Measuring the Green Economy: An Operational Approach Mitch Horowitz Vice President and Managing Director Battelle Technology Partnership Practice 1 Battelle Who is Battelle? • The world’s largest non-profit independent R&D organization ($5+ billion in revenues) • Worldwide leader in development, commercialization, and transfer of technology • Conducts thousands of projects for about 1,100 government and industrial clients each year • Manages or co-manages six national laboratories for the U.S. Department of Energy and two international laboratories • Over 20,000 employees worldwide Technology Partnership Practice is the economic development consulting organization for Battelle TPP Areas of Expertise: • • • • • • Core Competency Cluster Analysis Benchmarking Strategic Planning Commercialization Program Design and Implementation • Impact Assessment and Evaluation • Entrepreneurial Development/ Venture Financing • Technical Assistance and Problem Solving 2 Demonstrated Track Record Battelle TPP has a demonstrated track record in translating technology strengths into development strategies and initiatives Highlights of Cleantech Efforts Broad breadth – TPP projects across the nation over the past 8 years • • • • • • Arizona Sustainable Systems Investment Prospectus Greater Syracuse Energy and Environmental Cluster Market Study West Virginia Technology Blueprint – and follow on development of strategy for advanced energy Mississippi Delta Biobased Products Strategy Recent broad strategies that emphasized cleantech: – Knoxville-Oakridge Innovation Valley Targets of Opportunity – solar, biomass and nuclear – Idaho Core Competency Assessment – biomass and nuclear Ongoing projects include: – Arizona LMI project on green economy – Brookings Metro Green Economy Industry Study – Assessment of Renewable and Clean Technologies Cluster for the Southwest Pennsylvania Region 3 Growing Number of Studies on Green Economy • Many state and regional based studies … such as: – Clean Tech Cluster Analysis for the Puget Sound Region by Workforce Development Council of Seattle-King County and Puget Sound Regional Council – Green Jobs in Minnesota: Market Analysis by Minnesota Green Jobs Task Force with GSP Consulting – Colorado Cleantech Cluster Analysis by CORE and Evenson & Associates – Connecticut Renewable Energy/Energy Efficiency Economy by Connecticut Clean Energy Fund with Navigant Consulting • National Studies … such as: – The CleanEnergy Economy by Pew Charitable Trust with Collaborative Economics – Green Jobs in U.S. Metro Areas by U.S. Conference of Mayors with Global Insight – Job Opportunities for the Green Economy by Umass Amherst Political Economy Research Institute • Federal Agencies … such as: – "Green job" opportunities defined in Workforce Investment Act (WIA) – U.S. Department of Energy targets for green energy – Measuring the Green Economy, US DoC – Economics & Statistics Admin. See Appendix at end of presentation for more details on these studies 4 No single definition of green economy across studies … more than renewable energy, but how far towards clean technologies is key issue Common Elements in Defining Green Economy • Renewable energy and fuels – wind; solar PV & thermal; geothermal; hydropower; ocean/tidal/wave power; fuel cells; biofuels (e.g., ethanol, biodiesel, biogas, solid); • Energy storage and management – batteries; hydrogen; smart grid systems; carbon sequestration • Energy efficiency products and services – advanced lighting; energy efficient appliances, HVAC, and building materials; building controls and automation • Green materials – bio-based polymers, materials, and fabrics; advanced composites used for energy efficiency applications; green chemicals & solvents; recycled materials Variations in Defining Green Economy • Alternative energy – nuclear; clean coal • Conservation and pollution prevention products – air quality and climate control; water purification, management, and control; sewage treatment; pollution prevention; remediation technologies & services • Environmentally friendly production of existing products – clean transportation vehicles – clean manufacturing – green buildings and deconstruction/reuse of building materials 5 Views from Arizona Stakeholders Answer Options Wind energy Solar photovoltaic energy Solar thermal energy Geothermal energy Biofuels Hydropower energy Ocean/wave power energy Primary Green Economic Activity 25 26 25 23 18 18 22 Largely a Green Economic Activity 5 5 5 6 8 10 6 Possibly a Green Economic Activity 2 1 1 3 3 4 3 Not a Green Economic Activity 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 Don't Know 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 # Respondents 32 32 31 32 32 32 32 Nuclear energy Clean coal Waste-to-energy Hydrogen Grid systems/smart metering Carbon sequestration 3 3 13 14 11 7 10 6 9 7 7 6 5 9 9 8 10 8 14 14 0 1 3 3 0 0 1 2 1 8 32 32 32 32 32 32 Advanced lighting (e.g., CFLs, LEDs) Energy efficient appliances Energy efficient building materials Energy consulting & auditing Energy development/storage technologies (e.g., batteries) Hybrid-drive engine technologies 6 8 12 11 11 12 18 15 13 7 7 10 7 6 6 12 13 9 1 3 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 32 32 32 32 32 32 5 4 3 7 6 6 4 7 8 4 8 12 8 12 12 0 1 2 1 0 13 11 12 4 10 32 32 32 32 32 11 8 8 16 11 9 7 4 4 5 9 12 11 7 15 16 16 7 8 8 13 1 2 1 0 1 2 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 4 32 31 31 32 32 31 32 8 3 5 8 4 7 12 15 13 4 10 7 0 0 0 32 32 32 Bio-based polymers Advanced composites (e.g., electro-chromatic glass) Nano-materials Green chemicals Thermal regulating fibers and fabrics Air quality & climate control Water purification Sewage and solid waste treatment Recyclable material collection Materials/products with recycled content Pollution prevention Remediation technologies & services Sustainable land management Venture capital or investment banking firms specializing in green Architectural & engineering firms with track record in certified 6 How to measure the green economy? • Use of “top down” sharing of NAICS industries vs. “bottom up” counting of specific green firm employment? – No definition for many renewable energy areas, green materials and energy efficient products in NAICS (does better for environmental) – Concerns that NAICS industries are not specific enough – tend to bundle green industries into broader industry categories (e.g., solar cells in “semiconductor” NAICS code) • What source of employment data -- Use of QCEW vs. D&B – If we use Quarterly Census Employment and Wages (QCEW) to measure firm employment might run into disclosure problems and not be able to present specific employment levels by key green sectors – But D&B employment data collected for a year is gathered at different times and may actually not be collected for many firms – the National Establishment Time Series (NETS) does a good job of ensuring consistency of firms and addressing missing values 7 How to measure the green economy? • How to handle firms that are not “pure play” green – Many companies that provide specific green products and services are not dedicated to exclusively green activities – Suggest targeting specific locations involved in green products and services of multi-establishment firms • What is a green material or energy efficient product? – Is it just what a manufacturer says or does it need to be certified by a third party (i.e. “Energy Star” for energy efficiency, “Green Seal” for paints and coatings and “SmartWood” for wood sourcing)? 8 Battelle development measurement of green industry based on U.S. BLS Federal Register Notice • On March 16th, the U.S. BLS placed a notice for comments on an approach to measuring data on green jobs • Green jobs are “jobs involved in economic activities that help protect or restore the environment or conserve natural resources.” • Seven Categories for green activities set out: – – – – – – – Renewable Energy Energy Efficiency Greenhouse Gas Reduction Pollution Reduction and Cleanup Recycling and Waste Reduction Agricultural and Natural Resources Education, Compliance, Public Awareness and Training • Measurement will be based on either: – Output approach which identifies establishments that produce green goods and services and counts the associated jobs based on the 7 categories above – Process approach which identifies establishments that use environmentallyfriendly production processes and practices and counts the associated jobs 9 Battelle Measurement Approach • Battelle identified green firms operating in Arizona based on a wide assortment of listings of firms involved in production of green goods and services. – These listings included green certified products, VC/patent databases, national association memberships, market research listings, etc. – Use of listings critical since there is no existing industry classification for green industries such as solar energy, energy efficient products, green materials and reduction of greenhouse gases – The existence and operations of these firms were also verified to the extent possible through the examination of company websites and phone calls. • To measure employment, Battelle used the Dun & Bradstreet company database and NETS for time series. – For firms not listed in Dun & Bradstreet (D&B), Battelle looked them up on the web and contacted them. 10 Building More Detailed Segments Using BLS Categories Agricultural & Natural Resources Conservation Conservation Organic Farms & Organic Food Production Education & Compliance Compliance Training Energy & Resource Efficiency Architecture & Building Design Battery & Energy Storage Technologies Electric/Hybrid Drive Technologies & Vehicles Energy Consulting & Auditing Energy Efficient Appliances Energy Efficient Building Products & Materials Energy Efficient HVAC Energy Efficient Lighting Fuel Cells Hybrid Drive Technologies/Vehicles Other Energy Efficient Products Water Efficient Products Greenhouse Gas Reduction Clean Coal Nuclear Energy Other Public Mass Transit Smart Grid Systems/Smart Metering Pollution Reduction & Cleanup Air & Water Purification Technologies Air/Water/Sewage/Solid Waste Management & Treatment Environmental Research & Consulting Services Green Building Products & Construction Materials, NEC Green Chemicals Other Green Products Pollution Prevention Remediation Technologies & Services Recycling & Waste Reduction Recycled-Content Products Recycling Renewable Energy Biofuels/Biomass Hydropower Energy Other Solar PV Energy Solar Thermal Energy Waste-to-Energy Wind Energy 11 The Global Race is On in Cleantech: CleanEdge Inc. Top Rated Clusters Technology Solar/PV Manufacturing Wind Turbine Manufacturing Smart Grid Networking, Controls and Devices Plug-in Hybrid Electric vehicles and Infrastructure Green Building Design Services Clusters Freiburg, Germany Kansai, Japan Toledo - Ohio, USA Singapore Wuxi, China Randers, Denmark Newton - Iowa, USA Daman, India Tianjin, China Spokane Washington, USA Zug, Switzerland Rome, Italy Miami - Florida, USA Tel Aviv, Israel Copenhagen, Denmark London, UK Amsterdam, Netherlands St. Louis - Missouri, USA Stuttgart, Germany Abu Dhabi, UAE Trondheim, Norway 12