Making the most of PIAAC: Preliminary investigation of adults’ numeracy practices through secondary analysis of the PIAAC dataset Diana Coben University of Waikato New Zealand dccoben@waikato.ac.nz Barbara Miller-Reilly University of Auckland New Zealand Paul Satherley and David Earle Ministry of Education New Zealand ALM22 conference: Opening Our Mathematical Eyes 1-2 pm, 13th July 2015 What is PIAAC? • Programme for the International Assessment of Adult Competencies, aka The Survey of Adult Skills www.oecd.org/site/piaac/ • PIAAC assesses key cognitive and workplace competencies in: – Literacy – Numeracy – Problem solving in technology-rich environments • Collects information on how often people undertake a range of (literacy and) numeracy activities at work and in everyday life • New Zealand’s results due 2016 (PIAAC Round Two) What are we doing? • Exploring what secondary analysis of PIAAC data can tell us about what adults do regarding numeracy • Reviewing accessibility and userfriendliness of the data • Encouraging beginners and experienced practitioners and researchers to explore the PIAAC dataset Making the most of secondary data sources “A number of secondary data sources […] are currently under utilised for education research on adults. One reason for this is that a huge time investment is needed by the researcher to analyse such data, as the data sets are large and complex. Making available better guidance specific to education researchers would be helpful to encourage greater use of these data sets.” (Vignoles, 2007) Numeracy in PIAAC “the ability to access, use, interpret and communicate mathematical information and ideas in order to engage in and manage the mathematical demands of a range of situations in adult life…” “Numerate behaviour involves managing a situation or solving a problem in a real context, by responding to mathematical content/information/ideas represented in multiple ways.” (OECD, 2012, p. 34) PIAAC data related to numeracy practices • PIAAC directly measures numeracy skill through a numeracy assessment • Provides average scores on the PIAAC numeracy scale for whole 16-65 year old population, or subgroups • Background Questionnaire - administered face-to-face in the respondent’s home by an interviewer who enters the answers into a laptop computer PIAAC Background Questionnaire Covers educational background, skills used at work (for those currently or recently in employment) and in other contexts such as the home and the community, e.g.: – Demographic characteristics – age, gender, ethnicity, country of birth, first language, language spoken most often at home – Other personal characteristics – learning dispositions, selfassessed health status – Education and training characteristics – Work characteristics – Self-assessed mathematics skills for work – Self-assessed reading and writing skills for work – Skill use in everyday life – literacy activities, ICT activities May help answer interesting questions when analysed together with numeracy practice information The numeracy practices questions in the PIAAC Background Questionnaire Interviewer asks respondent how often s/he undertakes 7 different numeracy practices in work or everyday context: • In your job, how often do you usually calculate prices, costs or budgets? • Use or calculate fractions, decimals or percentages? • Use a calculator – either hand-held or computer based? • Prepare charts, graphs or tables? • Use simple algebra or formulas? • Use more advanced mathematics or statistics such as calculus, complex algebra, trigonometry, or use of regression techniques? The same questions are asked, in the past tense, for people who are not currently working, but who worked in the last 12 months Frequency… and its limitation • The five frequency options are: – – – – – never less than once a month less than once a week but at least once a month at least once a week but not every day every day • Limitation: questions only measure frequency; they do not measure intensity or complexity of numeracy activity Types of analysis and analysis issues • A range of types of analysis are possible to help answer different questions about adults’ numeracy practices. • First steps often simple univariate tabulations - provide a ‘big picture’ view • Next steps may be multivariate analysis - allows better understanding of complex associations between factors • PIAAC dataset can provide in-depth understanding of associations between various factors • Multivariate analyses: – can show which factors are most strongly associated with frequent numeracy practice, and – can provide numerical measures of, e.g., how much increase in frequency of numeracy practice is associated with one unit of measured numeracy skill, whilst holding other factors constant Secondary analysis of PIAAC data Secondary analysis of PIAAC data is: • • • • undertaken later in time than primary analysis more in-depth and multivariate less headline-focused and descriptive brings together different parts of PIAAC dataset to generate new knowledge and understanding of associations and relationships • provides empirical findings to build or refine conceptual or statistical models • often theme-based, rather than general in focus Primary PIAAC analysis: • includes average scale scores in PIAAC skill domains for key demographic and socioeconomic groups • aligns with international headline reporting What PIAAC data cannot tell us • PIAAC data cannot tell us to what extent frequent numeracy practice causes high numeracy skill • Analytical writing should clearly distinguish associations from causes and not use ambiguous language such as leads to, brings about, influences, is linked with, etc. • It may be that numeracy practice, opportunity or requirement to undertake numeracy practice, and numeracy skill, are all mutually reinforcing • Even where the data show a strong association between two factors (e.g., numeracy practice and numeracy skill) whilst controlling for other factors, we cannot infer that a change in one factor will result in a change in the other – either on an individual or a group level What PIAAC can tell us about adults’ numeracy activities • How often do people perform numeracy activities at work? • How often do people perform numeracy activities in everyday life? • What are the patterns for different groups in numeracy activities at work? • What are the patterns for different groups for numeracy activities in everyday life? • What similarities or differences exist for numeracy activity at work and in everyday life? • What similarities or differences exist for numeracy and literacy activity at work? What PIAAC can tell us about adults’ numeracy activities (continued) • What similarities or differences exist for numeracy and literacy activity in everyday life? • What are the patterns of work-related numeracy activity together with ICT activities? • What are the characteristics of people who seem to be matched or mismatched on numeracy skill at work and numeracy activity? Is ‘field of study of highest qualification’, or ‘occupation’ related to the match or mismatch? • What changing patterns for young people’s numeracy activities can we see on their pathways from school to tertiary education to work? • How have patterns of numeracy activity at work changed over time? What PIAAC data are publicly available and how can they be accessed? • Information on PIAAC ‘Public Data & Analysis’ is at http://www.oecd.org/site/piaac/publicdataandanalysis.htm • OECD PIAAC Gateway website ‘Data Tools › Datasets and Tools’ http://piaacgateway.com/datasets/ gives users tools needed to analyse the PIAAC dataset • Guide: What You Need to Consider (AIR PIAAC Team, nd) https://piaac.squarespace.com/s/WorkingWithPIAACData_ 022015.pdf • Online Distance Learning Data Training (DLDT) modules http://nces.ed.gov/training/datauser/#PIAAC cover statistical procedures and methods of analysis • FAQ webpage http://nces.ed.gov/surveys/piaac/faq.asp • Interactive ‘Q & A. Your questions, our answers’ athttp://piaacgateway.com/your-questions-our-answers/ PIAAC Data Explorer (PDX) • PIAAC Data Explorer (PDX) http://piaacdataexplorer.oecd.org/ide/idepiaac/variables.aspx -web-based application for accessing PIAAC data, does not require advanced statistical knowledge or specialist software • point-and-click interface for creating statistical tables and charts and exploring levels of adult skills and demographics • 4 steps to go through when using PIAAC Data Explorer, supported by DLDT modules PIAAC International Data Explorer Step 1 • We chose “Numeracy” as our Subject • Note that “Adults (16-65)” only option for Age at this point • After choosing “Numeracy”, fuller screen appears with a choice of dataset to use: “PIAAC 2012”, “ALL 2003” or “All years/studies”. We chose “PIAAC 2012” • Then choice of 72 Categories and Groups. – Under the Category “Scale Scores”, and Sub-Category “Skills”, the Measure “PIAAC Numeric: Numeracy” is already selected. – Under the Group “International”, we chose the Jurisdiction “OECD average” • Choose “Select Variables” to move to Step 2 to select the independent variable(s) STEP 1 Select Criteria Select Variables Edit Reports Build Reports Language: English STEP 1: Select criteria from each drop-down menu to begin. Additional options related to your selections will appear. Then select measures, jurisdictions, and years based on available data. Subject: Age: Numeracy View all (72) Category View Selected (1) Sub Category Scale scores Measure Reset Adults (16-65) Search: All Years/Studies Help PIAAC 2012 Go ALL 2003 PIAAC Numeric: Numeracy details Skills Skill use Reading components Reading component timings Full population estimates International Group background questionnaire Derived International variables X Jurisdiction All Years/Studies PIAAC 2012 ALL 2003 OECD Average Selected countries OECD National Entities OECD Sub-National Entities Partners Select Variables About Accessible Version Data Explorer Technology PIAAC International Data Explorer Step 2 • Under the Category (and Sub-Category) “Major reporting group” we chose the variable “All Adults”. • In addition, under the category “International Background Questionnaire”, and Sub-Category” “Skill use – literacy & numeracy”, we chose the following six variables: • • • • • • “Skill use work - Numeracy - How often - Calculating costs or budgets” “Skill use work - Numeracy - How often - Use or calculate fractions or percentages” “Skill use work - Numeracy - How often - Use a calculator” “Skill use work - Numeracy - How often - Prepare charts graphs or tables” “Skill use work - Numeracy - How often - Use simple algebra or formulas” “Skill use work - Numeracy - How often - Use advanced math or statistics” • Now that the variables are selected, choose “Edit Reports” to move to Step 3. STEP 2 Select Criteria Select Variables Edit Reports Build Reports STEP 2: Select at least one variable from the category list below. View the list of all available variables, view by selected variables only, or search variables by keywords. Years selected will override previous selections. Subject, Age: Numeracy, Adults (16-65) Jurisdiction: OECD Average Measure: PIAAC Numeric: Numeracy Year/Study: PIAAC 2012 View all (334) Category Sub Category Major reporting groups Major reporting groups Help Reset View Selected (7) Variable Search: All Years/Studies PIAAC 2012 Go ALL 2003 All adults details Person resolved gender from BQ and QC check (derived) details Education - Highest qualification - Level details Current status/work history - Subjective status details Current work - Employee or self-employed details Background - Born in country details Age groups in 5-year intervals based on LFS groupings (derived) details Age in 10 year bands (derived) details International background questionnaire Education Current status Current work Last job Skill use at work Edit Reports PIAAC International Data Explorer STEP 2 (later choices) International background questionnaire Education --> etc Skill use at work --> Skill use - literacy & numeracy --> Skill use work - Literacy - --- etc Skill use work - Numeracy - How often - Calculating costs or budgets Skill use work - Numeracy - How often - Use or calculate fractions or percentages Skill use work - Numeracy - How often - Use a calculator Skill use work - Numeracy - How often - Prepare charts graphs or tables Skill use work - Numeracy - How often - Use simple algebra or formulas Skill use work - Numeracy - How often - Use advanced math or statistics Skill use work - ICT - --- etc PIAAC International Data Explorer Step 3 • The PIAAC International Data Explorer then generated seven possible reports. • These seven reports can be reviewed, edited, deleted or copied. New reports can be created, new format and statistics chosen. • We selected Averages and Percentages from the drop down menu “Statistics Options”. • We chose “Build Reports” to move to Step 4 to view the completed reports. STEP 3 Select Criteria Select Variables Edit Reports Build Reports STEP 3: Preview and edit existing reports using the action links next to each report name. Create new reports, set format and statistic options. (New and copied reports will appear at the bottom of the report list.) Subject, Age: Numeracy, Adults (16-65) Jurisdiction: OECD Average Measure: PIAAC Numeric: Numeracy Variables: All adults, Skill use work - Numeracy - How often - Calculating costs or budgets, Skill use work - Numeracy - How often - Use or calculate fractions or percentages, Skill use work - Numeracy - How often - Use a calculator, Skill use work - Numeracy - How often - Prepare charts graphs or tables, Skill use work - Numeracy - How often - Use simple algebra or formulas, Skill use work - Numeracy - How often - Use advanced math or statistics Year/Study: PIAAC 2012 Create New Report Report All Format Options Help Reset Statistics Options Action Measure Variable Year/Study Jurisdiction Statistic Report 1 Preview | Edit Delete | Copy PIAAC Numeric: Numeracy All adults PIAAC 2012 OECD Average Averages Report 2 Preview | Edit Delete | Copy PIAAC Numeric: Numeracy Skill use work - Numeracy - How often - Calculating costs or budgets PIAAC 2012 OECD Average Averages Report 3 Preview | Edit Delete | Copy PIAAC Numeric: Numeracy Skill use work - Numeracy - How often - Use or calculate fractions or percentages PIAAC 2012 OECD Average Averages Report 4 Preview | Edit Delete | Copy PIAAC Numeric: Numeracy Skill use work - Numeracy - How often - Use a calculator PIAAC 2012 OECD Average Averages Report 5 Preview | Edit Delete | Copy PIAAC Numeric: Numeracy Skill use work - Numeracy - How often - Prepare charts graphs or tables PIAAC 2012 OECD Average Averages Report 6 Preview | Edit Delete | Copy PIAAC Numeric: Numeracy Skill use work - Numeracy - How often - Use simple algebra or formulas PIAAC 2012 OECD Average Averages Report 7 Preview | Edit Delete | Copy PIAAC Numeric: Numeracy Skill use work - Numeracy - How often - Use advanced math or statistics PIAAC 2012 OECD Average Averages Build Reports About Accessible Version Data Explorer Technology PIAAC International Data Explorer Step 4 • For each of the six variables of Numeracy Skills used at work, a report is generated. • Each report lists Averages of the Numeracy scale scores and Percentages of the population (each with Standard Errors) for the response categories (Never; Less than once a month; Less then once a week but at least once a month; At least once a week but not every day; Every day). • At Step 4 each report table can be viewed by selecting the report name from the drop-down menu. It is possible to generate charts and complete significant tests for any table. • We chose “Export reports” to download selected reports as Excel worksheets (or Word document or HTML). STEP 4 Select Criteria Select Variables Edit Reports Build Reports STEP 4: View each report table by selecting the report name from the drop-down menu. Create report types to edit and preview, each tab created represents one report type to export. Help Subject, Age: Numeracy, Adults (16-65) Jurisdiction: OECD Average Measure: PIAAC Numeric: Numeracy Variables: All adults, Skill use work - Numeracy - How often - Calculating costs or budgets, Skill use work - Numeracy - How often - Use or calculate fractions or percentages, Skill use work - Numeracy - How often - Use a calculator, Skill use work - Numeracy - How often - Prepare charts graphs or tables, Skill use work Numeracy - How often - Use simple algebra or formulas, Skill use work - Numeracy - How often - Use advanced math or statistics Year/Study: PIAAC 2012 Select Report: Report 3 Export Reports Table Chart Significance Test Averages and percentages for numeracy, age by Skill use work - Numeracy - How often - Use or calculate fractions or percentages [GQ03C], year and jurisdiction: PIAAC 2012 Less than once a week but at least once Never Less than once a month a month At least once a week but not every day Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Year/Study Jurisdiction Average Error Percentage Error Average Error Percentage Error Average Error Percentage Error Average Error Percentage Error Average PIAAC 2012 OECD Average 257 (0.3) 46 (0.2) 283 (0.6) 9 (0.1) 291 (0.6) 8 (0.1) 293 (0.5) 13 NOTE: The Numeracy scale ranges from 0 to 500. Detail may not sum to totals because of rounding. Some apparent differences between estimates may not be statistically significant. SOURCE: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), Program for the International Assessment of Adult Competencies (PIAAC), 2012. About Accessible Version Data Explorer Technology (0.1) 290 Analysis of the reports generated on this run • Firstly, analysing statistics on Numeracy skill-use in a work context for the first three skills on the IDE list of 6: – Calculating costs or budgets – Use, or calculation of, fractions or percentages – Use of a calculator • Then, in the next 2 tables, we’re analysing statistics for the last three Numeracy skills – Preparation of charts, graphs or tables – Use of simple algebra or formulas – Use of advanced math or statistics NB: se is Standard Error Average of Numeracy scale scores and Percentage of adults shown for 3 frequency options of 3 Numeracy skill use at work variables Less than once a week but at least once a month Never Average (se) Percentage (se) Average (se) Percentage (se) Every day Average (se) Percentage (se) 280 (0.4) 21 (0.1) Frequency of Calculating costs or budgets in a work context 264 (0.3) 49 (0.2) 290 (0.7) 8 (0.1) Frequency of Use, or calculation of, fractions or percentages in work context 257 (0.3) 46 (0.2) 291* (0.6) 8 (0.1) 290* (0.4) 23 (0.2) 8 (0.1) 283* (0.3) 37 (0.2) Frequency of Use of a calculator in a work context 254 (0.4) 30 (0.2) 284* (0.7) For each Numeracy skill differences between all percentages and between most averages are statistically significant (not those marked with *) Percentages of people in work who never use a calculator at work, or use one everyday are markedly different from those for the other two Numeracy skills. These statistics for Numeracy skills may indicate that adults with the lowest skill are choosing (or being chosen) to work in jobs that entail infrequent activity. This is in keeping with research on the British Cohort Studies, which also showed that people’s skills diminish with lack of use (Bynner & Parsons, 1998, 2000). Average of Numeracy scale scores and Percentage of adults shown for 3 frequency options of the other 3 Numeracy skill use at work variables Less than once a week but at least once a month Never Average (se) Percentage (se) Average (se) Percentage (se) Every day Average (se) Percentage (se) Frequency of Preparation of charts, graphs or tables in a work context 261 (0.3) 60 (0.2) 298 (0.5) 10 (0.1) 294 (0.8) 6 (0.1) 292 (0.5) 17 (0.2) 297 (1.4) 2 (0.0) Frequency of Use of simple algebra or formulas in a work context 260 (0.3) 55 (0.2) 296 (0.7) 7 (0.1) Frequency of Use of advanced math or statistics in a work context 270 (0.2) 86 (0.1) 306 (1.0) 3 (0.1) For these Numeracy skills differences between all percentages and between all averages are statistically significant within each skill. For Use of advanced math or statistics the percentages of adults choosing ‘Never’ is highest, and for ‘Everyday’ lowest, frequency options – similar results occur for the other two more complex skills above. Averages of Numeracy scale scores for Use of advanced math or statistics are higher within most response categories which suggests that people with strong numeracy skills have jobs that entail frequent numeracy activity. Some concluding thoughts • Overall, we found our exploration of the PIAAC dataset stimulating and challenging in equal measure • While the scale and complexity of the dataset may appear daunting we would encourage you to undertake your own exploration • Our advice is: start with something simple and take it from there References • • • • • • • • AIR PIAAC Team. (nd). What You Need to Consider Before Working with PIAAC Data. Retrieved 3 May, 2015, from http://static1.squarespace.com/static/51bb74b8e4b0139570ddf020/t/54e773d7e4b03 28389a39b36/1424454615327/WorkingWithPIAACData_022015.pdf OECD. (2011). PIAAC Conceptual Framework of the Background Questionnaire Main Survey. Paris: OECD. http://www.oecd.org/site/piaac/PIAAC(2011_11)MS_BQ_ConceptualFramework_1%2 0Dec%202011.pdf OECD. (2013). Technical Report of the Survey of Adult Skills (PIAAC). Paris: OECD. www.oecd.org/site/piaac/_Technical%20Report_17OCT13.pdf OECD, PIAAC, www.oecd.org/site/piaac/ OECD, PIAAC, Public Data & Analysis (includes link to PIAAC International Data Explorer) http://www.oecd.org/site/piaac/publicdataandanalysis.htm PIAAC Numeracy Expert Group. (2009). PIAAC Numeracy: A conceptual framework OECD Education Working Paper (Vol. 35). Paris: OECD Publishing. http://www.oecdilibrary.org/education/piaac-numeracy-a-conceptual-framework_220337421165 PIAAC Gateway: Datasets and Tools http://piaacgateway.com/datasets/ Vignoles, A. (2007). The Use of Large Scale Data-sets in Educational Research. Retrieved 10 July, 2015, from http://www.tlrp.org/capacity/rm/wt/vignoles