A Transaction Cost Approach to Make-or-Buy Decisions Gordon Walker and David Weber Administrative Science Quarterly, 29 (1984): 373-391 Focus of This Paper • This paper focuses on the Make-or-Buy decision as a paradigmatic problem for analyzing transaction costs. Structure of This Paper • Reviewing existing theory; • Assumptions for the study in this paper; • Building models for testing the theory Hypothesis; Data; Method; Results • Discussion Reviewing Existing Theory • Ways of Managing the Buyer-Supplier relationship 1. Ouchi, Harrigan, Blois 2. This paper use “Prototypical choice” • Anderson(1982) and Monteverde & Teece (1982a) 1. Asset specificity; uncertainty 2. Asset specificity on backward integration Reviewing Existing Theory • Williamson’s Efficient boundaries Framework (1981) 1. The administrative mechanisms whose efficiency is at issue 2. The dimensions of transactions that determine how efficiently a particular administrative mechanism performs 3. Assumptions • Assume sufficient uncertainty was inherent in all transactions – difficult for buyer to neutralize potential supplier opportunism effectively through contingent claims contracts • Assume different types of uncertainty influenced transaction costs independent of the level of asset specificity • Consider two types of uncertainty – volume (i.e., demand) and technological Model in This Paper - Hypotheses H1/r1 Volume uncertainty leads to making rather than buying a component H2/β1 Technological uncertainty increases the likelihood of a make rather than a buy decision. H3/β2 The higher the supplier production cost advantage, the more likely the firm is to buy rather than make a component. H4/r2 The competitiveness of the supplier market increases the production cost advantage of suppliers over buyers. H5/r3 Greater supplier market competition should lead to buying the component. H6/r4 The experience a buyer has in producing a component reduces the production cost advantage of the supplier over the buyer. H7/r5 Buyer experience in producing a component increases the likelihood of a buy decision. H8/r6 Buyer experience in component production reduces technological uncertainty associated with the component. Model in This Paper - Indicators Volume Uncertainty Expected Volume Fluctuations Uncertain Volume Estimates Technological Uncertainty Supplier Production Competition among Buyer Experience Advantage suppliers Changes in Difference in specifications Manufacturing competitive quotes Buyer tools and equipment Difference in scale of operations Number of suppliers Buyer manufacturing technology Annual savings to make a component Suppilier proprietary technology porcess Technological improvements Model in This Paper – Data and Methods • 60 decisions; one component division of a large U.S. automobile manufacturer; three years • Un-weighted least squares (ULS) Model in This Paper - Results Model in This Paper - Results Supplier Competition (reverse scale) -.316* Technological uncertainty .155 Volume uncertainty Supplier Production advantage .862* Buyer experience -.315* .034 -.284* Make or Buy decision 11 Discussion Limitations of this paper • Small sample size; data from single corporation division – limit the generalizability of findings • Relative simplicity of the components – failure of part of the model For managers’ use: when more information is needed? • Data were available as a base for judgments • Data must be related to more general experience • Manager’s judgment based on extensive general experience rather than specific data For Future Study • Implicit assumption – costs of administering inter-functional coordination within the firm were virtually independent of the transaction costs associated with contracting in the market – Is it valid? Other Discussions