Basle II - Marsh Operational Risk Initiatives Solutions to current

February 22, 2006

Basel II – Operational Risk

How insurance will play

Philippe Velard

Finmedia Conference, Bucharest

Agenda

1. The relationship between operational risk and insurance

2. Basel II Requirements

3. Main areas of forthcoming challenges for insurance management inside the bank

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How MMC is organised on Basel II and operational risk

Mercer Oliver Wyman

Advisory and consultative services

Marsh/FINPRO

Insurance and other risk transfer transactional services

Expertise in strategy, actuarial and risk consulting to the financial services industry

Pioneered integrated risk management frameworks based on systematic risk quantification

MMC Center of Excellence for Operational Risk

Marsh Risk Consulting

Specialized support in related areas such as STARS, business continuity planning and crisis consulting

World leader in insurance services

Full range of services to identify, value and transfer risk

Knowledge of global insurance markets and capital markets risk solutions

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Section 1.

The relationship between operational risk and insurance

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The Capital Impact of Insurance

There is significant potential to transfer operational risk through both traditional insurance and alternative risk-financing structures

Operational Risk Distribution

Expected loss

Maximum probable loss

Catastrophic loss

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Earnings

Captive

Retention

Economic Capital

Single Line

Multi Line

Comprehensive

Cover

Alternative Risk Financing

Insurance and Alternative Cover

5

The relationship between operational risk and insurance

Traditional insurance does not cover all operational risks in financial institutions, indeed it will cover selected impacts of selected risk scenarios

Basel and Advanced Measurement Approaches has shown that insurance is associated with less than 30% of operational risk capital

Technology

Interruptions

Processing

Errors

Fines &

Penalties

Other

Insurance

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How good is the insurance coverage ?

Still numerous uncovered severity operational risks

Investment

Bank

Markets

Commercial

Bank

Retail

Bank

Payments &

Services

Asset

Management

Agency

Services

Retail

Brokerage

Holding

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1

Internal

Fraud

2

External

Fraud

3

Human

Resources

4

Clients &

Markets

Risk

5

Property

6

Systems

Disruption

7

Process

Risk

Crime E&O

Prop. B.I.

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Section 2.

Basel II Requirements

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Basel II requirements : insurance will reduce the regulatory capital allocated to operational risk, under specific circumstances :

Limited to the advanced measurement approach (A.M.A.)

Capped at 20 % of the regulatory capital before insurance

Subject to a list of qualitative requirements

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The qualitative requirements from Basel II

COMPULSORY

APPROPRIATE VALUATION

OF THE INSURANCE

SHOULD REFLECT :

* claims paying ability rating of A

* initial term > 1 year

* residual term > 90 days

* notice of cancellation > 90 days

* coverage provided by a third party insurer (no captives)

* no exclusion linked to the failure of the insured

* disclosure of the insurance program

* Delay and uncertainty of payment

* mismatches in the coverage of risks (likelihood and impact)

* cancellation clauses and residual term of the policy

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The Romanian context

Romanian independent banks will look for basic or standard approaches, with a view, for some of them, to apply for A.M.A. in the medium term

 standard banks will have to follow the operational risk management best practices guide

Romanian subsidiaries of A.M.A. foreign banks are integrated in the

A.M.A. project of their mother company

 They have to comply with their own group procedures

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In both cases, Romanian banks should capitalise now on the first available results of the risk identification projects they have launched

Supervisory reviews

Standard

Approaches validation

A.M.A.

validation

2006 2007 2008

U

E

N

C

F

R

E

Q

Y

S

E

V

E

R

I

T

Y

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Internal loss data base

Insurance deductibles and captives business plans

Scenarios, risk maps, external data

Extension of insurance coverage 2006/2007

Capital allocation model

Insurance and capital markets transfers

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Section 3.

Insurance management : main challenges on the way for compliance

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The general conditions of the insurance policy

Example of a three year process

Specific operational risks transfered to capital markets

Amended cancellation clauses

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• 24 month coverage

• Cancellation period 12 m.

• simplified policy wording

(compliant with the Basel II risk taxonomy)

2006 2007 2008

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The coverage extension

Example of a three year process

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• Exclusions

• Coverages articulation

(Crime / E&O, etc…)

• Investment banking

2006

• Unauthorised operations

• Cost of correction

• Credit fraud

• Confidentiality

• etc….

• Full comprehensive op. risk coverage

• Large payment systems coverage

2007 2008

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The necessary interaction between risk management and insurance decision

Example of a three year process

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• Use of the loss data base to determine the deductibles

• Use of scenarios to choose the limits of guarantee

• Tailored audited risk information provided to insurers

• Loss data base linked warranty statement

• Insurance modelised and input in the capital model

2006 2007

Fully integrated insurance decision process (associating

Risk Division, Compliance,

Internal Audit, ALM…)

2008

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Other challenges for insurance managers

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Claims management process

Risk & insurance information

Systems harmonisation

Articulation risk management / captives management

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Questions ?

Philippe Velard

European Operational Risk Team

FINPRO Division philippe.velard@marsh.com

Tel: (33) 1 41 34 50 29

Eduard Simionescu

FINPRO Romania

Tel: (40) 21 232 1874 eduard.simionescu@marsh.com

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Marsh Ltd need not obtain such permission when using this report for their internal purposes.

 Copyright Marsh Ltd 2006 All rights reserved

Registered in England Number: 1507274, Registered Office: 1 Tower Place West

Tower Place London EC3R 5BU

Marsh Ltd is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority.

Marsh Ltd conducts its general insurance activities on terms that are set out in the document "Our Business Principles and Practices". This may be viewed on our website http://www.marsh.co.uk/aboutMarsh/principles.html

Extra slides

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Global Study of Operational Risk Management

Practice – Mercer Oliver Wyman

Mercer Oliver Wyman, a leader in financial services strategy and risk management consulting, recently completed a study of operational risk management practices at financial institutions globally.

The goal of the study was to assess current industry practices, understand developments in those practices, and examine firms’ current challenges and surrounding issues such as the position of rating agencies and regulators.

The study included an examination of industry trends in management approaches, resources, the use of qualitative risk assessments and risk measurement techniques, business mapping and capital modelling tools, and the use of insurance in mitigating operational risk.

The results presented are based upon interviews with 43 financial institutions between October 2003 and March 2004. The majority of these firms are large, internationally active banks that are subject to the guidelines for operational risk management found in the New Basel Capital Accord (‘Basel II’) and resulting regulations.

The study included institutions located in the United States, Canada, United Kingdom, Europe,

Australia, Japan and South Africa

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Institutional benchmarking: status of operational risk projects

80%

70%

60%

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0%

73%

Management framework

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“Some well developed projects, and identified areas for potential improvement”

65%

Loss-data collection

Status of operational risk initiatives

48%

Qualitative assessments

28%

Modeling

Source : MOW - 1Q2004

8%

KRIs

10%

Reporting

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Institutional benchmarking: under-developed areas

A confirmation that insurance is considered as under-developed by Operational Risk managers and is becoming one of their priorities.

50% 50%

30%

18% 18%

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KRIs Insurance Loss data collection

Credit linked risk

Source : MOW - 1Q2004

Model

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