International Osoyoos Lake Board of Control Public Meeting Osoyoos Lake Water Science Forum October 8, 2015 Presented by Bruno Tassone, Chair, Canadian Section Marijke van Heeswijk, Secretary, U.S. Section John Arterburn, Member, U.S. Section Osoyoos Lake Board of Control United States Section Cynthia Barton, Chair Canadian Section Bruno Tassone, Chair U.S. Geological Survey Environment Canada (retired) John Arterburn Glen Davidson B.C. Ministry of FLNRO Confederated Tribes of the Colville Res. Sue McKortoff Col. John Buck Mayor, Town of Osoyoos U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Brian Symonds Kris Kauffman B.C. Ministry of FLNRO (retired) Anna Warwick-Sears Water Rights, Inc. Ford Waterstrat Okanagan Basin Water Board Lake Osoyoos Association Secretariat Gwyn Graham Environment Canada Marijke van Heeswijk U.S. Geological Survey Expanded Board Membership • Canadian Section – Sue McKortoff (Mayor, Town of Osoyoos) – Anna Warwick-Sears (Okanogan Basin Water Board) • U.S. Section – John Arterburn (Confederated Tribes of the Colville Reservation) – Ford Waterstrat (Lake Osoyoos Association) IJC and Osoyoos Lake Board of Control • IJC issued Orders of Approval for managing Osoyoos Lake levels (1946, 1978, 1982, 1985, 2013) • Lake levels are generally regulated by Zosel Dam, located near Oroville, Wash. • IJC appointed Osoyoos Lake Board of Control to monitor provisions of the Orders Current Zosel Dam, constructed in 1987 near site of original dam (constructed in 1927) Osoyoos Lake Rule Curve Columbia R. Okanagan/Okanogan & Similkameen River Watersheds Okanagan Lake Dam Similkameen R. Okanagan R. Osoyoos Lake Okanogan R. Columbia R. Diagram of System General streamflow Okanagan Lake Regulation System (OLRS) Transborder-collaboration points for system operations Okanagan Lake Major Dam Skaha Lake Minor Dam Vaseux Lake Minor Dam CANADA US Osoyoos Lake Minor Dam Zosel Dam Okanogan River Hydrologic Conditions in 2015 The year of the double whammy Below average snowpack accumulation followed by a warm and dry spring and summer March 1, 2015 April 1, 2015 Snow Peak Pillow Snowpack Number Accumulation (% of average) Timing of Snowmelt Initiation (# weeks early) Timing of Snowmelt Completion (# weeks early) 1 70 0 4 2 75 5 4 3 80 0 3 2 1. Blackwall Peak 2. Brenda Mines 3. Mission Creek 1 3 Okanagan Lake Water-Surface Levels 2015 peak: 1,123.31 ft, June 5-6 Average peak: 1,123.20 ft, June 28-29 Drought criterion: 1,122.6 ft 2015 Average (1944-2014, 71 yrs) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 2015 record includes provisional data Monthly Net Inflows to Okanagan Lake Okanagan River at Oliver (inflows to Osoyoos Lake) 2015 Average (1944-2014, 71 yrs) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 2015 record includes provisional data Similkameen River at Nighthawk (confluence downstream from Zosel Dam) Average (1929-2014, 86 yrs) W W W w 2015 Minimum (1929-2014) 2015 record includes provisional data Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Order of Approval, Section 8: Drought Criteria Not Met in 2015 Criteria for Declaring a Drought a) April-July flow volume in the Similkameen River is less than 1 million ac-ft b) i) April-July net inflow to Okanagan Lake is less than 195,000 ac-ft Forecasted Early April Drought Forecasted Early May Criterion Actual Value Met? 1.039 million ac-ft 0.831 million ac-ft 0.820 million ac-ft No Yes Yes 396,000 ac-ft 316,200 ac-ft 199,100 ac-ft No No No ii) June or July maximum >1,122.6 ft by mid-April level of Okanagan Lake is 1,123.3 ft less than 1,122.6 feet 1,123.3 ft No No No Significance Required for drought declaration One of these two required for drought declaration Drought Determinations by Entity Date Osoyoos Lake Board of Control Washington State British Columbia April 14 Notifies Washington State that drought conditions are not in effect according to criteria defined in the IJC Order April 17 Expands limited drought declaration to include the Okanogan Basin July 10 July 28 Declares level 3 drought for the Okanagan Basin Notifies Washington State that IJC approved a variance according to Condition 10 of the Order that allows Zosel Dam operation in compliance with the droughtcondition rule curve for the remainder of 2015 16 No Deviations from the Rule Curve in 2015 Hydrologic Forecast for 2015-16 A strong El Niño is expected into spring 2016 It is on track to be ranked #3 since 1950, after 1997 (#1) and 1987 (#2) Most likely result: 1) PNW will be warmer 2) PNW precipitation may be normal, but likely below normal east of Cascade Range Initiatives in 2015 • In September, the IJC funded the Board’s IWI proposal for an educational documentary Purpose: engage residents of the watershed and show how the system is managed to balance multiple needs Lead agency is Washington State Dept. of Ecology • Request for Osoyoos Lake photos for website! (Details at http://ijc.org/en_/iolbc/Activities) Questions? Next speaker: John Arterburn What follows are slides that will not be used during the presentation, unless necessary. Snow Pillows 1. Blackwall Peak 2. Brenda Mines 3. Mission Creek 2 1 3 1. Blackwall Peak Snow Pillow (Similkameen R. basin) Average 2014/15 2. Brenda Mines Snow Pillow (Okanagan R. basin) 2014/15 3. Mission Creek Snow Pillow (Okanagan R. basin) Average 2014/15