The J.M. Smucker Company: PEST and Industry Analyses By: Kati Wilkerson Incorporated 1912 - Orrville, OH by Jerome M. Smucker 2010 Sales: $4.6 Billion Industry: Packaged and Processed Goods 80% coming from U.S. Markets Sector: Consumer Goods Products: fruit spreads, retail packaged coffee, peanut butter, shortening and oils, ice cream toppings, sweetened condensed milk, and health and natural foods beverages Acquired U.S. Brands: Crisco, Dunkin’ Donuts, Eagle Brand, Folgers, Hungry Jack, Jif, Martha White, Millstone, Pillsbury, Kava, Nature’s Peak, Knott’s Berry Farm, Santa Cruz Organic, and many more Acquired Foreign (Canadian) Brands: Bick’s, Double Fruit, Europe’s Best, Golden Temple, Robin Hood, and Shirriff Target Market: Working mothers of the middle class CEOs: Timothy P. Smucker and Richard K. Smucker Employs 4,850 full-time employees Market Share: 17.31% 9/52 Operates in U.S., Canada, and Australia with consumers in 65 countries Competes in the U.S. Retail Coffee Market, U.S. Retail Consumer Market, U.S. Retail Oils and Baking Market, and Special Markets Products sold via direct sales and brokers to food retailers, food wholesalers, drug stores, club stores, mass merchandisers, discount and dollar stores, military commissaries, health and natural food stores, restaurants, schools and universities, and healthcare operators Key Competitors: ConAgra Foods, Inc.; Kraft Foods, Inc.; Unilever; Nestle; General Mills, Inc. U.S. Retail Coffee 19% 37% 20% U.S. Retail Consumer U.S. Retail Oils and Baking 24% Special Factor Trend Evaluation Impact Rank in (Threat = T; Opportunity = O) (1 = low; 5 = high) Terms of Importance Political Food safety regulations NAFTA regulations Trade Regulations T/O O T 1 2 4 11 10 7 Economical Volatility in commodity market prices Foreign exchange risk Natural disasters Union unrest T T T/O T 4 3 5 4 4 9 2 5 Social Changes in customer coffee preference Transition to healthier foods Increasing employment of women T/O 4 3 O 5 1 O 3 8 O 3 6 Technological Technological advances in “going green” Food Safety Regulations Regulations by FDA could increase costs for R & D Having natural products, rules & regulations easily met NAFTA Regulations Free trade between U.S. & Canada Easier to conduct business with Canadian brands Volatility in Commodity Market Prices Increasing costs of raw materials (farmed produce & crude oil) Higher prices encourage consumers to buy generic Foreign Exchange Risk International operations and assets in foreign currency Currency fluctuations could negatively impact foreign investments Draughts, flooding, etc. Cause poor quality goods, low production, and destruction of produce 32% of employees of 10 facilities are covered by union contracts Results of collective bargaining, the financial situation, the business itself, and operations severely affected Natural Disasters Union Unrest: Strikes & Work Stoppages Change in Consumer Coffee Preferences Coffee represents significant portion of sales Transition to Healthier Foods Opportunity: offers 100% natural foods Increasing # of Women in Work Force Women are holding high employment numbers Lost market share if consumers change preferences Products are working-mother “friendly – save time for moms on-the-go Opportunity: differentiate coffee brands from competitors to make its brands preferred Technologic Advances: “Going Green” Brands, including Santa Cruz Organic, utilize environmentally friendly means of energy Appeals to consumers concerned with the environment Factor Evaluation Intensity of Rivalry Strong Force Buyer Power Strong Force Supplier Power Benign Threat of Substitute Products Strong Force Threat of New Entrants Benign Industry Participants Large Similar costs Highly Committed Participants Seek market leadership Compete on same/similar dimensions High Entry & Exit Barriers Favorable Cost Strategies New entrants not likely Participants distribute coupons Exiting industry requires liquidation of assets •Not what participants want Vendors have specials on participant products •Determines which brand is chosen Factor Trait of Buyer Power Number of Buyers Many Volume of purchase relative to size of single vendor Small Nature of Vendor’s Product Standardized or lacking differentiation Buyers and switching costs Low Costs Threat of backward integration by vendor Weak Buyers recognize strong bargaining power, overall, thus causing lower profitability in the industry. Factor Trait of Supplier Power Concentration of Industry Moderate to Fairly High Dependency on Industry for Revenues High Switching Costs for Industry Participants High Availability of Substitutes Moderate Differentiated Products Low Ability for Forward Integration Moderate Suppliers do not recognize high levels of bargaining power, giving some level of power to industry participants. With rising costs of raw materials, the prices of products in the industry are likely to increase, causing the consumer to: Do without; Buy a different, less expensive product that has the same effect Buy generic brands; or Make similar products themselves (this requires time and resources), which could be the less attractive alternative to consumers; Purchase other grocery items in place of those of industry participants Nature of Barrier Extent of Barrier 1. Supply-side economies of scale High: most companies enjoy large economies of scale 2. Demand-side benefits of scale High: consumers recognize the larger brands and generally purchase based on who the know 3. Capital requirements High: all major players have invested in several subsidiaries 4. Incumbency advantages independent of size High: major players have claimed their resources, limiting availability; brands are established and well-known 5. Customer-switching costs Moderate: companies switching suppliers could be severely costly; customers switching brands wouldn’t prove to be dramatically cost efficient 6. Unequal access to distribution channels High: major players have claimed their distributors, limiting availability for new entrants 7. Restrictive Government Policy Low: the government’s involvement is low in the industry, aside from government regulating agencies Threat of new entrants is low. Buyer Power: Consumer demand is the driver for sales; without demand, profits will cease Switching costs are low, having adverse effects on the industry Threat of Substitute Products: Because products in the industry aren’t necessities, consumers could easily do without or utilize their resources in other ways Consumers have the ultimate power in the industry Intensity of Rivalry: Industry participants are large and distinguished Competitors in the industry are fighting for market share and leadership Overall, the Packaged and Processed Goods Industry is an industry that does relatively well, achieving a semi-attractive rating: Products within the industry will always be in demand Buyers have significant power, posing a threat to the industry Rivalry intensity is contingent on consumer preference for product, price, and availability While new entrants are unlikely, participant growth and expansion are highly likely, posing an opportunity for industry participants Aim to differentiate products to reduce buyer power, and increase power in the industry Substitutes are difficult to avoid, so participants should attempt to emerge into other markets to increase ability to reduce the threat of substitutes by gaining “substitute market share” Continue to transition products into healthier options for consumers In the event of natural disasters, have a fall-back plan In the event of indirect natural disasters, make products readily available to the affected region Differentiate products to better suit consumer preferences Consider other alternatives to cutting costs to combat increasing commodity prices Keep in mind the rules and regulations of the FDA when performing R&D of new and existing products Perform focus groups to determine customer preferences Determine “what women want” in terms of products for their families Continue making transitions to “going green” The J.M. Smucker Company: Competitor and Market Analyses ConAgra Foods, Inc. Kraft Foods, Inc. Unilever Nestlé General Mills, Inc. Competitor Location Market Segments Competing Brands Smucker’s Strong presence in North America, competing globally U.S. retail coffee; U.S. retail consumer; U.S. retail oils & baking; & Special Crisco, Dunkin’ Donuts, Eagle Brand, Folgers, Hungry Jack, Jif, Martha White, Millstone, Pillsbury, Kava, Nature’s Peak, Robin Hood ConAgra World-wide presence Consumer & Commercial Foods Pam, Fleischmann’s, Blue Bonnet, Parkay, Peter Pan, Swiss Miss Kraft World-wide presence U.S. beverages, cheese, convenient meals, grocery & snacks; Canada & N.A. food service; Kraft Europe; & Kraft developing markets A1, Capri Sun, Claussen, Crystal Light, Maxwell House, Gevalia, Good Seasons, Kool-Aid, Lunchables, Nabisco, Sure-Jell, Yuban Unilever Global giant Savoury, dressings and spreads; ice cream and beverages; personal care; home care products Lipton, Blue Band, Rama, Country Crock, Knorr, Hellman’s Nestlé Global giant Powdered & liquid beverages; water; milk products and ice cream; nutrition; prepared dishes and cooking aids; confectionary; pet care; pharmaceutical; Emerging markets Nescafe, Thomy, Carnation, Juicy Juice, Nestea, Minor’s U.S. Retail; International; Bakeries & Foodservice; Emerging & developing markets Betty Crocker, Bisquick, Gold Medal, Jus-Rol, Pillsbury, Cascadian Farm General Mills World-wide presence Competitor Net Income* Net Sales* (consumer goods) Growth from 2009 (%) Full-Time Employees Market Rank 2010 R&D Expense (& % of Sales) Smucker’s $494 M $4.6 B 22.5 4,850 8/52 $21 M .457% ConAgra $745 M $12.1 B -2.79 24,400 5/52 $77.9 M .644% Kraft $4.1 B $14.4 B 7.25 127,000 N/A $583 M 4.05% Unilever $2.6 B €22.8 M $32.1 M 8.38 165,000 1/52 N/A 71.1 B $77.26 B 6.44 281,000 N/A N/A $2.74 B 0.67 33,000 3/52 $218 M 7.96% Nestlé General Mills 37.5 B $40.8 B CFH $1.53 B CFH * from 2010 annual reports Smucker's ConAgra U.S. Retail Coffee 19% 37% 20% 24% U.S. Retail Consumer U.S. Retail Oils & Baking Consumer Foods 34% 66% Commercial Foods Special Smucker’s experiences most of its sales in the U.S. coffee retail market ConAgra experiences most of its sales in the consumer foods market Kraft Unilever U.S. beverages, etc. 28% 24% 39% Canada & N.A. food service Kraft Europe 9% Kraft developing markets Kraft experiences most of its sales in the U.S. beverages, cheese, convenient meals, grocery & snacks market Savoury, dressings, & spreads 18% 31% 32% 19% Ice cream& beverages Personal Care Home care products Unilever experiences most of its sales in the savoury, dressings, & spreads market Netslé General Mills Beverages Water 26% 6% 14% Nutrition 14% 4% 9% 12% 8% Milk & ice cream Prep'd dishes & cooking aids Confectionary 7% 12% U.S. retail 18% International 70% Bakeries & food service Pet care Pharmaceutical Nestlé experiences most of its sales in emerging markets General Mills experiences most of its sales in the U.S. retail market Market Share High Low ? Smucker’s Low Market Growth High $ Cows Kraft ConAgra Unilever Nestlé General Mills Dogs Market Share High Low ? Nestlé Low Market Growth High $ Cows Kraft Smucker’s Dogs General Mills ConAgra Unilever Market Share High Low ? Smucker’s Unilever Low Market Growth High $ Cows ConAgra General Mills Kraft Nestlé Dogs Market Share High Low ? Smucker’s Low Market Growth High $ Cows General Mills ConAgra Unilever Nestlé Kraft Dogs Market Share High Low ? Smucker’s Low Market Growth High $ Cows ConAgra Nestlé General Mills Kraft Unilever Dogs Beverages Ingredients Spreads Baking mixes Juices: Flour: Fruits: Pancake Mix: - Nestlé Coffee: - Smucker’s Tea: - General Mills Evaporated Milk: Mayonnaise: - Nestlé Oils: - Unilever - Smucker’s - Smucker’s - General Mills Instant Potatoes: - Unilever - Smucker’s Peanut Butter: Cake, Muffin, etc. Mix: - Smucker’s - Smucker’s Smucker’s enjoys the leading position within the Spreads and Baking Mixes strategic business groups, while they also hold the lead in Coffee and Oils segments. Competitor Core Competences Strategies Smucker’s Quality, people, ethics, growth, and independence •Own & market food brands that hold #1 market position in their category •Expanding portfolio •Embracing a global perspective ConAgra Establishing a demand-driven supply chain; reducing complexity; achieving plant optimization; extracting value from SAP implementation; insight-based approach; platform innovation; making higher-quality, and more nutritious food • Divesting commodity-based and lower-margin businesses •Innovate and reduce costs to drive sales growth Kraft Product quality; brand recognition; brand loyalty; service; marketing; advertising; price; and performance-driven, values-led organization •Growth in developing markets • Global Snacks powerhouse iconic heritage brands and culture Unilever N/A N/A Nestlé Unmatched product and brand portfolio; R & D capability; geographic presence; and people, culture, values, and attitude •Nutrition, water and rural development General Mills Innovation; brand building; leading customer growth; international expansion; and margin expansion • Brand-building with innovative merchandising and consumer-based marketing - Building global platforms Factor Consumer Markets Characteristics of People Female; 28-50 years old; middle, to upper-middle class; at least 2 family members (one being a child); family in developing stages; living in urban or suburban areas; time-sensitive, busy lifestyles Purchase / Use Situation Single purchase; brand loyalty is high; Use: consumption; Purchasing behavior: best quality for best price; Importance of purchase: low; Choice criteria: nutrition, price, quality, availability User’s Needs & Preferences for Product Characteristics Differentiation from consumer perspective needed; Price preference: low; Brand preference based on environmental concerns, taste, price, availability, quality Factor Industrial / Organizational Markets Characteristics of Organizations Food industry: Restaurants, bakeries, etc.; Globally based (with large focus in the U.S.); Large organizations with many locations; No significant technology; Moderate levels of profitability Purchase / Use Situation Ingredient use - compliment to products; Importance of purchase: high; High volume purchases; Weekly – monthly purchases; Purchase through mass distributors; Choice criteria: best price/quality based on size of purchase User’s Needs & Preferences for Product Characteristics Proper consistency; Not much assistance needed from suppliers; Brand preferences based on price, quality, availability; Best quality for lowest price; No service requirements needed – unless recalls on products Brand Loyalty Coupon Availability Vendor Relations Marketing Television ads, newspaper articles/ads, social media (Facebook, Linked-In) Acquisitions and Divestitures Economical / Environmental Advances Smucker’s Key Competitors: ConAgra Foods, Inc. Kraft Foods, Inc. Unilever Nestlé General Mills, Inc. Consumer goods companies have similar strategies: focusing on innovation and becoming more prevalent in developing markets Competitive Methods: consumer loyalty, coupon distribution, vendor relations (specials), marketing, acquisitions and divestitures, advances in environmental friendliness Market Segmentation: working mothers of the middle – upper-middle class; businesses requiring the products within the industry required for business performance Smucker’s recognizes market leadership in the U.S. Retail Coffee Market, U.S. Retail Oils & Baking Market Room for growth in Special Markets and overall market share The J.M. Smucker Company: Internal and SWOT Analyses and Competitive Positioning Marketing and Manufacturing Company Prides itself on acquisition of large brands Focuses products on bringing families together at mealtime Driven to make products healthier Basic Beliefs: Focused in U.S. markets Sells its products in over 65 countries Quality People Ethics Growth Independence Hold the belief that building trust and confidence with constituents in the company, brands, & products $1,800 Sales: $1,600 $1,400 U.S. Retail Coffee U.S. Retail Consumer U.S. Retail Oils & Baking Special $1,200 $1,000 $800 $600 $400 $200 120.00% $0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Growth: 100.00% 80.00% 60.00% 40.00% 20.00% 0.00% -20.00% U.S. Retail Coffee U.S. Retail Consumer U.S. Retail Oils & Baking 45.00% 40.00% 35.00% 30.00% 25.00% 20.00% 15.00% 10.00% 5.00% 0.00% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Division 2009 Sales 2010 Sales (in Millions) (in Millions) U.S. Retail Coffee $855.6 $1,700.5 U.S. Retail Consumer $1,103.6 $1,125.3 U.S. Retail Oils & Baking $995.5 $905.7 Special $803.6 $873.8 2009 Sales 21% 27% 23% U.S. Retail Coffee U.S. Retail Consumer 29% 2010 Sales U.S. Retail Oils & Baking Special 19% 37% 20% 24% Country U.S. Canada Other International (Domestic) Sales (in $ Million) 4,167 385.9 52.4 Growth from 2009 (%) 24.3 8.3 8.5 % of Sales 8% 1% U.S. Canada 91% Other International Agriculture (Raw Materials): Fruit Grains Dairy Oil: Transportation of products Foreign Exchange Hedge against currency exchange risk Diversified Portfolio of Brands Folgers, Dunkin’ Donuts, Crisco, Pillsbury, Eagle Brand, Hungry Jack, Jif, Millstone, Martha White, etc. Current Assets: Cash generated from operations ($283,570) Trade Receivables ($238,867) Inventories: Property, Plant, & Equipment: Finished Products ($413,269) Raw Materials ($241,670) Land ($62,982) Buildings & Fixtures ($308,358) Machinery & Equipment ($997,374) Construction in Progress ($31,426) Noncurrent Assets: Goodwill ($2,807,730) Intangible Assets ($3,026,515) Other ($5,892,910) 18% 55% Current 27% Property, Plant, & Equipment Noncurrent Strengths Weaknesses • Ownership of industry-leading brands • Diverse portfolio • Aggressive acquisition of major brands • Leader in U.S. markets • Low market share • Low global presence • Smaller scale of operations compared to competitors • Target market is too concentrated Opportunities Threats • NAFTA regulations • Food safety regulations • Natural disasters • Changes in consumer preferences • Transition to healthier foods • Increasing full-time employment of women • Technological advances in “going green” • • • • • • • Food safety regulations Volatility in commodity market prices Foreign exchange risk Natural disasters Union unrest Changes in consumer preferences High intensity of rivalry Market Share High ? High Market Growth Smucker’s Low Low $ Cows Dogs Market Share High Low High ? Market Growth Millstone Eagle Brand Hungry Jack Low Dunkin’ Donuts Crisco $Martha Cows White Jif Pillsbury Folgers Dogs Smucker’s key primary activities are its operations, outbound logistics, and marketing and sales. Inbound Logistics Relationship with Suppliers Operations Transform supplies into products Ready products for consumer consumption Outbound Logistics Activities for collecting, storing, & distributing Ready products for product distribution Marketing & Sales Service Inform consumers of products, provide coupons Consumer support Receiving, storing, & disseminating supplies Make products more appealing than competitors’ Adjusting product & services based on consumer’s needs “The Company’s strategic vision is to own and market food brands which hold the number one market position in their category, with an emphasis on North America while embracing a global perspective.” Variety-Based Needs-Based Provides variety of flavors of products Markets and manufactures products based on consumer preferences Provides variety of brands Making products healthier Providing products at affordable prices: issuance of coupons, vendor deals Broad Narrow Competitive Scope Competitive Advantage Low Cost Higher Cost Overall Cost Leadership Differentiation Low Cost Leadership: Smucker’s competes by providing consumers with low-cost goods, while providing consumers with coupons and vendor specials Differentiation Focus Broad Competitive Scope: Smucker’s owns a variety of brands, providing consumers with an array of products Cost Focus Acquire large house-hold brand names Build family moments by providing products that bring families together at mealtime Provide low-cost products for its consumers Provide the healthier products consumers prefer Utilize advances in technology in making products more environmentally friendly Smucker’s provides its products to its consumers at low costs. Smucker’s provides its consumers with high quality products Smucker’s has a low cost base & reinvests in its product quality & low-cost products Smucker’s Business Model: Focused on U.S. markets Diverse portfolio of brands Products focused on bringing families together at mealtime Driven to make products healthier Profit over the past 5 years has increased Its coffee segment has proven to be its most profitable Sales are primarily in the U.S., while international growth is increasing Generic and grand strategies focused on the consumer