Econ 101: Microeconomics Chapter 10: Monopolistic Competition And Oligopoly Monopolistic Competition And Oligopoly On any given day, you are probably exposed to hundreds of advertisements • Advertising is everywhere in the economy So far in this book not much has been said about advertising • There is a good reason for this • In perfect competition and monopoly firms do little, if any, advertising Where, then, is all the advertising coming from? • We must consider firms that are neither perfect competitors nor monopolists Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 2 The Concept of Imperfect Competition Refers to market structures between perfect competition and monopoly • • In imperfectly competitive markets, there is more than one seller, but too few to create a perfectly competitive market Imperfectly competitive markets often violate other conditions of perfect competition • Such as the requirement of a standardized product or free entry and exit Types of imperfectly competitive markets • • Monopolistic competition Oligopoly Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 3 Monopolistic Competition Hybrid of perfect competition and monopoly, sharing some of features of each • A monopolistically competitive market has three fundamental characteristics • Many buyers and sellers • Sellers offer a differentiated product • Sellers can easily enter or exit the market Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 4 Many Buyers and Sellers Under monopolistic competition, an individual buyer is unable to influence price he pays • But an individual seller, in spite of having many competitors, decides what price to charge Our assumption of many sellers, however, has another purpose • To ensure that no strategic games will be played among firms in market • There are so many firms, each supplying such a small part of the market • That no one of them needs to worry that its actions will be noticed—and reacted to—by others Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 5 Sellers Offer a Differentiated Product Each seller produces a somewhat different product from the others Faces a downward-sloping demand curve • In this sense is more like a monopolist than a • perfect competitor When it raises its price a modest amount, quantity demanded will decline (but not all the way to zero) Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 6 Sellers Offer a Differentiated Product What makes a product differentiated? • • Quality of product Difference in location Product differentiation is a subjective matter • A product is different whenever people think that it is • Whether their perception is accurate or not Thus, whenever a firm (that is not a monopoly) faces a downward-sloping demand curve, we know buyers perceive its product as differentiated • This perception may be real or illusory, but economic implications are the same in either case • Firm chooses its price Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 7 Easy Entry and Exit This feature is shared by monopolistic competition and perfect competition • Plays the same role in both • Ensures firms earn zero economic profit in long-run In monopolistic competition, however, assumption about easy entry goes further • No barrier stops any firm from copying the successful business of other firms Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 8 Monopolistic Competition in the Short-Run Individual monopolistic competitor behaves very much like a monopoly Key difference is this • While a monopoly is the only seller in its • market, a monopolistic competitor is one of many sellers When a monopolistic competitor raises its price, its customers have one additional option • Can buy similar good from some other firm Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 9 Figure 1: A Monopolistically Competitive Firm in the Short Run Dollars $70 1. Kafka services 250 homes per month, where MC and MR intersect . . . A ATC 2. and charges $70 per home. d1 30 MR1 3. ATC at 250 units is less than price, so profit per unit is positive. 4. Kafka's monthly profit–$10,000–is the area of the shaded rectangle. 250 Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles MC Homes Serviced per Month 10 Monopolistic Competition in the Long-Run Under monopolistic competition—in which there are no barriers to entry and exit—the firm will not enjoy its profit for long • Under monopolistic competition, firms can earn positive or negative economic profit in short-run • Entry will continue to occur, and demand curve will continue to shift leftward But in long-run, free entry and exit will ensure that each firm earns zero economic profit just as under perfect competition In real world, monopolistic competitors often earn economic profit or loss in the short-run • But—given enough time—profits attract new entrants, and losses result in an industry shakeout • Until firms are earning zero economic profit Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 11 Figure 2: A Monopolistically Competitive Firm in the Long Run In the long run, profit attracts entry, which shifts the firm's demand curve leftward. Dollars MC ATC $40 E The typical firm produces where its new MR crosses MC. MR2 100 Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles Entry continues until P = ATC at the best output level, and economic profit is zero. d2 250 MR1 d1 Homes Serviced per Month 12 Excess Capacity Under Monopolistic Competition In long-run, a monopolistic competitor will operate with excess capacity • Will produce too little output to achieve minimum cost per unit Excess capacity suggests that monopolistic competition is costly to consumers May tempt you to leap to a conclusion • Consumers are better off under perfect competition; however • In order to get beneficial results of perfect competition, • all firms must produce identical output Consumers usually benefit from product differentiation Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 13 Non-price Competition If monopolistic competitor wants to increase its output it can cut its price • Any action a firm takes to increase demand for its output— other than cutting its price—is called non-price competition • Move along its demand curve Examples include better service, product guarantees, free home delivery, more attractive packaging Non-price competition is another reason why monopolistic competitors earn zero economic profit in long-run All this non-price competition is costly • • Must pay for advertising, for product guarantees, for better staff training Costs must be included in each firm’s ATC curve, shifting it upward None of this changes conclusion that monopolistic competitors will earn zero economic profit in long-run Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 14 Oligopoly When just a few large firms dominate a market • • • So that actions of each one have an important impact on the others Would be foolish for any one firm to ignore its competitors’ reactions In such a market, each firm recognizes its strategic interdependence with others An oligopoly is a market dominated by a small number of strategically interdependent firms Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 15 Market Domination and Economies of Scale Strategic interdependence requires that a few firms— whatever their number—dominate the market • Their share of market is large When minimum efficient scale (MES) for a typical firm is a relatively large percentage of market • A large firm—supplying a large share of the market—will have lower cost per unit than a small firm • • Since small firms can’t compete, only a few large firms survive • Market becomes an oligopoly Tends to happen on its own unless there is government intervention • Such a market is often called a natural oligopoly—analogous to natural monopoly Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 16 Reputation as a Barrier A new entrant may suffer just from being new • Established oligopolists are likely to have favorable reputations In some cases, where potential profits are great, investors may decide it is worth the risk and accept initial losses in order to enter industry In other industries, the initial losses may be too great and probability of success too low for investors to risk their money starting a new firm Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 17 Strategic Barriers Oligopoly firms often pursue strategies designed to keep out potential competitors • • • • Maintain excess production capacity as a signal to a potential entrant that they could easily saturate market and leave new entrant with little or no revenue Make special deals with distributors to receive best shelf space in retail stores Make long-term arrangements with customers to ensure that their products are not displaced quickly by those of a new entrant Spend large amounts on advertising to make it difficult for a new entrant to differentiate its product Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 18 Legal Barriers Patents and copyrights—which can be responsible for monopoly—can also create oligopolies Like monopolies, oligopolies are not shy about lobbying government to preserve their market domination Government barriers can operate against domestic entrants, too Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 19 The Game Theory Approach Oligopoly presents the greatest challenge to economists Economist have had to modify tools used to analyze other market structures and to develop entirely new tools as well to analyze oligopoly behavior Game theory • An approach to modeling strategic interaction of oligopolists in terms of moves and countermoves In all games—except those of pure chance, such as roulette—a player’s strategy must take account of the strategies followed by other players Game theory analyzes oligopoly decisions as if they were games by • • • Looking at the rules players must follow Payoffs they are trying to achieve Strategies they can use to achieve them Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 20 The Prisoner’s Dilemma Easiest way to understand how game theory works is to start with a simple, non-economic example—the prisoner’s dilemma • Explains why a technique for obtaining confessions, commonly used by police, is so often successful Each of four boxes in payoff matrix represents one of four possible strategy combinations that might be selected in this game • • • • Upper left box: Both Rose and Colin confess Lower left box: Colin confesses and Rose doesn’t Upper right box: Rose confesses and Colin doesn’t Lower right box: Neither Rose nor Colin confesses Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 21 Figure 3: The Prisoner’s Dilemma Colin’s Actions Confess Don’t Confess Colin gets 20 years Confess Rose gets 20 years Colin gets 30 years Rose gets 20 years Rose’s Actions Colin gets 3 years Don’t Confess Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles Rose gets 20 years Colin gets 5 years Rose gets 20 years 22 The Prisoner’s Dilemma Regardless of Rose’s strategy Colin’s best choice is to confess • In this game, the strategy “confess” is an example of a dominant strategy • Outcome of this game is an example of a Nash equilibrium—appropriately named after the mathematician John Nash, who originated the concept • Strategy that is best for a player regardless of strategy of other player Exists when each player is taking the best action—given actions taken by other players As long as each player acts in an entirely self-interested manner Nash equilibrium is best outcome for both of them Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 23 Simple Oligopoly Games Same method used to understand behavior of Rose and Colin in prisoner’s dilemma can be applied to a simple oligopoly market Duopoly • Assume that Gus and Filip must make their decisions independently • Oligopoly market with only two sellers Without knowing in advance what the other will do No matter what Filip does, Gus’s best move is to charge a low price—his dominant strategy Notice that outcome is a Nash equilibrium • Equilibrium price in market is the low price Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 24 Figure 4: A Duopoly Game Gus’s Actions Low Price High Price Gus’s profit = $25,000 Low Price Filip’s Profit = $25,000 Gus’s profit = –$10,000 Filip’s Profit = $75,000 Filip’s Actions Gus’s profit = $75,000 High Price Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles Filip’s Profit = $–10,000 Gus’s profit = $50,000 Filip’s Profit = $50,000 25 Oligopoly Games in the Real World Will typically be more than two strategies from which to choose Will usually be more than two players In some games, one or more players may not have a dominant strategy • • A game with two players will have a Nash equilibrium as long as at least one player has a dominant strategy • Whether the other has a dominant strategy or not When neither player has a dominant strategy, we need a more sophisticated analysis to predict an outcome to the game Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 26 Oligopoly Games in the Real World We’ve limited the players to one play of the game • In reality, for gas stations and almost all other oligopolies, there is repeated play • Where both players select a strategy • Observe the outcome of the trial • Play the game again and again, as long as they remain rivals One possible result of repeated trials is cooperative behavior Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 27 Cooperative Behavior in Oligopoly In real world, oligopolists will usually get more than one chance to choose their prices The equilibrium in a game with repeated plays may be very different from equilibrium in a game played only once • Often, firms will evolve some form of cooperation in the long run Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 28 Explicit Collusion Simplest form of cooperation is explicit collusion • Most extreme form of explicit collusion is creation of a cartel • Group of firms that tries to maximize total profits of the group as a whole If explicit collusion to raise prices is such a good thing for oligopolists, why don’t they all do it? • • Managers meet face-to-face to decide how to set prices Usually illegal Penalties, if the oligopolists are caught, can be severe But oligopolists can collude in other, implicit ways Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 29 Tacit Collusion Any time firms cooperate without an explicit agreement, they are engaging in tacit collusion Tit for tat • A game-theoretic strategy of doing to another player this period what he has done to you in previous period However, gentle reminder of tit-for-tat is not always effective in maintaining tacit collusion • Oligopolist will sometimes go further • Attempting to punish a firm that threatens to destroy tacit cooperation Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 30 Tacit Collusion Another form of tacit collusion is price leadership • One firm—the price leader—sets its price and other sellers copy that price With price leadership, there is no formal agreement • • Rather the decisions come about because firms realize—without formal discussion—that system benefits all of them Decisions include • Choice of leader • Criteria it uses to set its price • Willingness of other firms to follow Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 31 The Limits to Collusion Oligopoly power—even with collusion— has its limits • Even colluding firms are constrained by • • market demand curve Collusion—even when it is tacit—may be illegal Collusion is limited by powerful incentives to cheat on any agreement Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 32 The Incentive to Cheat Go back to Gus and Filip for a moment • • Maybe, and maybe not • • • One way or another they arrive at high-price cooperative solution Will the market stay there? Problem—each player may conclude that he can do even better by cheating Two players would be back to noncooperative outcome based on their dominant strategies May be in each player’s interest to cheat occasionally Analyzing this sort of behavior requires some rather sophisticated game theory models • Economists are actively engaged in building them Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 33 When is Cheating Likely? While no firm wants to completely destroy a collusive agreement by cheating • • • Since this would mean a return to the noncooperative equilibrium wherein each firm earns lower profit Some firms may be willing to risk destroying agreement if benefits are great enough Suggests that cheating is most likely to occur—and collusion will be least successful—under the following conditions • Difficulty observing other firms’ prices • Unstable market demand • Large number of sellers Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 34 The Future of Oligopoly Some people think U.S. and other Western economies are moving toward oligopoly as dominant market structure • In 1932, two economists—Adolf Berle and Gardiner Means—noted trend toward big business • Predicted the 200 largest U.S. firms would control nation’s entire economy by 1970 • Unless something were done to stop it Prediction has not come true • Today, there are hundreds and thousands of ongoing businesses in United States Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 35 Antitrust Legislation and Enforcement Antitrust enforcement has focused on three types of actions • • • Preventing collusive agreements among firms • Such as price-fixing agreements Breaking up or limiting activities of large firms—oligopolists and monopolists—whose market dominance harms consumers Preventing mergers that would lead to harmful market domination Managers of other firms considering anticompetitive moves have to think long and hard about consequences of acts that might violate antitrust laws While thrust of these policies is to preserve competition • Type of competition preserved—and zeal with which policies are applied—can shift Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 36 The Globalization of Markets By enlarging markets from national ones to global ones, international trade can increase the number of firms in a market • Decreasing market dominance by a few, and increasing competition Although oligopolists often try to prevent it, they face increasingly stiff competition from foreign producers Entry of U.S. producers has helped to increase competition in foreign markets for movies, television shows, clothing, household cleaning products, and prepared foods While consumers in each nation may have access to more firms, these may be larger and more powerful firms • Creating greater likelihood of strategic interaction and danger of collusion Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 37 Technological Change Technological change works to increase competition by creating new substitute goods Can reduce barriers to entry in much the same way that globalization does • Technology—the internet—has enabled residents in many smaller towns to choose among a dozen or more online sellers of the same merchandize • • By increasing size of market Trend can also be seen as encouraging oligopoly Result could be strategic interaction, or collusion, among large national players Finally, some technologies actually increase MES of typical firm • Thereby encouraging formation of oligopolies Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 38 Figure 5a: Advertising in Monopolistic Competition 1.Before advertising, long-run economic profit is zero. Dollars $120 4. Advertising can lead to a higher price in the long run, as in this panel . . . 3. But in the long run, imitation and entry bring economic profit back to zero. B C 100 60 2. In the short run, the first firms to advertise earn economic profit. ATCads ATCno ads A dads dno ads 1,000 2,000 Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles dall advertise 6,000 Bottles of Perfume per Month 39 Figure 5b: Advertising in Monopolistic Competition Dollars $120 60 50 5. or to a lower price B in the long run, as in this panel. dall advertise A C ATCads ATCno ads dads dno ads 1,000 2,000 Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 6,000 Bottles of Perfume per Month 40 Figure 6: An Advertising Game American's Actions Run Safety Ads Don't Run Ads Run Safety Ads United's Actions Don't Run Ads Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles American earns low profit United earns low profit American earns high profit United earns very low profit American earns very low profit United earns high profit American earns medium United profit earns medium profit 41 Problem #8 In Promaine Flats, Nevada there are two restaurants: Sal Monella and Road Kill Café. Current profit =$7000 each. If clean up will attract more customers, but profit becomes $5000 each. However, if clean up and doesn’t clean up then $12000 and $3000. a. What is the payoff matrix? b. What is each player’s dominant strategy? c. What will be the outcome of the game? d. Suppose the two restaurants will face the decision repeatedly. How might the outcome differ? e. Suppose the clean restaurant earns $6000 when one clean up and one stays dirty. What is the outcome? Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 42