Engineering Economics Bo Hu John Nieber Topics Menu Basics Financial reporting Journals, ledgers Balance sheets Income statements Financial ratios Costing of products & process equipment Cost estimation Financial analysis (Profitability) Capital investment Return on Investment (ROI) Payback period Venture Profit Annualized Cost Net present value Investor’s rate of return (Discounted Cash Flow) Cash flow diagram Depreciation Basics Interest Fee charged for borrowing someone else’s money Interest rate Percentage of money borrowed charged by lender. Simple Interest Fixed interest of the principal ($ borrowed) Compound Interest Percentage interest applied to principal + previously accumulated interest. Time Value of Money Money increases in value with time due to interest. Inflation National economies experience increased cost of goods with time which is termed inflation. Taxes Interest gained in an investment is taxed by the govt. Cash Flows Difference between total cash receipts (inflow) and total cash disbursements (outflow) in a period of time (usually, one year). Financial Statements, Records, and Reports • Journal – Debit and Credit Transactions • Ledger – Transactions for a particular account category • Balance Sheet – Assets and Liabilities • Income statement (Profit/Loss) – Record of profits and losses • Cash flow statement – Summary of cash flows in a given period. Journal JOURNAL Page 43 Debit ($) Credit ($) 2002 June 3 Heat Exchanger Cash Purchase of a HEX for ammonia plant 4 Cash Ammonia product Sales of product from ammonia plant ABC 6 Land Cash Purchase of land in Iowa from XYZ 15 11 80 450 11 12 125 000 20 11 265 000 BANK ACCOUNT, LEDGER 11 June 1 4 Balance forward Sales 125 000 265 000 Source : SSL p. 473 Ledger 2002 80 450 Debit ($) 2002 42 500 000 43 125 000 June Page 5 Credit ($) 3 6 Purchase Purchase 43 43 80 450 265 000 Source : SSL p. 474 Balance Sheet ASSETS Current Assets Cash and cash equivalents Marketable securities Accounts receivable Inventories : Finished products and work in progress Materials and supplies Deferred income tax assets Total current assets Investments In nonconsolidated affiliates Other Total investments Property Land Buildings Plant machinery and equipment Office equipment Computer software Less accumulated depreciation Net property Other Assets Goodwill Other intangible assets Total other assets 107 45 2692 1420 312 54 4630 544 1476 2020 200 2190 7684 645 242 -6006 4955 952 1654 2606 Source : SSL p. 475 TOTAL ASSETS 14211 Balance Sheet (cont.) LIABILITIES Current liabilities Short term debt (payable within one year) Accounts payable Income taxes payable Deferred income tax liabilities Dividends payable Accrued current liabilities Total current liabilities Long -Term Debt Other Noncurrent Liabilities Pension and other post-retirement benefits Reserve for discontinued operations Other noncurrent obligations Total other noncurrent liabilities TOTAL LIABILITIES STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY Common stock (authorized 2,000,000,000 shares at $1.00 par value; 1,000,000,000 issued) Capital in excess of par value of common stock Retained earnings Less treasury stock at cost, 300,000,000 shares NET STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY TOTAL LIABILITIES + STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY 150 2773 130 21 104 975 4153 3943 832 78 784 1754 9850 1000 4230 2559 -3428 4361 14211 Source : SSL p. 476 Income Statement Net sales Cost of goods sold GROSS PROFIT OPERATING EXPENSES Research and development expenses Selling, general, and administrative expenses Insurance and finance company operations Amortization and adjustments of goodwill TOTAL OPERATING EXPENSES INCOME FROM OPERATIONS Interest expenses GROSS INCOME Provision for income taxes NET INCOME 11,504 9,131 2373 446 439 34 64 983 1390 185 1205 402 803 Source : SSL p. 478 Cash Flow Statement OPERATING ACTIVITIES Net income available for common stockholders Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash: Depreciation Depletion Amortization Provision for deferred income tax Net gain (loss) on sales of property Changes in assets and liabilities involving cash: Accounts and notes receivable Inventories Accounts payable CASH PROVIDED BY OPERATING ACTIVITIES INVESTING ACTIVITIES Capital expenditures Sales of property Sales (purchases) of investments CASH PROVIDED IN INVESTING ACTIVITIES FINANCIAL ACTIVITIES Payments on long-term debt Purchases of treasury stock Proceeds from sales of preferred stock Dividends paid to stockholders CASH PROVIDED (USED) IN FINANCING ACTIVITIES INCREASE (DECREASE) IN CASH AND CASH EQUIV. 3151 675 383 486 125 -103 -441 -389 315 4202 -1227 231 2221 1225 -524 -15 620 -485 -404 5023 Source : SSL p. 479 Prepare for the class discussion • Choose one of your favorite companies and search their balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement in the year 2009. • During the class, we are going to analyze their financial ratio and see whether these companies are considered healthy. Financial Ratios • Financial Ratios (to measure the profitability of company) • Current ratio : (current assets)/(current liabilities) =2 • Acid-Test (Quick) Ratio : (current assets minus inventory)/(current liabilities) =1-2 • Equity Ratio : (stock holders’ equity)/(total assets) =0.5 • Return on Total Assets (ROA) : (income before interest and taxes) / (total assets) • Return on Equity (ROE) : (income before interest and taxes)/(common stockholders’ equity) • Operating Margin : (income from operations)/(net sales) • Profit Margin (net income after taxes)/(net sales) Cost estimate Product Cost Product cost breakdown (simple case) Total cost = MC + LC + IC MC = Material cost LC = Labor cost IC = Indirect cost (overhead) MC = $ per kg of materials x mass utilized LC = $ per hour rate x hours worked IC = $freight + $overhead + $contractor expenses…etc Capital Investment Installation Cost Direct module expenses Equipment purchase price Installation materials cost ---------------------------------------------------- Total $A Direct field labor Material for construction Equipment setting ---------------------------------------------------- Total $B Indirect module expenses Freight, Construction overhead, Contractor engineering expenses ---------------------------------------------------- Total $C BARE MODULE COST = $A+$B+$C Capacity Cost Estimation M Q C E C B QB where C E equipment cost with capacity Q C B known base cost for equipment with capacity QB M constant depending on equipment type C1 INDEX 1 C2 INDEX 2 where C1 equipment cost in year 1 C2 equipment cost in year 2 INDEX 1 cost index in year 1 INDEX 2 cost index in year 2 from R. Smith (2005) Capital costing C F f i C E ,i i where C F fixed capital cost for the complete system C E ,i cost of equipment i f i installati on factor for equipment i or C F f I C E ,i from R. Smith (2005) i where f I overall installati on factor for the complete system Equipment cost M Q f M f P fT C E C B QB where C E equipment cost with capacity Q C B known base cost for equipment with capacity QB M constant depending on equipment type f M correction factor for materials of construction f P correction factor for design pressure fT correction factor for design temperature From R. Smith (2005) Sources of Financial Data Seider et al. (2004) Product and Process Design Principles. Smith, Robin, (2005) Chemical Process : Design and Integration The Chemical Engineering (CE) Plant Cost Index The Marshall & Swift (MS) Equipment Cost Index The Nelson-Farrar (NF) Refinery Construction Cost Index The Engineering News-Record (ENR) Construction Cost Index Financial Analysis Return on Investment Payback period Venture Profit Annualized Cost Net present value Investor’s rate of return Cash Flows Depreciation Financial Analysis • Return on investment (ROI) Annual ( Net ) Earnings (Total ) Capital Investment (1 t )( S C ) CTCI Return on Investment where t sum of U.S. federal and state income tax rates S annual sales revenues C annual production cost C TCI total capital investment Financial Analysis • Payback Period Total depreciabl e capital Net earnings annual depreciation CTDC CTDC ( 1 t )( S C ) D cash flow Payback Period (PBP) where t sum of U.S. federal and state income tax rates S annual sales revenues C annual production cost CTDC total depreciabl e capital Financial Analysis • Venture Profit (VP) Venture Profit (VP) Net earnings iminCTCI ( 1 t )( S C ) iminCTCI where t sum of U.S. federal and state income tax rates S annual sales revenues C annual production cost CTCI total capital investment imin minimum acceptable return on investment Financial Analysis • Annualized Cost Annualized Cost C A C iminCTCI where C annual production cost CTCI total capital investment imin minimum acceptable return on investment Financial Analysis • Present Value of an Annuity (PV) Present Worth P Future value F of an annuity of an annuity (1 i) n where F future value of an annuity i interest n number of interest periods Financial Analysis • Net Present Value (NPV) n Net Present Value (NPV) | CF0 | CF j ( P / F ,i%, j ) j 1 n | CF0 | CFj j 1 (special case CF j A) 1 (1 i )j | CF0 | A( P / A,i%, n ) where F future value of an annuity i interest P present value n number of interest periods A fixed sum of money paid CF cash flow CF0 initial cash flow (This method is also called the discounted cash flow method) Financial Analysis • Investor’s Rate of Return Investor' s Rate of Return (IRR) Discounted Cash Flow ROR NPV { r } 0 for r where r interest for zero NPV Financial Analysis • Cash Flow and Depreciation Cash Flow – see Cash flow diagrams. Depreciation – decrease in value of something over time. Payments Time Investment $ Equipment Value $ Depreciation Time References • Seider,Seader, Lewin, (2004) Product and Process Design Principles, Wiley. • Blank et al. (1989) Engineering Economy, 3rd Edition, McGraw-Hill. • Smith, Robin (2005) Chemical Process : Design and Integration, Wiley.