How to Access Emerging Markets with the Overseas Business Network Susana Córdoba Overseas Business Networks Adviser – North West What we will look at • What markets are considered ‘Emerging Markets’? • Why UK export ready companies should be looking at ‘emerging markets’, and not only EU, to generate significant export growth • How UK’s current Trade Outlook looks like? • How we are supporting UK companies to get into new high growth but also considered hard to access markets What are Emerging Markets? • Emerging Market is defined as an economy with a low middle per capita income • Vary in size – from small to large • EMs are characterised as ‘transitional’, meaning they are moving from a closed economy to an open market economy • These markets are also introducing massive economic development and political reforms to enable a more robust economic performance, transparency and efficiency. • Most of these markets are also recipients of major aid & guidance from donor agencies such as the World Bank, IMF & EU. • EMEs also experienced increase levels of both local and foreign investment Demographics & overall GDP growth According to an Euromonitor International Report (2013), EMEs were home to 80% of the World’s population. The share of people under the age of 30 worldwide has shrunk from 62.1% in 1980 to an estimated 49.8% in 2014. However, Did you know that currently, emerging markets & Developing economies stand out as home to a massive 89.8% of the under 30s population? - One of the main drivers for internal consumption and growth. In 2000, Emerging Markets accounted for 37% of the global GDP (in purchasing power parity terms). By 2020, they are expected to reach 65% of the global GDP. Consumer Profile • Growing middle classes with higher purchasing power. Over 95% of the purchasing power is outside the UK. • Fragmented Markets, there are also still income gaps • Demanding markets & cultures • Value for money especially for those with limited resources. • Tailored to their needs e.g. smaller sizes, packaging • High Quality & luxury products • Consumer spending - Thirst for Brands, latest gadgets, luxury consumer products (health, beauty, food and drink , accessories, clothing, etc.) • Environment Focus • Fitness & Healthy living Consumer Profile • Digitally attuned - Internet |Social Media |E-commerce – New ways to reaching global customers • Increase use of Mobile devices – which has revolutionized how financial services in many regions. Did you know that Africa is known as the ‘mobile continent’? Researchers predict the use internet on mobile phone will increase 20-fold in the next 5 years (double the rate of the rest of the world)!!!! Consumer Profile • Increase tourism and immigration to developed countries. • Enhancing their talent pool by sending their brightest to the best universities in the world. • Remittances sent to developing & emerging markets have grown massively. LATAM & Caribbean for example, have grown at double digits in the last decade helping massively reducing the level, depth and severity of poverty in these countries. Logistics & Infrastructure • Infrastructure is weak – hence major investment projects are underway to improve it. From Hospitals and education centres to bridges, airports, roads, ports and more. • Distribution Channels are weak and complex – require careful consideration • Technology remains under-developed in some large rural areas (e.g. Africa, Asia) • Large Urbanization projects as more people move from rural areas to the cities Political Stability & Business Environment •There has been significant changes in some of the Emerging Markets which were considered 20 yrs ago were seen as highly unstable. E.g. Colombia. • Through political and economic reforms, many emerging markets have improved their ‘Ease of Doing Business’ – we can see many of them climbing the ladder according to the World’s Bank guide. • Developing countries still have enormous challenges in the areas of education, health and social services. 1.2 billion people still live on less than $1 a day. These challenges are also create opportunities for British products and services which are innovative and address these challenges. • Emerging markets have a vast population of highly entrepreneurial population operating within the informal sector Future Of Emerging Markets • Between 2013 and 2020 emerging market economies will grow almost three times faster than developed economies. Emerging Markets combined economies would have expanded by 45.6% between 2013 & 2020 – but that includes huge disparities amongst some. • Between 2013 and 2020 emerging markets will account for an average of 65% of global economic growth; • By 2020, five of the world’s largest 10 economies will be emerging markets— China, India, Russia, Brazil and Mexico—accounting for a combined $47 trillion in GDP • Between 2013 & 2020, emerging markets will experience population growth 3x than those in developed economies *Source: Euromonitor International Report 2013 Emerging Markets – Outward Investment CEMEX Founded in Mexico in 1906 has grown from a small regional player to a world’s top company in the industry. In 2005 expanded into 20 European locations, including the UK. TATA STEEL Founded in India in 1907. In 1999 entered the UK market via a joint venture known as Corus, and in 2010 became Tata Steel UK. What is the UK’s Trade Outlook? • According to HMRC, UK’s top 5 trading partners are (As of May 2015) IMPORTS EXPORTS Germany USA USA Germany China China Netherlands Netherlands France France The EU continues to be the main trading partner for UK, however, the Eurozone keeps registering a sluggish recovery, with a forecast growth of 1.5% for this year (European Commission). Emerging Markets on the other hand, despite of recent slow down in growth by some of the giants such as China and Brazil, their combined average GDP still is forecasted to grow at a much faster pace (5,2%)* than developed countries. What is the UK’s Trade Outlook? • The UK is the 7th largest importer & 12th largest exporter in the world. By 2014, according to HMRC stats, UK’s imports amounted £438bn, whilst exports were for £287bn, which making our trade balance in deficit. • CBI & BCC also estimates that only 1 in 5 SMEs in the UK currently export. • BCC’s forecast is positive in terms of export growth for 2015, but much more needs to be done to double exports to £1tn and number of exporters by 2020. Can British firms double exports by 2020? • We need a massive cultural change – more risk taking • Exporting requires time & investment but fruits will be reaped in the long term. • Use of the available support EXPORTING is GREAT • There has never been a better time to export - the ‘Made in Britain’ brand not only well recognised but demanded worldwide. Overseas Business Network Initiative Launched in 2012 by the Prime Minister Responds to Government’s ambition to double UK exports to £1trillion and increase number of exporters by 100,000 by 2020. An innovative partnership between the British Chambers of Commerce, UK Trade and Investment, and the Foreign and Commonwealth Office Working with British Chambers of Commerce and British Business Groups from 35 high growth markets but also hard to access markets. Aimed at transforming the export support available to British SMEs seeking to do business in high-growth, hard-to-access emerging markets across the world. Overseas Business Networks presence & future development USA LATAM Mexico Colombia Chile Brazil EUROPE Poland, Czech republic, Slovenia, Slovakia, Hungary, Rumania, Turkey, Russia ASIA China, India, Thailand MIDDLE EAST Philippines, Indonesia UAE, Qatar, Vietnam, Singapore AFRICA Saudi Arabia, Malaysia Morocco, South Kuwait Taiwan, Cambodia, Africa, Nigeria, Myanmar, Burma, South Kenya, Korea, Japan, Mozambique, Kazakhstan, Pakistan Angola, Ghana, Algeria Future expansion envisaged in coming years up to 40 markets for 2016-17 What this means to UK SMEs? A British Overseas Business Network offering services and support here in the UK & overseas, in every stage of your export journey Tap into a wider range of sector expertise & qualified knowledge on international trade Inclusion of innovative services to help you succeed overseas Getting Started Planning for Success Making Connections Making it Happen Growing your Regional Presence Overseas Business Network Services Market Insight • Get up to date information on the country of interest, together with a broader sector specific information • Identify challenges and opportunities, and understand the nuances of doing business in a particular region or country Market Entry • Market Research Services from routes to market to introductions to agents, distributors, buyers, suppliers or business partners. • Introduction to Professional Business Services in country (e.g. trusted lawyers, accountants, translators, logistic services) • Soft Landing base – access to a physical base to get you started offering you an office outside home Overseas Business Network Services Market Development • Specialist advice on the best routes to market – from appointing an agent or distributor, to establishing a Joint Venture or a representative office / subsidiary. • Market Entry Services: Tailored advice, research, marketing support (Product/Services launch events) and more. • Access to satellite offices in larger markets such as China and India Growing a Regional Presence • Introduction to approved business to business support groups in the markets of interest • Connection to regional distributors & other reputable contacts • Help with gaining access to government and other support Overseas British Chambers & British Business Centres SUCCESS STORIES - ROMANIA SUCCESS STORIES - SINGAPORE SUCCESS STORIES – POLAND Thank you! For further information and support e: susana.cordoba@gmchamber.co.uk M: 07770 17536