SHOW ME THE MONEY NOTES FROM THE FRONT LINES OF MEDIA ENTREPRENEURSHIP Mark Potts KDMC Boot Camp May 18, 2011 SHOW ME THE MONEY Getting started Finding a business model Raising money Making money Measuring success Failure Lessons learned A CAUTIONARY TALE So You Want To Do a Web Startup WHY JOURNALISM STARTUPS AREN’T LIKE JOURNALISM Math is required You have little or no control Mistakes are tolerated; failure is celebrated If you’re VERY lucky, you can make a lot of money GETTING STARTED WHAT YOU NEED A great idea However: “Execution matters more than the idea” — Union Square Ventures’ Fred Wilson Great people “Talent attracts capital, not the other way around” — NYC Chief Digital Officer Rachel Sterne Money Optional, but preferable A business model Not optional Gumption, fortitude and patience FINDING A BUSINESS MODEL BUSINESS MODEL VS. BUSINESS PLAN BUSINESS MODEL How an organization creates, delivers and captures value A series of educated guesses about a customer problem and the product solution Ideas and assumptions you can test over and over BUSINESS PLAN An exercise in creative writing Your business model, in presentation/written/spr eadsheet form Where do the numbers come from? You make them up! Still: An important exercise, to think through and present your idea DEVELOPING YOUR BUSINESS MODEL Your business model is just a set of hypotheses They need to be tested and verified (preferably with customers) Ask yourself difficult questions Listen to the answers! Your worst, nagging fears are invariably correct Take time to think through alternative possibilities Odds are, where you wind up won’t be where you started out QUESTIONS YOU NEED TO ANSWER (Adapted from Business Model Generation—Osterwalder & Pigneur) Who’s your customer? What’s your value proposition? What problem do you solve? For-profit? Non-profit? Eyeballs first? Revenue first? Investors? Loans? Grants? Revenue? Bootstrapping? What’s your basic model? Where’s your startup capital coming from? What skills do you need besides yours? What other resources do you need? How are you going to get the word out? Who are your competitors? (Honestly) What could possibly go wrong? (Honestly!) FOR-PROFIT? OR NON-PROFIT? Non-profit is a tax status, not a business model Either way, you have to break even. At least Successful non-profits are run just like businesses There’s no free lunch—or free money FOR-PROFIT? OR NON-PROFIT? FOR-PROFIT Raise money from investors Beholden to customers, subscribers, advertisers Have to answer to investors Revenue provides working capital You get to keep what’s left over NON-PROFIT Raise money from foundations, donations Beholden to funders (just ask NPR!) Regular trips to the fund-raising well Fewer sources of revenue You can’t keep what’s left over THE FACTS OF BUSINESS MODEL LIFE No business model survives the first customer contact Don’t build your company until you’ve verified your business model Adapt and iterate your business model until it works Try, try, try again. Rinse. Repeat. THINK BIG (ENOUGH) Properly assess market size and potential Plan for growth Dare to dream Don’t undersell—or underprice Think like a businessperson, not a journalist TURNING A BUSINESS MODEL INTO A BUSINESS PLAN Tell your story Keep it direct, clear and simple Highlight your strengths Be positive: You’re selling yourself and your idea Don’t overhype Cover all bases (and beware gaping holes) Where possible, show, don’t tell Demos/screenshots are worth 1,000 words Prepare for rejection Iterate and fine-tune RAISING MONEY SOURCES OF STARTUP MONEY Bootstrapping When you love it so much you’d do it for free Family and friends Remember, you can lose their money Loans Grants Government funding SOURCES OF STARTUP MONEY Incubators Angels and seeds Venture capital Find the right VCs Prepare for rejection Prepare to be micromanaged (not a bad thing) The art of keiretsu Wall Street IPO! A HARD FACT: RAISING MONEY AIN’T EASY Find the right people to pitch to Connections help. A lot What are the odds? A VC’s week: Hundreds of plans A couple dozen pitches 98% rejection rate Knight News Challenge, 2007-2010: 10,000 plans submitted 50 funded Prepare for rejection Constantly revise and hone your pitch MAKING MONEY A FIELD GUIDE TO REVENUE SOURCES THE USUAL SUSPECTS Advertising Ads you sell Self-serve ads Google AdSense/contextual ads Ad networks Directories Sponsorships Deals of the day/coupons Subscriptions Memberships Syndication A FIELD GUIDE TO REVENUE SOURCES OTHER REVENUE STREAMS Advertiser services Data Website/Social media help Mobile advertising Conferences, events, classes Selling stuff Donations MEASURING SUCCESS POP QUIZ: WHICH OF THESE ARE SUCCESSFUL BUSINESSES? The Washington Post HuffingtonPost YouTube Twitter Patch Facebook WHAT IS SUCCESS? Not buzz Not Twitter followers Not Facebook fans Not scoops Not even a devoted audience (though all of these are components of success) WHAT IS SUCCESS? Success is still being around in five years…and beyond Success is building a sustainable business BE SURE YOU KNOW HOW TO MEASURE SUCCESS Covering ALL costs Paying a living wage (and benefits) Reaching a loyal audience Satisfying customers (advertisers) Providing value Turning a profit Satisfying investors/funders FAILURE IN JOURNALISM, “FAILURE” IS A DIRTY WORD You got scooped You blew the story You missed a deadline You misspelled a word in a headline You missed a key detail You screwed up somebody’s name IN STARTUPS, IT’S OK TO FAIL It happens 90 percent of the time Failure is a teachable moment In Silicon Valley, failure is a badge of honor “This one didn’t work out. That’s OK—the next one will.” — Legendary VC John Doerr VCs often prefer to fund failed entrepreneurs rather than newbies Learn from failure and mistakes HOW TO FAIL Fail fast Fail smart Fail graciously STARTUPS: LESSONS LEARNED 10 THINGS YOU NEED TO KNOW ABOUT STARTUPS 1. Startups are really, really hard work 2. They’re not for everybody 3. It’s a constant roller-coaster 4. Things never move quickly enough 5. Prepare to be discouraged 10 THINGS YOU NEED TO KNOW ABOUT STARTUPS 6. Listen to what people tell you (but don’t believe all of it) 7. Have a sense of humor and play 8. Get comfortable wearing many different hats 9. Be flexible about EVERYTHING: something will always change—radically 10.Startups are really, really hard work MISTAKES I’VE MADE Hiring the wrong people (and not firing them) Moving too slowly Inflexibility Not asking for help Being too early to the dance Not enough runway “WHY DO YOU KEEP DOING THIS?” It’s a great challenge You get to call your own shots The chance to create something new The (slim) chance to make a lot of money It’s great fun THE FUTURE OF JOURNALISM BELONGS TO ENTREPRENEURS They’re more innovative They’re more flexible They’re passionate They’re not encumbered by legacy thinking and problems They’re fearless MICHAEL CORLEONE ON STARTUPS (from Godfather II) Michael: [about the unrest in Cuba] We saw a strange thing on our way here. Some rebels were being arrested, and instead of being arrested, one of them pulled the pin on a grenade he had hidden in his jacket. He took himself and the captain of the command with him. Guest: Ah, the rebels are insane! Michael: Maybe. But the soldiers are paid to fight; the rebels aren't. Hyman Roth: What does that tell you? Michael: They can win.