© JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Lecture 1: Introduction to Real Estate Finance by James R. DeLisle, Ph.D. January 5, 2010 Real Estate Finance Lecture Overview • • • • © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Course Organization Critical Thinking The Economic Problem: an Example in Critical Thinking Other Real Estate Trends/Issues • Real Estate Process Review Real Estate Finance Course Overview © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. • Course Background – – – – – Course Objectives Timetable Computer and Technology Requirements Grading Strategy and Policy Project Decision: Rationale and Alternatives • Organization of Real Estate Finance 2010 – – – – Part 1: Residential Finance Part 2: Commercial Property Finance Part 3: Capital Markets Part 4: Institutional Finance Real Estate Finance Course Objectives • © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Foster Creative thinking and Problem-solving – Helping students Systematically think about financial decisions related to real estate – Develop ability to model a variety of financial decisions • Develop Understanding of Real Estate Financial Markets – – – – • Cultivate Appreciation for Capital Markets – – – – • Market fundamentals: products and processes Market Decision-making: players and market drivers Residential Finance & Income Property Finance Construction and Development Finance Sources and Uses of Capital Capital Flows to Real Estate Private Market Public Market Develop Individual and Team-based Problem solving skills – Emerging Trends: class discussion of emerging issues and trends – Financial modeling: team-based modeling and application of appropriate tools • Excel Modeling • Argus Decision-support Real Estate Finance Finance and Investments Text © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. • Hard Copy – Brueggeman and Fisher, Real Estate Finance and Investments, 13th Edition, Irwin, (2008) • On-line Resources – General Resources • Excel Spreadsheet with selected examples from Chapter problems. • Argus Data Files & Argus Free Trial Link – Chapter Resources • New Articles and Weblinks. A listing of Internet resources • Quizzes. A series of 10 questions per chapter with automatic grading. • PowerPoint Presentations. Real Estate Finance © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Supplemental Materials • Cases and Review material from Real Estate Process – – – – – – Time Value of Money & Primer on Mathematics of Real Estate Finance,” (DeLisle) Case 1: Building Envelope Case 2: Total Replacement Cost Case 3: Frontdoor/Backdoor Analysis Case 4: Alternative Use Analysis Case 5: Discounted Cash Flow • Problems in Real Estate Finance (hyperlinked files) – – – – Problem Set 1: Basic Time Value of Money Problem Set 2: Basic Mortgage Finance Problem Set 3: Intermediate Mortgage Finance Problem Set 4: Basic Corporate Real Estate Decisions • Argus Guides/Portfolio Case Studies – A Guide to Argus – Case Study in Argus • Glossary of Real Estate Finance Terms Real Estate Finance © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Course Organization: Grading Policy • Grading Philosophy – Basis: curved – Emphasis: achievement vs. process/speed • Metrics – – – – – • 4 2 2 2 1 Multiple Choice/Matching Quizzes & calculated quizzes on fundamentals of real estate finance Mortgage Spreadsheet Modeling: fixed rate and variable rate mortgages DCF Modeling: Enhancement to Excel model with rent roll, partnerships and portfolio integration Argus Cases. Argus Model for an individual project and a portfolio project. Final Exam. Individual paper in which students explore a contemporary issue in real estate finance Grading Components – – – – Quizzes Financial Modeling: Mortgages DCF Modeling Argus/Portfolio Decision Support – Final Exam – Class Participation and Forum 4 2 2 2 24% 20% 30% 20% 1 10% 6% Real Estate Finance © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Course Objectives • Develop a conceptual understanding of: – – – – Real estate market at the macro and micro levels, Linkages between the spatial and capital markets, Integration of property, asset and portfolio management, and Roles, drivers, and decision-making processes of major classes of space users, producers, and investors. • Cultivate an appreciation for: – Sustainable development, operation, transaction and investment, and – Integrate related disciplines to support real estate decision-making with the appropriate breadth and depth of inquiry. • Be able to make decisions drawing on: – Industry best practices, academic and theoretical concepts, and an – Understanding of basic technical and analytical tools. Real Estate Finance How we Got Where we Are? © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Real Estate Finance Critical Thinking © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Real Estate Finance Feasibility Analysis: Critical Problem Solving © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Real Estate Finance Legal Elements of Real Estate © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Legal Description by Metes & Bounds Marker © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. N 0o0” E100’ Thence E 0o0: 140’ Thence to POB Thence S 0o0: 120’ Real Estate Process Legal Description: Irregular Shapes © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Real Estate Process Real Estate Finance © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Players and Perspectives Interdisciplinary Spectrum: A Life Cycle Approach © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Disposition/ Redevelop $ Acquisition /Production Planning Feasibility Marketability Appraisal Engineering Architectural Environmental Legal Cost Estimation Negotiations Operation Construction Mgmt. Quality Controls Project Mgmt. Architectural Oversight Cost Mgmt. Construction Financing Inspections Pre-leasing Releases Final Inspection or Sourcing if Existing Portfolio Mgmt. Asset Mgmt. Leasing Tenant Improvements Tenant Relations Property Mgmt. Accounting/Reporting Engineering Financial Mgmt. Time Hold/Sell Analysis Marketing Valuation Buyer Selection Broker Management Negotiations Closing Real Estate Process Space Producers Static Linkages Environment Which Market Segments? © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. S…. E….. L …. Anomolous Lifestyles Space Consumers Metro Fringes Infrastructure Providers Affluent Suburbia Upscale City Singles Real Estate Finance Major Market Core Second City Leaders Real Estate Process © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Land Use Controls Land Use Controls: Taking vs. Police Power © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Building Envelopes: A Modular Approach © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. • Site Size Land Use Controls • Lot Coverage Ratio (LCR) Eminent Domain LUC Taking Public Good vs. Private Loss Partial Taking Safety, health & welfare • Height Restrictions • Parking Requirements – Parking Index – SF/Stall • Floor Area Ratio (FAR) Real Estate Process Real Estate Process Real Estate Finance Parcel Research © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Real Estate Finance TRCm © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Real Estate Finance Money-Time Dimension of Real Estate Value Backdoor Model: Reverse Engineered © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Market RCR=Budget to Real Estate Value / Rate Gross Income Income * NIR Land Hard & Soft Costs TRCj Real Estate Process Frontdoor Model: Sequence © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Value * Rate Gross Income Income / NIR Land Hard & Soft Costs TRCm Real Estate Process Real Estate Finance © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Frontdoor Model Frontdoor Model: Sequence © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Value * Rate Gross Income Income / NIR Land Hard & Soft Costs TRCm Real Estate Process Real Estate Finance © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Backdoor Model Backdoor Model: Reverse Engineered © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Market RCR=Budget to Real Estate Value / Rate Gross Income Income * NIR Land Hard & Soft Costs TRCj Real Estate Process Real Estate Finance Social Responsibility © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Irretrievable Commitment Of Scarce Resources Real Estate Finance Appraisal Objective and Process © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Real Estate Finance Appraisal Theory and Application © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Real Estate Finance Market Analysis © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Real Estate Finance Market Segmentation & Product Stratification © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Real Estate Finance Alternative Uses © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Real Estate Finance H&B Use and Most Fitting Use © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Real Estate Finance TMV © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Real Estate Finance Risk Management © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Real Estate Finance © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Mortgage Cycle © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Mortgage Risks: Acquisition Stage Planning/ Application Disposition Acquisition Disposition Acquisition © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Mortgage Life Cycle Management Planning/ Application Operation • Operation • Mortgagee’s Concerns • Probability of Default • • Severity of Default Borrower Underwriting – Will to pay – Ability to pay Property & Value – Due Diligence: collateral integrity, quality and quantity – Appraisal: value of underlying asset Claim – Collateral Commitment: clear title, deed, – Priority of Claim; no intervening liens, recording – Title Assurance/Insurance Real Estate Process Real Estate Process © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Mortgage Risks: Disposition Stage © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Mortgage Risks: Operation Stage Disposition Acquisition Planning/ Application Planning/ Application • Timing Operation • • • Disposition Acquisition Operation – Duration: actual term vs. contract term – Prepayment Penalties: yield maintenance Administration – Loan Processing: collection, posting, record-keeping – Loan Servicing: disperse payments of taxes, insurance Property – Periodic Inspection: property maintained – covenants honored Borrower – Additional Encumbrances – Liens; restriction, disclosure • Transfer – Loan assumption: timing, risk – Borrower substitution • Foreclosure Real Estate Process – Monitor – manage and pursue/protect claims Real Estate Finance Real Estate Process Mortgage Loans © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Real Estate Finance Traditional Mortgage Amortization Patterns © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Interest vs. Principal S hare of Payments Traditional Mortgage Assumptions © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. INT vs. PRIN PP T otal Payment 100% * LV Pi Total Payment 80% PMT INT PRIN 60% 40% 20% Real Estate Finance 0% 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 Term AmortizationSSchedule chedule Amortization Balance Principal Balance Principal T otal Payment Interest $250,000 $250,000 $200,000 $200,000 Dollars Dollars $150,000 $150,000 $100,000 $100,000 $50,000 $50,000 1 12 23 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 91 10 0 1 11 1 1 12 2 1 31 3 1 41 4 1 51 5 1 61 6 1 71 7 1 81 8 1 91 9 2 02 0 2 12 1 2 22 2 2 32 3 2 42 4 2 52 5 2 62 6 2 72 7 2 82 8 2 92 9 3 03 0 $0$0 Time Time Real Estate Finance DCF © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Real Estate Finance Leases as Risk Management © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Real Estate Finance Capital Market © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Real Estate Finance REITs and CMBS © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Real Estate Finance Portfolio Management © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Real Estate Finance Development © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Real Estate Finance Timetable as of 1/5/2010 © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Timetable: Part 1 Problem Sets/Due Dates 1 1/5 Course Overview Ch 1: RE Finance and Process Review Overview DeLisle, No Bottom, No Net Graaskamp, Finance Educ. & Risk Management Review Cases: located in Moodle Process Review 1/7 Capital Markets & Real Estate 2010 Emerging Trends; DeLisle: RE Asset Class or Sector? Prob Set1: Basic Time Value of Money 1/12 Financing Notes & Mortgages 1/14 Residential Mortgage Loans 1/19 Residential Finance; Housing Affordability Underwriting Residential Property Discounted Cash Flow; Investment Analysis Introduction to Income Property & Leases Valuation of Income Property Financial Leverage & Alt. Financing 3 1/21 4 1/26 1/28 5 2/2 2/4 Chapter Quizzes/Projects Out Date 2 Topic Readings/Cases Wk Ch 2: Money, Credit and Rates; Ch 3: Finance Theory & RE Ch 4: History of Res Finance; Ch 5: Postwar Residential Finance Ch 6: Alternative Mortgages DeLisle, Primer 1: Res. Mortgage pgs 1-48. DeLisle: Primer 1: Alt Mortgages pgs 48-72. DeLisle, Housing Affordability Cost Ch 7: Financing and Property Value; Ch 8-9 Study Federal Housing Ch 13: Loan Orig; Ch 14: Mortgage Ins, Title Insurance Ch 19: Perm Financing Case 1: FD/BD Analysis To be assigned Mortgage Project 1 Base Mtgs. Out; Quiz 1 Out Prob Set 2: Intro to Mortgage Finance Mortgage Project 1 Due Quiz 2 Out Project 2 Alt Mtgs. Out Prob Set 3: Intermediate Mtg Fin; Quiz 1: Due Mortgage Project 2 Due Case 2: DCF Analysis DCF Enhanced Primer 2: Rent Roll Modeling in Excel Project 3: DCF Leases Out Quiz 2: Due Prob Set 4: Intro Corp RE To be assigned Ch 15 Value, Leverage Prob Set 5: Adv Corp RE Real Estate Finance © JR DeLisle, Ph. D. Timetable: Part 2 Wk Date 6 2/09 Risk Analysis 2/11 Disposition/Renovat To be assigned ion Corporate RE Finance 7 2/16 2/18 8 9 10 11 Topic Chapter Readings/Cases Problem Sets/Due Dates Ch 12: Controlling Risk; Quiz 3: Out Financing & Land Development Ch 18: ADC Loans Real Estate Portfolio Management Ch 21: RE in a Portfolio Context DeLisle, “A Holistic RE Portfolio Mgmt.” To be assigned Primer 3: Argus Project Analysis 2/23 Quizzes/Projects Out Project 3: DCF Leases Due Argus Model Tutorial Proj. 4: Argus RRDCF Out 2/25 JVs, Syndications, Partnerships, Ch 20: Ownership Proj. 5 Argus Portfolio: Out 3/02 Public Equity Market Ch 17: Sources of Funds Quiz 4: Out 3/04 Secondary Market: Pass-Throughs Ch 10: Secondary Market 3/9 Secondary Market: CMOs, CMBSs Ch 11: Valuation of RE Primer 4: Argus Portfolio Securities Analysis 3/11 Issues in RE Finance Ch 22: Liability, Fraud and Ethics. 3/15 Finals Week Project 4: Argus RR-DCF Final Out Project 5 Argus: Due Quiz 3: Due Final Exam Final Due 3/21 Real Estate Finance