Chapter 3 Analyzing Marketing Opportunity Today you have to run faster to stay in the same place. Philip Kotler Learning Objectives 1. 2. 3. Gathering information and Measuring Market Demand. Scanning the marketing environment. Analyzing consumer markets and buyer behavior. 1. Gathering information and Measuring Market Demand. MIS Marketing Research Process MIS People ,equipment,and procedures to gather,sort,analyze,evaluate, and distribute needed,timely,and accurate information to marketing decision makers. MIS’s STRUCTURE(P132) Internal databases Marketing intelligence Marketing research Information analysis Marketing Research Process Defining the problem and research objective Developing the research plan for collecting information Implementing the research plan-collecting and analyzing the data Interpreting and reporting the findings Relative terms Exploratory research Descriptive research Causal research Secondary data Primary data Online databases Relative terms observational research Survey research Single-source data system Experimental research Focus group interviewing Online marketing research 2.Marketing Environment Tracking & Identifying Opportunities in the Macroenvironment Demographic, Economic, Natural, Technological, Political, & Cultural Developments Macroenvironmental Forces World trade enablers Asian economic power Rise of trade blocs International monetary crises Use of barter & countertrade Move towards market economies “Global” lifestyles Macroenvironmental Forces Opening of “new” markets Emerging transnational firms Cross-border strategic alliances Regional ethnic & religious conflict Global branding Demographic Environment Worldwide Population Growth Population Age Mix Ethnic Markets Educational Groups Household Patterns Geographical Shifts in Population Shift from Mass Market to Micromarkets Economic Environment Income Distribution Subsistence economies Raw-material-exporting economies Industrializing economies Industrial economies Savings, Debt, & Credit Availability Changing Role of Government Higher Pollution Levels Natural Environment Increased Costs of Energy Shortage of Raw Materials Accelerating Pace of Change Unlimited Opportunities for Innovation Issues in the Technological Environment Varying R & D Budgets Increased Regulation Increased Legislation PoliticalLegal Environment SpecialInterest Groups Social/Cultural Environment Of Oneself Of the Universe Of Nature Views That Express Values Of Others Of Organizations Of Society Social/Cultural Environment Review Tracking & Identifying Opportunities in the Macroenvironment Demographic, Economic, Natural, Technological, Political, & Cultural Developments Microenvironment Company Suppliers Marketing intermediaries Customers Competitors public 3.Consumer Behavior 1. 2. 3. 4. Major factors influencing buyer behavior The buying decision process The stages of the buying decision process Reference concepts Simple Response Model Stimulus Organism Response Model of Buying Behavior Marketing Other stimuli stimuli Product Price Place Promotion Economic Technological Political Cultural Buyer’s Buyer’s decision characteristics process Cultural Social Personal Psychological Problem recognition Information search Evaluation Decision Postpurchase behavior Buyer’s decisions Product choice Brand choice Dealer choice Purchase timing Purchase amount Cultural Factors Culture Subculture Social Class Buyer Social Factors Reference Groups Family Roles & Statuses Influences on Consumer Behavior Personal Influences Age and Family Life Cycle Stage Occupation & Economic Circumstances Lifestyle Personality & Self-Concept Psychological Factors Motivation Beliefs & Attitudes Perception Learning Maslow’s Hierarchy of Needs 5 Selfactualization (self-development and realization) 4 Esteem needs (self-esteem, recognition) Social needs 3 (sense of belonging, love) 2 1 Safety needs (security, protection) Psychological needs (food, water, shelter) Four Types of Buying Behavior High Involvement Low Involvement Significant differences between brands Complex Buying Behavior VarietySeeking Behavior Few differences between brands DissonanceReducing Buying Behavior Habitual Buying Behavior Consumer Buying Problem Process recognition Information search Evaluation of alternatives Purchase decision Postpurchase behavior Decision Making Sets Total Set Awareness Set Consideration Set Choice Set Decision Steps Between Evaluation of Alternatives and a Purchase Decision Evaluation of alternatives Attitude of others Purchase intention Purchase decision Unanticipated situational factors How Customers Use or Dispose of Products Get rid of it temporarily Rent it Loan it Give it away Trade it Product Get rid of it permanently Keep it Use for original purpose Convert to new purpose Store it Sell it Throw it away To be (re)sold To be used Direct to consumer Through middleman To intermediary Reference concepts Customer value and satisfaction Customer value Relationship marketing (1)The major factors influencing buying behavior Cultural factors Social factors Personal factors Psychological factors Cultural factors Culture Subculture Social class Social class Social classes are relatively homogeneous and enduring divisions in a society,which are hierarchically ordered and whose members share similar values ,interests, and behavior. Social factors Reference groups Family Roles and statuses Reference groups Reference groups consists of all the groups that have a direct (face-to-face) or indirect influence on the person’s attitudes or behavior. Groups having a direct influence on a person are called membership groups.(direct groups) Indirect reference groups Reference groups Aspirational groups are those the person hopes to join. Dissociative groups are those whose values or behavior an individual rejects. Opinion leader is the person in informal product-related communications who offer advice or information about a specific product or product category. Family Family procreation----one’s spouse and children Types of Family Types of Family Skippies(student-kids with income and purchasing power) Mobys(mother old and baby young) Dinks(double income,no kids) Dewks(double income with kids) Puppies(贫穷的城市职员) Woofs(富裕的老人) Roles and status A person participates in many groups----family, club, organization. The person’s position in each group can be defined in terms of role and status. A role consists of the activities that a person is expected to perform. Each person carried a status. Personal factors Age and stage in the life cycle Occupation and economic circumstances Lifestyle Personality and self-concept Lifestyle A lifestyle is the person’s pattern of living in the world as expressed in activities, interests, and opinion. Lifestyle portrays the “whole person “ interacting with his or her environment. Markerters search for relationships between their products and lifestyle groups. VAL2 (value and lifestyles) Actualizers Fulfilled Achievers Experiences Believers Strivers Makers Stuggles Personality and self-concept By personality, we mean distinguishing psychological characteristics that lead to relatively consistent and enduring responses to environment. Psychological factors Motivation Perception Learning Beliefs and attitude 让我们以Anna Lee来说明这些影响因素 个人背景 – – – – – – – – 今年32岁,已婚 广西人,毕业于中国名牌 大学--南京大学 是一家跨国公司的市场发 展经理(已在该公司任职 5年) 已在广州丽江花园拥有一 套三居室 中文名:李萍 英文名:Anna Lee 英文流利 月入8000元 让我们以Anna Lee来说明这些影响因素 个人背景 – – – – – – – – 今年32岁,已婚 广西人,毕业于中国名牌 大学--南京大学 是一家跨国公司的市场发 展经理(已在该公司任职 5年) 已在广州丽江花园拥有一 套三居室 中文名:李萍 英文名:Anna Lee 英文流利 月入8000元 The Cinema Two Week Cycle Going to the movies is not a two hour event for Identity Builders it is a complex planning and evaluating process that offers many o p p o r t u n i t i e s t o m a r k e t e r. The Day(6-7 hours) The Week before - picking the film, who to go with, where to see, when - PLANNING Getting to the Venue The Movie Eating, Malling, Getting home The Week After -talking about the Day, assessing the film, the school yard discussion. -REVIEWING 2 hours Hanging Out all day with friend AND THEN IT STARTS AGAIN Note in S.E. Asia markets cinema attendance by teens is among highest in the w o r l d w i t h a n a v e r a g e o f a r o u n d o n e f i l m a m o n t h. (2) The buying decision process Buying roles Buying behavior Complex buying behavior Dissonance-reducing buyer behavior Habitual buying behavior Variety-seeking buying behavior Anna Lee 会受到哪些因素的影响 – – 有20天的年假,准备去渡假。 可选择的地方有: 澳洲/新西兰 泰国(普吉) 三亚 韩国 欧洲 九寨沟 大理/丽江 西藏 新疆 Analysis of Regular Blue Ribbon Drinkers ÆÏû·ÑÕß 1 5 -1 9 6 0 -6 4 5 5 -5 9 5 0 -5 4 15 4 5 -4 9 20 2 0 -2 4 25 30 4 0 -4 4 35 40 45 3 5 -3 9 50 2 5 -2 9 55 3 0 -3 4 60 ÂÉú´úÊÐ Ïû·ÑÕß 444 I H G F E D A.1 B.1 2000-2 C.2 D.2 E.3 F.3 1500-1 G. H.5 I.6 ÂÉú´úÊÐ ¾-ºÈ¹ýÆ 0 6.92 0 5.52 4.46 0 3.47 2.93 2.57 2.42 0 1.44 1.06 0.78 0.78 0.56 0 °ÙÍþ ³¯ÈÕ ¼ÎÊ »¢ÅÆ À¶´ø ÷è÷ë Çൺ ˲® ÉúÁ¦ ÎåÐÇ Ñྩ ϲÁ¦ Öé½ ÂÉú´úÊÐ 0 Source: Millennium Study CHANGSHA CHANGCHUN XIAN XIAMEN SHENZHEN HARBIN QINGDAO NANJING HANGZHOU CHONGQING CHENGDU SHANGHAI GUANGZHOU BEIJING % Profile Regional Breakdown Base: All Respondents 25 20 15 10 5 Age/Sex Breakdown Base: All Respondents 70 % Profile 60 50 40 30 20 10 Source: Millennium Study 65 + 60 -6 4 55 -5 9 50 -5 4 45 -4 9 40 -4 4 35 -3 9 30 -3 4 25 -2 9 20 -2 4 18 -1 9 15 -1 7 M AL E FE M AL E 0 0 Source: Millennium Study HEAD OF HOUSEHOLD SHOPPING DECISION MAKER WITHOUT ANY UNDER 15 WITH ANY UNDER 15 MARRIED SINGLE/OTHERS PRIMARY OR BELOW JUNIOR HIGH SENIOR HIGH UNIV/COL/POST SEC % Profile Educational/Family Position Base: All Respondents 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Source: Millennium Study RMB10000+ RMB9000-9999 RMB8000-8999 RMB7000-7999 RMB6000-6999 RMB5000-5999 RMB4000-4999 RMB3500-3999 RMB3000-3499 RMB2500-2999 RMB2000-2499 RMB1700-1999 RMB1500-1699 RMB1400-1499 RMB1300-1399 RMB1200-1299 RMB1100-1199 RMB1000-1099 RMB900-999 RMB800-899 RMB700-799 RMB600-699 RMB500-599 UNDER RMB500 % Profile Household Income Base: All Respondents 25 20 15 10 5 影响购买行为的主要因素--心理因素 自我实现 需要 (自我发展与实现) 尊重需要 (自尊、肯定、地位) 社会需要 (爱与归属感) 安全需要 (安全、保障) 生理需要 (饥饿、干渴) (3)the stage of the buying decision proce Problem recognition Information search Evaluation of alternatives Purchase decision Postpurchase behavior 4.Business buyer behavior Business Market Model of Business Buyer Behavior Business market Characteristics of Business markets(p213 Table6.1) Derived demand Derived demand Business demand that ultimately comes from the demand for consumer goods. Model of Business Buyer Behavior (p217) Business buying behavior Straight rebuy Modified rebuy New task Systems buying Participants in the business buying process Buying centrer User Influencers Deciders gatekeepers Major influences on business buyer behavior Environmental Organizational Interpersonal Individual buyers Discussion 1.No.2,p236 2.No. 3,p204