The Insurance Industry’s “Talent Gap” Griffith Foundation Insurance Education & Career Summit Atlanta, GA September 25, 2011 Steven N. Weisbart, Ph.D., CLU, Senior Vice President & Chief Economist Insurance Information Institute 110 William Street New York, NY 10038 Tel: 212.346.5540 Cell: 917.494.5945 stevenw@iii.org www.iii.org The Industry Employs Younger Workers in Proportion to their Numbers in the Labor Force 2 Age Distribution: P-C Workers vs. the U.S. Labor Force, 2008 100% 6% 13% 17% 30% 29% 17% 75% 32% 20% 14% 23% 39% 50% 23% 26% 25% 27% 40% 25% 27% 22% 11% 14% Reinsurers U.S. population 65+ 55-64 45-54 35-44 25-34 16-24 23% 0% Personal Lines carriers Commercial Lines Carriers Brokers It appears that the workers at P-C personal lines carriers are, in general, younger than, and commercial lines employees and brokers are no older than, the U.S. workforce in general. Only reinsurance workers might be a little older Sources: McKinsey, Building a Talent Magnet, Exhibit 2; BLS; Insurance Information Institute 3 Does the P/C Insurance Industry Pay as Well as Other Employment? 5 Average Hourly Earnings, Employees in Selected Financial Services, Mar 2006*–May 2011 P-C carriers Commercial banking Ins Agents & Brokers Securities brokerage $40 $35 $30 $25 Jun 11 Mar 11 Dec 10 Sep 10 Jun 10 Mar 10 Dec 09 Sep 09 Jun 09 Mar 09 Dec 08 Sep 08 Jun 08 Mar 08 Dec 07 Sep 07 Jun 07 Mar 07 Dec 06 Sep 06 Jun 06 Mar 06 $20 From April 2007 through October 2009, average hourly earnings at P/C insurers were essentially flat at about $29. In the 21 months since then, average hourly earnings grew by roughly $3 (nearly 10%), but lost $1 in June and July 2011 *start of BLS series; not seasonally adjusted Source: http://data.bls.gov/PDQ/servlet/SurveyOutputServlet 6 Can We Attract New Hires to a Shrinking Industry? 7 U.S. Employment in the Direct P/C Insurance Industry: 1990–2011* Thousands 525 500 475 As of May 2011, P/C insurance industry employment was down by 33,600 or 6.8% to 457,500 since the recession began in Dec. 2007 (compared to overall US employment decline of 5.2%). 450 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 *As of May 2011; Not seasonally adjusted; Does not including agents & brokers. Note: Recessions indicated by gray shaded columns. Sources: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; National Bureau of Economic Research (recession dates); Insurance Information Institute. 8 U.S. Employment in the Reinsurance Industry: 1990–2011* Thousands 48 44 40 As of May 2011, US employment in the reinsurance industry was up by 400 or 1.5% to 27,300 since the recession began in Dec. 2007 (compared to overall US employment decline of 5.2%). 36 32 28 24 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 *As of May 2011; Not seasonally adjusted; Does not including agents & brokers. Note: Recessions indicated by gray shaded columns. Sources: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; National Bureau of Economic Research (recession dates); Insurance Information Institute. 9 U.S. Employment in Insurance Claims Adjusting: 1990–2011* Thousands Katrina, Rita, Wilma 60 From 1990 to 2008, the number of claims adjusters grew by an average of about 1.5% per year. Some of this slow growth may be due to use of new technology. 55 50 45 Jan-11 Apr-10 Jul-09 Oct-08 Jan-08 Apr-07 Jul-06 Oct-05 Jan-05 Apr-04 Jul-03 Oct-02 Jan-02 Apr-01 Jul-00 Oct-99 Jan-99 Apr-98 Jul-97 Oct-96 Jan-96 Apr-95 Jul-94 Oct-93 Jan-93 Apr-92 Jul-91 Oct-90 Jan-90 40 Since October 2008, when employment peaked at 56,200, about 8,000 adjuster jobs were shed. Some of this may be due to strategies to pay small claims without adjustment. *As of June 2011; Not seasonally adjusted. Note: Recessions indicated by gray shaded columns. Sources: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; National Bureau of Economic Research (recession dates); Insurance Information Institute. 10 Is the Recent Decline in the Number of Agents/Brokers Temporary or Permanent? Is it a Result of a Trend to Online Shopping for Insurance? 11 U.S. Employment in Insurance Agencies & Brokerages: 1990–2011* Thousands 700 650 600 550 As of May 2011, employment at insurance agencies and brokerages was down by 37,900 or 5.6% to 641,700 since the recession began in Dec. 2007 (compared to overall US employment decline of 5.2%). 500 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 *As of May 2011; Not seasonally adjusted. Includes all types of insurance. Note: Recessions indicated by gray shaded columns. Sources: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; National Bureau of Economic Research (recession dates); Insurance Information Institute. 12 Ideally, Where Do Young People Want to Work? 13 Top 150 Organizations Where Young Professionals Want to Work Group Top 50 Ranked 51-100 Ranked 101-150 Insurers Organization (% naming) Google (#1: 24.8%) Apple (#2: 13.5%) Disney (#3: 9.4%) U.S. State Department (#4: 9.3%) Amazon (#5: 8.8%) FBI (#6: 8.3%) Berkshire Nordstrom (#51: 2.3%) U.S. Air Force (#52: 2.3%) (#61: 2.1%) Federal Reserve Bank (#53: 2.2%) USAA (#81: 1.65%) Accenture (#54: 2.2%) Time Warner (#55: 2.2%) Liberty Mutual (#126: 0.65%) Travelers (#128: 0.64%) NY Life (#130: 0.51% Hartford (#135: 0.45%) Munich Re (#143: 0.16%) Sources: Universum survey of 10.306 professionals with 1 to 8 years of experience, November 2010-January 2011, at http://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/st_COMPANIES0321_20110321.html 14 How Will We Know We’ve Closed the “Talent Gap”? By Attracting People from the Most Prestigious Universities? 15 Top 10 Insurance Companies, CEO’s and College Information Rank 1 Company Berkshire Hathaway CEO Warren E. Buffett College Columbia Business School University of Nebraska–Lincoln 2 American International Group 3 State Farm Insurance Cos. 4 MetLife Robert H. Benmosche Alfred University Edward B. Rust Jr. Southern Methodist University Steven A. Kandarian Clark University Georgetown University Law Center Harvard Business School 5 6 Prudential Financial New York Life Insurance John R. Strangfeld Jr. Susquehanna University Darden School of Business at the University of Virginia Theodore A. Mathas Stanford University University of Virginia 7 Liberty Mutual Insurance Group Edmund F. Kelly Queen's University, Belfast Massachusetts Institute of Technology 8 TIAA-CREF 9 Allstate 10 Massachusetts Mutual Life Insurance Roger W. Ferguson Jr. Harvard University Northwestern University's J.L. Kellogg Thomas J. Wilson Graduate School of Management Roger W. Crandall Degree/Major MS in Economics BS in Business Administration BS in Mathematics JD & MBA BA JD MBA BS in Business Administration MBA AB JD Bachelor's Degree PhD B.A. in Economics magna cum laud,JD & PhD Masters degree in management University of Michigan BS in Business Administration University of Vermont Bachelor's degree in Economics Note: Top companies as featured in Fortune 500. Source: Insurance Information Institute. 16 Insurance Information Institute Online: www.iii.org Thank you for your time and your attention!