Syllabus & Course Requirements Country Reports • Focus of the course will be on evaluating the current business and economic environment at the country level. Why? • First step of doing business in a new market is understanding the macro level environment. • Policies are analyzed at a comparative level. Aggregate outcomes have a strong correlation with individual outcomes. P.E.S.T. Analysis Strategic Planning Link Poor people in rich countries vs. rich people in poor countries High Income Countries Austria Canada Germany Sweden United States Average Income of Bottom 20% of Pop. $11,061 $7,972 $10,864 $13,451 $9,483 High Middle Income Countries Chile Mexico Costa Rica Thailand Lithuania Tunisia Average Income of Top 20% of Pop. $14,430 $14,397 $9,479 $4,839 $6,376 $4,927 Low Middle Income Countries Philippines El Salvador Egypt Angola Georgia Guatemala World Development Indicators & calculations http://databank.worldbank.org/ddp/home.do?CNO=2&Step=12&id=4 Average Income of Top 10% of Pop. $3,822 $8,155 $3,939 $1,834 $2,198 $7,697 Focus: Quantitative and Concrete Analysis • Why? Qualitative Approaches valid but • Quantitative methods more accessible and make for more direct comparisons. • Economics focuses on quantifying outcomes. Focus: Primary Sources • Read Original Scholarly Work • Real World Data • No Textbook, only Reading Packet Outline I. A. B. C. II. A. B. C. D. Introduction Course Details – Syllabus Globalization – Trends in globalization. Discussion of comparative advantage and alternative ideologies. Alternatives to Globalization. Country Analysis Framework Introduction. Context. Orientation. Comparison groups. Performance. Context Resources Natural Resources; Curse; Human Capital; Demographics. Institutions Foundations. Players of the Game. Formal institutions. Social Capital. Foundations. Colonial History. Political Environment. Social Capital Culture/Mind Models III. A. B. C. D. E. Strategy Market Orientation Varieties of Capitalism History of Development Strategy Industrial policy Alternative Models of Development Happiness, Human Development Competitiveness. Transition Strategies (if time) IV. Risks A. Political Risk Social Conflict; Government Risk B. Fiscal Risk Taxes; Budget Sustainability; Default C. Financial Crisis (if time) Homework Assignments • Form groups of 2-3 people. • Three homework assignments: 25 points total Paper • Country Report: Write an analysis of a country of your choice (not HK, USA, PRC or Korea). • Use the tools learned in this course and real world research. • Maximum 6 pages including bibliography, tables. • Individual work. • 25 points Writing Assignment • 4-6 Double Spaced report on country analysis • Due: Friday, December 6th, 2014 • Cover background, business environment, social welfare, development, risks of a single country. • Use data sources, http://home.ust.hk/~davcook/Data%20Sources. htm Private analysts construct reports…www.eiu.com http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/cat/longres.aspx?sk=24406.0 Exam • In class – Midterm Exam: 15 points – Final Exam: 35 points