Health Sector PERS PREM Public Expenditure Management Course April 2007, Washington, D.C. George Schieber Consultant Human Development Network Organization of Presentation • • • • • • • Health Systems Reform Underlying Health Dynamics Health Expenditures Basics of Health Financing Provider Payment Basic Health Reform Issues Basic Reform Instruments Health Systems Reform Objectives of Health Systems • • • • Improve health status of population Assure equity and universal access Provide financial protection Be efficient from macroeconomic and microeconomic perspectives • Assure quality of care and consumer satisfaction Complexity of Health Sector • • • • • • • • Global governance and policy coherence is a major problem as there are well over a 100 major organizations involved in the health sector, far more than in other sectors (e.g., unstructured plurality). As the bulk of the funding needed in the health sector is for long term recurrent costs as opposed to the more traditional short term investment costs, countries need to figure out how to create adequate future fiscal space in their budgets for sustainability. There are numerous non-health related factors that affect health outcomes, necessitating complex cross-sector approaches. Individual behavior plays a critical role in health outcomes and is very difficult to influence or change. Measuring health outcomes—other than sentinel events such as births or death—and attributing causality to specific factors is inherently complex. The private sector plays a substantial, often predominant, role in both the financing and delivery of healthcare services and is often absent from the policy debate. Market failures in insurance markets and in the health sector more generally require complex regulatory frameworks. Finally, the costly financial protection element of health financing is largely unique to the health sector (except for a few standard social protection programs) and creates difficult tradeoffs among competing health objectives for resource constrained governments. Achieving Change in HNP Behavior of Individuals/Households Income Education Water Sanitation Nutrition Macroeconomic Environment Performance of Health System •Clinical Effectiveness •Accessibility and Equity •Quality and Consumer Satisfaction •Economic Efficiency Health Status Outcomes •Fertility •Mortality •Morbidity •Nutritional Status Health Care System Delivery Structure •Facilities (public & private) •Staff (public & private) •Information, Education, & communication Institutional Capacity •Regulatory & Legal Framework •Expenditure & Finance •Planning & Budgeting Systems •Client & Service Information/Accountability •Incentives Governance Projects and Policy Advice Why Public Intervention? • Health services with collective benefits (public verses personal health services) • Redistribution/Equity • Health insurance market failures • Other market failures in the direct consumption and provision of health services Nine Criteria for Establishing a BBP for Public Spending on Health Care Catastrophic Cost Poverty Externalities Vertical Equity Cost Effectiveness Public Goods Horizontal Equity Rule of Rescue Public Demands Key: Efficiency criteria Equity or Ethical Criteria Political Criterion Source: P. Musgrove Underlying Health Dynamics Why Invest in Health? Buys more health services Improves life styles Reduces job-related risks Buys more education and other human capital-related services Health Improves political stability, investment climate, and productivity Reduces medical spending Reduces fertility Increases labor supply and female labor force participation Increases saving Increase in the years of healthy life expectancy Source: Salehi, 2004 Income Wealth Growth MDG Approach to Investments in Health Extreme Poverty •Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of people whose income is less than $1 a day. •Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of people who suffer from hunger. Safe Water & Sanitation •Halve by 2015 the proportion of people without sustainable access to safe drinking water. •By 2020, achieve significant improvement in the proportion of people with access to sanitation. Child & Maternal Health •Reduce by two thirds, between 1990 and 2015, the under-five mortality rate. Primary & Girls' Education •By 2015, boys and girls everywhere complete a full course of primary schooling. •Eliminate gender disparity in primary and secondary education, preferably by 2005, and in all levels of education no later than 2015. •Reduce by three quarters, between 1990 and 2015, the maternal mortality ratio. Communicable Diseases By 2015, halt and begin to reverse the spread of: •HIV/AIDS •Malaria & •Other major diseases. Investments are Needed Across Many Sectors to Achieve MDGs % growth government health spending % reduction U5MR 1990-2015 0% 0% 3% 5% 8% 10% 13% 15% 5% economic growth -10% & 2.5% female education growth -20% & 2.5% roads growth & 2.5% water & sanitary growth -30% -40% -50% -60% -70% & 2.5% growth in all Policies and Institutions Do Matter Elasticities of MDG Outcomes with Respect To Government Health Spending CPIA Index 1.00 2.00 3.00 3.25 3.5 4.00 4.50 5.00 Under Five Mortality 0.799 0.507 0.215 0.142 0.069 -0.077 -0.223 -0.369 Maternal Mortality -0.622 -0.654 -0.687 -0.695* -0.703* -0.720* -0.736* -0.752* Underweight Children Under Five TB Mortality 0.13 -0.087 -0.305 -0.360 -0.414 -0.523* -0.632* -0.740* 0.651 0.276 -0.098 -0.192 -0.285 -0.472 -0.659* -0.847* * Statistically significantly different from zero at 90% confidence level Source: World Bank, 2003 Cost-effective Interventions Are Key to the MDGs • • • • • Which interventions to choose? How to transfer them to many countries? How to implement them to scale? How much will they cost? What kind of supporting environment is needed? • Can we monitor their impact? Reducing Under-five Mortality How much health will a million dollars buy? Cost Per DALY (US$) Estimated DALYs Averted Per Million US$ Spent Improving care of children under 28 days old (including resuscitation of newborns) 10-400 2,500-100,000 Expanding immunization coverage with standard child vaccines 2-20 50,000-500,000 40-250 4,000-24,000 8-20 50,000-125,000 Service or Intervention Adding vaccines to the standard child immunizations (particularly Hib and HepB) Switching to combination drugs (ACTs) against malaria where resistance exists (Sub-Saharan Africa) Source: Disease Control Priorities in Developing Countries, second edition, 2006, Table 1.3. Preventing and Treating Noncommunicable Diseases How much health will a million dollars buy? Service or Intervention Cost Per DALY (US$) Estimated DALYs Averted Per Million US$ Spent Taxing tobacco products 3-50 24,000-330,000 Treating heart attacks with inexpensive drugs 10-25 40,000-100,000 Treating heart attacks with inexpensive drugs plus streptokinase* 600-750 1,300-1,600 Treating heart attack and stroke survivors for life with a daily polypill 700-1,000 1,000-1,400 Performing coronary artery bypass surgery in high risk cases** >25,000 <40 Using bypass surgery for less severe coronary artery disease** Very high Very small *Costs and DALYs are in addition to using inexpensive drugs only. **Incremental to treatment with polypill. Source: Disease Control Priorities in Developing Countries, second edition, 2006, Table 1.3 But Economic Growth Will Not Be Enough Government Health Expenditures/GDP (assuming 5 percent annual GDP grow th and total health expenditures of $34 per capita) 40.0 Eritrea Ethiopia 35.0 Ghana 30.0 Projected Kenya Lesotho 20.0 Malaw i 15.0 Nigeria 10.0 Uganda United Republic of Tanzania Zambia 5.0 20 07 20 06 20 05 20 04 20 03 20 02 20 01 20 00 19 99 19 98 19 97 19 96 0.0 19 95 Percent 25.0 Underlying Demographics Will Drive Needs/Demands But Also Have Profound Effects on Economies High Income Middle Income Low Income 75+ 7 0 -7 4 2000 6 5 -6 9 6 0 -6 4 5 5 -5 9 5 0 -5 4 4 5 -4 9 4 0 -4 4 3 5 -3 9 3 0 -3 4 2 5 -2 9 2 0 -2 4 1 5 -1 9 1 0 -1 4 5 -9 0 -4 50000 25000 0 25000 50000 200000 100000 0 100000 200000 200000 100000 0 100000 200000 200000 100000 0 100000 200000 200000 100000 0 100000 200000 75+ 70-74 65-69 2020 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 50000 25000 0 25000 50000 Notes: Population figures in millions according to standard age stratifications. Projections by World Bank staff. Demographic impact of HIV/AIDS: Botswana Population of Botswana with and without AIDS 2020 with AIDS without AIDS 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 20 Thousands Thousands Source: U.S. Census Bureau 1999 40 60 80 100 120 140 Inequalities in Outcomes Are an Issue Child mortality rates for the poor are often two to three times higher than those for the rich [Source: Asian Development Bank (2006)]. Health Expenditures Health Policy Baseline Health Expenditures, 2004 Per capita Per capita Per capita health health GDP expenditures expenditures ($US) ($US) (PPP) Under-5 Life mortality Total health Public (% total Out-of-pocket External (% Social Security Expectancy expenditures health (% total health total health (% total health rate (per at birth (% GDP) expenditures) expenditures) expenditures) expenditures) 1,000 live (years) births) Regions & Income Levels East Asia & Pacific Eastern Europe & Central Asia Latin America & the Caribbean Middle East & North Africa South Asia Sub-Saharan Africa Sub-Saharan Africa1 1,457 3,801 3,777 1,833 611 732 462 64 250 273 103 27 45 21 251 547 892 307 84 102 58 4.4 6.6 7.3 5.7 4.6 6.3 4.7 39.8 67.8 51.2 49.1 18.8 41.8 43.6 51.1 26.4 36.2 46.1 76.1 26.2 46.8 0.5 1.1 0.4 1.2 1.5 6.8 15.0 17.6 40.5 17.9 11.9 0.9 1.4 0.9 70 69 72 69 63 46 46 37 34 31 55 92 168 168 Low-income countries Lower middle-income countries Upper middle-income countries High-income countries High-income countries2 533 1,681 5,193 33,929 31,243 24 91 342 3,810 2,778 79 365 676 3,637 2,527 4.7 5.4 6.6 11.2 8.8 23.9 47.3 57.8 60.4 76.0 70.0 42.8 30.2 14.9 16.6 5.4 0.5 0.7 0.0 0.0 1.1 14.4 32.2 26.0 39.3 59 70 69 79 79 122 42 28 7 7 Source: World Bank, WHO, 2007. : All regional and income class aggregated data weighted by the series denominator 1. SSA GDP and health spending data excluding South Africa 2. HICs GDP and health spending data excluding the United States The Global Context: Major Inequities in Disease Burden Developing countries account for 90% of the global disease burden Burden of Disease 34.4% 55.9% low-income countries middle-income countries Source: The World Bank. 2005. World Development Indicators. 2006. 9.7% high-income countries The Global Context: Inequities in Health Spending …but only 12% of global health spending Distribution of Total Global Health Spending 2% 10% 88% low-income countries middle-income countries Source: The World Bank. 2005. World Development Indicators. 2006. high-income countries But There Are Also Large Inequities in Health Spending Within Countries EXPENDITURE PERFORMANCE Can Be Measured in Many Ways • LOCAL CURRENCY – Point in time or changes over time – Total nominal spending – Share of GDP – Public verses private – Public health share of all public expenditures – Administrative expense share – Type of service – Capital vs. recurrent – Nominal per capita – Real/Volume (health deflator) – Real/Opportunity Cost (general price deflator) • NUMERAIRE CURRENCY--exchange rates/purchasing power parities (GDP, health) An accounting perspective of the production of health The proposed OECD approach Where Do We Start: National Health Accounts Coverage and access to services •Physical environment; •Life Style; •Other socioeconomic factors Utilisation of health services (personal and collective) Modification of health status Resources Input into health services • • • • Manpower Health facilities Intermediate products Medical knowledge and technology Health needs Cost = Price x Volume Population health status • mortality • morbidity and QOL • Earnings • Fees • Capital Investment • Training/education • Investment into medical facilities • Medical R&D • Perceived health status • Impairment, Disability, Handicap • Multi-dimensional health status • Disease-specific morbidity Expenditure on health by establishments of providers • composite health measures e.g. health expectancies Source: OECD Expenditure on health by functions • public health services • personal services and goods, by • age group • disease (ICD) • ATC (pharmaceuticals) • DRGs (inpatient care), etc. Sources of Financing (intermediate and ultimate financing) Health Expenditures in Ukraine, 1998-2005 Health System Expenditure & Financing (million Ukraine hryvnas) 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Total expenditure on health (THE) 6 816 7 721 9 945 12 342 14 174 17 978 22 429 31 340 General government expenditure on health (GGHE) 3 632 3 838 4 924 6 273 7 457 9 985 12 713 17 612 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Private expenditure on health 3 184 3 883 5 020 6 069 6 717 7 993 9 716 13 728 … Private households' out-of-pocket payment 2 835 3 467 4 492 5 458 6 056 7 175 8 797 11 572 … Prepaid and risk- pooling plans 24 35 50 70 73 84 114 150 … Non-profit institutions serving households (NGOs) 154 165 196 203 213 231 232 287 External sources 21 18 52 63 80 85 157 198 … of which Ministry of Health … Social security funds Source: WHO National Health Accounts 2007 Evolution of Budgetary Expenditures on Health UKRAINE : - National Expenditure on Health A. SELECTED RATIO INDICATORS FOR EXPENDITURES ON HEALTH 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 5.9 5.8 6.0 6.3 6.7 6.5 7.5 General government expenditure on health (GGHE) as % of THE 49.7 49.5 50.8 52.6 55.5 56.7 56.2 Private sector expenditure on health (PvtHE) as % of THE 50.3 50.5 49.2 47.4 44.5 43.3 43.8 GGHE as % of General government expenditure 8.6 8.4 8.9 9.3 10.2 9.4 9.4 Social security funds as % of GGHE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Private households' out-of-pocket payment as % of PvtHE 89.3 89.5 89.9 90.2 89.8 90.5 84.3 Prepaid and risk-pooling plans as % of PvtHE 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.1 External resources on health as % of THE 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.6 Total expenditure on health per capita ($US) 38 37 47 55 71 90 132 Total expenditure on health per capita (PPP) 220 238 279 313 379 427 526 General government expenditure on health per capita ($US) 19 18 24 29 39 51 74 General government expenditure on health per capita (PPP) 110 118 142 165 211 242 296 I. Expenditure ratios Total expenditure on health (THE) as % of GDP Financing Agents measurement II. Selected per capita indicators for expenditures on health Source: WHO National Health Accounts 2007 Recurrent and Capital Expenditures on Health Total Government Health Spending (1,000 Ukranian hryvnas) 1999 2000 2001 2002 1,590,487 1,808,013 2,388,559 3,018,550 428,493 557,393 591,616 653,757 1,297,716 1,317,981 1,760,740 2,074,711 Other Current Expenditures 170,904 829,415 1,007,544 1,228,650 Capital 321,104 333,113 490,380 562,246 3,808,704 4,888,217 6,238,899 7,537,914 Percent of Total Government Health Spending 1999 2000 2001 2002 Wages and salaries 41.8% 37.0% 38.3% 40.0% Utilities 11.3% 11.4% 9.5% 8.7% Procurement of items, materials, and services 34.1% 27.0% 28.2% 27.5% Other current expenditure 4.5% 17.0% 16.1% 16.3% Capital 8.4% 6.8% 7.9% 7.5% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% Wages Utilities Procurement of items, materials, and services Total Total Source: Ukraine Public Expenditure Review Health Sector , Health Sector Task Force, World Bank 2007 Public Health Expenditures by Program 2004 Percent of Total Health Spending in Ukraine Program Government Private External Inpatient 98.0% 2.0% 0.0% Outpatient 28.4% 71.0% 0.6% Pharmaceuticals 0.1% 99.9% 0.0% TB 74.4% 1.3% 24.4% ARVs 25.4% 0.0% 74.6% OB/GYN 72.9% 19.2% 7.9% Other outpatient 84.7% 14.7% 0.6% Rehabilitative care 54.7% 45.3% 0.0% Long-term care 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% Ancillary 24.7% 75.3% 0.0% Prevention and public health 90.7% 3.4% 5.9% Maternal and child 11.8% 0.0% 88.2% Communicable disease prevention 72.2% 0.0% 27.8% Non-communicable disease prevention 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% Other 94.9% 3.9% 1.2% Health administration 97.1% 0.0% 2.9% Other 97.4% 1.5% 1.1% Total 58.2% 41.2% 0.7% Source: Ukraine Public Expenditure Review Health Sector , Health Sector Task Force, World Bank 2007 U.S. NHA By Type of Service Source: Health Affairs Feb 2007 Total Health Expenditure per capita ($US) Per Capita Health Expenditure vs. Per Capita GDP 10000 France Croatia 1000 Turkey Columbia Thailand 100 Lesotho Cote D'Ivoire Bangladesh 10 10 100 1000 GDP per capita ($US) Source: World Bank, WDI, 2007, World Health Organization 2007 10000 100000 Total Health Expenditure (percentage of GDP) Health Expenditures as Percent of GDP 18 USA 16 14 Bulgaria 12 10 Slovenia Bolivia Vietnam 8 6 4 India 2 Benin Algeria 0 10 100 1000 GDP per capita ($US) Source: World Bank, WDI, 2007, World Health Organization 2007 10000 100000 Public Health Spending Varies Widely By Income Level Government Health Expenditure (percentage of GDP) (Per Capita GDP vs. Public Health to GDP Ratio) 12 10 Portugal 8 Argentina 6 Uzbekistan 4 Ethiopia Gabon 2 Sri Lanka 0 10 100 1000 GDP per capita ($US) Source: World Bank, WDI, 2007, World Health Organization 2007 10000 100000 Under-5 Mortality (per 1,000 live births) Child Mortality Varies Widely for Given Income Levels (Per capita GDP vs. Under-5 Mortality Ratio) 300 250 200 Azerbaijan 150 Maldives 100 Brazil Turkey Spain Tanzania 50 Ghana Ukraine 0 100 1000 10000 GDP per capita ($US) Source: World Bank, WDI, 2007, World Health Organization 2007 100000 Child Mortality Varies Widely for Given Public Health Spending Levels (Public Health to GDP Ratio vs. Under-5 Mortality Ratio) Under-5 mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) 300 250 Burkina Faso 200 150 Botswana 100 Mexico Iran China 50 Belarus Chile Estonia 0 0 2 4 6 8 Government Health Expenditure (% GDP) Source: World Bank, WDI, 2007, World Health Organization 2007 10 12 Higher Public Spending on Health Does Not Guarantee Better Access for the Poor Source: WDR 2004 Basics of Health Financing Health Financing Functions and Objectives Functions Revenue Collection Objectives raise sufficient and sustainable revenues in an efficient and equitable manner to provide individuals with both a basic package of essential services and financial protection against unpredictable catastrophic financial losses caused by illness and injury Pooling manage these revenues to equitably and efficiently pool health risks Purchasing assure the purchase of health services in an allocatively and technically efficient manner Financing Reforms Need to Deal with Revenues, Risk Pooling, Management and Payment Revenue Collection Public Taxes Pooling Resource Allocation or Purchasing (RAP) Government Agency Public Charges/ Resource Sales Mandates Grants Social Insurance or Sickness Funds Public Providers Private Insurance or Community-based Organizations Private Providers Private Loans Private Insurance Communities Out-of-Pocket Service Provision Employers Individuals And Households Efficiency Gains are Another Source of Financing * Public spending and child mortality rate are shown as the percent deviation from rate predicted by GDP per capita Source: Spending and GDP from World Development Indicators database. Under-5 mortality from Unicef 2002`, WDR 2004 Efficiency Defined • Efficiency of financing base -- the economic costs resulting from changes in the production and consumption behavior of firms and households as a result of taxes and other revenue raising efforts • Allocative efficiency – “doing the right things” -purchasing the most cost-effective mix of outcomes • Technical efficiency -- “doing things right” – producing a specific health outcome, intervention or service at lowest cost Domestic Resource Mobilization is Much More Limited in MICs and LICs Regions Social Security Total Revenue Tax Revenue Taxes as % of as % of GDP as % of GDP GDP Early 2000s Americas Sub-Saharan Africa Central Europe, Baltics, Russia & Other Former Soviet Republics Middle East & North Africa Asia & Pacific Small Islands (Pop. < 1 million) 20.0 19.7 16.3 15.9 2.3 0.3 26.7 26.2 16.6 32.0 23.4 17.1 13.2 24.5 8.1 0.8 0.5 2.8 Low-income countries Low middle-income countries Upper middle-income countries High income Countries 17.7 21.4 26.9 31.9 14.5 16.3 21.9 26.5 0.7 1.4 4.3 7.2 Strong Performance in Most Regions Real GDP annual percent change 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 East-Asia & Europe & Pacific Central Asia Source: World Bank 2004 Latin America & Caribbean 2005 Middle-East & North Africa 2006 2007 South Asia 2008 Sub-Saharan Africa Fiscal Space* is Needed Figure 5: Fiscal Space Increasetoof *Budgetary room that allows a government provide resources for a desired Aid in purpose without any prejudice Grant to the sustainability of its financial position % GDP Increase of Grant Aid in % GDP 5 4 3 2 mproved Improved Expend. Expenditure fficiency Efficiency in % GDP n % GDP 1 0 New Borrowing Newin % GDP • Estimates of revenue effort may suggest that an additional 4 percent of GDP could be raised through domestic revenue measures. • • • • Borrowing in % GDP Negotiations with development partners may elicit indications of an additional 3 percent of GDP in grant aid. A PER may have identified areas for rationalization that would release 3 percent of GDP in resources for reallocation. Macroeconomic and debt management may suggest that new borrowing over the period should be limited to 2 percent of GDP. Seignorage (govt prints money which it loans to itself) is yet another, but generally limited, mechanism for creating fiscal space. Source: PREM: FISCAL POLICY FOR GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT: AN INTERIM REPORT, 2006 Improv Improved Reven Revenue Effort in i Effort % GDP GDP Fiscal Sustainability is a Critical Concomitant of the Creation of Fiscal Space The Classic Definition: Other Definitions: • • Self-sufficiency -- over a specific time period, the responsible managing entity will generate sufficient resources to fund the full costs of a particular program, sector, or economy including the incremental service costs associated with new investments and the servicing and repayment of external debt: the level of sustainable deficit that will keep the debt burden constant for feasible rates of growth, real interest rates, and inflation. assumes that a constant ratio of public debt to GDP will ensure public sector solvency and avoid a debt crisis in the future. ignores equity and efficiency issues, e.g., can be fiscally sustainable yet inefficient and highly inequitable. not very useful for countries with large grant financing. • • The capacity of the health system to replace withdrawn donor funds with funds from other, usually domestic, sources The sustainability of an individual program is defined as “capacity of the grantee to mobilize the resources to fund the recurrent costs of a project once the investment phase has ended” A softer definition is that the managing entity commits a stable and fixed share of program costs Risk Pooling is Needed to Prevent Health Shocks Which Contribute to Poverty (Loss of income, excess expenditures in medical health services) 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Argentina Chile Ecuador Honduras % of total non-poor population that falls below the poverty and/or indigence line due to out-of-pocket health expenditures Source: Baeza Risk Pooling and Prepayment • Risk pooling enables the establishment of ‘insurance’ as large unpredictable risks at the individual level become predictable when pooled over a large number of individuals • Risk pooling enables the averaging of health risks over all pool members and provides the opportunity for redistribution among high and low risk pool members • Prepayment provides protection against unpredictable large losses and redistribution between high and low income individuals: – In risk rated private insurance, the premium reflects the average predicted risk of pool members, thus enabling pool members to face a predictable upfront payment – In a public system, pre-payment whether through social security or general revenue contributions allows the separation of payments from expected medical risks and thus enables redistribution from high to low income individuals What do We Mean by Risk Pooling? Cross-subsidy from low-risk to high-risk Cross-subsidy from rich to poor (risk subsidy) (equity subsidy) Low risk High risk Poor Health risk Rich Income Cross subsidy from productive to non-productive part of the life cycle Produ ctive Nonproduc tive Age Risk Selection Can Destabilize Insurance Markets • • • Adverse selection occurs when sicker than average individuals enroll in competing public or private health insurance plans This can destabilize insurance markets through premium spirals if healthier individuals disenroll Insurers react by trying to screen out such high risk individuals by: – requiring medical exams – examining claims history – having waiting periods – excluding pre-existing conditions from coverage – refusing insurance coverage • These instabilities can be offset by: – regulation of insurers – marketing insurance to groups formed for other purposes (e.g. employment) – having a mandatory public insurance program Insurance Encourages Overuse of Services • This phenomenon known as moral hazard results because of the tendency for insurance to increase the probability of the occurrence of the event that is being insured against • It is present in both public and private insurance • Insurance design features to mitigate moral hazard include: – cost sharing – limits on benefits – frequent renewability – utilization management Do Insurance Market Instabilities Necessitate Public Financing? Public financing can: – pool risks over the entire population – eliminate adverse selection and medical underwriting problems – still face cost problems due to moral hazard Private insurance can: – segment health risks by underwriting groups – preclude economic losses from coercive taxes – allow for greater consumer choice Major Health Financing Models • National Health Service -- systems financed through general revenues, covering whole population, care provided through public providers • Social Health Insurance -- systems with publicly mandated coverage for designated groups, financed through payroll contributions, semiautonomous administration, care provided through own, public, or private facilities • Community-Based Health Insurance -- not-for-profit prepayment plans for health care, financed through private voluntary contributions, with community control and voluntary membership, care generally provided through NGO or private facilities • Voluntary Health insurance -- financed through private voluntary contributions to for- and non-profit insurance organizations, care provided in private and public facilities • User Fees – charges to individuals for publicly provided services A Model of the Evolution of Health Care Financing Systems Low Income Countries Patient Out-ofPocket Social Insur Gov’t Budget Community Financing Middle Income Countries High Income Countries Priv. insur Patient Outof-Pocket Patient Outof-Pocket National Health Service Model Social Insur National Health Insurance Model Gov’t Budget Private Insurance Model Source: Modified from A. Maeda NHS Systems Systems financed through general revenues, covering whole population, care provided through public providers Strengths – Pools risks for whole population – Relies on many different revenue sources – Single centralized governance system has the potential for administrative efficiency and cost control Weaknesses – Unstable funding due to nuances of annual budget process – Often disproportionately benefits the rich – Potentially inefficient due to lack of incentives and effective public sector management Social Health Insurance Systems with publicly mandated coverage for designated groups, financed through payroll contributions, semi-autonomous administration, care provided through own, public, or private facilities Strengths • • • • • • • Additional health revenue source As a ‘benefit’ tax, there may be more ‘willingness to pay’ Removes financing from annual general government appropriations process Generally provides covered population with access to a broad package of services Often has strong support from population Can effectively redistribute between high and low risk and high and low income groups in the covered population Often serves as the basis for the expansion to universal coverage Weaknesses • • • • • • • Poor are often excluded unless subsidized by government Payroll contributions can reduce competitiveness and lead to higher unemployment Can be complex and expensive to manage, which is particularly problematic for LICs and some MICs Governance and accountability can be problematic Can lead to cost escalation unless effective contracting mechanisms are in place Often provides poor coverage for preventive services and chronic conditions Often needs to be subsidized from general revenues Community-Based Health Insurance Not-for-profit prepayment plans for health care, with community control and voluntary membership, care generally provided through NGO or private facilities Strengths • • • • • • • Community-run and not-for-profit Membership is voluntary Promotes pre-payment Plays a role in mobilizing additional resources, providing access and financial protection in LICs Risk sharing is usually from the well to the sick If premiums are based on income, there can also be risk sharing from the better off to the poor CBHI can be a helpful complement but is not a substitute for NHS or SHI systems Weaknesses • • • • • • Heterogeneous in terms of populations covered, regulation, and benefits provided Providing access and financial protection are limited due to the small size of most schemes The financial sustainability of most schemes is questionable CBHI schemes generally do not reach the very poor Their impacts on care delivery are quite limited Should be encouraged only where more comprehensive health financing arrangements cannot be implemented on a large scale Voluntary Health Insurance Financed through private voluntary contributions to for- and non-profit insurance organizations, care provided in private and public facilities Weaknesses Strengths • • • As a prepayment and risk pooling mechanism is generally preferable to out of pocket expenditure May increase financial protection and access to health services for those able to pay When an “active purchasing” function is present it may also encourage better quality and costefficiency of health care providers • • • • • Associated with high administrative costs Not effective in reducing cost pressures on public health financing systems May be inequitable without public intervention either to subsidize premiums or regulate insurance content and price Has the potential to divert resources and support from mandated health financing mechanisms Applicability in LICs and MICs requires well developed financial markets and strong regulatory capacity User Fees are Only a Small Share of Total Consumer Payments Fees for publicly provided services Evidence on User Fees is Mixed Fees for publicly provided services Strengths – Generate additional revenue with which to improve health care quality – Increase demand for services owing to the improvement in quality – May reduce out-of-pocket and other costs, even for the poor, by substituting public services sold at relatively modest fees for higher-priced and less accessible private services – Promote more efficient consumption patterns by reducing spurious demand and encouraging the use of cost-effective health services – Encourage patients to exert their right to obtain good quality services and make health workers more accountable to patients – When combined with a system of waivers and exemptions, serve as an instrument to target public subsidies to the poor and to reduce the leakage of subsidies to the non-poor Weaknesses – Are rarely used to achieve significant improvements in quality of care, either because their revenue generating potential is marginal or because fee revenue is not used to finance quality gains – Do not curtail spurious demand because in poor countries there is a lack, not an excess, of demand – Fail to promote cost-effective demand patterns because the government health system fails to make costeffective services available to users – Hurt access by the poor, and thus harm equity, because appropriate waivers and exemption systems are seldom implemented; where they are, the poor get discriminated against with lower quality treatment Financing Challenges • There is no one ‘right’ financing model. • System financing must be sustainable --meaning that future economic growth generates sufficient levels of income for decent living standards and external debt solvency. • LICs face difficult tradeoffs between financing essential services and providing financial risk protection -- prioritization is critical. • For low income countries receiving large amounts of external assistance, there are serious questions of absorptive capacity as well as their ability to finance from domestic resources both future recurrent costs directly financed by time-limited grants as well as current and future recurrent costs generated by externally funded investments. • Most MICs are challenged to provide universal coverage, reduce fragmentation among risk pools, and improve purchasing efficiency. • The critical issue is risk pooling, whether SHI or NHS is ultimately chosen is really of secondary importance. • The critical condition regarding the speed of evolution to universal coverage is the level of income and its rate of growth. Evidence also suggests that the ability to administrate is a key enabling factor for success. • Models need to be tailored to individual country circumstances. Provider Payment Provider Payment Defined • Mechanisms used to ‘pay’ medical care providers/organizations for services rendered to their clients • Developing, testing, and implementing new methods to pay medical care providers (e.g, global budgets, capitation, DRGs, etc.) including MIS and QA systems • Implementing new systems in which: – money follows patients – finance is separated from provision – payment systems contain incentives for access, efficiency, and quality for public and private providers Key Messages 1. There is no ‘right’ method 2. Provider payment systems must be tailored to the institutional realities of each system encompassing both the demand and supply sides 3. Policy-makers need to be concerned about effects across different provider types, different payors (i.e., public, private HI, OOP) as well as overall health spending 4. Policy-makers must monitor the effects of alternative provider payment systems on cost, access, and quality – MIS is critical Fundamental Issues • • • • • • What care will be produced? How will care be produced? How much care will be produced? What level of ‘quality’ will be produced? To whom will care be offered? What kinds of care and how much will consumers ‘demand’/access? • By what method, how much, and by whom will providers be paid and/or consumers reimbursed? Source: Modified from Rena Eichler, WB, 2003 Incentives To Providers Depend On How They Are Paid • • Unit of payment: – individual service – per visit/encounter – per day – per admission – per episode of illness – all (or a defined set of services) for a provider for a fixed period of time (i.e., salary or global budget) – all (or a defined set of) services for an individual for a fixed period of time (i.e. full or partial capitation) Level of payment – providers costs – providers charges – administratively set by payor – negotiated – competitive bidding Need To Monitor • Costs • Quality • Access • Impacts across different provider types • Impacts across all public and private payors including those paying out of pocket Basic Principles of P4P • • • • • • • • • • • Increase efficiency in the provision of existing levels of activity Where needed, encourage expansion of activity Enhance patient choice Increase patient satisfaction Encourage providers to be responsive to patient and commissioner preferences Keep costs under control Channel funding where it is most needed Introduce fairness and transparency in funding providers Encourage the development of new, cost-effective treatment pathways Shift patterns of service provision away from historical patterns Improve quality Source: Moraldo, Goddard, and Smith, York CHE Research Paper 19, 2006. Authors use the term PbR – pay by results Difficult to Control Spending Without a Single Set of Payment Rules DELIVERY SYSTEM PUBLIC FACILITIES AND PHYSICIANS PRIVATE FACILITIES AND PHYSICIANS BUDGET FEE SCHEDULES CHARGES SOURCES OF INSURANCE COVERAGE PUBLIC PRIVATE UNINSURED Provider Payment Systems are One of Many Approaches for Improving Efficiency Supply side approaches Demand side approaches Indirect mechanisms • Changing behavior via reimbursement mechanism • Changing market structure and behavior by changing overall ownership (e.g., privatization of hospitals and facilities) • Using global budgets, possibly in combination with other efficiency targets (e.g., staffing) Indirect mechanisms • Employing payment incentives to encourage treatment of patients in primary or ambulatory care • Introducing user charges and co-payments Changing care delivery • Adopting treatment protocols • Introducing performance management (e.g., setting targets for length of stay, promoting day surgery) • Implementing business process reengineering • Adapting cost-reduction and efficiency targets Planning approaches • Implementing hospital closure and reconfiguration programs Demand management • Initiating an appropriateness and utilization review • Introducing “evidence-based purchasing”, specifying explicit rationing of treatments, specifying a basic package of interventions • Developing primary care substitutes • Promoting social and domiciliary care • Strengthening disease prevention activities • Adopting managed care or disease management Source: M. Henscher Basic Health Reform Issues Some Generic Health Reform Priorities Management, capacity building, policy and planning, regulation, and DDM • Developing capacity by employing multi-disciplinary skilled staff. • Collecting on a continuous basis necessary data for decision-making (e.g., national health accounts; epidemiological data to monitor the MDGs, etc.) and monitoring outcomes. • Coordinating policy-making among multiple public bodies, sectors, and private stakeholders at all geographic levels. •Assuring appropriate regulatory frameworks for quality, insurance, system capacity, etc. Delivery • Decentralizing management to regional and local levels. • Assuring appropriate numbers, mix, and geographic distribution of human and physical resources. • Implementing effective quality assurance systems • Assuring that overall system capacity corresponds to underlying needs, affordability and efficiency. • Reform pharmaceutical sector. Financing • Assuring access to affordable public and personal health services and provide financial protection by effective ‘risk pooling’ through public and private financing mechanisms. • Assuring that such mechanisms (e.g., general revenues, payroll taxes, user charges, premiums) are equitable (based on ability to pay), efficient (minimize distortions to the economy), simple to administer, and sustainable. • Developing, testing, and implementing new methods to pay medical care providers (e.g., global budgets, capitation, DRGs, etc.) that contain incentives for access, efficiency, and quality for public and private providers. Public health • Better targeting of interventions on the poor and to cost-effective treatment and prevention of communicable diseases (e.g., ARI, CDD, AIDS, malnutrition) as well as non-communicable diseases and injuries. • Implementing effective culturally sensitive reproductive health policies. • Implementing effective environmental and occupational health policies. Some ‘Conventional Wisdoms’ About Health Reform • • • • • • • • • • It is much easier to expand coverage and benefits than to reduce them When one creates a uniform universal program from several existing programs, the benefit package generally ends up being that of the most generous program One shouldn’t undertake major coverage expansions on an inefficient base system It is very difficult to finance a reform in the short-term through efficiency gains Demand side controls are important, but one must keep in mind that cost is often irrelevant when it comes to peoples’ health and physicians generally determine demand Supply side (regulatory and reimbursement) measures are absolutely critical for controlling costs in any pluralistic, not strictly budget-controlled, system There are substantial market failures in health that limit the inherent efficiencies underlying competition either among insurers or providers, requiring complex regulatory mechanisms for both providers and insurers Major reforms in delivery arrangements and medical practice take time, particularly if new types of physician specialists need to be trained Governments need to consider both private financing and private delivery, given potential self-referral by public providers, the ability for private insurers and providers to dump the worst health risks onto the public system, and the opportunity costs of inefficient private sector investments in terms of lost growth and employment Rationalization of the health delivery system needs to be an implicit or explicit aspect of coverage expansions, regulatory, quality assurance, and payment mechanisms How Can the Financing Gap Be Filled? • Improve equity and efficiency of current spending in terms of focusing on cost-effective interventions targeted to the poor provided through an efficient health care delivery system • Undertake appropriate investments in other health– related sectors • Improve domestic resource mobilization • Try to re-allocate private spending for optimal public purposes including appropriate user charges • Obtain increased donor support and debt forgiveness through the adoption of effective macroeconomic and health sector strategies through PRSPs, MTEFs, SWAPS, Global Funds, etc. ODA is Rising But is Far Short of What is Needed to Meet MDG (0.54) and Monterrey Commitments (0.70) To meet 2010 commitments (ODA of US$130 billion per year), need an average increase of about 8% per year Source: OECD DAC database. Much of the Increase in Aid is Not Directed to Financing the Incremental Costs of Meeting the MDGs 80 % of net ODA 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1980 1990 Debt Forgiveness Grants 2000 Technical Cooperation Administrative Costs Program and Project Aid Emergency and Food Aid Source: Sundberg and Gelb 2006. In 2005, ODA peaked at US$ 106.5 billion -- most of this increase was due to debt relief and exceptional mobilization in response to the Tsunami and the Kashmir earthquake ODA is the Main Source of External Finance for SSA, Twice as Large as FDI and Nearly Four Times the as Large as Remittances Total long-term flows of $41 billion in 2003 Total long-term flows of $340 billion in 2003 Source: World Bank. Global Monitoring Report. 2005. Donor Aid for Health has Increased Significantly 16 14 US$ billions 12 Private non-profit 10 Other multilaterals Development banks 8 UN agencies Bilateral agencies 6 4 2 0 2000 2005 year Source: Michaud 2007 Where Does All the Aid Go? On average, for every $1 disbursed by donors to our 14 case study countries, we estimate: •Not recorded in balance of payment •Recorded in BOP but not in Govt spending •Aid earmarked to specific projects •Budget support $0.30 $0.20 $0.30 $0.20 •1990s structural adjustment provided a larger share of aid as general budget resources. Basic Problems in Current ODA System • Lack of global governance and policy coherence • Lack of predictability of funding and large differences between donor commitments and disbursements at the country level generate problems of macroeconomic management and planning • There is a growing concern about the ‘verticalization’ of aid and the need to focus holistically on health systems as opposed to specific diseases or interventions • Large numbers of new actors and donors and the plethora of ‘new’ aid instruments (e.g., SWaps, PRSPs, PRSCs, PRGFs, MTEFs, etc.) create problems of management and coordination at both the global and country levels and generate transactions costs and absorptive capacity constraints • Lack of responsiveness and flexibility of aid to sudden problems and crises • Little accountability of donors for the absence of results and lack of M&E systems which are needed to ensure that the additional resources are being used as prioritized and achieving results • A significant portion of aid is off-budget and often doesn’t even enter into the balance of payments or the government’s budget • Countries need to create ‘fiscal space’ to absorb these large increases in external assistance, a potentially problematic situation given IMF fiscal ceiling Donor Commitments for Health are Volatile and Unpredictable Try managing this… Donor Collaboration is a Challenge GTZ WHO CIDA UNAIDS RNE INT NGO 3/5 UNICEF Norad WB Sida USAID T-MAP MOF UNTG CF DAC GFCCP PRSP PEPFAR GFATM HSSP MOH PMO MOEC SWAP CCM CTU NCTP CCAIDS NACP LOCALGVT CIVIL SOCIETY PRIVATE SECTOR Source: WHO: Mbewe Bilateral Donor Support to Tanzania, 2000-2002 Source: Foreign Policy, Ranking the Rich 2004 Vertical Aid Distorts Priorities Community Management Case management Drug Use HIV/AIDS Nutrition Skilled birth attendance New born care Malaria PMTCT Health system Source: WHO, Mbewe Maternal health Safe and Supportive Environment Absorptive Capacity Constraints are Multi-Dimensional Macro Macro National Government Fiscal instruments/allocative mechanisms Service delivery/ local government Institutional Debt sustainability. Monetary and fiscal policy instruments. Competitiveness, Dutch disease. Exchange rate management. Physical and human Social/cultural/political Administrative, Stable national political management, and planning institutions, power-sharing skills, trained technicians, mechanisms, social stability. sector specialists. PEM (budget Sector management skills. Cultural norms, weak institutions, preparation/execution, power sharing mechanisms accounting, treasury, audit, etc.) Connectivity and communications networks. Administrative capacity. Legal framework. Local government institutions, private sector capacity. Road accessibility, water control, geography. Local government skills and capacity. Cultural norms, ethnic, caste, class, relations. Local power structures. Constraints to Improving Access to Health Interventions Constraints to Improving Access to Health Interventions Level of Constraint I. Community and Household Level Type of Constraint Lack of demand for effective interventions Amenability of Additional Funds to Reduce Constraints High High Barriers to use of effective interventions (physical, financial, social) II. Health Services Delivery Level Shortage and distribution of appropriately qualified staff High Weak technical guidance, program management and supervision High Inadequate drugs and medical supplies High High Lack of equipment and infrastructure, including poor accessibility of health services III. Health Sector Policy and Strategic Management Level Low Weak and overly centralized systems for planning and management Weak drug policies and supply system Medium Inadequate regulation of pharmaceutical and private sectors and improper industry practices Medium Lack of intersectoral action and partnership for health between government and civil society Low Low Weak incentives to use inputs efficiently and respond to user needs and preferences IV. Public Policies Cutting Across Sectors V. Contextual and Environmental Characteristics Reliance on donor funding that reduces flexibility and ownership Low Donor practices that damage country policies Low Government bureaucracy (civil service rules and remuneration; centralized management system; civil service reforms) Low Poor availability of communication and transport infrastructure High Governance and overall policy framework Low Corruption, weak government, weak rule of law and enforceability of contracts Political instability and insecurity Low priority attached to social sectors Weak structures for public accountability Lack of free press Physical environment Climatic and geographic predisposition to disease Physical environment unfavorable to service delivery Source: Olivera et al 2001 Low The Face of the HRH Crisis RECRUITMENT ATTRITION Pre-service training -Clinical vs Managerial -Specialist vs polyvalent -Death -Professional vs volunteer -Braindrain: loss vs gain -Pension Social Franchising DISTRIBUTION -Geo: rural vs urban RETENTION -Monetary: salary vs allowances -Level: central vs service delivery -Secondary: housing, transport, communication, electrification, child education, training opportunities etc. -Sector: public vs private -HR management -Type: key-staff vs others What Will Donors Have to Do? • Harmonize procedures (procurement, financial mgt, monitoring & reporting) in order to improve impacts and reduce donor and country transactions costs • Provide increased and predictable long term financing • Finance recurrent costs • Offer consistent policy advice • Submit to common assessment of their own performance What Does This Mean for Countries? • • • • • • • • Develop credible strategies and plans to foster economic growth, deal with implementation bottlenecks, and reach MDGs as part of PRSPs, SWAPs, MTEFs, and public expenditure programs Improve governance including giving voice to communities, consumers and openness to NGOs and private sector Enhance absorptive capacity through decentralization, efficient targeting mechanisms, and institutional reforms including having a clear fiduciary architecture and open reporting of results Improve equity and efficiency of resource mobilization and commit resources Middle income countries need to make the commitment to develop and implement effective health reform strategies relying on evidence-based policy, best international practice, and MDG+ goals and indicators Develop financing, management, and regulatory mechanisms for equitable and effective pooling of insurable health risks as a necessary concomitant to MDG and CMH intervention choices. Integrating vertical programs into a well functioning health system to maximize health-specific and cross-sectoral outcomes and reduce transactions costs Monitor and evaluate results A Shared Global Approach • Build on existing funding modalities • Use and further improve existing plans and mechanisms at the country level • Address inequities within countries • Scale up cost-effective interventions • Tackle critical implementation constraints • Apply a multi-sectoral approach • Focus on results • Country orientation, but global action is also needed The Basic Instruments Public Expenditure Management Instruments • • • • • Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper (PRSP) – a comprehensive, long-term, country owned, participatorally developed, results-oriented plan focused on poverty outcomes and the multidimensional nature of poverty Medium Term Expenditure Framework (MTEF) – a fiscal framework that consists of a top down resource envelop, a bottom-up estimate of the current and medium term costs of existing policies and, ultimately, the matching of these costs with available resources in the context of the annual budget process Sector Wide Approach (SWap) -- a health policy and donor coordination mechanism designed to be country-driven; based on a shared vision of a comprehensive sector development strategy that reflects all development activities including identification of gaps, overlaps, and inconsistencies; establishes agreed upon priorities for the sector; contains an expenditure framework that clarifies sectoral priorities and guides all sectoral financing and investment; and, creates partnerships across development assistance agencies that reduce governments’ transaction costs Public Expenditure Review (PER) – a comprehensive analysis of the levels and composition of government spending and revenues that assesses inter- and intra-sectoral allocations, public enterprises, the structure of governance, and the functions of public institutions Public Expenditure Tracking Surveys (PETs) – surveys that track the flow of publicly funded services through the layers of bureaucracy down to the service facility that is charged with responsibility for spending