2005 NDIA/AAC Air Armament Symposium
Long Range Strike Industry Panel Brief
October 5, 2005
Long Range Strike Industry Panel
LibertyWorksTM
10/5/2005
NDIA LRS Industry Team
2
Panel Membership
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Panel Chair: Carl Avila
Panel Advisors
Co-Chair :
Ed Whalen
Marya Bard:
AAC/XR
Co-Chair:
Bob Nelson
Ed Jackanowski: ASN/RDA
• General Electric
Alliant Tech
• Orbital Sciences
– Bill Dwyer
Systems
– Kevin Richardson
• Honeywell
– Robert Blake
– Dan Shockley
• Pratt & Whitney
– Douglas Lewis
• Liberty Works
– Richard Kazmar
– Gordon Snurr
– John Arvin
• Raytheon
Aerojet
• Lockheed Martin
– Dave Andrews
– Mark Director
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Boeing
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Pat Hewitt
Carl Avila
Bob Marinan
Carl Miller
Steve Morrow
Ron Mutzleburg
John Reilly
Glenn Vogel
Steve Vukelich
•
Barry Brown
Jim Enault
Bob Hartmann
Richard Mitchell
Ed Whalen
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Gail Allen
Russ Prechtl
Dave Rosenblatt
NDIA LRS Industry Team
Rockwell Collins
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Northrop Grumman
•
Louis Galto
Robert Nelson
Charles Stevens
Nick Holoviak
Ken Kato
Williams International
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Mike Bak
Scott Cruzen
Carl Schiller
3
Long Range Strike Capability
USAF Next Generation Long Range Strike Study
Leadership
Nuclear
SOF
SOF
LRS
SOF
LRS
SOF
Enablers
F/A-22 / F-35
Range
10/5/2005
C/B
•Objective
Capability To Achieve Desired Effects
Rapidly, Persistently, On Any Target, In
any Environment, Anywhere, At Any
Time
Requirements
•Phase 1: Bomber Forces Upgrade:
•Link -16 Connectivity, Stand Off,
Precision, Radar, Targeting
•Phase 2: Field Mid-Term Strike
Capability:
•Range, Persistence, L/O, Speed,
GIG
•Phase 3: Field Long Range Strike
Capability
•Long Range, Persistence, L/O,
Speed, GIG, Transformational
Technologies
NDIA LRS Industry Team
4
Global Strike Weapon
(High Speed Weapon)
“High Speed”
“Hypersonic”
JCIDS
Mach Number
2
• Target Set
• Launch Platform
• PK
• C4ISR ConOps
• Cost Analysis
• TRL Assessment
10
What it is:
A Weapon SYSTEM, NOT just a speed/propulsion…
AoA
JOINTNESS/Funding
Potential missions/targets:
TCS, Relocatable Targets, Fixed Targets,
Counter-WMD, GWOT, HDBT, SUW, …
Potential launch platforms:
TacAir, Surface Ships, Submarines,
Bombers, …
JCIDS
AoA
Notional
Schedule
6
IOC?
MS B
RFP
SourceSel
Studies
Milestone
B
//
FY
05
06
07
08
09
13
14
It all depends on… the CAPABILITIES Required
Sea Strike
Notional TCS Capabilities Triad
“Prompt Global Strike Weapons”
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•
•
•
Long Range: >3000 nm
Type: Conventional ICBM / IRBM
Large Warhead: >1000 lbs
GW: >3000 lbs
Launch Platforms: Silo’s, Heavy Bombers, SSGN
“Platforms & Subsonic/LOE Weapons”
• Stealth / Standoff Platforms
• Long Range (w/ tanking/support)
• Various POR/Cruise Weapons
• Various conventional payloads
Launch Platforms:
B-2; F-117; Next-Gen HighSpeed Bombers; CG/DDG;
SSN; SSGN; TACAIR
“JHS Strike Tactical Weapon”
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Medium Range: XXX - XXX+ nm
Speed: Mach X+
Warhead: XXX - XXX lbs
GW: ~XXXX lbs
Launch Platforms: TACAIR, SSGN, SSN, CG/DDG
Fills Time Critical Warfighter Gap / Multi-Mission Capable
Allows Long Range Strike in Direct Attack Timelines
LRS and HSW are System of Systems
(Not Just a Range or Speed)
POTENTIAL MISSIONS/TARGETS:
TIME CRITICAL, RELOCATABLE, FIXED,
COUNTER-WMD, GWOT, HDBT, SUW, - -
SENSOR TO
SHOOTER
DELAY TIME
C4ISR
DATALINK
CONNECTIVITY
POTENTIAL LAUNCH PLATFORMS:
TACAIR, MARITIME PATROL, SURFACE
SHIPS, SUBMARINES, BOMBERS, - -
PLATFORMS
WEAPONS
TIME OF
FLIGHT
CURRENT AND
FUTURE
CARRIAGE
CONSTRAINTS
UNIVERSAL
ARMAMENT
INTERFACE
IT ALL DEPENDS ON: THE CAPABILITIES REQUIRED
10/5/2005
NDIA LRS Industry Team
7
Warfighter’s Stand Off
Time Critical Requirement
Kill Chain
Find
Fix
Track
Target
Major Investments Being
Made in This Part Of The
Kill Chain
Focus on Sensor to
Shooter Delay Times of
10 Minutes or Less
10/5/2005
NDIA LRS Industry Team
Engage
Assess
We Focused on
the “Weapons”
Piece of the Kill
Chain
8
Customer’s Desired Capabilities
USAF
• Time Critical Strike
USN
• Time Critical Strike
– Integrated Defense
– Theatre Ballistic Missiles
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Mobile/Moving Surface Targets.
Limited "Deep" GS Against HVT
CBRNE Defense
Maritime CAS
Fixed Targets
Close Air Support
Underground Facility
10/5/2005
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Relocatable Targets
GWOT/High Value Targets
Counter-WMD
Surface Warfare (SUW)
Fixed Targets
Naval Surface Fire Support
Hard/Buried Targets
NDIA LRS Industry Team
9
Analysis Process
Derived System Characteristics
Capability Needs &
Constraints
Target Set
Launch Platforms
System Attributes or Key
Performance Parameters
Lethality
Compatibility
System
Characteristics/TPM
Payload Type/Size
Range
Block Speed
C4ISR & Targeting
Performance
Effectiveness
Probability of Survival
Survivability
Accuracy
Defensive Threat
Reliability
Cost
Need Date
10/5/2005
Affordability
Technical Risk
NDIA LRS Industry Team
Reliability
Acquisition Cost
TRL
10
Vehicle Sizing
Platform and Configuration Constraints
Propulsion
Subsystem
Candidates
• Solid Rocket
• Turbine
• Pulse Detonation
Liquid Fuel Ramjet
Solid Fuel Ramjet
Variable Flow
Ducted Rocket
Dual Combustion
Ramjet
Scramjet
Subsystem Constraints
Booster Required for Air Launch
(All Require Boosters For Surface Launch)
190” Length
250” Length
10/5/2005
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LAUNCH PLATFORM
CANDIDATES
F/A-18 E/F
F/A-22 (EXTERNAL)
JSF (EXTERNAL)
F-16, F-15 E
B-2, B-52H, B-1
CG, DDG (MK-41/-75 VLS)
SSGN/SSN
LAUNCH PLATFORM SIZE CONSTRAINTS
TACTICAL
TACTICAL FIGHTER
FIGHTER AIR
AIR LAUNCH
LAUNCH (F/A-18
(F/A-18 E/F,
E/F, JSF,
JSF, F-16,
F-16, F/A-22,
F/A-22, F-15E)
F-15E)
•• 194
IN.
CONTAINER
LENGTH
FOR
CV
MAGAZINE
194 IN. CONTAINER LENGTH FOR CV MAGAZINE ELEVATOR
ELEVATOR
1965 LB
LB F/A-18
F/A-18 E/F
E/F ASYMMETRIC
ASYMMETRIC RECOVERY
RECOVERY LIMIT
LIMIT
•• 1965
-- POTENTIALLY
2320
LB
POTENTIALLY 2320 LB
BOMBER, VLS/CLS
VLS/CLS (SSN,
(SSN, CG,
CG, DDG,
DDG, SSGN)
SSGN)
•• BOMBER,
•• 22
IN.
BY
22
IN.
MK-41
VLS
CANISTER
22 IN. BY 22 IN. MK-41 VLS CANISTER CROSS
CROSS SECTION
SECTION
•• 250
IN.
LENGTH
OVER
ALL
(WITH
BOOSTER)
250 IN. LENGTH OVER ALL (WITH BOOSTER) BOMBER
BOMBER
•• 3300
3300 LB
LB MISSILE
MISSILE WEIGHT
WEIGHT LIMIT
LIMIT (USING
(USING MK-41
MK-41 VLS
VLS CANISTER)
CANISTER)
•• 5000
LB
FOR
BOMBERS
5000 LB FOR BOMBERS
Concept 1
2320 lbs Maximum Weight
Concept 2
2320 -5500 lbs
NDIA LRS Industry Team
20.4” Diameter
20.4” Diameter
11
Target Set Considerations
LRS And HSW Must Address Traditional, Time
Critical and High Value Targets
•Traditional fixed targets
•Time Critical Targets
•Mobile Targets
•Moving Targets
• WMD, Chem, Bio
• HDBT
• No single vehicle/ordnance pairing does it all
• Delivery Vehicle Must Accommodate
• Ordnance ~ Blast Frag, Submunitions,
Penetrator, CBRNE
• Delivery accuracy
Payload and Range Requirements for Different
Target Sets Drive Vehicle Configurations
10/5/2005
NDIA LRS Industry Team
12
Payload and Accuracy
Payload
Target Type
HDBT MVR Hard Med Soft
250
HDBT
SubMn
1000
750
500
250
CBRNE, C2
Hard
Bunker, Shelter
500
Med
750
Runway, Bridge
Armor
1000
Soft
DE
Personnel, POL
SubMn
Cluster
Good
CEP
Moderate
Poor
Most Target Types At Risk With
Smaller Warhead
10/5/2005
SKR
LLDL
GPS
INS
HLDL
Today’s Guidance Capability
Satisfies Accuracy Needs
NDIA LRS Industry Team
13
Strike Battlespace
Defined by Missile Range vs Time-of-Flight
Mach 6
Mach 5
Mach 4
Mach 3
Range To Target (nmi)
1800
Mach 2
1400
1000
Mach 1
600
Current Air/Surface Launch
Tactical Strike Capability
Time of Flight (min)
200
30
10/5/2005
NDIA LRS Industry Team
60
14
Long Range High-Speed Missile
Improves Time-Range Battlespace
Mach 6
Mach 5
Mach 4
Mach 3
Range To Target (nmi)
1800
Mach 2
1400
1000
Art of the Possible Air/Surface Launch
Long-Range Strike Capability
Mach 1
600
Current Air/Surface Launch
Tactical Strike Capability
Time of Flight (min)
200
30
10/5/2005
NDIA LRS Industry Team
60
15
High-Speed Missile System
Range vs Time-of-Flight Battlespace
Fly out designed for fuel load, speed, and thermal
Mach 6
Range To Target (nmi)
1800
Mach 5
Mach 4
Mach 3
Mid-Term
Technology
Mach 2
1400
Near-Term
Technology
1000
Mach 1
600
In-Service
Technology
200
Time of Flight (min)
30
10/5/2005
NDIA LRS Industry Team
60
16
Low Risk Vehicle Design Points Provide
Substantially Improved Battlespace
Mach 6
Mach 5
Mach 4
Mach 3
Range To Target (nmi)
1800
Mach 2
1400
1000
Near-Term
Air/Surface Launch 2320-5500 lb
(Concept 2)
600
200
Near-Term
Air/Surface Launch 2320 lb
(Concept 1)
Time of Flight (min)
30
10/5/2005
NDIA LRS Industry Team
60
17
Warfighter Sensitivity to Speed
125
Normalized Targets Engagable
Capabilities-Based Analysis
Initial Standoff Strike - Near-Peer Adversary Asset Laydown
Weapon
Block Speed
100
75
5,000 ft/sec
2,500 ft/sec
50
25
0
1,000 ft/sec
15
30
Sensor-to-Shooter Delay (min)
More Targets Reachable Before Hide Using High-speed Long-range Weapon
10/5/2005
NDIA LRS Industry Team
18
Operations Research Models Long Range
High-Speed Strike Weapons Benefits
TCTs: Time Critical Targets
HSW: High-Speed Weapon
Case 1
Baseline
• JDAM
• JSOW A
• JSOW B
• Paveway
• Maverick
• JASSM
• Tomahawk
• ERGM
Case 2
Baseline + HSW vs . Stationary TCTs
• Range = 600 nm
• Targets = Stationary TCTs
• Platform = Surface Launch
Case 3
Baseline + HSW vs . Stationary TCTs
• Range = 600 nm
• Targets = Stationary TCTs
• Platform = Surface Launch+AIR
Supersonic missile added to a baseline weapon set to
examine campaign level effect
10/5/2005
NDIA LRS Industry Team
19
High-Speed Long-Range
Capabilities Achieve Objectives Sooner
800
Cumulative TCT Kills
3. HSW, Stationary Targets,
Air & Surface Platforms
600
400
2. High-Speed Weapon
(HSW)
Stationary Target
Surface Platform
200
1. Current Weapons
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Days of Campaign
• Air-launched Fast Weapons Showed The Most Benefit Due To High
Sortie Rate
• Benefit Achieved Is A Shorter Campaign
10/5/2005
NDIA LRS Industry Team
20
Survivability is Altitude, Speed and
Observable Dependent
High
Excellent PS
Altitude
Stealth Driven Improvement
Low PS
Moderate PS
Good PS
Low
Low
High
Speed
10/5/2005
NDIA LRS Industry Team
21
Operational Availability
• Long Range Strike Weapons Will Be Highly Reliable
– Reliability Designed In and Verified in Development
– Wooden Round
– Reliability As a Key Performance Parameter
• Minimum Support Infrastructure
10/5/2005
NDIA LRS Industry Team
22
Technology Readiness Level (TRL)
Flight Vehicle Subsystems Focus
Generic Vehicle Architecture
BLUE: Design/Development Materials/Processes Readily Available Across Industry
GREEN: Focus Investment to Attain TRL >6/7; Target Set/Mach Number Dependent
•System Integration
•Airframe
- Structure
- Control Surfaces
- Thermal protection
• Guidance, Navigation, and Control
- Guidance and Control Unit ~ IMU ~ Data Link
- Actuators
- Seeker/Radome/IR Dome ~ as required
• Payload
- Penetrator/Blast Frag /Thermobaric /Fuzing/ Submunitions/Advanced Payloads
• Propulsion
- Inlet/Flow Path
- Fuel [Liquid/Solid]
- Combustor/Turbine/Fuel Control
10/5/2005
NDIA LRS Industry Team
23
Propulsion Technology Readiness Levels
Fiscal Year
Concept
05
06
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
Many Examples of Operational Solid Rockets
14
9
15 LRS/HSW
16 17 18
Considerations
9
9 Sizing
9
9
Low
ISP,
Not
Suitable
Solid Rocket
9
Supersonic Turbojet
6
6
6
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
RATTLRS Flight Testing (M=3-4)
VAATE Ground Testing (M=4+)
7
7
7
7
RATTLRS/VAATE
Adding Maturity
Liquid Fueled Ramjet
9
9
9
9
9
Variable Flow Ducted
Rocket
8
Dual Combustion
Ramjet
6
Solid Fueled Ramjet
5
SCRAMJET
6
6
6
Pulse Detonation
Engine
4
4
4
9
9
9
9
9
MA-31 Operational Use (M=2.5-3.5)
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9 in 9
Mature,
Production
9
9
9
9
9 in 9
Mature,
Production
9
7
7
7
7
HyFly7Adding
7
9
GQM-163A Flights (M=2.5); In Production
6
7
7
7
7
7
7
Maturity
HyFly Flight Demo Program (M=4-6)
5
5
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
No Govt.
Funded
6
6
6
6
Plans to Mature
6
7
7
7
7
7
7
SED Flight Tests (M=4.5-6.5)
NASA Wind Tunnel Tests
5
6
6
7
7
7
7
7
7 Limited
7
7
Funding
Schedule to Mature
7
7
7
7
No Govt.
Funded
Plans to Mature
Propulsion Technology Supports FY-08 Program Start
Vehicle Concepts
SCRAMJET
Variable Flow Ducted Rocket
Dual Combustion
RAMJET
Supersonic Turbo Jet
Liquid Fuel RAMJET
10/5/2005
NDIA LRS Industry Team
25
Notional Acquisition Program
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2005
Constant Base Year 2005 Dollars
SDD Period of Performance : Oct 2007 thru Sept 2012
50 Equivalent Test Units Delivered
Production Quantity Assumed to be 4,000 Units
Excludes Pre-SDD Concept / Technology Development Cost
Assumes All Up Round – no GFE Required for Production
Excludes Government Program Office, Test Facility, and Support Costs
Integration on one USAF and One USN platform
2006
2007
MS A
2009
2008
2010
2011
MS B
2014
2013
2012
2015
2016
2017
MS C
IOC
Ongoing Risk Reduction
System Design & Development
DT / OT
Low Rate Production
SDD Program = $800-900 M
10/5/2005
Full Production
AUPP= $500-800 K
NDIA LRS Industry Team
26
Summary and Recommendations
Summary
• High Speed, Long Range Weapons Have The Potential To Be A
Significant Force Multiplier
• Technology Readiness of Critical Subsystems Supports FY-08
Program Start
• USAF and USN Studies are Addressing the Same Requirement
• Development Cost Consistent with Current Generation Weapons
• Strong, Competitive Industrial Base
Recommendations
• Establish Joint Requirements (JCIDS)
• Coordinate Government Planned AoAs in FY-06 (USAF & USN)
• Conduct Program Cost Estimates to Support FY-08 POM
10/5/2005
NDIA LRS Industry Team
27