Find the value of t for a t-distribution with 17 degrees of freedom such that the area under the curve to the right of t is 0.10. Answer: t = ____________ HAWKES LEARNING SYSTEMS Students Matter. Success Counts. Copyright © 2013 by Hawkes Learning Systems/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Example 8.10: Finding the Value of t Given the Area to the Right (cont.) * Area in One Tail 0.100 0.050 0.025 0.010 0.005 df 0.200 Area in Two Tails 0.100 0.50 0.020 0.010 15 16 17 18 19 20 1.341 1.337 1.333 1.330 1.328 1.325 1.753 1.746 1.740 1.734 1.729 1.725 2.947 2.921 2.898 2.878 2.861 2.845 2.131 2.12 2.110 2.101 2.093 2.086 2.602 2.583 2.567 2.552 2.539 2.528 invT(area to the left, degrees of freedom) invT(0.100,17) gives -1.33337939 then you have to fix up the sign & round HAWKES LEARNING SYSTEMS Students Matter. Success Counts. Copyright © 2013 by Hawkes Learning Systems/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Example 8.11: Finding the Value of t Given the Area to the Left Find the value of t for a t-distribution with 11 degrees of freedom such that the area under the curve to the left of t is 0.05. Answer: (careful of sign!!!) t = ____________ HAWKES LEARNING SYSTEMS Students Matter. Success Counts. Copyright © 2013 by Hawkes Learning Systems/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Example 8.11: Finding the Value of t Given the Area to the Left (cont.) * Area in One Tail 0.100 0.050 0.025 0.010 0.005 df 0.200 Area in Two Tails 0.100 0.050 0.020 0.010 9 10 11 12 13 14 1.383 1.372 1.363 1.356 1.350 1.345 1.833 1.812 1.796 1.782 1.771 1.761 3.25 3.169 3.106 3.055 3.012 2.977 2.262 2.228 2.201 2.179 2.160 2.145 2.821 2.764 2.718 2.681 2.65 2.624 invT(area to the left, degrees of freedom) invT(0.050,11) gives -1.795884781 then round (in this case, it is negative t) HAWKES LEARNING SYSTEMS Students Matter. Success Counts. Copyright © 2013 by Hawkes Learning Systems/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Example 8.12: Finding the Value of t Given the Area in Two Tails Find the value of t for a t-distribution with 7 degrees of freedom such that the area to the left of -t plus the area to the right of t is 0.02, as shown in the picture. Answer: t = ____________ HAWKES LEARNING SYSTEMS Students Matter. Success Counts. Copyright © 2013 by Hawkes Learning Systems/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Example 8.12: Finding the Value of t Given the Area in Two Tails (cont.) If using the table, . just go directly to 0.020 in the Two Tails heading. Area in One Tail 0.100 0.050 0.010 0.005 df 0.200 Area in Two Tails 0.100 0.050 0.020 0.010 5 6 7 8 9 10 1.476 1.440 1.415 1.397 1.383 1.372 2.015 1.943 1.895 1.860 1.833 1.812 4.032 3.707 3.499 3.355 3.250 3.169 But if using the TI-84 invT(), you must divide 0.020 ÷ 2 = ______ area in one tail first, and then…. HAWKES LEARNING SYSTEMS Students Matter. Success Counts. 0.025 2.571 2.447 2.365 2.306 2.262 2.228 3.365 3.143 2.998 2.896 2.821 2.764 invT(area to the left, degrees of freedom) invT(______,7) gives -2.997951566 then round and use the positive value Copyright © 2013 by Hawkes Learning Systems/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Example 8.13: Finding the Value of t Given Area between -t and t Find the critical value of t for a t-distribution with 29 degrees of freedom such that the area between −t and t is 99%. This is a two-tail problem. Area in middle = ______ Area in tails = ______ Answer: t = ____________ HAWKES LEARNING SYSTEMS Students Matter. Success Counts. The area in two tails is _____ and the table has a two tails heading. If you’re using TI-84 invT instead of the table, you’ll need to divide by 2 and work with the area in one tail. Copyright © 2013 by Hawkes Learning Systems/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Example 8.13: Finding the Value of t Given Area between -t and t (cont.) @ Area in One Tail 0.100 0.050 0.025 0.010 0.005 df 0.200 Area in Two Tails 0.100 0.050 0.020 0.010 27 28 29 30 31 32 1.314 1.313 1.311 1.310 1.309 1.309 1.703 1.701 1.699 1.697 1.696 1.694 2.771 2.763 2.756 2.750 2.744 2.738 2.052 2.048 2.045 2.042 2.040 2.037 2.473 2.467 2.462 2.457 2.453 2.449 invT(area to the left, degrees of freedom) invT(______,29) gives ______________ then round and use the positive value HAWKES LEARNING SYSTEMS Students Matter. Success Counts. Copyright © 2013 by Hawkes Learning Systems/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Example 8.14: Finding the Critical t-Value for a Confidence Interval Find the critical t-value for a 95% confidence interval using a t-distribution with 24 degrees of freedom. Solution This is a two-tail problem. Area in middle = ______ Area in tails = ______ Answer: t = ____________ The area in two tails is ____ and if using TI-84 invT, you need to compute the area in one tail which is ____ HAWKES LEARNING SYSTEMS Students Matter. Success Counts. Copyright © 2013 by Hawkes Learning Systems/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Example 8.14: Finding the Critical t-Value for a Confidence Interval (cont.) # Area in One Tail 0.100 0.050 0.025 0.010 0.005 df 0.200 Area in Two Tails 0.100 0.050 0.020 0.010 21 22 23 24 25 26 1.323 1.321 1.319 1.318 1.316 1.315 1.721 1.717 1.714 1.711 1.708 1.706 2.831 2.819 2.807 2.797 2.787 2.779 2.080 2.074 2.069 2.064 2.060 2.056 2.518 2.508 2.500 2.492 2.485 2.479 invT(area to the left, degrees of freedom) invT(______,____) gives _____________ then round and use the positive value HAWKES LEARNING SYSTEMS Students Matter. Success Counts. Copyright © 2013 by Hawkes Learning Systems/Quant Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. 8.2 Practice and Certify Problems • They come in pairs. • You are given some area. You find the t value. • The first part is easy – multiple choice from four pictures: easy – left tail or right tail or two tails or between two tails. • The second part asks for the “critical value of t”, what t value separates out the prescribed area. • But the problem presentation is awkward and you need to be prepared for it. 8.2 Practice and Certify Problems • The second part asks for the “critical value of t”, what t value separates out the prescribed area. • The way it’s set up, you have to click in the table. It doesn’t let you type in the box. • There’s only one heading and it isn’t labeled. You just have to know that it’s for area in one tail, so if you have a 95% level of confidence, that means there is area ________ in two tails, so there is area ________ in one tail, and that’s the heading you need for these problems. 8.2 Practice and Certify Problems • The table the problem only has one header row and the row isn’t labeled. It’s an “Area In One Tail”. scroll bar to get the proper df Area in One Tail 8.2 Practice and Certify Problems • When you click in the table, the t value is copied to the answer box. • If you need to change it to a negative t value, click the +/- button. Also – “scroll bar” is barra di scorrimento in Italian. Example 8.12: Finding the Value of t Given the Area in Two Tails (cont.) – with Excel • Recall: we seek t and –t such that two tails total area 0.02, d.f. = 7 • Excel with convenient =T.INV.2T(total area, d.f.) • Or Excel with one-tailed version, manually divide area by 2: = T.INV(one tailed area, d.f.) Example 8.11: Finding the Value of t Given the Area to the Left , with Excel • Excel: T.INV(area to the left of t, df), same thing. • Excel special if you know area in two tails total: =T.INV.2T(area in two tails total, df)