Time to re look release mechanism of Sugar An Overview Praful Jagjivan Vithalani M/s Jagjivan Keshavji & Co. jksugars@vsnl.com No Market can have healthy trade without interest of Buyer Buyers interest in business is at almost negative level, without active part of seller & buyer, no commodity market can have healthy and prosperous trade. When there was discussion among the Govt. for removal of release mechanism, prices were 3500 per Qntl which currently down by 42% at 2000 per Qntl, i.e it needs 75% to gain to come at same level jksugars@vsnl.com Reasons for market fall Average demand is 20 L MT per month where the supply quantity is in dark, always more than 80 L MT at a time. Crude prices came down by 50% plus. Ratio of sugar production went up against ethanol production by industries in world jksugars@vsnl.com Indian sugar marketing not comparable with world Indian sugar market can not be compared with other country, India is an emerging country but traders and industry both are paying 15 to 21 % per annum interest rate for OD facility from bank. jksugars@vsnl.com Whole sale traders investment Falls by 50% Investment of sugar trade is of over Rs 6000 crore +, as on today that’s for hardly 7 days of requirement. At the time of release mechanism the traders investment was for 15 to 20 days requirement, which was more than Rs 14000 crores + jksugars@vsnl.com Industry investment went up sharply Rs 9000 crore plus investment which is pulled out by traders is now being increased in investment by industry due to fall in stock in trade by traders. In season 2015 – 2016 industry is going to face liquidity of fund as well as storing space also. jksugars@vsnl.com Realization of sale price could have been more In my view Release Mechanism definately would have given sale realison of Rs. 3000 per MT more on 245 L MT of domestic consumption, this mean a minimum loss of Rs. 7500 crore to the sugar industry per year without release mechanism. jksugars@vsnl.com Realization of sale price could have been more for the world With Demand and Supply, prices of Indian market do effect world wide sugar prices as India is the second largest sugar producing country in world. The drop in prices which we have seen currently, it could have been 10% lower if Indian release mechanism could have continued jksugars@vsnl.com Export could have been more As said earlier if sharp fall in indian prices would have restricted fall in prices of world market also the export from Indian market could have been 10-15 Lac MT more. This could have been beneficial to have more sale and liquidity of fund with industry. jksugars@vsnl.com Impact on Industry because of no Release Mechanism Industry loosing Rs 7500 crore per year with an additional investment of Rs 9000 crore in sugar This could have helped to lower the arrears of farmers due. Gentlemen business (Industry) have been effected F.I.R. by state governments. jksugars@vsnl.com Losers Industry Farmers Govt. of India (Need to give subsidy) Wholesalers Semi Wholesalers Consumers by Rs 3 per KG jksugars@vsnl.com Gainers Statistical data of inflation Retailers who have increased their margin by Rs 3 per KG Consumers of India FMCG jksugars@vsnl.com Appeal for restoration of release mechanism Govt. of India ISMA National Federation of Co-oprative sugar mills of India Govt. of Maharashtra Govt. of U.P Govt. of other sugar producing states jksugars@vsnl.com Million Dollar Question!! A person selling a finished product costing Rs 2800 selling it at Rs 2200 become a Millionaire HOW ? jksugars@vsnl.com Billion Dollar Answer Because he was a Billionaire and was selling SUGAR in INDIA!!!! jksugars@vsnl.com Opinion and Options I know there are some opinion by various individuals against Release Mechanism But it’s a principal of every business that the finished product should and must be sold above Cost Of Production!!!! So either selling price should go up or Sugar cane price should go down, jksugars@vsnl.com Poor Farmers Central Govt. have already announced FRP for new season 2015-2016 Do you think that any govt. will be able to reduce FRP in India of farmers? jksugars@vsnl.com Balance sheet Expected opening stock of around 100 L MT +, expected production of 260 L MT = total availability 360 L MT less expected consumption of 245 L MT will result in opening stock of 115 L MT on October 2016, which means minimum 60 L MT export is need for season 2015 – 2016. jksugars@vsnl.com Thank You for Your Patience hearing ! Praful Jagjivan Vithalani Proprietor Jagjivan Keshavji and Co. Wholesale Sugar Broker 101-102, Horizon Tower, Bhakti Mandir Road, Hari Niwas Circle, Thane -400602 Phone : +91 22 25300800 FAX : + 91 22 25444625 Mobile: +91 9870008888 Email: jksugars@vsnl.com jksugars@vsnl.com